Were the Blue Jackets lucky in 2025-26?

About as lucky as the average team: +0.9 points against what their play was worth, the 9th-unluckiest of 32.

Where did the Blue Jackets’ luck come from?

Shootout +5.0 goals, Goaltending +3.3 goals, Empty-net goals −1.4 goals, Overtime −5.0 goals, Shooting −9.2 goals.

Metropolitan Division · Eastern Conference

Columbus Blue Jackets

The Blue Jackets went 40–30–12 (92 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 91.1 points. Luck added 0.9: the 9th-unluckiest of 32. PDO 0.997; 50.6% of the expected goals in their games.

Metropolitan Division, 2025-26

#	Team	GP	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Without luck
1	Hurricanes	82	53–22–7	113	109.0	1st
2	Penguins	82	41–25–16	98	93.2	2nd
3	Flyers	82	43–27–12	98	89.9	5th
4	Capitals	82	43–30–9	95	92.2	3rd
5	Blue Jackets	82	40–30–12	92	91.1	4th
6	Islanders	82	43–34–5	91	78.2	8th
7	Devils	82	42–37–3	87	85.7	6th
8	Rangers	82	34–39–9	77	79.0	7th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Shootout +5.0

Goaltending +3.3

Empty-net goals −1.4

Overtime −5.0

Shooting −9.2

Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.

Season by season

Season	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Luck
2026-27	1–0–0	2	1.5	+0.5
2025-26	40–30–12	92	91.1	+0.9

Luckiest wins

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Jan 17, 2026	@ Penguins	W 4–3	34%	+66
Dec 4, 2025	vs Red Wings	W 6–5	36%	+64
Jan 3, 2026	vs Sabres	W 5–1	37%	+63
Oct 29, 2025	vs Maple Leafs	W 6–3	38%	+62
Dec 1, 2025	@ Devils	W 5–3	38%	+62

Unluckiest losses

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Mar 12, 2026	@ Panthers	L 1–2	70%	−70
Dec 31, 2025	vs Devils	L 2–3	69%	−69
Apr 12, 2026	vs Bruins	L 2–3	67%	−67
Nov 26, 2025	vs Maple Leafs	L 1–2	66%	−66
Feb 26, 2026	@ Bruins	L 2–4	63%	−63

Division rivals

Hurricanes · Devils · Islanders · Rangers · Flyers · Penguins · Capitals

Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured