2026-27 season · in progress
Vegas Golden Knights, 2026-27: game by game
The Golden Knights are 1–0–0 (2 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 1.8 points. Luck added 0.2: the 12th-luckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 0–0; in overtime 0–0, in the shootout 0–0.
Every game
How often the Golden Knights win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | vs Blackhawks | W 5–2 | 63% | +37 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Next games: our predictions
Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.
| Week | Game | Our pick | Golden Knights win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oct 2 | vs Ducks |  Golden Knights by 0.7 | 61% |
| Week 1 · Oct 4 | at Canucks | Golden Knights by 0.7 | 61% |
| Week 2 · Oct 6 | at Kraken | Golden Knights by 0.4 | 57% |
| Week 2 · Oct 8 | vs Maple Leafs | Golden Knights by 1.1 | 67% |
| Week 2 · Oct 10 | vs Kings | Golden Knights by 0.6 | 60% |
| Week 3 · Oct 12 | at Wild | Golden Knights even | 51% |
| Week 3 · Oct 13 | at Predators | Golden Knights by 0.6 | 60% |
| Week 3 · Oct 15 | vs Flames | Golden Knights by 1.2 | 69% |
| Week 3 · Oct 17 | vs Penguins | Golden Knights by 0.3 | 56% |
| Week 4 · Oct 20 | vs Lightning | Golden Knights by 0.6 | 60% |
| Week 4 · Oct 22 | at Blues | Golden Knights by 0.3 | 54% |
| Week 4 · Oct 24 | at Blue Jackets | Golden Knights by 0.1 | 52% |
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Golden Knights’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shooting | +0.5 |
| Goaltending | +0.3 |