luckadjusted
NHL Week 1 · 2026-27

Pacific Division · Western Conference

Vegas Golden Knights

The Golden Knights went 39–26–17 (95 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 102.5 points. Luck cost 7.5: the unluckiest team in the league. PDO 0.992; 55.9% of the expected goals in their games.

Pacific Division, 2025-26

#TeamGPRecordPtsCoin-flip ptsWithout luck
1Golden Knights8239–26–1795102.51st
2Oilers8241–30–119391.63rd
3Ducks8243–33–69283.54th
4Kings8235–27–209093.32nd
5Sharks8239–35–88672.86th
6Kraken8234–37–117973.85th
7Flames8234–39–97772.77th
8Canucks8225–49–85861.08th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Season by season

SeasonRecordPtsCoin-flip ptsLuck
2026-271–0–021.8+0.2
2025-2639–26–1795102.5−7.5

Luckiest wins

WeekGameResultWins the replayLuck index
2025-26 conference finals, game 1 @ Avalanche W 4–2 28% +72
Feb 5, 2026 vs Kings W 4–1 36% +64
Jan 14, 2026 @ Kings W 3–2 39% +61
2025-26 conference finals, game 3 vs Avalanche W 5–3 43% +57
Mar 4, 2026 @ Red Wings W 4–3 43% +57

Unluckiest losses

WeekGameResultWins the replayLuck index
Jan 22, 2026 @ Bruins L 3–4 72% −72
Nov 26, 2025 vs Senators L 3–4 71% −71
2025-26 first round, game 3 @ Mammoth L 2–4 70% −70
Mar 19, 2026 vs Mammoth L 0–4 69% −69
Jan 27, 2026 @ Canadiens L 2–3 68% −68