2026-27 season · in progress
New Jersey Devils, 2026-27: game by game
The Devils are 1–0–0 (2 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 1.7 points. Luck added 0.3: the 10th-luckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 1–0; in overtime 1–0, in the shootout 0–0.
Every game
How often the Devils win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | vs Flyers | W 3–2 | 78% | +22 | OT |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Next games: our predictions
Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.
| Week | Game | Our pick | Devils win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oct 3 | at Islanders |  Islanders even | 50% |
| Week 2 · Oct 6 | vs Mammoth |  Devils by 0.1 | 52% |
| Week 2 · Oct 10 | vs Canucks | Devils by 1.0 | 67% |
| Week 3 · Oct 12 | vs Senators | Devils by 0.1 | 53% |
| Week 3 · Oct 13 | at Red Wings |  Red Wings even | 50% |
| Week 3 · Oct 15 | vs Rangers | Devils by 0.4 | 57% |
| Week 3 · Oct 17 | at Capitals |  Capitals by 0.2 | 47% |
| Week 4 · Oct 20 | vs Avalanche |  Avalanche by 0.2 | 47% |
| Week 4 · Oct 22 | vs Ducks | Devils by 0.4 | 57% |
| Week 4 · Oct 24 | vs Kings | Devils by 0.3 | 55% |
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Devils’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Overtime | +1.0 |
| Goaltending | −0.5 |
| Shooting | −1.1 |