2026-27 season · in progress
Philadelphia Flyers, 2026-27: game by game
The Flyers are 0–1–1 (1 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 0.4 points. Luck added 0.6: the 4th-luckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 0–1; in overtime 0–1, in the shootout 0–0.
Every game
How often the Flyers win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | vs Penguins | L 0–7 | 20% | −20 | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ Devils | L 2–3 | 22% | −22 | OT |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Next games: our predictions
Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.
| Week | Game | Our pick | Flyers win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oct 3 | vs Hurricanes |  Hurricanes by 0.3 | 45% |
| Week 2 · Oct 5 | at Lightning |  Lightning by 0.7 | 39% |
| Week 2 · Oct 8 | at Senators |  Senators by 0.8 | 37% |
| Week 2 · Oct 10 | at Bruins |  Bruins by 0.5 | 42% |
| Week 2 · Oct 11 | vs Hurricanes | Hurricanes by 0.6 | 40% |
| Week 3 · Oct 13 | vs Kraken |  Flyers even | 51% |
| Week 3 · Oct 15 | at Red Wings |  Red Wings by 0.5 | 42% |
| Week 3 · Oct 17 | vs Senators | Senators by 0.4 | 44% |
| Week 4 · Oct 19 | vs Avalanche |  Avalanche by 0.7 | 38% |
| Week 4 · Oct 21 | at Sabres |  Sabres by 0.6 | 40% |
| Week 4 · Oct 24 | vs Ducks |  Ducks by 0.1 | 49% |
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Flyers’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shooting | −0.8 |
| Goaltending | −0.9 |
| Overtime | −1.0 |