Were the Hurricanes lucky in 2025-26?

Yes: +4.0 points against what their play was worth, the 16th-unluckiest of 32.

Where did the Hurricanes’ luck come from?

Overtime +5.9 goals, Shooting +1.4 goals, Shootout +1.0 goals, Empty-net goals −4.0 goals, Goaltending −8.3 goals.

Metropolitan Division · Eastern Conference

Carolina Hurricanes

The Hurricanes went 53–22–7 (113 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 109.0 points. Luck added 4.0: the 16th-unluckiest of 32. PDO 0.988; 55.7% of the expected goals in their games.

Metropolitan Division, 2025-26

#	Team	GP	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Without luck
1	Hurricanes	82	53–22–7	113	109.0	1st
2	Penguins	82	41–25–16	98	93.2	2nd
3	Flyers	82	43–27–12	98	89.9	5th
4	Capitals	82	43–30–9	95	92.2	3rd
5	Blue Jackets	82	40–30–12	92	91.1	4th
6	Islanders	82	43–34–5	91	78.2	8th
7	Devils	82	42–37–3	87	85.7	6th
8	Rangers	82	34–39–9	77	79.0	7th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Overtime +5.9

Shooting +1.4

Shootout +1.0

Empty-net goals −4.0

Goaltending −8.3

Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.

Season by season

Season	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Luck
2026-27	0–0–1	1	1.2	−0.2
2025-26	53–22–7	113	109.0	+4.0

Luckiest wins

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Oct 23, 2025	@ Avalanche	W 5–4	28%	+72
Feb 3, 2026	vs Senators	W 4–3	33%	+67
Nov 21, 2025	@ Jets	W 4–3	42%	+58
2025-26 Stanley Cup Final, game 4	@ Golden Knights	W 5–3	43%	+57
2025-26 Stanley Cup Final, game 5	vs Golden Knights	W 4–2	43%	+57

Unluckiest losses

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Mar 12, 2026	vs Blues	L 1–3	76%	−76
Jan 22, 2026	vs Blackhawks	L 3–4	75%	−75
Nov 26, 2025	vs Rangers	L 2–4	66%	−66
Nov 19, 2025	@ Wild	L 3–4	66%	−66
Jan 12, 2026	@ Red Wings	L 3–4	63%	−63

Division rivals

Blue Jackets · Devils · Islanders · Rangers · Flyers · Penguins · Capitals

Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured