2026-27 season · in progress
San Jose Sharks, 2026-27: game by game
The Sharks are 1–0–0 (2 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 0.6 points. Luck added 1.4: the luckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 1–0; in overtime 1–0, in the shootout 0–0.
Every game
How often the Sharks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | vs Panthers | W 4–3 | 36% | +64 | OT |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Next games: our predictions
Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.
| Week | Game | Our pick | Sharks win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oct 3 | vs Kings |  Kings by 0.2 | 47% |
| Week 2 · Oct 5 | at Stars |  Stars by 0.8 | 37% |
| Week 2 · Oct 8 | at Blues |  Blues by 0.6 | 40% |
| Week 2 · Oct 10 | vs Oilers |  Oilers by 0.3 | 45% |
| Week 3 · Oct 13 | vs Bruins |  Bruins by 0.1 | 48% |
| Week 3 · Oct 15 | at Predators |  Predators by 0.3 | 45% |
| Week 3 · Oct 17 | at Red Wings |  Red Wings by 0.6 | 40% |
| Week 4 · Oct 19 | at Maple Leafs |  Maple Leafs by 0.2 | 46% |
| Week 4 · Oct 20 | at Canadiens |  Canadiens by 0.7 | 38% |
| Week 4 · Oct 22 | at Senators |  Senators by 0.9 | 36% |
| Week 4 · Oct 24 | at Bruins | Bruins by 0.6 | 41% |
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Sharks’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Overtime | +1.0 |
| Goaltending | +0.6 |
| Shooting | +0.4 |