2025-26 season · final
Chicago Blackhawks, 2025-26: game by game
The Blackhawks went 29–39–14 (72 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 69.3 points. Luck added 2.7: the 14th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 13–22; in overtime 4–9, in the shootout 3–5.
Every game
How often the Blackhawks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2025 | @ Panthers | L 2–3 | 29% | −29 | |
| Oct 9, 2025 | @ Bruins | L 3–4 | 25% | −25 | OT |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Canadiens | L 2–3 | 27% | −27 | |
| Oct 13, 2025 | vs Mammoth | W 3–1 | 45% | +55 | |
| Oct 15, 2025 | @ Blues | W 8–3 | 60% | +40 | |
| Oct 17, 2025 | vs Canucks | L 2–3 | 34% | −34 | SO |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vs Ducks | W 2–1 | 46% | +54 | OT |
| Oct 23, 2025 | @ Lightning | W 3–2 | 47% | +53 | |
| Oct 26, 2025 | vs Kings | L 1–3 | 51% | −51 | |
| Oct 28, 2025 | vs Senators | W 7–3 | 43% | +57 | |
| Oct 30, 2025 | @ Jets | L 3–6 | 41% | −41 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Oilers | L 2–3 | 49% | −49 | OT |
| Nov 3, 2025 | @ Kraken | L 1–3 | 61% | −61 | |
| Nov 5, 2025 | @ Canucks | W 5–2 | 29% | +71 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | @ Flames | W 4–0 | 48% | +52 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ Red Wings | W 5–1 | 15% | +85 | |
| Nov 12, 2025 | vs Devils | L 3–4 | 48% | −48 | OT |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Maple Leafs | W 3–2 | 51% | +49 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | vs Flames | W 5–2 | 57% | +43 | |
| Nov 20, 2025 | vs Kraken | L 2–3 | 47% | −47 | |
| Nov 21, 2025 | @ Sabres | L 3–9 | 32% | −32 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs Avalanche | L 0–1 | 47% | −47 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs Wild | L 3–4 | 71% | −71 | OT |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Predators | L 3–4 | 53% | −53 | |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs Ducks | W 5–3 | 54% | +46 | |
| Dec 2, 2025 | @ Golden Knights | L 3–4 | 48% | −48 | SO |
| Dec 4, 2025 | @ Kings | W 2–1 | 58% | +42 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | @ Kings | L 0–6 | 22% | −22 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ Ducks | L 1–7 | 6% | −6 | |
| Dec 10, 2025 | vs Rangers | W 3–0 | 55% | +45 | |
| Dec 12, 2025 | @ Blues | L 2–3 | 41% | −41 | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | vs Red Wings | L 0–4 | 48% | −48 | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | @ Maple Leafs | L 2–3 | 41% | −41 | |
| Dec 18, 2025 | @ Canadiens | L 1–4 | 29% | −29 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @ Senators | L 4–6 | 19% | −19 | |
| Dec 23, 2025 | vs Flyers | L 1–3 | 40% | −40 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | @ Stars | W 4–3 | 27% | +73 | SO |
| Dec 28, 2025 | vs Penguins | L 3–7 | 54% | −54 | |
| Dec 30, 2025 | vs Islanders | L 2–3 | 52% | −52 | SO |
| Jan 1, 2026 | vs Stars | W 4–3 | 58% | +42 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | @ Capitals | W 3–2 | 45% | +55 | SO |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | W 3–2 | 46% | +54 | OT |
| Jan 7, 2026 | vs Blues | W 7–3 | 57% | +43 | |
| Jan 9, 2026 | vs Capitals | L 1–5 | 56% | −56 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @ Predators | W 3–0 | 35% | +65 | |
| Jan 12, 2026 | vs Oilers | L 1–4 | 43% | −43 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | vs Flames | L 1–3 | 53% | −53 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vs Bruins | L 2–5 | 32% | −32 | |
| Jan 19, 2026 | vs Jets | W 2–0 | 36% | +64 | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | @ Hurricanes | W 4–3 | 25% | +75 | SO |
| Jan 23, 2026 | vs Lightning | L 1–2 | 22% | −22 | SO |
| Jan 25, 2026 | vs Panthers | L 1–5 | 50% | −50 | |
| Jan 27, 2026 | @ Wild | L 3–4 | 74% | −74 | SO |
| Jan 29, 2026 | @ Penguins | L 2–6 | 26% | −26 | |
| Jan 30, 2026 | vs Blue Jackets | L 2–4 | 50% | −50 | |
| Feb 2, 2026 | vs Sharks | W 6–3 | 44% | +56 | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | @ Blue Jackets | L 0–4 | 48% | −48 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @ Predators | L 2–4 | 62% | −62 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @ Avalanche | L 1–3 | 35% | −35 | |
| Mar 1, 2026 | @ Mammoth | W 4–0 | 47% | +53 | |
| Mar 3, 2026 | @ Jets | L 2–3 | 38% | −38 | OT |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vs Canucks | L 3–6 | 69% | −69 | |
| Mar 8, 2026 | @ Stars | L 3–4 | 31% | −31 | OT |
| Mar 9, 2026 | vs Mammoth | W 3–2 | 60% | +40 | OT |
| Mar 12, 2026 | @ Mammoth | W 3–2 | 23% | +77 | OT |
| Mar 14, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | L 0–4 | 29% | −29 | |
| Mar 17, 2026 | vs Wild | L 3–4 | 49% | −49 | OT |
| Mar 19, 2026 | @ Wild | W 2–1 | 57% | +43 | |
| Mar 20, 2026 | vs Avalanche | L 1–4 | 20% | −20 | |
| Mar 22, 2026 | vs Predators | L 2–3 | 43% | −43 | OT |
| Mar 24, 2026 | @ Islanders | W 4–3 | 19% | +81 | |
| Mar 26, 2026 | @ Flyers | L 1–5 | 16% | −16 | |
| Mar 27, 2026 | @ Rangers | L 1–6 | 26% | −26 | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | @ Devils | L 3–5 | 34% | −34 | |
| Mar 31, 2026 | vs Jets | L 3–4 | 47% | −47 | OT |
| Apr 2, 2026 | @ Oilers | L 1–3 | 32% | −32 | |
| Apr 4, 2026 | @ Kraken | W 4–2 | 60% | +40 | |
| Apr 6, 2026 | @ Sharks | L 2–3 | 56% | −56 | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | vs Hurricanes | L 2–7 | 43% | −43 | |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Blues | L 3–5 | 46% | −46 | |
| Apr 13, 2026 | vs Sabres | L 1–5 | 41% | −41 | |
| Apr 15, 2026 | vs Sharks | W 5–2 | 72% | +28 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Blackhawks’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Goaltending | +4.4 |
| Shooting | −1.3 |
| Shootout | −2.0 |
| Empty-net goals | −3.2 |
| Overtime | −5.1 |