2026-27 season · in progress
Vancouver Canucks, 2026-27: game by game
The Canucks are 1–1–0 (2 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 1.0 points. Luck added 1.0: the 2nd-luckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 1–0; in overtime 1–0, in the shootout 0–0.
Every game
How often the Canucks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Next games: our predictions
Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.
| Week | Game | Our pick | Canucks win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oct 3 | vs Flames |  Canucks even | 50% |
| Week 1 · Oct 4 | vs Golden Knights |  Golden Knights by 0.7 | 39% |
| Week 2 · Oct 8 | at Hurricanes |  Hurricanes by 1.3 | 29% |
| Week 2 · Oct 10 | at Devils |  Devils by 1.0 | 33% |
| Week 2 · Oct 11 | at Rangers |  Rangers by 0.8 | 36% |
| Week 3 · Oct 13 | at Islanders |  Islanders by 0.6 | 39% |
| Week 3 · Oct 15 | at Panthers |  Panthers by 1.0 | 34% |
| Week 3 · Oct 17 | at Lightning |  Lightning by 1.0 | 34% |
| Week 4 · Oct 20 | vs Hurricanes | Hurricanes by 0.9 | 35% |
| Week 4 · Oct 22 | vs Red Wings |  Red Wings by 0.4 | 44% |
| Week 4 · Oct 25 | vs Wild |  Wild by 0.6 | 40% |
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Canucks’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shooting | +5.6 |
| Overtime | +1.0 |
| Goaltending | −5.1 |