2026-27 season · in progress
Carolina Hurricanes, 2026-27: game by game
The Hurricanes are 0–0–1 (1 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 1.2 points. Luck cost them 0.2: the 7th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 0–1; in overtime 0–1, in the shootout 0–0.
Every game
How often the Hurricanes win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | vs Panthers | L 0–1 | 57% | −57 | OT |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Next games: our predictions
Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.
| Week | Game | Our pick | Hurricanes win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oct 3 | at Flyers |  Hurricanes by 0.3 | 55% |
| Week 2 · Oct 6 | at Canadiens | Hurricanes by 0.2 | 53% |
| Week 2 · Oct 8 | vs Canucks | Hurricanes by 1.3 | 71% |
| Week 2 · Oct 10 | at Blackhawks | Hurricanes by 1.0 | 66% |
| Week 2 · Oct 11 | at Flyers | Hurricanes by 0.6 | 60% |
| Week 3 · Oct 13 | vs Capitals | Hurricanes by 0.6 | 60% |
| Week 3 · Oct 17 | at Jets | Hurricanes by 0.3 | 55% |
| Week 3 · Oct 18 | at Flames | Hurricanes by 0.7 | 62% |
| Week 4 · Oct 20 | at Canucks | Hurricanes by 0.9 | 65% |
| Week 4 · Oct 22 | at Oilers | Hurricanes by 0.1 | 52% |
| Week 4 · Oct 24 | at Blues | Hurricanes by 0.3 | 54% |
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Hurricanes’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Goaltending | +1.3 |
| Overtime | −1.0 |
| Shooting | −1.5 |