luckadjusted
Bundesliga Matchday 9 · 2026-27

Bundesliga

Mainz 05: how lucky, season by season

Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga 2026-27: 10 points from goals worth 11.2 (−1.2 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
2026-279101211.212−1.2
2025-2634401043.79−3.7

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Nov 7, 2026Mainz 1–2 BayernMatchday 9 20% · 17% · 63%
Oct 30, 2026Elversberg 4–1 MainzMatchday 8 20% · 19% · 61%
Oct 24, 2026Mainz 2–3 WerderMatchday 7 36% · 22% · 42%
Oct 17, 2026Schalke 0–1 MainzMatchday 6 22% · 29% · 50% · a steal
Oct 10, 2026Mainz 3–4 LeverkusenMatchday 5 38% · 21% · 41%
Sep 19, 2026Gladbach 3–4 MainzMatchday 4 42% · 20% · 38%
Sep 12, 2026Mainz 1–3 FrankfurtMatchday 3 46% · 20% · 34%
Sep 6, 2026HSV 0–5 MainzMatchday 2 33% · 22% · 45%
Aug 29, 2026Mainz 0–0 PaderbornMatchday 1 50% · 26% · 24%
May 16, 2026Heidenheim 0–2 MainzMatchday 34 44% · 26% · 30%
May 10, 2026Mainz 1–3 Union BerlinMatchday 33 47% · 27% · 26%
May 3, 2026St. Pauli 1–2 MainzMatchday 32 42% · 31% · 27%
Apr 25, 2026Mainz 3–4 BayernMatchday 31 13% · 16% · 71%
Apr 19, 2026Gladbach 1–1 MainzMatchday 30 33% · 30% · 37%
Apr 12, 2026Mainz 0–1 FreiburgMatchday 29 41% · 27% · 32%
Apr 4, 2026Hoffenheim 1–2 MainzMatchday 28 21% · 24% · 56% · a steal
Mar 22, 2026Mainz 2–1 FrankfurtMatchday 27 40% · 25% · 35%
Mar 15, 2026Werder 0–2 MainzMatchday 26 40% · 29% · 31%
Mar 7, 2026Mainz 2–2 StuttgartMatchday 25 28% · 25% · 48%
Feb 28, 2026Leverkusen 1–1 MainzMatchday 24 20% · 24% · 56%
Feb 20, 2026Mainz 1–1 HSVMatchday 23 45% · 29% · 26%
Feb 13, 2026Dortmund 4–0 MainzMatchday 22 11% · 21% · 67%
Feb 7, 2026Mainz 2–0 AugsburgMatchday 21 45% · 27% · 28%
Jan 31, 2026Leipzig 1–2 MainzMatchday 20 21% · 24% · 55% · a steal
Jan 24, 2026Mainz 3–1 WolfsburgMatchday 19 50% · 25% · 25%
Jan 17, 2026Köln 2–1 MainzMatchday 18 35% · 27% · 38%
Jan 13, 2026Mainz 2–1 HeidenheimMatchday 17 55% · 24% · 21%
Jan 10, 2026Union Berlin 2–2 MainzMatchday 16 35% · 28% · 37%
Dec 21, 2025Mainz 0–0 St. PauliMatchday 15 56% · 28% · 17%
Dec 14, 2025Bayern 2–2 MainzMatchday 14 8% · 13% · 79%
Dec 5, 2025Mainz 0–1 GladbachMatchday 13 45% · 29% · 26%
Nov 30, 2025Freiburg 4–0 MainzMatchday 12 30% · 27% · 43%
Nov 21, 2025Mainz 1–1 HoffenheimMatchday 11 30% · 25% · 45%
Nov 9, 2025Frankfurt 1–0 MainzMatchday 10 30% · 24% · 46%
Nov 1, 2025Mainz 1–1 WerderMatchday 9 52% · 27% · 21%
Oct 26, 2025Stuttgart 2–1 MainzMatchday 8 19% · 22% · 59%
Oct 18, 2025Mainz 3–4 LeverkusenMatchday 7 29% · 26% · 45%
Oct 5, 2025HSV 4–0 MainzMatchday 6 33% · 30% · 37%
Sep 27, 2025Mainz 0–2 DortmundMatchday 5 19% · 25% · 56%
Sep 20, 2025Augsburg 1–4 MainzMatchday 4 34% · 28% · 39%
Sep 13, 2025Mainz 0–1 LeipzigMatchday 3 30% · 26% · 44%
Aug 31, 2025Wolfsburg 1–1 MainzMatchday 2 39% · 26% · 35%
Aug 24, 2025Mainz 0–1 KölnMatchday 1 47% · 26% · 28%

Mainz and luck

Is Mainz lucky in the Bundesliga 2026-27?

No, unlucky so far: Mainz have 10 points from 9 matches, where their goals are worth 11.2, so −1.2 points of luck.

What was Mainz’s luckiest season?

2026-27: 10 points from goals worth 11.2 (−1.2). Their unluckiest was 2025-26: 40 points from 43.7 (−3.7).