Were the Flames lucky in 2025-26?

Yes: +4.3 points against what their play was worth, the 15th-luckiest of 32.

Where did the Flames’ luck come from?

Goaltending +8.0 goals, Shootout +1.0 goals, Overtime −3.1 goals, Empty-net goals −4.1 goals, Shooting −8.2 goals.

Pacific Division · Western Conference

Calgary Flames

The Flames went 34–39–9 (77 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 72.7 points. Luck added 4.3: the 15th-luckiest of 32. PDO 0.988; 45.7% of the expected goals in their games.

Pacific Division, 2025-26

#	Team	GP	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Without luck
1	Golden Knights	82	39–26–17	95	102.5	1st
2	Oilers	82	41–30–11	93	91.6	3rd
3	Ducks	82	43–33–6	92	83.5	4th
4	Kings	82	35–27–20	90	93.3	2nd
5	Sharks	82	39–35–8	86	72.8	6th
6	Kraken	82	34–37–11	79	73.8	5th
7	Flames	82	34–39–9	77	72.7	7th
8	Canucks	82	25–49–8	58	61.0	8th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Goaltending +8.0

Shootout +1.0

Overtime −3.1

Empty-net goals −4.1

Shooting −8.2

Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.

Season by season

Season	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Luck
2026-27	0–1–0	0	0.2	−0.2
2025-26	34–39–9	77	72.7	+4.3

Luckiest wins

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Apr 16, 2026	vs Kings	W 3–1	29%	+71
Nov 28, 2025	@ Panthers	W 5–3	31%	+69
Oct 8, 2025	@ Oilers	W 4–3	33%	+67
Apr 4, 2026	@ Ducks	W 5–3	34%	+66
Jan 10, 2026	@ Penguins	W 2–1	36%	+64

Unluckiest losses

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Jan 25, 2026	vs Ducks	L 3–4	65%	−65
Nov 26, 2025	@ Lightning	L 1–5	56%	−56
Jan 5, 2026	vs Kraken	L 1–5	55%	−55
Oct 11, 2025	vs Blues	L 2–4	54%	−54
Feb 2, 2026	vs Maple Leafs	L 2–4	53%	−53

Division rivals

Ducks · Oilers · Kings · Kraken · Sharks · Canucks · Golden Knights

Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured