2025-26 season · final
New York Rangers, 2025-26: game by game
The Rangers went 34–39–9 (77 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 79.0 points. Luck cost them 2.0: the 5th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 11–21; in overtime 6–8, in the shootout 3–1.
Every game
How often the Rangers win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2025 | vs Penguins | L 0–3 | 45% | −45 | |
| Oct 9, 2025 | @ Sabres | W 4–0 | 50% | +50 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Penguins | W 6–1 | 61% | +39 | |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs Capitals | L 0–1 | 62% | −62 | |
| Oct 14, 2025 | vs Oilers | L 0–2 | 74% | −74 | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | @ Maple Leafs | L 1–2 | 57% | −57 | OT |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Canadiens | W 4–3 | 54% | +46 | |
| Oct 20, 2025 | vs Wild | L 1–3 | 49% | −49 | |
| Oct 23, 2025 | vs Sharks | L 5–6 | 55% | −55 | OT |
| Oct 26, 2025 | @ Flames | L 1–5 | 48% | −48 | |
| Oct 28, 2025 | @ Canucks | W 2–0 | 65% | +35 | |
| Oct 30, 2025 | @ Oilers | W 4–3 | 57% | +43 | OT |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Kraken | W 3–2 | 78% | +22 | OT |
| Nov 4, 2025 | vs Hurricanes | L 0–3 | 52% | −52 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | @ Red Wings | W 4–1 | 63% | +37 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Islanders | L 0–5 | 55% | −55 | |
| Nov 10, 2025 | vs Predators | W 6–3 | 41% | +59 | |
| Nov 12, 2025 | @ Lightning | W 7–3 | 37% | +63 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ Blue Jackets | W 2–1 | 52% | +48 | SO |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs Red Wings | L 1–2 | 20% | −20 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | @ Golden Knights | L 2–3 | 41% | −41 | |
| Nov 20, 2025 | @ Avalanche | L 3–6 | 26% | −26 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Mammoth | L 2–3 | 43% | −43 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | vs Blues | W 3–2 | 49% | +51 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | @ Hurricanes | W 4–2 | 34% | +66 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @ Bruins | W 6–2 | 69% | +31 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs Lightning | L 1–4 | 24% | −24 | |
| Dec 2, 2025 | vs Stars | W 3–2 | 68% | +32 | OT |
| Dec 4, 2025 | @ Senators | W 4–2 | 51% | +49 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vs Avalanche | L 2–3 | 37% | −37 | OT |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs Golden Knights | L 2–3 | 52% | −52 | OT |
| Dec 10, 2025 | @ Blackhawks | L 0–3 | 45% | −45 | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | vs Canadiens | W 5–4 | 68% | +32 | OT |
| Dec 15, 2025 | vs Ducks | L 1–4 | 51% | −51 | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | vs Canucks | L 0–3 | 63% | −63 | |
| Dec 18, 2025 | @ Blues | W 2–1 | 55% | +45 | OT |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vs Flyers | W 5–4 | 55% | +45 | SO |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ Predators | L 1–2 | 37% | −37 | |
| Dec 23, 2025 | @ Capitals | W 7–3 | 41% | +59 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | @ Islanders | L 0–2 | 42% | −42 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @ Hurricanes | L 2–3 | 40% | −40 | OT |
| Dec 31, 2025 | @ Capitals | L 3–6 | 49% | −49 | |
| Jan 2, 2026 | @ Panthers | W 5–1 | 39% | +61 | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | vs Mammoth | L 2–3 | 51% | −51 | OT |
| Jan 8, 2026 | vs Sabres | L 2–5 | 42% | −42 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @ Bruins | L 2–10 | 37% | −37 | |
| Jan 12, 2026 | vs Kraken | L 2–4 | 28% | −28 | |
| Jan 14, 2026 | vs Senators | L 4–8 | 31% | −31 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @ Flyers | W 6–3 | 66% | +34 | |
| Jan 19, 2026 | @ Ducks | L 3–5 | 45% | −45 | |
| Jan 20, 2026 | @ Kings | L 3–4 | 48% | −48 | |
| Jan 23, 2026 | @ Sharks | L 1–3 | 25% | −25 | |
| Jan 26, 2026 | vs Bruins | W 4–3 | 59% | +41 | OT |
| Jan 28, 2026 | @ Islanders | L 2–5 | 29% | −29 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | vs Islanders | L 1–2 | 60% | −60 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @ Penguins | L 5–6 | 18% | −18 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | vs Hurricanes | L 0–2 | 33% | −33 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vs Flyers | L 2–3 | 35% | −35 | OT |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vs Penguins | W 3–2 | 52% | +48 | SO |
| Mar 2, 2026 | vs Blue Jackets | L 4–5 | 56% | −56 | OT |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vs Maple Leafs | W 6–2 | 53% | +47 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | @ Devils | L 3–6 | 39% | −39 | |
| Mar 9, 2026 | @ Flyers | W 6–2 | 53% | +47 | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vs Flames | W 4–0 | 68% | +32 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | @ Jets | W 6–3 | 36% | +64 | |
| Mar 14, 2026 | @ Wild | W 4–2 | 31% | +70 | |
| Mar 16, 2026 | vs Kings | L 1–4 | 40% | −40 | |
| Mar 18, 2026 | vs Devils | L 3–6 | 21% | −21 | |
| Mar 19, 2026 | @ Blue Jackets | L 3–6 | 26% | −26 | |
| Mar 22, 2026 | vs Jets | L 2–3 | 41% | −41 | SO |
| Mar 23, 2026 | vs Senators | L 1–2 | 30% | −30 | |
| Mar 25, 2026 | @ Maple Leafs | L 3–4 | 71% | −71 | |
| Mar 27, 2026 | vs Blackhawks | W 6–1 | 74% | +26 | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | vs Panthers | W 3–1 | 39% | +61 | |
| Mar 31, 2026 | vs Devils | W 4–1 | 63% | +37 | |
| Apr 2, 2026 | vs Canadiens | L 2–3 | 56% | −56 | |
| Apr 4, 2026 | vs Red Wings | W 4–1 | 50% | +50 | |
| Apr 5, 2026 | vs Capitals | W 8–1 | 79% | +21 | |
| Apr 8, 2026 | vs Sabres | L 3–5 | 33% | −33 | |
| Apr 11, 2026 | @ Stars | L 0–2 | 50% | −50 | |
| Apr 13, 2026 | @ Panthers | L 2–3 | 75% | −75 | |
| Apr 15, 2026 | @ Lightning | W 4–2 | 39% | +61 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Rangers’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Goaltending | +7.0 |
| Shooting | +4.1 |
| Shootout | +2.0 |
| Empty-net goals | +0.9 |
| Overtime | −2.1 |