luckadjusted
NHL Week 1 · 2026-27

2026-27 season · in progress

Columbus Blue Jackets, 2026-27: game by game

The Blue Jackets are 1–0–0 (2 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 1.5 points. Luck added 0.5: the 5th-luckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 0–0; in overtime 0–0, in the shootout 0–0.

Every game

How often the Blue Jackets win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).

DateGameResultWins the replayLuck index
Oct 1, 2026 vs Sabres W 6–3 48% +52

Game by game

The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.

Next games: our predictions

Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.

WeekGameOur pickBlue Jackets win chance
Week 1 · Oct 3 vs Mammoth Blue Jackets by 0.2 53%
Week 2 · Oct 9 vs Penguins Penguins even 50%
Week 2 · Oct 10 at Blues Blues by 0.1 48%
Week 3 · Oct 13 vs Panthers Blue Jackets by 0.2 54%
Week 3 · Oct 17 vs Rangers Blue Jackets by 0.4 56%
Week 3 · Oct 18 at Wild Wild by 0.3 44%
Week 4 · Oct 20 vs Maple Leafs Blue Jackets by 0.7 62%
Week 4 · Oct 24 vs Golden Knights Golden Knights by 0.1 48%

Where the luck came from

Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Blue Jackets’ favor.

KindGoals
Shooting+2.2
Empty-net goals+0.6
Goaltending−0.4