Metropolitan Division · Eastern Conference
New York Islanders
The Islanders went 43–34–5 (91 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 78.2 points. Luck added 12.8: the 5th-luckiest of 32. PDO 0.994; 48.2% of the expected goals in their games.
Metropolitan Division, 2025-26
| # | Team | GP | Record | Pts | Coin-flip pts | Without luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hurricanes | 82 | 53–22–7 | 113 | 109.0 | 1st |
| 2 |  Penguins | 82 | 41–25–16 | 98 | 93.2 | 2nd |
| 3 |  Flyers | 82 | 43–27–12 | 98 | 89.9 | 5th |
| 4 |  Capitals | 82 | 43–30–9 | 95 | 92.2 | 3rd |
| 5 |  Blue Jackets | 82 | 40–30–12 | 92 | 91.1 | 4th |
| 6 |  Islanders | 82 | 43–34–5 | 91 | 78.2 | 8th |
| 7 |  Devils | 82 | 42–37–3 | 87 | 85.7 | 6th |
| 8 |  Rangers | 82 | 34–39–9 | 77 | 79.0 | 7th |
Where the luck came from, 2025-26
Goaltending +17.9
Overtime +10.1
Empty-net goals +3.6
Shootout −1.0
Shooting −12.5
Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.
Season by season
Luckiest wins
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | @ Oilers | W 1–0 | 19% | +81 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | @ Devils | W 3–2 | 20% | +80 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | vs Penguins | W 5–4 | 26% | +74 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | vs Lightning | W 3–2 | 30% | +70 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @ Wild | W 4–3 | 30% | +70 |
Unluckiest losses
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | vs Blackhawks | L 3–4 | 81% | −81 |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs Bruins | L 1–3 | 73% | −73 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs Capitals | L 1–4 | 71% | −71 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Senators | L 0–3 | 68% | −68 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Flyers | L 3–4 | 67% | −67 |
Division rivals
Hurricanes · Blue Jackets · Devils · Rangers · Flyers · Penguins · Capitals
Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured