Metropolitan Division · Eastern Conference
Pittsburgh Penguins
The Penguins went 41–25–16 (98 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 93.2 points. Luck added 4.8: the 14th-luckiest of 32. PDO 1.011; 51.4% of the expected goals in their games.
Metropolitan Division, 2025-26
| # | Team | GP | Record | Pts | Coin-flip pts | Without luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hurricanes | 82 | 53–22–7 | 113 | 109.0 | 1st |
| 2 |  Penguins | 82 | 41–25–16 | 98 | 93.2 | 2nd |
| 3 |  Flyers | 82 | 43–27–12 | 98 | 89.9 | 5th |
| 4 |  Capitals | 82 | 43–30–9 | 95 | 92.2 | 3rd |
| 5 |  Blue Jackets | 82 | 40–30–12 | 92 | 91.1 | 4th |
| 6 |  Islanders | 82 | 43–34–5 | 91 | 78.2 | 8th |
| 7 |  Devils | 82 | 42–37–3 | 87 | 85.7 | 6th |
| 8 |  Rangers | 82 | 34–39–9 | 77 | 79.0 | 7th |
Where the luck came from, 2025-26
Shooting +19.3
Empty-net goals +4.2
Overtime −2.0
Goaltending −4.7
Shootout −7.0
Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.
Season by season
Luckiest wins
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | @ Panthers | W 5–3 | 28% | +72 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | @ Avalanche | W 7–2 | 31% | +69 |
| 2025-26 first round, game 4 | @ Flyers | W 4–2 | 37% | +63 |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs Sabres | W 4–2 | 39% | +61 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @ Blue Jackets | W 4–3 | 40% | +60 |
Unluckiest losses
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | vs Ducks | L 3–4 | 83% | −83 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | @ Islanders | L 4–5 | 74% | −74 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Kraken | L 2–3 | 74% | −74 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | vs Avalanche | L 2–6 | 70% | −70 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @ Canadiens | L 0–4 | 70% | −70 |
Division rivals
Hurricanes · Blue Jackets · Devils · Islanders · Rangers · Flyers · Capitals
Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured