2025-26 season · final
Vancouver Canucks, 2025-26: game by game
The Canucks went 25–49–8 (58 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 61.0 points. Luck cost them 3.0: the 4th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 15–17; in overtime 4–6, in the shootout 6–2.
Every game
How often the Canucks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | vs Flames | W 5–1 | 59% | +41 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Oilers | L 1–3 | 15% | −15 | |
| Oct 13, 2025 | vs Blues | L 2–5 | 46% | −46 | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | @ Stars | W 5–3 | 35% | +65 | |
| Oct 17, 2025 | @ Blackhawks | W 3–2 | 66% | +34 | SO |
| Oct 19, 2025 | @ Capitals | W 4–3 | 42% | +59 | |
| Oct 21, 2025 | @ Penguins | L 1–5 | 36% | −36 | |
| Oct 23, 2025 | @ Predators | L 1–2 | 52% | −52 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vs Canadiens | L 3–4 | 52% | −52 | |
| Oct 26, 2025 | vs Oilers | W 4–3 | 50% | +50 | OT |
| Oct 28, 2025 | vs Rangers | L 0–2 | 35% | −35 | |
| Oct 30, 2025 | @ Blues | W 4–3 | 32% | +68 | SO |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Wild | L 2–5 | 44% | −44 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | @ Predators | W 5–4 | 47% | +53 | OT |
| Nov 5, 2025 | vs Blackhawks | L 2–5 | 71% | −71 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Blue Jackets | W 4–3 | 40% | +60 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs Avalanche | L 4–5 | 61% | −61 | OT |
| Nov 11, 2025 | vs Jets | L 3–5 | 48% | −48 | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | @ Hurricanes | L 3–4 | 21% | −21 | OT |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @ Lightning | W 6–2 | 24% | +76 | |
| Nov 17, 2025 | @ Panthers | L 5–8 | 32% | −32 | |
| Nov 20, 2025 | vs Stars | L 2–4 | 68% | −68 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs Flames | L 2–5 | 55% | −55 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | @ Ducks | W 5–4 | 44% | +56 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @ Sharks | L 2–3 | 63% | −63 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @ Kings | L 1–2 | 47% | −47 | OT |
| Dec 2, 2025 | @ Avalanche | L 1–3 | 41% | −41 | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | vs Mammoth | L 1–4 | 63% | −63 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vs Wild | W 4–2 | 43% | +57 | |
| Dec 8, 2025 | vs Red Wings | L 0–4 | 77% | −77 | |
| Dec 11, 2025 | vs Sabres | L 2–3 | 64% | −64 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ Devils | W 2–1 | 44% | +56 | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | @ Rangers | W 3–0 | 37% | +63 | |
| Dec 19, 2025 | @ Islanders | W 4–1 | 51% | +49 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @ Bruins | W 5–4 | 26% | +74 | SO |
| Dec 22, 2025 | @ Flyers | L 2–5 | 23% | −23 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs Sharks | L 3–6 | 30% | −30 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @ Kraken | W 3–2 | 33% | +67 | SO |
| Dec 30, 2025 | vs Flyers | L 3–6 | 51% | −51 | |
| Jan 2, 2026 | vs Kraken | L 3–4 | 68% | −68 | SO |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vs Bruins | L 2–3 | 59% | −59 | OT |
| Jan 6, 2026 | @ Sabres | L 3–5 | 69% | −69 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | @ Red Wings | L 1–5 | 41% | −41 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @ Maple Leafs | L 0–5 | 55% | −55 | |
| Jan 12, 2026 | @ Canadiens | L 3–6 | 33% | −33 | |
| Jan 13, 2026 | @ Senators | L 1–2 | 38% | −38 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | @ Blue Jackets | L 1–4 | 29% | −29 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vs Oilers | L 0–6 | 23% | −23 | |
| Jan 19, 2026 | vs Islanders | L 3–4 | 43% | −43 | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | vs Capitals | W 4–3 | 39% | +61 | |
| Jan 23, 2026 | vs Devils | L 4–5 | 45% | −45 | |
| Jan 25, 2026 | vs Penguins | L 2–3 | 48% | −48 | |
| Jan 27, 2026 | vs Sharks | L 2–5 | 44% | −44 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | vs Ducks | W 2–0 | 48% | +52 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | vs Maple Leafs | L 2–3 | 27% | −27 | SO |
| Feb 2, 2026 | @ Mammoth | L 2–6 | 43% | −43 | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | L 2–5 | 28% | −28 | |
| Feb 25, 2026 | vs Jets | L 2–3 | 33% | −33 | OT |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @ Kraken | L 1–5 | 43% | −43 | |
| Mar 2, 2026 | vs Stars | L 1–6 | 19% | −19 | |
| Mar 4, 2026 | vs Hurricanes | L 4–6 | 35% | −35 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | @ Blackhawks | W 6–3 | 31% | +69 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | @ Jets | L 2–3 | 36% | −36 | OT |
| Mar 9, 2026 | vs Senators | L 0–2 | 27% | −27 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vs Predators | W 4–3 | 65% | +35 | SO |
| Mar 14, 2026 | vs Kraken | L 2–5 | 56% | −56 | |
| Mar 17, 2026 | vs Panthers | W 5–2 | 38% | +62 | |
| Mar 19, 2026 | vs Lightning | L 2–6 | 31% | −31 | |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs Blues | L 1–3 | 39% | −39 | |
| Mar 24, 2026 | vs Ducks | L 3–5 | 48% | −48 | |
| Mar 26, 2026 | vs Kings | L 0–4 | 29% | −29 | |
| Mar 28, 2026 | @ Flames | L 3–7 | 60% | −60 | |
| Mar 30, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | L 2–4 | 31% | −31 | |
| Apr 1, 2026 | @ Avalanche | W 8–6 | 47% | +53 | |
| Apr 2, 2026 | @ Wild | L 2–5 | 30% | −30 | |
| Apr 4, 2026 | vs Mammoth | L 4–7 | 43% | −43 | |
| Apr 7, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | L 1–2 | 20% | −20 | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | @ Kings | L 1–4 | 44% | −44 | |
| Apr 11, 2026 | @ Sharks | W 4–3 | 51% | +49 | SO |
| Apr 12, 2026 | @ Ducks | W 4–3 | 28% | +72 | OT |
| Apr 14, 2026 | vs Kings | W 4–3 | 30% | +70 | OT |
| Apr 16, 2026 | @ Oilers | L 1–6 | 21% | −21 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Canucks’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shootout | +4.0 |
| Empty-net goals | +0.8 |
| Overtime | −2.0 |
| Shooting | −8.3 |
| Goaltending | −22.1 |