Metropolitan Division · Eastern Conference
Philadelphia Flyers
The Flyers went 43–27–12 (98 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 89.9 points. Luck added 8.1: the 9th-luckiest of 32. PDO 0.998; 50.3% of the expected goals in their games.
Metropolitan Division, 2025-26
| # | Team | GP | Record | Pts | Coin-flip pts | Without luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hurricanes | 82 | 53–22–7 | 113 | 109.0 | 1st |
| 2 |  Penguins | 82 | 41–25–16 | 98 | 93.2 | 2nd |
| 3 |  Flyers | 82 | 43–27–12 | 98 | 89.9 | 5th |
| 4 |  Capitals | 82 | 43–30–9 | 95 | 92.2 | 3rd |
| 5 |  Blue Jackets | 82 | 40–30–12 | 92 | 91.1 | 4th |
| 6 |  Islanders | 82 | 43–34–5 | 91 | 78.2 | 8th |
| 7 |  Devils | 82 | 42–37–3 | 87 | 85.7 | 6th |
| 8 |  Rangers | 82 | 34–39–9 | 77 | 79.0 | 7th |
Where the luck came from, 2025-26
Shootout +6.0
Empty-net goals +1.8
Goaltending −1.6
Overtime −2.1
Shooting −4.3
Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.
Season by season
Luckiest wins
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | vs Predators | W 4–1 | 31% | +69 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | @ Predators | W 3–1 | 31% | +69 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | @ Wild | W 3–2 | 31% | +69 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @ Islanders | W 4–3 | 33% | +67 |
| Jan 19, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | W 2–1 | 35% | +65 |
Unluckiest losses
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | @ Kraken | L 1–4 | 75% | −75 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | vs Red Wings | L 2–4 | 71% | −71 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | @ Mammoth | L 4–5 | 71% | −71 |
| 2025-26 first round, game 4 | vs Penguins | L 2–4 | 63% | −63 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | @ Bruins | L 3–6 | 62% | −62 |
Division rivals
Hurricanes · Blue Jackets · Devils · Islanders · Rangers · Penguins · Capitals
Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured