Metropolitan Division · Eastern Conference
Washington Capitals
The Capitals went 43–30–9 (95 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 92.2 points. Luck added 2.8: the 15th-unluckiest of 32. PDO 1.007; 50.0% of the expected goals in their games.
Metropolitan Division, 2025-26
| # | Team | GP | Record | Pts | Coin-flip pts | Without luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hurricanes | 82 | 53–22–7 | 113 | 109.0 | 1st |
| 2 |  Penguins | 82 | 41–25–16 | 98 | 93.2 | 2nd |
| 3 |  Flyers | 82 | 43–27–12 | 98 | 89.9 | 5th |
| 4 |  Capitals | 82 | 43–30–9 | 95 | 92.2 | 3rd |
| 5 |  Blue Jackets | 82 | 40–30–12 | 92 | 91.1 | 4th |
| 6 |  Islanders | 82 | 43–34–5 | 91 | 78.2 | 8th |
| 7 |  Devils | 82 | 42–37–3 | 87 | 85.7 | 6th |
| 8 |  Rangers | 82 | 34–39–9 | 77 | 79.0 | 7th |
Where the luck came from, 2025-26
Goaltending +17.1
Overtime +1.0
Empty-net goals +0.9
Shootout −4.0
Shooting −6.3
Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.
Season by season
| Season | Record | Pts | Coin-flip pts | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 43–30–9 | 95 | 92.2 | +2.8 |
Luckiest wins
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | @ Islanders | W 4–1 | 29% | +71 |
| Mar 26, 2026 | @ Mammoth | W 7–4 | 30% | +70 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | @ Rangers | W 1–0 | 38% | +62 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | W 5–4 | 39% | +61 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | vs Islanders | W 4–1 | 41% | +59 |
Unluckiest losses
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ Red Wings | L 2–3 | 76% | −76 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | vs Bruins | L 1–3 | 73% | −73 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Lightning | L 3–5 | 70% | −70 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | vs Avalanche | L 2–3 | 67% | −67 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | @ Flyers | L 1–4 | 64% | −64 |
Division rivals
Hurricanes · Blue Jackets · Devils · Islanders · Rangers · Flyers · Penguins
Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured