Week 6 · October 6–10 · 2 weeks ahead
College football predictions, week 6 An early look at week 6, from how each team has played so far against the opponents it has faced, adjusted for luck , and where it stood last season. This far ahead fewer games are in, so the curves are wider. On past seasons, forecasts made 2 weeks ahead picked 73.6% of winners, against 74.4% for forecasts made the week before. These update every day: this week’s predictions .
Weeks ahead 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 Why the curves are so wide: luck. Even with both teams’ strength known exactly, one game’s bounces, kicks, calls and sequencing move the final margin by about ±13.4 points (one standard deviation, measured from every play). These forecasts carry ±16.2, so about 69% of the width is that luck; the rest is what nobody knows yet about the teams. That is why a 7-point favorite still loses about 3 times in 10.
Troy by 7.0 · 67% to win
Ours: Troy by 7.0 Southern Miss win 33% Troy win 67% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Southern Miss win by Troy win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Southern Miss win 33.3% Troy win 66.7% Middle 50%: Southern Miss by 4 to Troy by 18 50% Middle 90%: Southern Miss by 20 to Troy by 34 90% Middle 95%: Southern Miss by 25 to Troy by 39 95% Exactly Troy by 3 6.7% Exactly Southern Miss by 3 5.7% Exactly Troy by 7 5.5% Exactly Troy by 14 4.0% Exactly Southern Miss by 7 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Troy +4.3 Home field Troy +3.1 Last season Southern Miss +0.5
Kennesaw State by 0.8 · 52% to win
Ours: Kennesaw State by 0.8 Jacksonville State win 48% Kennesaw State win 52% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Jacksonville State win by Kennesaw State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Jacksonville State win 47.9% Kennesaw State win 52.1% Middle 50%: Jacksonville State by 10 to Kennesaw State by 12 50% Middle 90%: Jacksonville State by 26 to Kennesaw State by 28 90% Middle 95%: Jacksonville State by 31 to Kennesaw State by 32 95% Exactly Kennesaw State by 3 6.8% Exactly Jacksonville State by 3 6.7% Exactly Kennesaw State by 7 5.2% Exactly Jacksonville State by 7 4.9% Exactly Kennesaw State by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Kennesaw State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Jacksonville State +2.5 Last season Kennesaw State +0.2
Florida International by 8.4 · 70% to win
Ours: Florida International by 8.4 New Mexico State win 30% Florida International win 70% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← New Mexico State win by Florida International win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance New Mexico State win 30.1% Florida International win 69.9% Middle 50%: New Mexico State by 3 to Florida International by 20 50% Middle 90%: New Mexico State by 18 to Florida International by 35 90% Middle 95%: New Mexico State by 24 to Florida International by 40 95% Exactly Florida International by 3 6.5% Exactly Florida International by 7 5.5% Exactly New Mexico State by 3 5.4% Exactly Florida International by 14 4.1% Exactly Florida International by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Florida International +4.6 Home field Florida International +3.1 Last season Florida International +0.6
Liberty by 14.0 · 81% to win
Ours: Liberty by 14.0 Sam Houston win 19% Liberty win 81% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Sam Houston win by Liberty win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Sam Houston win 19.2% Liberty win 80.8% Middle 50%: Liberty by 3 to Liberty by 25 50% Middle 90%: Sam Houston by 13 to Liberty by 41 90% Middle 95%: Sam Houston by 18 to Liberty by 46 95% Exactly Liberty by 3 5.5% Exactly Liberty by 7 5.1% Exactly Liberty by 14 4.4% Exactly Liberty by 17 4.2% Exactly Liberty by 21 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Liberty +8.1 Home field Liberty +3.1 Last season Liberty +2.7
Western Kentucky by 2.5 · 56% to win
Ours: Western Kentucky by 2.5 Missouri State win 44% Western Kentucky win 56% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Missouri State win by Western Kentucky win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Missouri State win 43.8% Western Kentucky win 56.2% Middle 50%: Missouri State by 8 to Western Kentucky by 14 50% Middle 90%: Missouri State by 24 to Western Kentucky by 29 90% Middle 95%: Missouri State by 29 to Western Kentucky by 34 95% Exactly Western Kentucky by 3 6.9% Exactly Missouri State by 3 6.5% Exactly Western Kentucky by 7 5.3% Exactly Missouri State by 7 4.7% Exactly Western Kentucky by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Western Kentucky +3.1 This season, against its opponents Missouri State +1.7 Last season Western Kentucky +1.1
UTSA by 1.0 · 53% to win
Ours: UTSA by 1.0 South Florida win 47% UTSA win 53% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← South Florida win by UTSA win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance South Florida win 47.5% UTSA win 52.5% Middle 50%: South Florida by 10 to UTSA by 12 50% Middle 90%: South Florida by 26 to UTSA by 28 90% Middle 95%: South Florida by 31 to UTSA by 33 95% Exactly UTSA by 3 6.8% Exactly South Florida by 3 6.7% Exactly UTSA by 7 5.2% Exactly South Florida by 7 4.9% Exactly UTSA by 14 3.2%
Where the forecast comes from Home field UTSA +3.1 This season, against its opponents South Florida +2.7 Last season UTSA +0.6
Arkansas State by 1.3 · 53% to win
Ours: Arkansas State by 1.3 South Alabama win 47% Arkansas State win 53% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← South Alabama win by Arkansas State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance South Alabama win 46.8% Arkansas State win 53.2% Middle 50%: South Alabama by 10 to Arkansas State by 13 50% Middle 90%: South Alabama by 25 to Arkansas State by 28 90% Middle 95%: South Alabama by 31 to Arkansas State by 33 95% Exactly Arkansas State by 3 6.9% Exactly South Alabama by 3 6.7% Exactly Arkansas State by 7 5.2% Exactly South Alabama by 7 4.9% Exactly Arkansas State by 14 3.2%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Arkansas State +3.1 Last season South Alabama +1.7 This season, against its opponents South Alabama +0.1
Louisville by 8.9 · 71% to win
Ours: Louisville by 8.9 Florida State win 29% Louisville win 71% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Florida State win by Louisville win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Florida State win 29.0% Louisville win 71.0% Middle 50%: Florida State by 3 to Louisville by 20 50% Middle 90%: Florida State by 18 to Louisville by 35 90% Middle 95%: Florida State by 23 to Louisville by 41 95% Exactly Louisville by 3 6.5% Exactly Louisville by 7 5.5% Exactly Florida State by 3 5.3% Exactly Louisville by 14 4.1% Exactly Louisville by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Louisville +4.8 Home field Louisville +3.1 This season, against its opponents Louisville +0.9
Iowa by 7.0 · 67% to win
Ours: Iowa by 7.0 Iowa win 67% Washington win 33% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Iowa win by Washington win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Iowa win 66.9% Washington win 33.1% Middle 50%: Iowa by 18 to Washington by 3 50% Middle 90%: Iowa by 34 to Washington by 20 90% Middle 95%: Iowa by 39 to Washington by 25 95% Exactly Iowa by 3 6.7% Exactly Washington by 3 5.7% Exactly Iowa by 7 5.5% Exactly Iowa by 14 4.0% Exactly Washington by 7 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Iowa +11.5 Home field Washington +3.1 Last season Washington +1.3
Utah State by 0.5 · 51% to win
Ours: Utah State by 0.5 Washington State win 49% Utah State win 51% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Washington State win by Utah State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Washington State win 48.8% Utah State win 51.2% Middle 50%: Washington State by 10 to Utah State by 11 50% Middle 90%: Washington State by 27 to Utah State by 28 90% Middle 95%: Washington State by 31 to Utah State by 32 95% Exactly Utah State by 3 6.8% Exactly Washington State by 3 6.7% Exactly Utah State by 7 5.1% Exactly Washington State by 7 5.0% Exactly Utah State by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Utah State +3.1 Last season Washington State +2.4 This season, against its opponents Washington State +0.3
San José State by 5.5 · 63% to win
Ours: San José State by 5.5 Wyoming win 37% San José State win 63% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Wyoming win by San José State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Wyoming win 36.6% San José State win 63.4% Middle 50%: Wyoming by 6 to San José State by 17 50% Middle 90%: Wyoming by 21 to San José State by 32 90% Middle 95%: Wyoming by 27 to San José State by 38 95% Exactly San José State by 3 6.8% Exactly Wyoming by 3 6.0% Exactly San José State by 7 5.5% Exactly Wyoming by 7 4.1% Exactly San José State by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Home field San José State +3.1 This season, against its opponents San José State +1.6 Last season San José State +0.8
BYU by 6.4 · 65% to win
Ours: BYU by 6.4 Iowa State win 35% BYU win 65% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Iowa State win by BYU win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Iowa State win 34.6% BYU win 65.4% Middle 50%: Iowa State by 4 to BYU by 17 50% Middle 90%: Iowa State by 21 to BYU by 33 90% Middle 95%: Iowa State by 25 to BYU by 38 95% Exactly BYU by 3 6.7% Exactly Iowa State by 3 5.8% Exactly BYU by 7 5.5% Exactly Iowa State by 7 4.0% Exactly BYU by 14 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents BYU +3.6 Home field BYU +3.1 Last season Iowa State +0.4
Florida by 15.1 · 83% to win
Ours: Florida by 15.1 South Carolina win 17% Florida win 83% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← South Carolina win by Florida win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance South Carolina win 17.5% Florida win 82.5% Middle 50%: Florida by 4 to Florida by 26 50% Middle 90%: South Carolina by 12 to Florida by 42 90% Middle 95%: South Carolina by 17 to Florida by 46 95% Exactly Florida by 3 5.2% Exactly Florida by 7 4.9% Exactly Florida by 14 4.3% Exactly Florida by 17 4.2% Exactly Florida by 21 4.1%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Florida +11.6 Home field Florida +3.1 Last season Florida +0.3
Texas A&M by 1.7 · 54% to win
Ours: Texas A&M by 1.7 Texas A&M win 54% Missouri win 46% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Texas A&M win by Missouri win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Texas A&M win 54.3% Missouri win 45.7% Middle 50%: Texas A&M by 13 to Missouri by 9 50% Middle 90%: Texas A&M by 28 to Missouri by 25 90% Middle 95%: Texas A&M by 34 to Missouri by 31 95% Exactly Texas A&M by 3 6.9% Exactly Missouri by 3 6.6% Exactly Texas A&M by 7 5.3% Exactly Missouri by 7 4.8% Exactly Texas A&M by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Texas A&M +10.2 This season, against its opponents Missouri +5.4 Home field Missouri +3.1
Arizona by 5.3 · 63% to win
Ours: Arizona by 5.3 Arizona win 63% West Virginia win 37% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Arizona win by West Virginia win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Arizona win 63.0% West Virginia win 37.0% Middle 50%: Arizona by 17 to West Virginia by 6 50% Middle 90%: Arizona by 32 to West Virginia by 21 90% Middle 95%: Arizona by 37 to West Virginia by 27 95% Exactly Arizona by 3 6.8% Exactly West Virginia by 3 6.0% Exactly Arizona by 7 5.5% Exactly West Virginia by 7 4.2% Exactly Arizona by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Arizona +4.3 Last season Arizona +4.2 Home field West Virginia +3.1
UCF by 2.1 · 55% to win
Ours: UCF by 2.1 UCF win 55% Oklahoma State win 45% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← UCF win by Oklahoma State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UCF win 55.1% Oklahoma State win 44.9% Middle 50%: UCF by 14 to Oklahoma State by 8 50% Middle 90%: UCF by 28 to Oklahoma State by 24 90% Middle 95%: UCF by 34 to Oklahoma State by 30 95% Exactly UCF by 3 6.9% Exactly Oklahoma State by 3 6.6% Exactly UCF by 7 5.3% Exactly Oklahoma State by 7 4.7% Exactly UCF by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Last season UCF +5.0 Home field Oklahoma State +3.1 This season, against its opponents UCF +0.3
Pittsburgh by 14.9 · 82% to win
Ours: Pittsburgh by 14.9 North Carolina win 18% Pittsburgh win 82% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← North Carolina win by Pittsburgh win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance North Carolina win 17.7% Pittsburgh win 82.3% Middle 50%: Pittsburgh by 4 to Pittsburgh by 26 50% Middle 90%: North Carolina by 12 to Pittsburgh by 42 90% Middle 95%: North Carolina by 17 to Pittsburgh by 46 95% Exactly Pittsburgh by 3 5.3% Exactly Pittsburgh by 7 4.9% Exactly Pittsburgh by 14 4.3% Exactly Pittsburgh by 17 4.2% Exactly Pittsburgh by 21 4.1%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Pittsburgh +6.5 This season, against its opponents Pittsburgh +5.2 Home field Pittsburgh +3.1
NC State by 2.7 · 57% to win
Ours: NC State by 2.7 Wake Forest win 43% NC State win 57% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Wake Forest win by NC State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Wake Forest win 43.2% NC State win 56.8% Middle 50%: Wake Forest by 8 to NC State by 14 50% Middle 90%: Wake Forest by 24 to NC State by 29 90% Middle 95%: Wake Forest by 29 to NC State by 35 95% Exactly NC State by 3 6.9% Exactly Wake Forest by 3 6.5% Exactly NC State by 7 5.4% Exactly Wake Forest by 7 4.6% Exactly NC State by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from Home field NC State +3.1 Last season Wake Forest +2.5 This season, against its opponents NC State +2.1
Indiana by 6.9 · 67% to win
Ours: Indiana by 6.9 Indiana win 67% Nebraska win 33% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Indiana win by Nebraska win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Indiana win 66.6% Nebraska win 33.4% Middle 50%: Indiana by 18 to Nebraska by 4 50% Middle 90%: Indiana by 34 to Nebraska by 20 90% Middle 95%: Indiana by 39 to Nebraska by 25 95% Exactly Indiana by 3 6.7% Exactly Nebraska by 3 5.7% Exactly Indiana by 7 5.5% Exactly Indiana by 14 4.0% Exactly Nebraska by 7 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Indiana +12.1 Home field Nebraska +3.1 This season, against its opponents Nebraska +2.1
Army by 7.4 · 68% to win
Ours: Army by 7.4 Tulane win 32% Army win 68% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Tulane win by Army win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Tulane win 32.4% Army win 67.7% Middle 50%: Tulane by 3 to Army by 18 50% Middle 90%: Tulane by 20 to Army by 34 90% Middle 95%: Tulane by 24 to Army by 39 95% Exactly Army by 3 6.6% Exactly Tulane by 3 5.6% Exactly Army by 7 5.5% Exactly Army by 14 4.0% Exactly Tulane by 7 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Army +9.2 Last season Tulane +5.0 Home field Army +3.1
Memphis by 15.8 · 84% to win
Ours: Memphis by 15.8 UAB win 16% Memphis win 84% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UAB win by Memphis win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UAB win 16.3% Memphis win 83.7% Middle 50%: Memphis by 5 to Memphis by 27 50% Middle 90%: UAB by 11 to Memphis by 42 90% Middle 95%: UAB by 17 to Memphis by 48 95% Exactly Memphis by 3 5.0% Exactly Memphis by 7 4.8% Exactly Memphis by 14 4.3% Exactly Memphis by 17 4.2% Exactly Memphis by 21 4.2%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Memphis +7.7 Last season Memphis +4.9 Home field Memphis +3.1
Bowling Green by 7.7 · 68% to win
Ours: Bowling Green by 7.7 Sacramento State win 32% Bowling Green win 68% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Sacramento State win by Bowling Green win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Sacramento State win 31.7% Bowling Green win 68.3% Middle 50%: Sacramento State by 3 to Bowling Green by 18 50% Middle 90%: Sacramento State by 19 to Bowling Green by 34 90% Middle 95%: Sacramento State by 24 to Bowling Green by 39 95% Exactly Bowling Green by 3 6.6% Exactly Sacramento State by 3 5.6% Exactly Bowling Green by 7 5.5% Exactly Bowling Green by 14 4.0% Exactly Sacramento State by 7 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Bowling Green +8.1 This season, against its opponents Sacramento State +3.6 Home field Bowling Green +3.1
James Madison by 15.6 · 83% to win
Ours: James Madison by 15.6 James Madison win 83% Georgia Southern win 17% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← James Madison win by Georgia Southern win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance James Madison win 83.3% Georgia Southern win 16.7% Middle 50%: James Madison by 27 to James Madison by 4 50% Middle 90%: James Madison by 42 to Georgia Southern by 11 90% Middle 95%: James Madison by 48 to Georgia Southern by 17 95% Exactly James Madison by 3 5.1% Exactly James Madison by 7 4.8% Exactly James Madison by 14 4.3% Exactly James Madison by 17 4.2% Exactly James Madison by 21 4.2%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents James Madison +10.9 Last season James Madison +7.8 Home field Georgia Southern +3.1
Northwestern by 33.0 · 98% to win
Ours: Northwestern by 33.0 Ball State win 2% Northwestern win 98% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Ball State win by Northwestern win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Ball State win 2.0% Northwestern win 98.0% Middle 50%: Northwestern by 22 to Northwestern by 44 50% Middle 90%: Northwestern by 7 to Northwestern by 59 90% Middle 95%: Northwestern by 3 to Northwestern by 65 95% Exactly Northwestern by 56 8.5% Exactly Northwestern by 28 4.4% Exactly Northwestern by 42 4.0% Exactly Northwestern by 35 4.0% Exactly Northwestern by 31 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Northwestern +15.2 Last season Northwestern +14.6 Home field Northwestern +3.1
App State by 4.7 · 61% to win
Ours: App State by 4.7 Old Dominion win 39% App State win 61% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Old Dominion win by App State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Old Dominion win 38.6% App State win 61.4% Middle 50%: Old Dominion by 7 to App State by 16 50% Middle 90%: Old Dominion by 22 to App State by 31 90% Middle 95%: Old Dominion by 27 to App State by 36 95% Exactly App State by 3 6.9% Exactly Old Dominion by 3 6.2% Exactly App State by 7 5.5% Exactly Old Dominion by 7 4.3% Exactly App State by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents App State +10.8 Last season Old Dominion +9.3 Home field App State +3.1
Miami (OH) by 2.0 · 55% to win
Ours: Miami (OH) by 2.0 Miami (OH) win 55% Massachusetts win 45% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Miami (OH) win by Massachusetts win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Miami (OH) win 54.9% Massachusetts win 45.1% Middle 50%: Miami (OH) by 13 to Massachusetts by 8 50% Middle 90%: Miami (OH) by 28 to Massachusetts by 25 90% Middle 95%: Miami (OH) by 34 to Massachusetts by 30 95% Exactly Miami (OH) by 3 6.9% Exactly Massachusetts by 3 6.6% Exactly Miami (OH) by 7 5.3% Exactly Massachusetts by 7 4.8% Exactly Miami (OH) by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Miami (OH) +17.0 This season, against its opponents Massachusetts +11.9 Home field Massachusetts +3.1
Texas by 10.9 · 75% to win
Ours: Texas by 10.9 Texas win 75% Oklahoma win 25% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Texas win by Oklahoma win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Texas win 75.2% Oklahoma win 24.8% Middle 50%: Texas by 22 to Texas by 1 50% Middle 90%: Texas by 38 to Oklahoma by 16 90% Middle 95%: Texas by 42 to Oklahoma by 21 95% Exactly Texas by 3 6.1% Exactly Texas by 7 5.4% Exactly Oklahoma by 3 4.8% Exactly Texas by 14 4.3% Exactly Texas by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Texas +6.7 Last season Texas +4.5 Home field Oklahoma +0.2
Ole Miss by 1.7 · 54% to win
Ours: Ole Miss by 1.7 Ole Miss win 54% Vanderbilt win 46% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Ole Miss win by Vanderbilt win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Ole Miss win 54.3% Vanderbilt win 45.7% Middle 50%: Ole Miss by 13 to Vanderbilt by 9 50% Middle 90%: Ole Miss by 28 to Vanderbilt by 25 90% Middle 95%: Ole Miss by 34 to Vanderbilt by 31 95% Exactly Ole Miss by 3 6.9% Exactly Vanderbilt by 3 6.6% Exactly Ole Miss by 7 5.3% Exactly Vanderbilt by 7 4.8% Exactly Ole Miss by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Ole Miss +3.8 Home field Vanderbilt +3.1 This season, against its opponents Ole Miss +1.1
Kansas State by 4.0 · 60% to win
Ours: Kansas State by 4.0 Houston win 40% Kansas State win 60% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Houston win by Kansas State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Houston win 40.1% Kansas State win 59.9% Middle 50%: Houston by 7 to Kansas State by 15 50% Middle 90%: Houston by 23 to Kansas State by 31 90% Middle 95%: Houston by 28 to Kansas State by 35 95% Exactly Kansas State by 3 6.9% Exactly Houston by 3 6.3% Exactly Kansas State by 7 5.5% Exactly Houston by 7 4.4% Exactly Kansas State by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Kansas State +6.4 This season, against its opponents Houston +5.6 Home field Kansas State +3.1
Duke by 7.6 · 68% to win
Ours: Duke by 7.6 Duke win 68% Georgia Tech win 32% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Duke win by Georgia Tech win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Duke win 68.2% Georgia Tech win 31.8% Middle 50%: Duke by 18 to Georgia Tech by 3 50% Middle 90%: Duke by 34 to Georgia Tech by 19 90% Middle 95%: Duke by 39 to Georgia Tech by 24 95% Exactly Duke by 3 6.6% Exactly Georgia Tech by 3 5.6% Exactly Duke by 7 5.5% Exactly Duke by 14 4.0% Exactly Georgia Tech by 7 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Duke +10.7 Home field Georgia Tech +3.1
Notre Dame by 38.5 · 99% to win
Ours: Notre Dame by 38.5 Stanford win 1% Notre Dame win 99% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Stanford win by Notre Dame win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Stanford win 0.8% Notre Dame win 99.2% Middle 50%: Notre Dame by 28 to Notre Dame by 49 50% Middle 90%: Notre Dame by 12 to Notre Dame by 65 90% Middle 95%: Notre Dame by 7 to Notre Dame by 69 95% Exactly Notre Dame by 56 15.0% Exactly Notre Dame by 42 4.5% Exactly Notre Dame by 49 4.4% Exactly Notre Dame by 35 3.9% Exactly Notre Dame by 45 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Notre Dame +26.9 Last season Notre Dame +8.5 Home field Notre Dame +3.1
Virginia Tech by 4.7 · 62% to win
Ours: Virginia Tech by 4.7 Virginia Tech win 62% California win 38% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Virginia Tech win by California win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Virginia Tech win 61.6% California win 38.4% Middle 50%: Virginia Tech by 16 to California by 7 50% Middle 90%: Virginia Tech by 31 to California by 22 90% Middle 95%: Virginia Tech by 37 to California by 27 95% Exactly Virginia Tech by 3 6.9% Exactly California by 3 6.2% Exactly Virginia Tech by 7 5.5% Exactly California by 7 4.3% Exactly Virginia Tech by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Virginia Tech +11.4 Last season California +3.5 Home field California +3.1
Illinois by 2.1 · 55% to win
Ours: Illinois by 2.1 Illinois win 55% Michigan State win 45% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Illinois win by Michigan State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Illinois win 55.3% Michigan State win 44.7% Middle 50%: Illinois by 14 to Michigan State by 8 50% Middle 90%: Illinois by 28 to Michigan State by 24 90% Middle 95%: Illinois by 34 to Michigan State by 29 95% Exactly Illinois by 3 6.9% Exactly Michigan State by 3 6.6% Exactly Illinois by 7 5.3% Exactly Michigan State by 7 4.7% Exactly Illinois by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Illinois +3.7 Home field Michigan State +3.1 Last season Illinois +1.6
Oregon by 8.7 · 71% to win
Ours: Oregon by 8.7 UCLA win 29% Oregon win 71% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UCLA win by Oregon win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UCLA win 29.4% Oregon win 70.6% Middle 50%: UCLA by 3 to Oregon by 20 50% Middle 90%: UCLA by 18 to Oregon by 35 90% Middle 95%: UCLA by 23 to Oregon by 41 95% Exactly Oregon by 3 6.5% Exactly Oregon by 7 5.5% Exactly UCLA by 3 5.3% Exactly Oregon by 14 4.1% Exactly Oregon by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Oregon +8.7 This season, against its opponents UCLA +3.2 Home field Oregon +3.1
North Texas by 32.3 · 98% to win
Ours: North Texas by 32.3 Charlotte win 2% North Texas win 98% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Charlotte win by North Texas win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Charlotte win 2.2% North Texas win 97.8% Middle 50%: North Texas by 21 to North Texas by 43 50% Middle 90%: North Texas by 6 to North Texas by 59 90% Middle 95%: North Texas by 2 to North Texas by 63 95% Exactly North Texas by 56 8.0% Exactly North Texas by 28 4.4% Exactly North Texas by 35 3.9% Exactly North Texas by 42 3.9% Exactly North Texas by 31 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents North Texas +15.7 Last season North Texas +13.5 Home field North Texas +3.1
Navy by 5.1 · 62% to win
Ours: Navy by 5.1 Tulsa win 38% Navy win 62% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Tulsa win by Navy win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Tulsa win 37.6% Navy win 62.4% Middle 50%: Tulsa by 6 to Navy by 17 50% Middle 90%: Tulsa by 21 to Navy by 32 90% Middle 95%: Tulsa by 27 to Navy by 37 95% Exactly Navy by 3 6.8% Exactly Tulsa by 3 6.1% Exactly Navy by 7 5.5% Exactly Tulsa by 7 4.2% Exactly Navy by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Navy +5.5 This season, against its opponents Tulsa +3.5 Home field Navy +3.1
Akron by 3.7 · 59% to win
Ours: Akron by 3.7 Eastern Michigan win 41% Akron win 59% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Eastern Michigan win by Akron win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Eastern Michigan win 40.9% Akron win 59.1% Middle 50%: Eastern Michigan by 7 to Akron by 14 50% Middle 90%: Eastern Michigan by 23 to Akron by 31 90% Middle 95%: Eastern Michigan by 28 to Akron by 35 95% Exactly Akron by 3 6.9% Exactly Eastern Michigan by 3 6.3% Exactly Akron by 7 5.4% Exactly Eastern Michigan by 7 4.5% Exactly Akron by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Akron +3.1 This season, against its opponents Akron +1.9 Last season Eastern Michigan +1.3
Toledo by 29.0 · 96% to win
Ours: Toledo by 29.0 Buffalo win 4% Toledo win 96% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Buffalo win by Toledo win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Buffalo win 3.6% Toledo win 96.4% Middle 50%: Toledo by 18 to Toledo by 40 50% Middle 90%: Toledo by 3 to Toledo by 56 90% Middle 95%: Buffalo by 3 to Toledo by 60 95% Exactly Toledo by 56 5.4% Exactly Toledo by 28 4.6% Exactly Toledo by 21 3.9% Exactly Toledo by 35 3.7% Exactly Toledo by 31 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Toledo +13.6 This season, against its opponents Toledo +12.2 Home field Toledo +3.1
Ohio by 11.2 · 76% to win
Ours: Ohio by 11.2 Central Michigan win 24% Ohio win 76% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Central Michigan win by Ohio win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Central Michigan win 24.3% Ohio win 75.7% Middle 50%: Ohio by 1 to Ohio by 22 50% Middle 90%: Central Michigan by 15 to Ohio by 38 90% Middle 95%: Central Michigan by 21 to Ohio by 42 95% Exactly Ohio by 3 6.1% Exactly Ohio by 7 5.4% Exactly Central Michigan by 3 4.7% Exactly Ohio by 14 4.3% Exactly Ohio by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Ohio +6.4 Home field Ohio +3.1 Last season Ohio +1.7
Western Michigan by 21.3 · 91% to win
Ours: Western Michigan by 21.3 Kent State win 9% Western Michigan win 91% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Kent State win by Western Michigan win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kent State win 9.3% Western Michigan win 90.7% Middle 50%: Western Michigan by 10 to Western Michigan by 32 50% Middle 90%: Kent State by 6 to Western Michigan by 48 90% Middle 95%: Kent State by 10 to Western Michigan by 53 95% Exactly Western Michigan by 21 4.4% Exactly Western Michigan by 28 4.2% Exactly Western Michigan by 17 4.1% Exactly Western Michigan by 14 3.9% Exactly Western Michigan by 7 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Western Michigan +11.6 Last season Western Michigan +6.6 Home field Western Michigan +3.1
Temple by 0.5 · 51% to win
Ours: Temple by 0.5 UConn win 49% Temple win 51% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← UConn win by Temple win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UConn win 48.7% Temple win 51.3% Middle 50%: UConn by 10 to Temple by 11 50% Middle 90%: UConn by 27 to Temple by 28 90% Middle 95%: UConn by 31 to Temple by 32 95% Exactly Temple by 3 6.8% Exactly UConn by 3 6.7% Exactly Temple by 7 5.1% Exactly UConn by 7 5.0% Exactly Temple by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UConn +5.2 Home field Temple +3.1 Last season Temple +2.5
East Carolina by 14.7 · 82% to win
Ours: East Carolina by 14.7 Rice win 18% East Carolina win 82% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Rice win by East Carolina win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Rice win 18.0% East Carolina win 82.0% Middle 50%: East Carolina by 3 to East Carolina by 26 50% Middle 90%: Rice by 12 to East Carolina by 42 90% Middle 95%: Rice by 17 to East Carolina by 46 95% Exactly East Carolina by 3 5.3% Exactly East Carolina by 7 5.0% Exactly East Carolina by 14 4.4% Exactly East Carolina by 17 4.2% Exactly East Carolina by 21 4.1%
Where the forecast comes from Last season East Carolina +7.7 This season, against its opponents East Carolina +3.9 Home field East Carolina +3.1
Tennessee by 13.2 · 79% to win
Ours: Tennessee by 13.2 Tennessee win 79% Arkansas win 21% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Tennessee win by Arkansas win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Tennessee win 79.5% Arkansas win 20.5% Middle 50%: Tennessee by 24 to Tennessee by 3 50% Middle 90%: Tennessee by 40 to Arkansas by 14 90% Middle 95%: Tennessee by 45 to Arkansas by 18 95% Exactly Tennessee by 3 5.6% Exactly Tennessee by 7 5.2% Exactly Tennessee by 14 4.4% Exactly Arkansas by 3 4.2% Exactly Tennessee by 17 4.1%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Tennessee +12.9 Last season Tennessee +3.5 Home field Arkansas +3.1
Ohio State by 33.8 · 98% to win
Ours: Ohio State by 33.8 Maryland win 2% Ohio State win 98% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Maryland win by Ohio State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Maryland win 1.8% Ohio State win 98.2% Middle 50%: Ohio State by 23 to Ohio State by 45 50% Middle 90%: Ohio State by 7 to Ohio State by 60 90% Middle 95%: Ohio State by 3 to Ohio State by 66 95% Exactly Ohio State by 56 9.3% Exactly Ohio State by 28 4.3% Exactly Ohio State by 42 4.1% Exactly Ohio State by 35 4.0% Exactly Ohio State by 31 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Ohio State +15.7 This season, against its opponents Ohio State +14.9 Home field Ohio State +3.1
Oregon State by 6.9 · 67% to win
Ours: Oregon State by 6.9 San Diego State win 33% Oregon State win 67% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← San Diego State win by Oregon State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance San Diego State win 33.4% Oregon State win 66.6% Middle 50%: San Diego State by 4 to Oregon State by 18 50% Middle 90%: San Diego State by 20 to Oregon State by 34 90% Middle 95%: San Diego State by 25 to Oregon State by 39 95% Exactly Oregon State by 3 6.7% Exactly San Diego State by 3 5.7% Exactly Oregon State by 7 5.5% Exactly Oregon State by 14 4.0% Exactly San Diego State by 7 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Oregon State +8.6 Last season San Diego State +4.9 Home field Oregon State +3.1
LSU by 7.7 · 68% to win
Ours: LSU by 7.7 LSU win 68% Kentucky win 32% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← LSU win by Kentucky win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance LSU win 68.5% Kentucky win 31.5% Middle 50%: LSU by 19 to Kentucky by 3 50% Middle 90%: LSU by 35 to Kentucky by 19 90% Middle 95%: LSU by 39 to Kentucky by 24 95% Exactly LSU by 3 6.6% Exactly LSU by 7 5.5% Exactly Kentucky by 3 5.5% Exactly LSU by 14 4.0% Exactly Kentucky by 7 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents LSU +6.2 Last season LSU +4.6 Home field Kentucky +3.1
Nevada by 7.2 · 67% to win
Ours: Nevada by 7.2 Nevada win 67% UTEP win 33% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Nevada win by UTEP win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Nevada win 67.3% UTEP win 32.7% Middle 50%: Nevada by 18 to UTEP by 3 50% Middle 90%: Nevada by 34 to UTEP by 20 90% Middle 95%: Nevada by 39 to UTEP by 24 95% Exactly Nevada by 3 6.7% Exactly UTEP by 3 5.7% Exactly Nevada by 7 5.5% Exactly Nevada by 14 4.0% Exactly UTEP by 7 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Nevada +9.3 Home field UTEP +3.1 Last season Nevada +1.1
North Dakota State by 3.9 · 60% to win
Ours: North Dakota State by 3.9 North Dakota State win 60% UNLV win 40% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← North Dakota State win by UNLV win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance North Dakota State win 59.5% UNLV win 40.5% Middle 50%: North Dakota State by 15 to UNLV by 7 50% Middle 90%: North Dakota State by 31 to UNLV by 23 90% Middle 95%: North Dakota State by 35 to UNLV by 28 95% Exactly North Dakota State by 3 6.9% Exactly UNLV by 3 6.3% Exactly North Dakota State by 7 5.4% Exactly UNLV by 7 4.4% Exactly North Dakota State by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents North Dakota State +9.1 Home field UNLV +3.1 Last season UNLV +2.1
Marshall by 2.8 · 57% to win
Ours: Marshall by 2.8 Coastal Carolina win 43% Marshall win 57% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Coastal Carolina win by Marshall win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Coastal Carolina win 43.1% Marshall win 56.9% Middle 50%: Coastal Carolina by 7 to Marshall by 14 50% Middle 90%: Coastal Carolina by 24 to Marshall by 29 90% Middle 95%: Coastal Carolina by 28 to Marshall by 35 95% Exactly Marshall by 3 6.9% Exactly Coastal Carolina by 3 6.5% Exactly Marshall by 7 5.4% Exactly Coastal Carolina by 7 4.6% Exactly Marshall by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Coastal Carolina +5.3 Last season Marshall +5.0 Home field Marshall +3.1
Alabama by 3.4 · 58% to win
Ours: Alabama by 3.4 Georgia win 42% Alabama win 58% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Georgia win by Alabama win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Georgia win 41.6% Alabama win 58.4% Middle 50%: Georgia by 7 to Alabama by 14 50% Middle 90%: Georgia by 24 to Alabama by 31 90% Middle 95%: Georgia by 28 to Alabama by 35 95% Exactly Alabama by 3 6.9% Exactly Georgia by 3 6.4% Exactly Alabama by 7 5.4% Exactly Georgia by 7 4.5% Exactly Alabama by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Alabama +3.8 This season, against its opponents Georgia +3.5 Home field Alabama +3.1
Virginia by 16.7 · 85% to win
Ours: Virginia by 16.7 Syracuse win 15% Virginia win 85% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Syracuse win by Virginia win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Syracuse win 14.9% Virginia win 85.0% Middle 50%: Virginia by 6 to Virginia by 28 50% Middle 90%: Syracuse by 10 to Virginia by 43 90% Middle 95%: Syracuse by 15 to Virginia by 49 95% Exactly Virginia by 3 4.8% Exactly Virginia by 7 4.6% Exactly Virginia by 14 4.3% Exactly Virginia by 21 4.2% Exactly Virginia by 17 4.2%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Virginia +7.7 Last season Virginia +5.8 Home field Virginia +3.1
Penn State by 6.6 · 66% to win
Ours: Penn State by 6.6 USC win 34% Penn State win 66% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← USC win by Penn State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance USC win 34.1% Penn State win 65.9% Middle 50%: USC by 4 to Penn State by 17 50% Middle 90%: USC by 21 to Penn State by 34 90% Middle 95%: USC by 25 to Penn State by 38 95% Exactly Penn State by 3 6.7% Exactly USC by 3 5.8% Exactly Penn State by 7 5.5% Exactly Penn State by 14 3.9% Exactly USC by 7 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Penn State +4.5 Home field Penn State +3.1 Last season USC +1.1
Air Force by 8.0 · 69% to win
Ours: Air Force by 8.0 Air Force win 69% Northern Illinois win 31% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Air Force win by Northern Illinois win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Air Force win 69.0% Northern Illinois win 31.0% Middle 50%: Air Force by 19 to Northern Illinois by 3 50% Middle 90%: Air Force by 35 to Northern Illinois by 19 90% Middle 95%: Air Force by 40 to Northern Illinois by 24 95% Exactly Air Force by 3 6.6% Exactly Air Force by 7 5.5% Exactly Northern Illinois by 3 5.5% Exactly Air Force by 14 4.1% Exactly Northern Illinois by 7 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Air Force +7.7 Last season Air Force +3.4 Home field Northern Illinois +3.1
Louisiana Tech by 0.2 · 50% to win
Ours: Louisiana Tech by 0.2 Louisiana win 50% Louisiana Tech win 50% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Louisiana win by Louisiana Tech win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Louisiana win 49.6% Louisiana Tech win 50.4% Middle 50%: Louisiana by 11 to Louisiana Tech by 11 50% Middle 90%: Louisiana by 27 to Louisiana Tech by 27 90% Middle 95%: Louisiana by 32 to Louisiana Tech by 32 95% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 3 6.8% Exactly Louisiana by 3 6.8% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 7 5.1% Exactly Louisiana by 7 5.0% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Louisiana +4.5 Home field Louisiana Tech +3.1 Last season Louisiana Tech +1.6
Minnesota by 5.5 · 63% to win
Ours: Minnesota by 5.5 Minnesota win 63% Purdue win 37% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Minnesota win by Purdue win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Minnesota win 63.4% Purdue win 36.6% Middle 50%: Minnesota by 17 to Purdue by 6 50% Middle 90%: Minnesota by 32 to Purdue by 21 90% Middle 95%: Minnesota by 38 to Purdue by 27 95% Exactly Minnesota by 3 6.8% Exactly Purdue by 3 6.0% Exactly Minnesota by 7 5.5% Exactly Purdue by 7 4.1% Exactly Minnesota by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Minnesota +8.6 Home field Purdue +3.1 Last season Minnesota +0.1
Utah by 25.8 · 95% to win
Ours: Utah by 25.8 Kansas win 5% Utah win 95% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Kansas win by Utah win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kansas win 5.4% Utah win 94.5% Middle 50%: Utah by 15 to Utah by 37 50% Middle 90%: Kansas by 2 to Utah by 52 90% Middle 95%: Kansas by 7 to Utah by 56 95% Exactly Utah by 28 4.5% Exactly Utah by 21 4.2% Exactly Utah by 17 3.6% Exactly Utah by 56 3.6% Exactly Utah by 24 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Utah +15.8 Last season Utah +6.8 Home field Utah +3.1
Arizona State by 19.9 · 89% to win
Ours: Arizona State by 19.9 Hawai'i win 11% Arizona State win 89% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Hawai'i win by Arizona State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Hawai'i win 10.8% Arizona State win 89.2% Middle 50%: Arizona State by 8 to Arizona State by 31 50% Middle 90%: Hawai'i by 7 to Arizona State by 46 90% Middle 95%: Hawai'i by 12 to Arizona State by 52 95% Exactly Arizona State by 21 4.4% Exactly Arizona State by 17 4.2% Exactly Arizona State by 14 4.1% Exactly Arizona State by 28 4.0% Exactly Arizona State by 7 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Arizona State +12.2 Last season Arizona State +4.5 Home field Arizona State +3.1
Boise State by 7.5 · 68% to win
Ours: Boise State by 7.5 Boise State win 68% Fresno State win 32% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Boise State win by Fresno State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Boise State win 68.0% Fresno State win 32.0% Middle 50%: Boise State by 18 to Fresno State by 3 50% Middle 90%: Boise State by 34 to Fresno State by 19 90% Middle 95%: Boise State by 39 to Fresno State by 24 95% Exactly Boise State by 3 6.6% Exactly Fresno State by 3 5.6% Exactly Boise State by 7 5.5% Exactly Boise State by 14 4.0% Exactly Fresno State by 7 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Boise State +7.0 Last season Boise State +3.7 Home field Fresno State +3.1
Southern Miss at 
Troy 
