2025-26 season · final
San Jose Sharks, 2025-26: game by game
The Sharks went 39–35–8 (86 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 72.8 points. Luck added 13.2: the 4th-luckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 22–13; in overtime 10–6, in the shootout 2–2.
Every game
How often the Sharks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | vs Golden Knights | L 3–4 | 46% | −46 | OT |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Ducks | L 6–7 | 29% | −29 | OT |
| Oct 14, 2025 | vs Hurricanes | L 1–5 | 34% | −34 | |
| Oct 17, 2025 | @ Mammoth | L 3–6 | 25% | −25 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Penguins | L 0–3 | 45% | −45 | |
| Oct 21, 2025 | @ Islanders | L 3–4 | 51% | −51 | |
| Oct 23, 2025 | @ Rangers | W 6–5 | 45% | +55 | OT |
| Oct 24, 2025 | @ Devils | L 1–3 | 35% | −35 | |
| Oct 26, 2025 | @ Wild | W 6–5 | 46% | +54 | OT |
| Oct 28, 2025 | vs Kings | L 3–4 | 84% | −84 | |
| Oct 30, 2025 | vs Devils | W 5–2 | 59% | +41 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Avalanche | W 3–2 | 26% | +74 | OT |
| Nov 2, 2025 | vs Red Wings | L 2–3 | 29% | −29 | SO |
| Nov 5, 2025 | @ Kraken | W 6–1 | 29% | +71 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | vs Jets | W 2–1 | 57% | +43 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Panthers | W 3–1 | 31% | +69 | |
| Nov 11, 2025 | @ Wild | W 2–1 | 37% | +63 | OT |
| Nov 13, 2025 | @ Flames | L 0–2 | 22% | −22 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ Kraken | L 1–4 | 60% | −60 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | vs Mammoth | W 3–2 | 40% | +60 | OT |
| Nov 20, 2025 | vs Kings | W 4–3 | 44% | +56 | SO |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Senators | L 2–3 | 33% | −33 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs Bruins | W 3–1 | 41% | +59 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | @ Avalanche | L 0–6 | 25% | −25 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Canucks | W 3–2 | 37% | +63 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @ Golden Knights | L 3–4 | 33% | −33 | |
| Dec 1, 2025 | vs Mammoth | W 6–3 | 60% | +40 | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | vs Capitals | L 1–7 | 48% | −48 | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | @ Stars | L 1–4 | 40% | −40 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ Hurricanes | W 4–1 | 38% | +62 | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | @ Flyers | L 1–4 | 35% | −35 | |
| Dec 11, 2025 | @ Maple Leafs | W 3–2 | 52% | +48 | OT |
| Dec 13, 2025 | @ Penguins | W 6–5 | 43% | +57 | OT |
| Dec 16, 2025 | vs Flames | W 6–3 | 66% | +34 | |
| Dec 18, 2025 | vs Stars | L 3–5 | 65% | −65 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vs Kraken | L 2–4 | 74% | −74 | |
| Dec 23, 2025 | @ Golden Knights | L 2–7 | 25% | −25 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | @ Canucks | W 6–3 | 70% | +30 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @ Ducks | W 5–4 | 21% | +79 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vs Wild | W 4–3 | 50% | +50 | SO |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vs Lightning | L 3–7 | 38% | −38 | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | vs Blue Jackets | W 5–2 | 53% | +47 | |
| Jan 7, 2026 | @ Kings | W 4–3 | 63% | +37 | OT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | vs Stars | W 5–4 | 54% | +47 | OT |
| Jan 11, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | L 2–7 | 33% | −33 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | @ Capitals | W 3–2 | 59% | +41 | |
| Jan 16, 2026 | @ Red Wings | L 2–4 | 43% | −43 | |
| Jan 19, 2026 | @ Panthers | W 4–1 | 53% | +47 | |
| Jan 20, 2026 | @ Lightning | L 1–4 | 28% | −28 | |
| Jan 23, 2026 | vs Rangers | W 3–1 | 75% | +25 | |
| Jan 27, 2026 | @ Canucks | W 5–2 | 56% | +44 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | @ Oilers | L 3–4 | 47% | −47 | OT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @ Flames | L 2–3 | 31% | −31 | |
| Feb 2, 2026 | @ Blackhawks | L 3–6 | 56% | −56 | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | @ Avalanche | L 2–4 | 27% | −27 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vs Flames | L 1–4 | 54% | −54 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vs Oilers | W 5–4 | 60% | +40 | |
| Mar 1, 2026 | vs Jets | W 2–1 | 56% | +44 | OT |
| Mar 3, 2026 | vs Canadiens | W 7–5 | 47% | +53 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vs Blues | L 2–3 | 58% | −58 | OT |
| Mar 7, 2026 | vs Islanders | L 1–2 | 58% | −58 | OT |
| Mar 10, 2026 | @ Sabres | L 3–6 | 40% | −40 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | @ Bruins | W 4–2 | 47% | +53 | |
| Mar 14, 2026 | @ Canadiens | W 4–2 | 47% | +53 | |
| Mar 15, 2026 | @ Senators | L 4–7 | 37% | −37 | |
| Mar 17, 2026 | @ Oilers | L 3–5 | 47% | −47 | |
| Mar 19, 2026 | vs Sabres | L 0–5 | 50% | −50 | |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs Flyers | L 1–4 | 29% | −29 | |
| Mar 24, 2026 | @ Predators | L 3–6 | 58% | −58 | |
| Mar 26, 2026 | @ Blues | L 1–2 | 53% | −53 | OT |
| Mar 28, 2026 | @ Blue Jackets | W 3–2 | 66% | +34 | |
| Mar 30, 2026 | vs Blues | W 5–4 | 60% | +40 | |
| Apr 1, 2026 | vs Ducks | W 4–3 | 42% | +58 | |
| Apr 2, 2026 | vs Maple Leafs | W 4–1 | 55% | +45 | |
| Apr 4, 2026 | vs Predators | L 3–6 | 47% | −47 | |
| Apr 6, 2026 | vs Blackhawks | W 3–2 | 44% | +56 | |
| Apr 8, 2026 | vs Oilers | L 2–5 | 43% | −43 | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | @ Ducks | L 1–6 | 29% | −29 | |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Canucks | L 3–4 | 49% | −49 | SO |
| Apr 13, 2026 | @ Predators | W 3–2 | 40% | +60 | |
| Apr 15, 2026 | @ Blackhawks | L 2–5 | 28% | −28 | |
| Apr 16, 2026 | @ Jets | W 6–1 | 59% | +41 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Sharks’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shooting | +11.3 |
| Overtime | +4.0 |
| Empty-net goals | −3.2 |
| Goaltending | −16.3 |