Week 13 · November 24–28 · 9 weeks ahead
College football predictions, week 13 An early look at week 13, from how each team has played so far against the opponents it has faced, adjusted for luck , and where it stood last season. This far ahead fewer games are in, so the curves are wider. On past seasons, forecasts made 9 weeks ahead picked 70.9% of winners, against 74.4% for forecasts made the week before. These update every day: this week’s predictions .
Weeks ahead 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 Western Michigan by 7.5 · 67% to win
Ours: Western Michigan by 7.5 Miami (OH) win 33% Western Michigan win 67% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Miami (OH) win by Western Michigan win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Miami (OH) win 32.8% Western Michigan win 67.2% Middle 50%: Miami (OH) by 4 to Western Michigan by 19 50% Middle 90%: Miami (OH) by 21 to Western Michigan by 35 90% Middle 95%: Miami (OH) by 26 to Western Michigan by 41 95% Exactly Western Michigan by 3 6.3% Exactly Miami (OH) by 3 5.4% Exactly Western Michigan by 7 5.3% Exactly Western Michigan by 14 3.9% Exactly Miami (OH) by 7 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Western Michigan +3.1 This season, against its opponents Western Michigan +2.8 Last season Western Michigan +1.6
Eastern Michigan by 4.6 · 61% to win
Ours: Eastern Michigan by 4.6 Kent State win 39% Eastern Michigan win 61% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Kent State win by Eastern Michigan win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kent State win 39.2% Eastern Michigan win 60.8% Middle 50%: Kent State by 7 to Eastern Michigan by 17 50% Middle 90%: Kent State by 24 to Eastern Michigan by 33 90% Middle 95%: Kent State by 28 to Eastern Michigan by 38 95% Exactly Eastern Michigan by 3 6.5% Exactly Kent State by 3 5.9% Exactly Eastern Michigan by 7 5.2% Exactly Kent State by 7 4.2% Exactly Eastern Michigan by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Eastern Michigan +3.1 Last season Eastern Michigan +1.2 This season, against its opponents Eastern Michigan +0.3
Texas Tech by 11.2 · 75% to win
Ours: Texas Tech by 11.2 TCU win 25% Texas Tech win 75% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← TCU win by Texas Tech win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance TCU win 25.4% Texas Tech win 74.6% Middle 50%: TCU by 1 to Texas Tech by 23 50% Middle 90%: TCU by 17 to Texas Tech by 39 90% Middle 95%: TCU by 22 to Texas Tech by 45 95% Exactly Texas Tech by 3 5.8% Exactly Texas Tech by 7 5.1% Exactly TCU by 3 4.6% Exactly Texas Tech by 14 4.1% Exactly Texas Tech by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Texas Tech +6.5 Home field Texas Tech +3.1 This season, against its opponents Texas Tech +1.6
Ole Miss by 2.6 · 56% to win
Ours: Ole Miss by 2.6 Mississippi State win 44% Ole Miss win 56% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Mississippi State win by Ole Miss win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Mississippi State win 43.8% Ole Miss win 56.2% Middle 50%: Mississippi State by 8 to Ole Miss by 14 50% Middle 90%: Mississippi State by 25 to Ole Miss by 31 90% Middle 95%: Mississippi State by 31 to Ole Miss by 36 95% Exactly Ole Miss by 3 6.5% Exactly Mississippi State by 3 6.2% Exactly Ole Miss by 7 5.1% Exactly Mississippi State by 7 4.5% Exactly Ole Miss by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Mississippi State +10.1 Last season Ole Miss +9.6 Home field Ole Miss +3.1
Iowa by 4.8 · 61% to win
Ours: Iowa by 4.8 Nebraska win 39% Iowa win 61% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Nebraska win by Iowa win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Nebraska win 38.8% Iowa win 61.2% Middle 50%: Nebraska by 7 to Iowa by 17 50% Middle 90%: Nebraska by 24 to Iowa by 33 90% Middle 95%: Nebraska by 28 to Iowa by 38 95% Exactly Iowa by 3 6.5% Exactly Nebraska by 3 5.9% Exactly Iowa by 7 5.2% Exactly Nebraska by 7 4.2% Exactly Iowa by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Iowa +5.2 This season, against its opponents Nebraska +3.5 Home field Iowa +3.1
East Carolina by 9.0 · 70% to win
Ours: East Carolina by 9.0 Florida Atlantic win 30% East Carolina win 70% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Florida Atlantic win by East Carolina win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Florida Atlantic win 29.8% East Carolina win 70.2% Middle 50%: Florida Atlantic by 3 to East Carolina by 21 50% Middle 90%: Florida Atlantic by 19 to East Carolina by 37 90% Middle 95%: Florida Atlantic by 24 to East Carolina by 42 95% Exactly East Carolina by 3 6.2% Exactly East Carolina by 7 5.2% Exactly Florida Atlantic by 3 5.1% Exactly East Carolina by 14 4.0% Exactly East Carolina by 17 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Last season East Carolina +6.4 Home field East Carolina +3.1 This season, against its opponents Florida Atlantic +0.5
Memphis by 8.9 · 70% to win
Ours: Memphis by 8.9 Temple win 30% Memphis win 70% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Temple win by Memphis win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Temple win 29.9% Memphis win 70.1% Middle 50%: Temple by 3 to Memphis by 21 50% Middle 90%: Temple by 19 to Memphis by 37 90% Middle 95%: Temple by 24 to Memphis by 42 95% Exactly Memphis by 3 6.2% Exactly Memphis by 7 5.2% Exactly Temple by 3 5.1% Exactly Memphis by 14 4.0% Exactly Memphis by 17 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Memphis +5.0 Home field Memphis +3.1 Last season Memphis +0.8
South Florida by 9.7 · 72% to win
Ours: South Florida by 9.7 Tulane win 28% South Florida win 72% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Tulane win by South Florida win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Tulane win 28.3% South Florida win 71.7% Middle 50%: Tulane by 3 to South Florida by 21 50% Middle 90%: Tulane by 18 to South Florida by 38 90% Middle 95%: Tulane by 24 to South Florida by 43 95% Exactly South Florida by 3 6.1% Exactly South Florida by 7 5.2% Exactly Tulane by 3 5.0% Exactly South Florida by 14 4.0% Exactly South Florida by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents South Florida +8.9 Home field South Florida +3.1 Last season Tulane +2.4
Akron by 6.0 · 64% to win
Ours: Akron by 6.0 Buffalo win 36% Akron win 64% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Buffalo win by Akron win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Buffalo win 36.3% Akron win 63.7% Middle 50%: Buffalo by 6 to Akron by 17 50% Middle 90%: Buffalo by 22 to Akron by 34 90% Middle 95%: Buffalo by 28 to Akron by 39 95% Exactly Akron by 3 6.4% Exactly Buffalo by 3 5.7% Exactly Akron by 7 5.3% Exactly Buffalo by 7 4.0% Exactly Akron by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Akron +3.1 Last season Akron +2.8
Toledo by 8.8 · 70% to win
Ours: Toledo by 8.8 Toledo win 70% Ohio win 30% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Toledo win by Ohio win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Toledo win 69.8% Ohio win 30.2% Middle 50%: Toledo by 21 to Ohio by 3 50% Middle 90%: Toledo by 37 to Ohio by 20 90% Middle 95%: Toledo by 42 to Ohio by 25 95% Exactly Toledo by 3 6.2% Exactly Toledo by 7 5.2% Exactly Ohio by 3 5.2% Exactly Toledo by 14 4.0% Exactly Toledo by 17 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Toledo +7.4 This season, against its opponents Toledo +4.5 Home field Ohio +3.1
South Alabama by 2.0 · 55% to win
Ours: South Alabama by 2.0 App State win 45% South Alabama win 55% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← App State win by South Alabama win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance App State win 45.4% South Alabama win 54.6% Middle 50%: App State by 10 to South Alabama by 14 50% Middle 90%: App State by 26 to South Alabama by 31 90% Middle 95%: App State by 32 to South Alabama by 35 95% Exactly South Alabama by 3 6.5% Exactly App State by 3 6.3% Exactly South Alabama by 7 5.0% Exactly App State by 7 4.6% Exactly South Alabama by 14 3.2%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents App State +4.4 Last season South Alabama +3.2 Home field South Alabama +3.1
Florida by 11.6 · 75% to win
