2025-26 season · final
Carolina Hurricanes, 2025-26: game by game
The Hurricanes went 53–22–7 (113 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 109.0 points. Luck added 4.0: the 16th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 24–11; in overtime 9–3, in the shootout 5–4.
Playoffs: 16–3.
Every game
How often the Hurricanes win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | vs Devils | W 6–3 | 74% | +26 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Flyers | W 4–3 | 72% | +28 | OT |
| Oct 14, 2025 | @ Sharks | W 5–1 | 66% | +34 | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | @ Ducks | W 4–1 | 67% | +33 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Kings | W 4–3 | 63% | +37 | OT |
| Oct 20, 2025 | @ Golden Knights | L 1–4 | 43% | −43 | |
| Oct 23, 2025 | @ Avalanche | W 5–4 | 28% | +72 | SO |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ Stars | L 2–3 | 36% | −36 | |
| Oct 28, 2025 | vs Golden Knights | L 3–6 | 23% | −23 | |
| Oct 30, 2025 | vs Islanders | W 6–2 | 75% | +25 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Bruins | L 1–2 | 39% | −39 | |
| Nov 4, 2025 | @ Rangers | W 3–0 | 48% | +52 | |
| Nov 6, 2025 | vs Wild | W 4–3 | 72% | +28 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Sabres | W 6–3 | 59% | +41 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ Maple Leafs | W 5–4 | 68% | +32 | |
| Nov 11, 2025 | vs Capitals | L 1–4 | 59% | −59 | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | vs Canucks | W 4–3 | 79% | +21 | OT |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Oilers | L 3–4 | 51% | −51 | OT |
| Nov 17, 2025 | @ Bruins | W 3–1 | 70% | +30 | |
| Nov 19, 2025 | @ Wild | L 3–4 | 66% | −66 | SO |
| Nov 21, 2025 | @ Jets | W 4–3 | 42% | +58 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @ Sabres | L 1–4 | 49% | −49 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs Rangers | L 2–4 | 66% | −66 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Jets | W 5–1 | 71% | +29 | |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs Flames | W 1–0 | 55% | +46 | OT |
| Dec 4, 2025 | vs Maple Leafs | L 1–5 | 58% | −58 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vs Predators | W 6–3 | 80% | +20 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs Sharks | L 1–4 | 62% | −62 | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | vs Blue Jackets | W 4–1 | 74% | +26 | |
| Dec 11, 2025 | @ Capitals | W 3–2 | 62% | +38 | SO |
| Dec 13, 2025 | @ Flyers | W 4–3 | 57% | +43 | SO |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vs Flyers | W 3–2 | 53% | +47 | SO |
| Dec 17, 2025 | @ Predators | W 4–1 | 70% | +30 | |
| Dec 19, 2025 | @ Panthers | L 3–4 | 40% | −40 | SO |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @ Lightning | L 4–6 | 29% | −29 | |
| Dec 23, 2025 | vs Panthers | L 2–5 | 49% | −49 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs Red Wings | W 5–2 | 80% | +20 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | vs Rangers | W 3–2 | 60% | +40 | OT |
| Dec 30, 2025 | @ Penguins | L 1–5 | 39% | −39 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | vs Canadiens | L 5–7 | 55% | −55 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vs Avalanche | L 3–5 | 40% | −40 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @ Devils | W 3–1 | 51% | +49 | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | vs Stars | W 6–3 | 63% | +37 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | vs Ducks | W 5–2 | 62% | +38 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | vs Kraken | W 3–2 | 70% | +30 | |
| Jan 12, 2026 | @ Red Wings | L 3–4 | 63% | −63 | OT |
| Jan 13, 2026 | @ Blues | L 0–3 | 48% | −48 | |
| Jan 16, 2026 | vs Panthers | W 9–1 | 83% | +17 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @ Devils | W 4–1 | 61% | +39 | |
| Jan 19, 2026 | vs Sabres | W 2–1 | 58% | +42 | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | vs Blackhawks | L 3–4 | 75% | −75 | SO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | @ Senators | W 4–1 | 43% | +57 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | vs Mammoth | W 5–4 | 56% | +44 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @ Capitals | L 3–4 | 32% | −32 | OT |
| Feb 1, 2026 | vs Kings | W 3–2 | 78% | +22 | OT |
| Feb 3, 2026 | vs Senators | W 4–3 | 33% | +67 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | @ Rangers | W 2–0 | 67% | +33 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vs Lightning | W 5–4 | 45% | +55 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vs Red Wings | W 5–2 | 66% | +34 | |
| Mar 2, 2026 | @ Kraken | L 1–2 | 54% | −54 | |
| Mar 4, 2026 | @ Canucks | W 6–4 | 65% | +35 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | @ Oilers | W 6–3 | 62% | +38 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | @ Flames | L 4–5 | 57% | −57 | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vs Penguins | W 5–4 | 70% | +30 | SO |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vs Blues | L 1–3 | 76% | −76 | |
| Mar 14, 2026 | @ Lightning | W 4–2 | 60% | +40 | |
| Mar 17, 2026 | @ Blue Jackets | L 1–5 | 39% | −39 | |
| Mar 18, 2026 | vs Penguins | W 6–5 | 57% | +43 | OT |
| Mar 20, 2026 | @ Maple Leafs | W 4–3 | 70% | +30 | OT |
| Mar 22, 2026 | @ Penguins | W 5–1 | 66% | +34 | |
| Mar 24, 2026 | @ Canadiens | L 2–5 | 52% | −52 | |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs Devils | W 5–2 | 76% | +24 | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | vs Canadiens | L 1–3 | 61% | −61 | |
| Mar 31, 2026 | @ Blue Jackets | W 5–2 | 53% | +47 | |
| Apr 2, 2026 | vs Blue Jackets | W 5–1 | 58% | +42 | |
| Apr 4, 2026 | vs Islanders | W 4–3 | 72% | +28 | |
| Apr 5, 2026 | @ Senators | L 3–6 | 27% | −27 | |
| Apr 7, 2026 | vs Bruins | W 6–5 | 75% | +25 | OT |
| Apr 9, 2026 | @ Blackhawks | W 7–2 | 57% | +43 | |
| Apr 11, 2026 | @ Mammoth | W 4–1 | 51% | +49 | |
| Apr 13, 2026 | @ Flyers | L 2–3 | 32% | −32 | SO |
| Apr 14, 2026 | @ Islanders | W 2–1 | 54% | +46 | |
| Apr 18, 2026 | vs Senators | W 2–0 | 77% | +23 | |
| Apr 20, 2026 | vs Senators | W 3–2 | 63% | +37 | OT |
| Apr 23, 2026 | @ Senators | W 2–1 | 66% | +34 | |
| Apr 25, 2026 | @ Senators | W 4–2 | 46% | +54 | |
| May 3, 2026 | vs Flyers | W 3–0 | 67% | +33 | |
| May 4, 2026 | vs Flyers | W 3–2 | 66% | +34 | OT |
| May 8, 2026 | @ Flyers | W 4–1 | 75% | +25 | |
| May 9, 2026 | @ Flyers | W 3–2 | 52% | +48 | OT |
| May 22, 2026 | vs Canadiens | L 2–6 | 54% | −54 | |
| May 23, 2026 | vs Canadiens | W 3–2 | 67% | +33 | OT |
| May 26, 2026 | @ Canadiens | W 3–2 | 79% | +21 | OT |
| May 28, 2026 | @ Canadiens | W 4–0 | 93% | +7 | |
| May 30, 2026 | vs Canadiens | W 6–1 | 68% | +32 | |
| Jun 3, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | L 4–5 | 37% | −37 | |
| Jun 5, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | W 4–3 | 53% | +47 | OT |
| Jun 7, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | L 4–5 | 49% | −49 | OT |
| Jun 10, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | W 5–3 | 43% | +57 | |
| Jun 12, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | W 4–2 | 43% | +57 | |
| Jun 15, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | W 3–0 | 45% | +55 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Hurricanes’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Overtime | +5.9 |
| Shooting | +1.4 |
| Shootout | +1.0 |
| Empty-net goals | −4.0 |
| Goaltending | −8.3 |