luckadjusted
NHL Week 1 · 2026-27

Pacific Division · Western Conference

Edmonton Oilers

The Oilers went 41–30–11 (93 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 91.6 points. Luck added 1.4: the 12th-unluckiest of 32. PDO 0.993; 51.2% of the expected goals in their games.

Pacific Division, 2025-26

#TeamGPRecordPtsCoin-flip ptsWithout luck
1Golden Knights8239–26–1795102.51st
2Oilers8241–30–119391.63rd
3Ducks8243–33–69283.54th
4Kings8235–27–209093.32nd
5Sharks8239–35–88672.86th
6Kraken8234–37–117973.85th
7Flames8234–39–97772.77th
8Canucks8225–49–85861.08th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Season by season

SeasonRecordPtsCoin-flip ptsLuck
2026-271–0–133.2−0.2
2025-2641–30–119391.6+1.4

Luckiest wins

WeekGameResultWins the replayLuck index
Oct 14, 2025 @ Rangers W 2–0 26% +74
Dec 29, 2025 @ Jets W 3–1 31% +69
Dec 21, 2025 vs Golden Knights W 4–3 37% +63
Nov 22, 2025 @ Panthers W 6–3 37% +63
Oct 28, 2025 vs Mammoth W 6–3 42% +58

Unluckiest losses

WeekGameResultWins the replayLuck index
Jan 15, 2026 vs Islanders L 0–1 81% −81
Sep 29, 2026 vs Canucks L 5–6 75% −75
Dec 31, 2025 vs Bruins L 2–6 69% −69
Oct 8, 2025 vs Flames L 3–4 67% −67
Oct 16, 2025 @ Islanders L 2–4 61% −61