Ours: Florida by 11.6 Florida win 75% Florida State win 25% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Florida win by Florida State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Florida win 75.3% Florida State win 24.7% Middle 50%: Florida by 23 to Florida by 1 50% Middle 90%: Florida by 39 to Florida State by 17 90% Middle 95%: Florida by 45 to Florida State by 22 95% Exactly Florida by 3 5.8% Exactly Florida by 7 5.1% Exactly Florida State by 3 4.5% Exactly Florida by 14 4.1% Exactly Florida by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Florida +14.2 Home field Florida State +3.1 Last season Florida +0.5
North Dakota State by 14.6 · 80% to win
Ours: North Dakota State by 14.6 North Dakota State win 80% San José State win 20% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← North Dakota State win by San José State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance North Dakota State win 80.5% San José State win 19.5% Middle 50%: North Dakota State by 26 to North Dakota State by 3 50% Middle 90%: North Dakota State by 42 to San José State by 14 90% Middle 95%: North Dakota State by 48 to San José State by 19 95% Exactly North Dakota State by 3 5.2% Exactly North Dakota State by 7 4.8% Exactly North Dakota State by 14 4.1% Exactly North Dakota State by 17 4.0% Exactly North Dakota State by 21 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents North Dakota State +14.9 Home field San José State +3.1 Last season North Dakota State +2.8
Texas by 6.2 · 64% to win
Ours: Texas by 6.2 Texas win 64% Texas A&M win 36% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Texas win by Texas A&M win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Texas win 64.2% Texas A&M win 35.8% Middle 50%: Texas by 18 to Texas A&M by 6 50% Middle 90%: Texas by 34 to Texas A&M by 22 90% Middle 95%: Texas by 39 to Texas A&M by 28 95% Exactly Texas by 3 6.4% Exactly Texas A&M by 3 5.7% Exactly Texas by 7 5.3% Exactly Texas A&M by 7 3.9% Exactly Texas by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Texas +8.1 Home field Texas A&M +3.1 Last season Texas +1.2
Wisconsin by 6.7 · 65% to win
Ours: Wisconsin by 6.7 Minnesota win 35% Wisconsin win 65% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Minnesota win by Wisconsin win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Minnesota win 34.7% Wisconsin win 65.3% Middle 50%: Minnesota by 5 to Wisconsin by 18 50% Middle 90%: Minnesota by 21 to Wisconsin by 35 90% Middle 95%: Minnesota by 27 to Wisconsin by 40 95% Exactly Wisconsin by 3 6.4% Exactly Minnesota by 3 5.6% Exactly Wisconsin by 7 5.3% Exactly Minnesota by 7 3.8% Exactly Wisconsin by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Wisconsin +3.1 This season, against its opponents Wisconsin +2.8 Last season Wisconsin +0.8
Utah by 26.6 · 94% to win
Ours: Utah by 26.6 West Virginia win 6% Utah win 94% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← West Virginia win by Utah win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance West Virginia win 5.8% Utah win 94.2% Middle 50%: Utah by 15 to Utah by 38 50% Middle 90%: West Virginia by 3 to Utah by 55 90% Middle 95%: West Virginia by 7 to Utah by 60 95% Exactly Utah by 56 4.8% Exactly Utah by 28 4.3% Exactly Utah by 21 4.0% Exactly Utah by 17 3.4% Exactly Utah by 35 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Utah +12.1 Last season Utah +11.4 Home field Utah +3.1
Alabama by 17.3 · 85% to win
Ours: Alabama by 17.3 Auburn win 15% Alabama win 85% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Auburn win by Alabama win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Auburn win 15.4% Alabama win 84.6% Middle 50%: Alabama by 6 to Alabama by 28 50% Middle 90%: Auburn by 11 to Alabama by 45 90% Middle 95%: Auburn by 17 to Alabama by 51 95% Exactly Alabama by 3 4.6% Exactly Alabama by 7 4.4% Exactly Alabama by 21 4.1% Exactly Alabama by 14 4.1% Exactly Alabama by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Alabama +11.9 Home field Alabama +3.1 Last season Alabama +2.3
LSU by 16.6 · 84% to win
Ours: LSU by 16.6 LSU win 84% Arkansas win 16% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← LSU win by Arkansas win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance LSU win 83.7% Arkansas win 16.4% Middle 50%: LSU by 28 to LSU by 5 50% Middle 90%: LSU by 45 to Arkansas by 11 90% Middle 95%: LSU by 49 to Arkansas by 17 95% Exactly LSU by 3 4.8% Exactly LSU by 7 4.5% Exactly LSU by 14 4.1% Exactly LSU by 21 4.0% Exactly LSU by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents LSU +12.7 Last season LSU +7.1 Home field Arkansas +3.1
Georgia by 26.9 · 94% to win
Ours: Georgia by 26.9 Georgia Tech win 6% Georgia win 94% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Georgia Tech win by Georgia win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Georgia Tech win 5.6% Georgia win 94.4% Middle 50%: Georgia by 15 to Georgia by 38 50% Middle 90%: Georgia Tech by 2 to Georgia by 55 90% Middle 95%: Georgia Tech by 7 to Georgia by 60 95% Exactly Georgia by 56 5.0% Exactly Georgia by 28 4.4% Exactly Georgia by 21 3.9% Exactly Georgia by 35 3.4% Exactly Georgia by 17 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Georgia +20.9 Home field Georgia +3.1 Last season Georgia +3.0
Kentucky by 2.7 · 56% to win
Ours: Kentucky by 2.7 Louisville win 44% Kentucky win 56% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Louisville win by Kentucky win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Louisville win 43.6% Kentucky win 56.4% Middle 50%: Louisville by 8 to Kentucky by 14 50% Middle 90%: Louisville by 25 to Kentucky by 31 90% Middle 95%: Louisville by 31 to Kentucky by 36 95% Exactly Kentucky by 3 6.5% Exactly Louisville by 3 6.2% Exactly Kentucky by 7 5.1% Exactly Louisville by 7 4.5% Exactly Kentucky by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Louisville +3.4 Home field Kentucky +3.1 This season, against its opponents Kentucky +3.0
Missouri by 0.1 · 50% to win
Ours: Missouri by 0.1 Oklahoma win 50% Missouri win 50% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Oklahoma win by Missouri win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Oklahoma win 49.8% Missouri win 50.2% Middle 50%: Oklahoma by 11 to Missouri by 12 50% Middle 90%: Oklahoma by 28 to Missouri by 28 90% Middle 95%: Oklahoma by 34 to Missouri by 34 95% Exactly Missouri by 3 6.5% Exactly Oklahoma by 3 6.4% Exactly Missouri by 7 4.9% Exactly Oklahoma by 7 4.8% Exactly Missouri by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Oklahoma +7.0 This season, against its opponents Missouri +3.9 Home field Missouri +3.1
Clemson by 0.3 · 51% to win
Ours: Clemson by 0.3 South Carolina win 49% Clemson win 51% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← South Carolina win by Clemson win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance South Carolina win 49.4% Clemson win 50.6% Middle 50%: South Carolina by 11 to Clemson by 12 50% Middle 90%: South Carolina by 28 to Clemson by 28 90% Middle 95%: South Carolina by 33 to Clemson by 34 95% Exactly Clemson by 3 6.5% Exactly South Carolina by 3 6.4% Exactly Clemson by 7 4.9% Exactly South Carolina by 7 4.8% Exactly Clemson by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents South Carolina +3.2 Home field Clemson +3.1 Last season Clemson +0.3
Tennessee by 5.2 · 62% to win
Ours: Tennessee by 5.2 Tennessee win 62% Vanderbilt win 38% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Tennessee win by Vanderbilt win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Tennessee win 62.0% Vanderbilt win 38.0% Middle 50%: Tennessee by 17 to Vanderbilt by 7 50% Middle 90%: Tennessee by 34 to Vanderbilt by 23 90% Middle 95%: Tennessee by 38 to Vanderbilt by 28 95% Exactly Tennessee by 3 6.5% Exactly Vanderbilt by 3 5.8% Exactly Tennessee by 7 5.2% Exactly Vanderbilt by 7 4.1% Exactly Tennessee by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Tennessee +9.3 Home field Vanderbilt +3.1 Last season Vanderbilt +1.0
Arizona by 6.1 · 64% to win
Ours: Arizona by 6.1 Arizona State win 36% Arizona win 64% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Arizona State win by Arizona win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Arizona State win 35.9% Arizona win 64.1% Middle 50%: Arizona State by 6 to Arizona by 18 50% Middle 90%: Arizona State by 22 to Arizona by 34 90% Middle 95%: Arizona State by 28 to Arizona by 39 95% Exactly Arizona by 3 6.4% Exactly Arizona State by 3 5.7% Exactly Arizona by 7 5.3% Exactly Arizona State by 7 3.9% Exactly Arizona by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Arizona +3.1 This season, against its opponents Arizona +2.6 Last season Arizona +0.3
Houston by 6.1 · 64% to win
Ours: Houston by 6.1 Baylor win 36% Houston win 64% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Baylor win by Houston win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Baylor win 35.9% Houston win 64.1% Middle 50%: Baylor by 6 to Houston by 18 50% Middle 90%: Baylor by 22 to Houston by 34 90% Middle 95%: Baylor by 28 to Houston by 39 95% Exactly Houston by 3 6.4% Exactly Baylor by 3 5.7% Exactly Houston by 7 5.3% Exactly Baylor by 7 3.9% Exactly Houston by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Houston +7.3 Last season Baylor +4.3 Home field Houston +3.1
UCF by 5.5 · 63% to win
Ours: UCF by 5.5 UCF win 63% Colorado win 37% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UCF win by Colorado win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UCF win 62.7% Colorado win 37.3% Middle 50%: UCF by 17 to Colorado by 7 50% Middle 90%: UCF by 34 to Colorado by 23 90% Middle 95%: UCF by 39 to Colorado by 28 95% Exactly UCF by 3 6.5% Exactly Colorado by 3 5.8% Exactly UCF by 7 5.2% Exactly Colorado by 7 4.0% Exactly UCF by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UCF +7.3 Home field Colorado +3.1 Last season UCF +1.3
BYU by 10.9 · 74% to win
Ours: BYU by 10.9 Cincinnati win 26% BYU win 74% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Cincinnati win by BYU win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Cincinnati win 26.0% BYU win 74.0% Middle 50%: Cincinnati by 1 to BYU by 22 50% Middle 90%: Cincinnati by 17 to BYU by 39 90% Middle 95%: Cincinnati by 23 to BYU by 45 95% Exactly BYU by 3 5.9% Exactly BYU by 7 5.1% Exactly Cincinnati by 3 4.7% Exactly BYU by 14 4.1% Exactly BYU by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents BYU +5.8 Home field BYU +3.1 Last season BYU +1.9
Oklahoma State by 3.1 · 57% to win
Ours: Oklahoma State by 3.1 Kansas win 43% Oklahoma State win 57% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Kansas win by Oklahoma State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kansas win 42.6% Oklahoma State win 57.4% Middle 50%: Kansas by 8 to Oklahoma State by 14 50% Middle 90%: Kansas by 25 to Oklahoma State by 31 90% Middle 95%: Kansas by 31 to Oklahoma State by 37 95% Exactly Oklahoma State by 3 6.5% Exactly Kansas by 3 6.1% Exactly Oklahoma State by 7 5.1% Exactly Kansas by 7 4.4% Exactly Oklahoma State by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Oklahoma State +9.6 Last season Kansas +9.6 Home field Oklahoma State +3.1
Iowa State by 4.1 · 60% to win
Ours: Iowa State by 4.1 Kansas State win 40% Iowa State win 60% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Kansas State win by Iowa State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kansas State win 40.4% Iowa State win 59.6% Middle 50%: Kansas State by 7 to Iowa State by 16 50% Middle 90%: Kansas State by 24 to Iowa State by 32 90% Middle 95%: Kansas State by 29 to Iowa State by 38 95% Exactly Iowa State by 3 6.5% Exactly Kansas State by 3 6.0% Exactly Iowa State by 7 5.2% Exactly Kansas State by 7 4.3% Exactly Iowa State by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Iowa State +3.1 Last season Iowa State +1.1 This season, against its opponents Kansas State +0.1
Miami by 34.9 · 98% to win
Ours: Miami by 34.9 Boston College win 2% Miami win 98% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Boston College win by Miami win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Boston College win 2.0% Miami win 98.0% Middle 50%: Miami by 24 to Miami by 46 50% Middle 90%: Miami by 7 to Miami by 62 90% Middle 95%: Miami by 3 to Miami by 66 95% Exactly Miami by 56 11.6% Exactly Miami by 42 4.0% Exactly Miami by 28 4.0% Exactly Miami by 35 3.8% Exactly Miami by 49 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Miami +24.1 Last season Miami +7.6 Home field Miami +3.1
Duke by 3.1 · 57% to win
Ours: Duke by 3.1 Duke win 57% Wake Forest win 43% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Duke win by Wake Forest win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Duke win 57.3% Wake Forest win 42.7% Middle 50%: Duke by 14 to Wake Forest by 8 50% Middle 90%: Duke by 31 to Wake Forest by 25 90% Middle 95%: Duke by 37 to Wake Forest by 31 95% Exactly Duke by 3 6.5% Exactly Wake Forest by 3 6.1% Exactly Duke by 7 5.1% Exactly Wake Forest by 7 4.4% Exactly Duke by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Duke +5.0 Home field Wake Forest +3.1 Last season Duke +1.3
NC State by 0.6 · 51% to win
Ours: NC State by 0.6 NC State win 51% North Carolina win 49% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← NC State win by North Carolina win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance NC State win 51.3% North Carolina win 48.7% Middle 50%: NC State by 12 to North Carolina by 11 50% Middle 90%: NC State by 28 to North Carolina by 28 90% Middle 95%: NC State by 34 to North Carolina by 33 95% Exactly NC State by 3 6.5% Exactly North Carolina by 3 6.4% Exactly NC State by 7 4.9% Exactly North Carolina by 7 4.8% Exactly NC State by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season NC State +3.5 Home field North Carolina +3.1 This season, against its opponents NC State +0.3
Notre Dame by 27.1 · 95% to win
Ours: Notre Dame by 27.1 Notre Dame win 95% Syracuse win 5% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Notre Dame win by Syracuse win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Notre Dame win 94.5% Syracuse win 5.5% Middle 50%: Notre Dame by 38 to Notre Dame by 16 50% Middle 90%: Notre Dame by 56 to Syracuse by 2 90% Middle 95%: Notre Dame by 60 to Syracuse by 7 95% Exactly Notre Dame by 56 5.1% Exactly Notre Dame by 28 4.4% Exactly Notre Dame by 21 3.9% Exactly Notre Dame by 35 3.4% Exactly Notre Dame by 17 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Notre Dame +15.4 Last season Notre Dame +14.8 Home field Syracuse +3.1
Pittsburgh by 13.9 · 79% to win
Ours: Pittsburgh by 13.9 Pittsburgh win 79% California win 21% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Pittsburgh win by California win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Pittsburgh win 79.3% California win 20.7% Middle 50%: Pittsburgh by 25 to Pittsburgh by 3 50% Middle 90%: Pittsburgh by 42 to California by 14 90% Middle 95%: Pittsburgh by 48 to California by 20 95% Exactly Pittsburgh by 3 5.3% Exactly Pittsburgh by 7 4.9% Exactly Pittsburgh by 14 4.1% Exactly California by 3 4.0% Exactly Pittsburgh by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Pittsburgh +12.3 Last season Pittsburgh +4.7 Home field California +3.1
SMU by 12.9 · 78% to win
Ours: SMU by 12.9 SMU win 78% Stanford win 22% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← SMU win by Stanford win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance SMU win 77.7% Stanford win 22.3% Middle 50%: SMU by 24 to SMU by 3 50% Middle 90%: SMU by 41 to Stanford by 15 90% Middle 95%: SMU by 46 to Stanford by 21 95% Exactly SMU by 3 5.5% Exactly SMU by 7 5.0% Exactly Stanford by 3 4.2% Exactly SMU by 14 4.1% Exactly SMU by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents SMU +14.8 Home field Stanford +3.1 Last season SMU +1.2
Virginia by 5.0 · 62% to win
Ours: Virginia by 5.0 Virginia win 62% Virginia Tech win 38% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Virginia win by Virginia Tech win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Virginia win 61.7% Virginia Tech win 38.3% Middle 50%: Virginia by 17 to Virginia Tech by 7 50% Middle 90%: Virginia by 33 to Virginia Tech by 23 90% Middle 95%: Virginia by 38 to Virginia Tech by 28 95% Exactly Virginia by 3 6.5% Exactly Virginia Tech by 3 5.9% Exactly Virginia by 7 5.2% Exactly Virginia Tech by 7 4.1% Exactly Virginia by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Virginia +7.1 Home field Virginia Tech +3.1 This season, against its opponents Virginia +1.1
Northwestern by 5.3 · 62% to win
Ours: Northwestern by 5.3 Illinois win 38% Northwestern win 62% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Illinois win by Northwestern win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Illinois win 37.7% Northwestern win 62.3% Middle 50%: Illinois by 7 to Northwestern by 17 50% Middle 90%: Illinois by 23 to Northwestern by 34 90% Middle 95%: Illinois by 28 to Northwestern by 39 95% Exactly Northwestern by 3 6.5% Exactly Illinois by 3 5.8% Exactly Northwestern by 7 5.2% Exactly Illinois by 7 4.1% Exactly Northwestern by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Northwestern +4.6 Home field Northwestern +3.1 Last season Illinois +2.4
Indiana by 32.7 · 97% to win
Ours: Indiana by 32.7 Purdue win 3% Indiana win 97% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Purdue win by Indiana win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Purdue win 2.7% Indiana win 97.3% Middle 50%: Indiana by 21 to Indiana by 45 50% Middle 90%: Indiana by 4 to Indiana by 60 90% Middle 95%: Purdue by 2 to Indiana by 66 95% Exactly Indiana by 56 9.3% Exactly Indiana by 28 4.2% Exactly Indiana by 42 3.8% Exactly Indiana by 35 3.8% Exactly Indiana by 31 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Indiana +15.6 Last season Indiana +14.0 Home field Indiana +3.1
Penn State by 17.2 · 85% to win
Ours: Penn State by 17.2 Penn State win 85% Maryland win 15% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Penn State win by Maryland win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Penn State win 84.5% Maryland win 15.4% Middle 50%: Penn State by 28 to Penn State by 6 50% Middle 90%: Penn State by 45 to Maryland by 11 90% Middle 95%: Penn State by 50 to Maryland by 17 95% Exactly Penn State by 3 4.6% Exactly Penn State by 7 4.4% Exactly Penn State by 21 4.1% Exactly Penn State by 14 4.1% Exactly Penn State by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Penn State +10.9 Last season Penn State +9.5 Home field Maryland +3.1
Ohio State by 19.9 · 88% to win
Ours: Ohio State by 19.9 Michigan win 12% Ohio State win 88% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Michigan win by Ohio State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Michigan win 12.0% Ohio State win 88.0% Middle 50%: Ohio State by 8 to Ohio State by 31 50% Middle 90%: Michigan by 8 to Ohio State by 48 90% Middle 95%: Michigan by 14 to Ohio State by 53 95% Exactly Ohio State by 21 4.2% Exactly Ohio State by 3 4.0% Exactly Ohio State by 7 4.0% Exactly Ohio State by 17 4.0% Exactly Ohio State by 28 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Ohio State +14.2 Home field Ohio State +3.1 Last season Ohio State +2.6
Oregon by 14.9 · 81% to win
Ours: Oregon by 14.9 Washington win 19% Oregon win 81% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Washington win by Oregon win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Washington win 18.9% Oregon win 81.0% Middle 50%: Oregon by 3 to Oregon by 27 50% Middle 90%: Washington by 14 to Oregon by 42 90% Middle 95%: Washington by 18 to Oregon by 49 95% Exactly Oregon by 3 5.1% Exactly Oregon by 7 4.7% Exactly Oregon by 14 4.1% Exactly Oregon by 17 4.0% Exactly Oregon by 21 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Oregon +12.1 Home field Oregon +3.1 Last season Washington +0.3
Michigan State by 4.1 · 59% to win
Ours: Michigan State by 4.1 Michigan State win 59% Rutgers win 41% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Michigan State win by Rutgers win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Michigan State win 59.5% Rutgers win 40.5% Middle 50%: Michigan State by 16 to Rutgers by 7 50% Middle 90%: Michigan State by 32 to Rutgers by 24 90% Middle 95%: Michigan State by 38 to Rutgers by 29 95% Exactly Michigan State by 3 6.5% Exactly Rutgers by 3 6.0% Exactly Michigan State by 7 5.2% Exactly Rutgers by 7 4.3% Exactly Michigan State by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Michigan State +5.7 Home field Rutgers +3.1 This season, against its opponents Michigan State +1.5
UCLA by 2.8 · 56% to win
Ours: UCLA by 2.8 USC win 44% UCLA win 56% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← USC win by UCLA win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance USC win 43.6% UCLA win 56.4% Middle 50%: USC by 8 to UCLA by 14 50% Middle 90%: USC by 25 to UCLA by 31 90% Middle 95%: USC by 31 to UCLA by 36 95% Exactly UCLA by 3 6.5% Exactly USC by 3 6.2% Exactly UCLA by 7 5.1% Exactly USC by 7 4.5% Exactly UCLA by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Last season USC +8.3 This season, against its opponents UCLA +7.8 Home field UCLA +3.1
