2025-26 season · final
New Jersey Devils, 2025-26: game by game
The Devils went 42–37–3 (87 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 85.7 points. Luck added 1.3: the 11th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 20–11; in overtime 9–2, in the shootout 4–1.
Every game
How often the Devils win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | @ Hurricanes | L 3–6 | 26% | −26 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Lightning | W 5–3 | 68% | +32 | |
| Oct 13, 2025 | @ Blue Jackets | W 3–2 | 38% | +62 | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | vs Panthers | W 3–1 | 62% | +38 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Oilers | W 5–3 | 57% | +43 | |
| Oct 21, 2025 | @ Maple Leafs | W 5–2 | 58% | +42 | |
| Oct 22, 2025 | vs Wild | W 4–1 | 47% | +53 | |
| Oct 24, 2025 | vs Sharks | W 3–1 | 65% | +35 | |
| Oct 26, 2025 | vs Avalanche | W 4–3 | 40% | +60 | OT |
| Oct 28, 2025 | @ Avalanche | L 4–8 | 39% | −39 | |
| Oct 30, 2025 | @ Sharks | L 2–5 | 41% | −41 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Kings | W 4–1 | 26% | +74 | |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ Ducks | L 1–4 | 36% | −36 | |
| Nov 6, 2025 | vs Canadiens | W 4–3 | 52% | +48 | OT |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Penguins | W 2–1 | 48% | +52 | SO |
| Nov 10, 2025 | vs Islanders | L 2–3 | 80% | −80 | OT |
| Nov 12, 2025 | @ Blackhawks | W 4–3 | 52% | +48 | OT |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ Capitals | W 3–2 | 57% | +43 | SO |
| Nov 18, 2025 | @ Lightning | L 1–5 | 42% | −42 | |
| Nov 20, 2025 | @ Panthers | L 0–1 | 37% | −37 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Flyers | L 3–6 | 41% | −41 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | vs Red Wings | W 4–3 | 30% | +70 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs Blues | W 3–2 | 47% | +53 | OT |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @ Sabres | W 5–0 | 30% | +70 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs Flyers | L 3–5 | 59% | −59 | |
| Dec 1, 2025 | vs Blue Jackets | L 3–5 | 62% | −62 | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | vs Stars | L 0–3 | 51% | −51 | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | vs Golden Knights | L 0–3 | 43% | −43 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | @ Bruins | L 1–4 | 44% | −44 | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | @ Senators | W 4–3 | 41% | +59 | |
| Dec 11, 2025 | vs Lightning | L 4–8 | 55% | −55 | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | vs Ducks | W 4–1 | 57% | +43 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vs Canucks | L 1–2 | 56% | −56 | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | @ Golden Knights | W 2–1 | 56% | +44 | SO |
| Dec 19, 2025 | @ Mammoth | W 2–1 | 43% | +57 | |
| Dec 21, 2025 | vs Sabres | L 1–3 | 66% | −66 | |
| Dec 23, 2025 | @ Islanders | L 1–2 | 54% | −54 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs Capitals | L 3–4 | 35% | −35 | OT |
| Dec 30, 2025 | @ Maple Leafs | L 0–4 | 49% | −49 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | @ Blue Jackets | W 3–2 | 31% | +69 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vs Mammoth | W 4–1 | 49% | +51 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vs Hurricanes | L 1–3 | 49% | −49 | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | @ Islanders | L 0–9 | 66% | −66 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | @ Penguins | L 1–4 | 38% | −38 | |
| Jan 11, 2026 | @ Jets | L 3–4 | 40% | −40 | |
| Jan 12, 2026 | @ Wild | W 5–2 | 52% | +48 | |
| Jan 14, 2026 | vs Kraken | W 3–2 | 50% | +50 | OT |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vs Hurricanes | L 1–4 | 39% | −39 | |
| Jan 19, 2026 | @ Flames | W 2–1 | 54% | +46 | OT |
| Jan 20, 2026 | @ Oilers | W 2–1 | 46% | +54 | |
| Jan 23, 2026 | @ Canucks | W 5–4 | 55% | +45 | |
| Jan 25, 2026 | @ Kraken | L 2–4 | 61% | −61 | |
| Jan 27, 2026 | vs Jets | L 3–4 | 48% | −48 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | vs Predators | W 3–2 | 50% | +50 | OT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @ Senators | L 1–4 | 34% | −34 | |
| Feb 3, 2026 | vs Blue Jackets | L 0–3 | 53% | −53 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | vs Islanders | L 1–3 | 56% | −56 | |
| Feb 25, 2026 | vs Sabres | L 1–2 | 52% | −52 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @ Penguins | L 1–4 | 41% | −41 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @ Blues | W 3–1 | 63% | +37 | |
| Mar 3, 2026 | vs Panthers | W 5–1 | 55% | +45 | |
| Mar 4, 2026 | vs Maple Leafs | W 4–3 | 68% | +32 | SO |
| Mar 7, 2026 | vs Rangers | W 6–3 | 61% | +39 | |
| Mar 8, 2026 | vs Red Wings | L 0–3 | 42% | −42 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vs Flames | L 4–5 | 59% | −59 | |
| Mar 14, 2026 | vs Kings | W 6–4 | 39% | +61 | |
| Mar 16, 2026 | vs Bruins | W 4–3 | 56% | +44 | OT |
| Mar 18, 2026 | @ Rangers | W 6–3 | 79% | +21 | |
| Mar 20, 2026 | @ Capitals | L 1–2 | 44% | −44 | |
| Mar 24, 2026 | @ Stars | W 6–4 | 63% | +37 | |
| Mar 26, 2026 | @ Predators | W 4–2 | 62% | +38 | |
| Mar 28, 2026 | @ Hurricanes | L 2–5 | 24% | −24 | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | vs Blackhawks | W 5–3 | 66% | +34 | |
| Mar 31, 2026 | @ Rangers | L 1–4 | 37% | −37 | |
| Apr 2, 2026 | vs Capitals | W 7–3 | 45% | +55 | |
| Apr 4, 2026 | vs Canadiens | L 3–4 | 47% | −47 | SO |
| Apr 5, 2026 | @ Canadiens | W 3–0 | 64% | +36 | |
| Apr 7, 2026 | vs Flyers | L 1–5 | 63% | −63 | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | vs Penguins | L 2–5 | 35% | −35 | |
| Apr 11, 2026 | @ Red Wings | W 5–3 | 55% | +45 | |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs Senators | W 4–3 | 42% | +58 | OT |
| Apr 14, 2026 | @ Bruins | L 0–4 | 36% | −36 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Devils’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Overtime | +6.8 |
| Shootout | +3.0 |
| Empty-net goals | +1.3 |
| Goaltending | −9.7 |
| Shooting | −21.6 |