Were the Sharks lucky in 2025-26?

Yes: +13.2 points against what their play was worth, the 4th-luckiest of 32.

Where did the Sharks’ luck come from?

Shooting +11.3 goals, Overtime +4.0 goals, Empty-net goals −3.2 goals, Goaltending −16.3 goals.

Pacific Division · Western Conference

San Jose Sharks

The Sharks went 39–35–8 (86 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 72.8 points. Luck added 13.2: the 4th-luckiest of 32. PDO 0.998; 46.5% of the expected goals in their games.

Pacific Division, 2025-26

#	Team	GP	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Without luck
1	Golden Knights	82	39–26–17	95	102.5	1st
2	Oilers	82	41–30–11	93	91.6	3rd
3	Ducks	82	43–33–6	92	83.5	4th
4	Kings	82	35–27–20	90	93.3	2nd
5	Sharks	82	39–35–8	86	72.8	6th
6	Kraken	82	34–37–11	79	73.8	5th
7	Flames	82	34–39–9	77	72.7	7th
8	Canucks	82	25–49–8	58	61.0	8th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Shooting +11.3

Overtime +4.0

Empty-net goals −3.2

Goaltending −16.3

Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.

Season by season

Season	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Luck
2026-27	1–0–0	2	0.6	+1.4
2025-26	39–35–8	86	72.8	+13.2

Luckiest wins

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Dec 29, 2025	@ Ducks	W 5–4	21%	+79
Nov 1, 2025	vs Avalanche	W 3–2	26%	+74
Nov 5, 2025	@ Kraken	W 6–1	29%	+71
Nov 8, 2025	vs Panthers	W 3–1	31%	+69
Oct 1, 2026	vs Panthers	W 4–3	36%	+64

Unluckiest losses

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Oct 28, 2025	vs Kings	L 3–4	84%	−84
Dec 20, 2025	vs Kraken	L 2–4	74%	−74
Dec 18, 2025	vs Stars	L 3–5	65%	−65
Nov 15, 2025	@ Kraken	L 1–4	60%	−60
Mar 7, 2026	vs Islanders	L 1–2	58%	−58

Division rivals

Ducks · Flames · Oilers · Kings · Kraken · Canucks · Golden Knights

Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured