2026-27 season · in progress
Boston Bruins, 2026-27: game by game
The Bruins are 1–0–0 (2 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 1.7 points. Luck added 0.3: the 9th-luckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 0–0; in overtime 0–0, in the shootout 0–0.
Every game
How often the Bruins win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | vs Rangers | W 3–0 | 50% | +50 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Next games: our predictions
Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.
| Week | Game | Our pick | Bruins win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oct 3 | at Wild |  Wild by 0.5 | 42% |
| Week 2 · Oct 5 | vs Senators |  Senators by 0.1 | 48% |
| Week 2 · Oct 8 | vs Mammoth |  Mammoth by 0.1 | 48% |
| Week 2 · Oct 10 | vs Flyers |  Bruins by 0.5 | 58% |
| Week 3 · Oct 13 | at Sharks | Bruins by 0.1 | 52% |
| Week 3 · Oct 16 | at Ducks |  Ducks by 0.2 | 46% |
| Week 3 · Oct 17 | at Kings |  Kings by 0.4 | 44% |
| Week 4 · Oct 20 | at Stars |  Stars by 0.5 | 42% |
| Week 4 · Oct 22 | vs Predators | Bruins by 0.5 | 58% |
| Week 4 · Oct 24 | vs Sharks | Bruins by 0.6 | 59% |
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Bruins’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Goaltending | +1.8 |
| Shooting | −0.3 |