luckadjusted
NHL Week 1 · 2026-27

2026-27 season · in progress

Los Angeles Kings, 2026-27: game by game

The Kings are 0–1–0 (0 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 0.8 points. Luck cost them 0.8: the 2nd-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 0–0; in overtime 0–0, in the shootout 0–0.

Every game

How often the Kings win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).

DateGameResultWins the replayLuck index
Sep 30, 2026 @ Avalanche L 4–8 47% −47

Game by game

The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.

Next games: our predictions

Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.

WeekGameOur pickKings win chance
Week 1 · Oct 3 at Sharks Kings by 0.2 53%
Week 2 · Oct 6 vs Panthers Kings by 0.2 53%
Week 2 · Oct 10 at Golden Knights Golden Knights by 0.6 40%
Week 3 · Oct 13 vs Oilers Kings by 0.2 53%
Week 3 · Oct 17 vs Bruins Kings by 0.4 56%
Week 4 · Oct 20 at Capitals Capitals by 0.3 45%
Week 4 · Oct 22 at Islanders Kings by 0.1 51%
Week 4 · Oct 24 at Devils Devils by 0.3 45%

Where the luck came from

Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Kings’ favor.

KindGoals
Shooting+0.8
Goaltending−3.9