2026-27 season · in progress
Chicago Blackhawks, 2026-27: game by game
The Blackhawks are 0–2–0 (0 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 0.3 points. Luck cost them 0.3: the 5th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 0–0; in overtime 0–0, in the shootout 0–0.
Every game
How often the Blackhawks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | L 2–5 | 37% | −37 | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ Mammoth | L 0–6 | 23% | −23 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Next games: our predictions
Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.
| Week | Game | Our pick | Blackhawks win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oct 3 | at Sabres |  Sabres by 0.8 | 36% |
| Week 2 · Oct 6 | vs Blues |  Blues by 0.5 | 42% |
| Week 2 · Oct 8 | at Islanders |  Islanders by 0.7 | 38% |
| Week 2 · Oct 10 | vs Hurricanes |  Hurricanes by 1.0 | 34% |
| Week 3 · Oct 13 | vs Penguins |  Penguins by 0.8 | 36% |
| Week 3 · Oct 15 | vs Jets |  Jets by 0.5 | 42% |
| Week 3 · Oct 17 | vs Stars |  Stars by 0.6 | 39% |
| Week 4 · Oct 23 | vs Canadiens |  Canadiens by 0.6 | 41% |
| Week 4 · Oct 25 | vs Panthers |  Panthers by 0.6 | 40% |
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Blackhawks’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shooting | −1.4 |
| Goaltending | −2.4 |