2025-26 season · final
Boston Bruins, 2025-26: game by game
The Bruins went 45–27–10 (100 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 81.1 points. Luck added 18.9: the luckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 20–18; in overtime 8–7, in the shootout 4–3.
Playoffs: 2–4.
Every game
How often the Bruins win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | @ Capitals | W 3–1 | 27% | +73 | |
| Oct 9, 2025 | vs Blackhawks | W 4–3 | 75% | +25 | OT |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Sabres | W 3–1 | 67% | +33 | |
| Oct 13, 2025 | vs Lightning | L 3–4 | 43% | −43 | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | @ Golden Knights | L 5–6 | 28% | −28 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Avalanche | L 1–4 | 21% | −21 | |
| Oct 19, 2025 | @ Mammoth | L 2–3 | 34% | −34 | |
| Oct 21, 2025 | vs Panthers | L 3–4 | 42% | −42 | |
| Oct 23, 2025 | vs Ducks | L 5–7 | 56% | −56 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vs Avalanche | W 3–2 | 31% | +69 | |
| Oct 27, 2025 | @ Senators | L 2–7 | 36% | −36 | |
| Oct 28, 2025 | vs Islanders | W 5–2 | 34% | +66 | |
| Oct 30, 2025 | vs Sabres | W 4–3 | 20% | +80 | OT |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Hurricanes | W 2–1 | 61% | +39 | |
| Nov 4, 2025 | @ Islanders | W 4–3 | 40% | +60 | SO |
| Nov 6, 2025 | vs Senators | W 3–2 | 56% | +44 | OT |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ Maple Leafs | W 5–3 | 55% | +45 | |
| Nov 11, 2025 | vs Maple Leafs | W 5–3 | 60% | +40 | |
| Nov 13, 2025 | @ Senators | L 3–5 | 60% | −60 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ Canadiens | W 3–2 | 53% | +47 | |
| Nov 17, 2025 | vs Hurricanes | L 1–3 | 30% | −30 | |
| Nov 19, 2025 | @ Ducks | L 3–4 | 49% | −49 | |
| Nov 21, 2025 | @ Kings | W 2–1 | 38% | +62 | OT |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @ Sharks | L 1–3 | 59% | −59 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | @ Islanders | W 3–1 | 27% | +73 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Rangers | L 2–6 | 31% | −31 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs Red Wings | W 3–2 | 45% | +55 | SO |
| Dec 2, 2025 | @ Red Wings | L 4–5 | 38% | −38 | |
| Dec 4, 2025 | vs Blues | W 5–2 | 42% | +58 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vs Devils | W 4–1 | 56% | +44 | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | @ Blues | W 5–2 | 63% | +37 | |
| Dec 11, 2025 | @ Jets | W 6–3 | 40% | +60 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ Wild | L 2–6 | 44% | −44 | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | vs Mammoth | W 4–1 | 49% | +51 | |
| Dec 18, 2025 | vs Oilers | L 1–3 | 44% | −44 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vs Canucks | L 4–5 | 74% | −74 | SO |
| Dec 21, 2025 | vs Senators | L 2–6 | 38% | −38 | |
| Dec 23, 2025 | vs Canadiens | L 2–6 | 51% | −51 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | @ Sabres | L 1–4 | 42% | −42 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @ Flames | L 1–2 | 51% | −51 | OT |
| Dec 31, 2025 | @ Oilers | W 6–2 | 31% | +69 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | @ Canucks | W 3–2 | 41% | +59 | OT |
| Jan 6, 2026 | @ Kraken | L 4–7 | 61% | −61 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | vs Flames | W 4–1 | 56% | +44 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | vs Rangers | W 10–2 | 63% | +37 | |
| Jan 11, 2026 | vs Penguins | W 1–0 | 48% | +52 | |
| Jan 13, 2026 | vs Red Wings | W 3–0 | 67% | +33 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | vs Kraken | W 4–2 | 35% | +65 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @ Blackhawks | W 5–2 | 68% | +32 | |
| Jan 20, 2026 | @ Stars | L 2–6 | 35% | −35 | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | W 4–3 | 28% | +72 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vs Canadiens | W 4–3 | 61% | +39 | |
| Jan 26, 2026 | @ Rangers | L 3–4 | 41% | −41 | OT |
| Jan 27, 2026 | vs Predators | W 3–2 | 42% | +58 | OT |
| Jan 29, 2026 | vs Flyers | W 6–3 | 38% | +62 | |
| Feb 1, 2026 | @ Lightning | L 5–6 | 53% | −53 | SO |
| Feb 4, 2026 | @ Panthers | L 4–5 | 47% | −47 | SO |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vs Blue Jackets | W 4–2 | 37% | +63 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @ Flyers | L 1–3 | 52% | −52 | |
| Mar 3, 2026 | vs Penguins | W 2–1 | 42% | +58 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | @ Predators | L 3–6 | 39% | −39 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | vs Capitals | W 3–1 | 63% | +37 | |
| Mar 8, 2026 | @ Penguins | L 4–5 | 35% | −35 | OT |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vs Kings | W 2–1 | 61% | +39 | OT |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vs Sharks | L 2–4 | 53% | −53 | |
| Mar 14, 2026 | @ Capitals | W 3–2 | 50% | +50 | SO |
| Mar 16, 2026 | @ Devils | L 3–4 | 44% | −44 | OT |
| Mar 17, 2026 | @ Canadiens | L 2–3 | 45% | −45 | OT |
| Mar 19, 2026 | vs Jets | W 6–1 | 50% | +50 | |
| Mar 21, 2026 | @ Red Wings | W 4–2 | 42% | +58 | |
| Mar 24, 2026 | vs Maple Leafs | L 2–4 | 34% | −34 | |
| Mar 25, 2026 | @ Sabres | W 4–3 | 42% | +58 | OT |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs Wild | W 6–3 | 43% | +57 | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | @ Blue Jackets | W 4–3 | 62% | +38 | SO |
| Mar 31, 2026 | vs Stars | W 6–3 | 59% | +41 | |
| Apr 2, 2026 | @ Panthers | L 1–2 | 47% | −47 | |
| Apr 4, 2026 | @ Lightning | L 1–3 | 60% | −60 | |
| Apr 5, 2026 | @ Flyers | L 1–2 | 41% | −41 | OT |
| Apr 7, 2026 | @ Hurricanes | L 5–6 | 25% | −25 | OT |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Lightning | L 1–2 | 46% | −46 | |
| Apr 12, 2026 | @ Blue Jackets | W 3–2 | 33% | +67 | |
| Apr 14, 2026 | vs Devils | W 4–0 | 64% | +36 | |
| Apr 19, 2026 | @ Sabres | L 3–4 | 39% | −39 | |
| Apr 21, 2026 | @ Sabres | W 4–2 | 49% | +51 | |
| Apr 23, 2026 | vs Sabres | L 1–3 | 46% | −46 | |
| Apr 26, 2026 | vs Sabres | L 1–6 | 29% | −29 | |
| Apr 28, 2026 | @ Sabres | W 2–1 | 53% | +47 | OT |
| May 1, 2026 | vs Sabres | L 1–4 | 35% | −35 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Bruins’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Goaltending | +20.2 |
| Shooting | +17.9 |
| Overtime | +1.1 |
| Shootout | +1.0 |