2025-26 season · final
Columbus Blue Jackets, 2025-26: game by game
The Blue Jackets went 40–30–12 (92 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 91.1 points. Luck added 0.9: the 9th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 18–25; in overtime 5–10, in the shootout 7–2.
Every game
How often the Blue Jackets win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | @ Predators | L 1–2 | 45% | −45 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Wild | W 7–4 | 40% | +60 | |
| Oct 13, 2025 | vs Devils | L 2–3 | 62% | −62 | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | vs Avalanche | L 1–4 | 32% | −32 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Lightning | W 3–2 | 68% | +32 | |
| Oct 21, 2025 | @ Stars | W 5–1 | 38% | +62 | |
| Oct 24, 2025 | vs Capitals | L 1–5 | 48% | −48 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ Penguins | W 5–4 | 57% | +43 | SO |
| Oct 28, 2025 | @ Sabres | W 4–3 | 56% | +44 | OT |
| Oct 29, 2025 | vs Maple Leafs | W 6–3 | 38% | +62 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Blues | W 3–2 | 54% | +46 | |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ Islanders | L 2–3 | 37% | −37 | |
| Nov 5, 2025 | @ Flames | L 1–5 | 58% | −58 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ Canucks | L 3–4 | 60% | −60 | |
| Nov 10, 2025 | @ Oilers | L 4–5 | 57% | −57 | OT |
| Nov 11, 2025 | @ Kraken | W 2–1 | 58% | +42 | SO |
| Nov 13, 2025 | vs Oilers | W 5–4 | 67% | +33 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Rangers | L 1–2 | 48% | −48 | SO |
| Nov 17, 2025 | vs Canadiens | W 4–3 | 48% | +52 | SO |
| Nov 18, 2025 | @ Jets | L 2–5 | 40% | −40 | |
| Nov 20, 2025 | @ Maple Leafs | W 3–2 | 48% | +52 | OT |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Red Wings | L 3–4 | 60% | −60 | OT |
| Nov 24, 2025 | @ Capitals | L 1–5 | 39% | −39 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs Maple Leafs | L 1–2 | 66% | −66 | OT |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Penguins | L 3–4 | 60% | −60 | OT |
| Dec 1, 2025 | @ Devils | W 5–3 | 38% | +62 | |
| Dec 4, 2025 | vs Red Wings | W 6–5 | 36% | +64 | SO |
| Dec 6, 2025 | @ Panthers | L 6–7 | 34% | −34 | OT |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ Capitals | L 0–2 | 39% | −39 | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | @ Hurricanes | L 1–4 | 26% | −26 | |
| Dec 11, 2025 | vs Senators | L 3–6 | 45% | −45 | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | vs Golden Knights | L 2–3 | 55% | −55 | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | vs Ducks | W 4–3 | 56% | +44 | OT |
| Dec 18, 2025 | vs Wild | L 2–5 | 48% | −48 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @ Ducks | L 3–4 | 41% | −41 | |
| Dec 22, 2025 | @ Kings | W 3–1 | 60% | +40 | |
| Dec 28, 2025 | vs Islanders | W 4–2 | 85% | +15 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @ Senators | W 4–1 | 59% | +41 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vs Devils | L 2–3 | 69% | −69 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vs Sabres | W 5–1 | 37% | +63 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vs Penguins | L 4–5 | 47% | −47 | OT |
| Jan 6, 2026 | @ Sharks | L 2–5 | 47% | −47 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | L 3–5 | 47% | −47 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @ Avalanche | L 0–4 | 51% | −51 | |
| Jan 11, 2026 | @ Mammoth | W 3–2 | 73% | +27 | OT |
| Jan 13, 2026 | vs Flames | W 5–3 | 58% | +42 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | vs Canucks | W 4–1 | 71% | +29 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @ Penguins | W 4–3 | 34% | +66 | SO |
| Jan 20, 2026 | vs Senators | L 1–4 | 53% | −53 | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | vs Stars | W 1–0 | 39% | +61 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vs Lightning | W 8–5 | 60% | +40 | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | vs Flyers | W 5–3 | 40% | +60 | |
| Jan 30, 2026 | @ Blackhawks | W 4–2 | 50% | +50 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @ Blues | W 5–3 | 40% | +60 | |
| Feb 3, 2026 | @ Devils | W 3–0 | 47% | +53 | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | vs Blackhawks | W 4–0 | 52% | +48 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @ Bruins | L 2–4 | 63% | −63 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vs Islanders | L 3–4 | 55% | −55 | OT |
| Mar 2, 2026 | @ Rangers | W 5–4 | 44% | +56 | OT |
| Mar 3, 2026 | vs Predators | W 3–2 | 48% | +52 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vs Panthers | W 4–2 | 42% | +58 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | vs Mammoth | L 4–5 | 61% | −61 | OT |
| Mar 9, 2026 | vs Kings | L 4–5 | 40% | −40 | OT |
| Mar 10, 2026 | @ Lightning | W 5–2 | 75% | +25 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | @ Panthers | L 1–2 | 70% | −70 | OT |
| Mar 14, 2026 | @ Flyers | W 2–1 | 55% | +45 | SO |
| Mar 17, 2026 | vs Hurricanes | W 5–1 | 61% | +39 | |
| Mar 19, 2026 | vs Rangers | W 6–3 | 74% | +26 | |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs Kraken | W 5–2 | 55% | +45 | |
| Mar 22, 2026 | @ Islanders | L 0–1 | 43% | −43 | |
| Mar 24, 2026 | @ Flyers | W 3–2 | 44% | +56 | |
| Mar 26, 2026 | @ Canadiens | L 1–2 | 62% | −62 | |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs Sharks | L 2–3 | 34% | −34 | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | vs Bruins | L 3–4 | 38% | −38 | SO |
| Mar 31, 2026 | vs Hurricanes | L 2–5 | 47% | −47 | |
| Apr 2, 2026 | @ Hurricanes | L 1–5 | 42% | −42 | |
| Apr 4, 2026 | vs Jets | L 1–2 | 53% | −53 | |
| Apr 7, 2026 | @ Red Wings | W 4–3 | 57% | +43 | SO |
| Apr 9, 2026 | @ Sabres | L 0–5 | 57% | −57 | |
| Apr 11, 2026 | @ Canadiens | W 5–2 | 71% | +29 | |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs Bruins | L 2–3 | 67% | −67 | |
| Apr 14, 2026 | vs Capitals | L 1–2 | 46% | −46 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Blue Jackets’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shootout | +5.0 |
| Goaltending | +3.3 |
| Empty-net goals | −1.4 |
| Overtime | −5.0 |
| Shooting | −9.2 |