2026-27 season · in progress
New York Rangers, 2026-27: game by game
The Rangers are 1–1–0 (2 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 2.3 points. Luck cost them 0.3: the 6th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 0–0; in overtime 0–0, in the shootout 0–0.
Every game
How often the Rangers win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | @ Bruins | L 0–3 | 50% | −50 | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | vs Lightning | W 5–1 | 53% | +47 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Next games: our predictions
Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.
| Week | Game | Our pick | Rangers win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oct 4 | vs Mammoth |  Mammoth by 0.1 | 49% |
| Week 2 · Oct 6 | vs Islanders |  Rangers by 0.4 | 57% |
| Week 2 · Oct 9 | at Capitals |  Capitals by 0.4 | 43% |
| Week 2 · Oct 11 | vs Canucks | Rangers by 0.8 | 64% |
| Week 3 · Oct 13 | vs Lightning | Rangers by 0.1 | 51% |
| Week 3 · Oct 15 | at Devils |  Devils by 0.4 | 43% |
| Week 3 · Oct 17 | at Blue Jackets |  Blue Jackets by 0.4 | 44% |
| Week 4 · Oct 19 | vs Ducks | Rangers by 0.2 | 54% |
| Week 4 · Oct 22 | at Maple Leafs | Rangers by 0.1 | 52% |
| Week 4 · Oct 24 | at Senators |  Senators by 0.5 | 42% |
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Rangers’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Goaltending | +1.6 |
| Shooting | −0.8 |
| Empty-net goals | −1.2 |