UConn by 9.7 · 72% to win
Ours: UConn by 9.7 UConn win 72% Wyoming win 28% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UConn win by Wyoming win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UConn win 71.7% Wyoming win 28.3% Middle 50%: UConn by 21 to Wyoming by 3 50% Middle 90%: UConn by 38 to Wyoming by 18 90% Middle 95%: UConn by 43 to Wyoming by 24 95% Exactly UConn by 3 6.1% Exactly UConn by 7 5.2% Exactly Wyoming by 3 5.0% Exactly UConn by 14 4.0% Exactly UConn by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UConn +9.9 Home field Wyoming +3.1 Last season UConn +3.0
UTSA by 12.9 · 78% to win
Ours: UTSA by 12.9 Tulsa win 22% UTSA win 78% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Tulsa win by UTSA win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Tulsa win 22.2% UTSA win 77.8% Middle 50%: UTSA by 3 to UTSA by 24 50% Middle 90%: Tulsa by 15 to UTSA by 41 90% Middle 95%: Tulsa by 21 to UTSA by 46 95% Exactly UTSA by 3 5.5% Exactly UTSA by 7 5.0% Exactly Tulsa by 3 4.2% Exactly UTSA by 14 4.1% Exactly UTSA by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from Last season UTSA +10.5 Home field UTSA +3.1 This season, against its opponents Tulsa +0.7
Army by 13.5 · 79% to win
Ours: Army by 13.5 Army win 79% Rice win 21% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Army win by Rice win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Army win 78.7% Rice win 21.3% Middle 50%: Army by 25 to Army by 3 50% Middle 90%: Army by 42 to Rice by 14 90% Middle 95%: Army by 47 to Rice by 20 95% Exactly Army by 3 5.4% Exactly Army by 7 4.9% Exactly Army by 14 4.1% Exactly Rice by 3 4.1% Exactly Army by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Army +11.7 Last season Army +5.0 Home field Rice +3.1
Navy by 14.3 · 80% to win
Ours: Navy by 14.3 Navy win 80% Charlotte win 20% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Navy win by Charlotte win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Navy win 80.1% Charlotte win 19.9% Middle 50%: Navy by 26 to Navy by 3 50% Middle 90%: Navy by 42 to Charlotte by 14 90% Middle 95%: Navy by 48 to Charlotte by 19 95% Exactly Navy by 3 5.3% Exactly Navy by 7 4.8% Exactly Navy by 14 4.1% Exactly Navy by 17 4.0% Exactly Charlotte by 3 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Navy +11.4 Last season Navy +6.0 Home field Charlotte +3.1
North Texas by 21.5 · 90% to win
Ours: North Texas by 21.5 UAB win 10% North Texas win 90% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UAB win by North Texas win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UAB win 10.3% North Texas win 89.8% Middle 50%: North Texas by 10 to North Texas by 33 50% Middle 90%: UAB by 7 to North Texas by 49 90% Middle 95%: UAB by 12 to North Texas by 55 95% Exactly North Texas by 21 4.2% Exactly North Texas by 28 4.1% Exactly North Texas by 17 3.9% Exactly North Texas by 14 3.8% Exactly North Texas by 7 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season North Texas +9.5 This season, against its opponents North Texas +8.9 Home field North Texas +3.1
Northern Illinois by 6.8 · 66% to win
Ours: Northern Illinois by 6.8 UTEP win 34% Northern Illinois win 66% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UTEP win by Northern Illinois win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UTEP win 34.5% Northern Illinois win 65.5% Middle 50%: UTEP by 5 to Northern Illinois by 18 50% Middle 90%: UTEP by 21 to Northern Illinois by 35 90% Middle 95%: UTEP by 27 to Northern Illinois by 40 95% Exactly Northern Illinois by 3 6.4% Exactly UTEP by 3 5.6% Exactly Northern Illinois by 7 5.3% Exactly UTEP by 7 3.8% Exactly Northern Illinois by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Northern Illinois +5.3 Home field Northern Illinois +3.1 Last season UTEP +1.7
Central Michigan by 2.4 · 56% to win
Ours: Central Michigan by 2.4 Central Michigan win 56% Ball State win 44% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Central Michigan win by Ball State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Central Michigan win 55.7% Ball State win 44.3% Middle 50%: Central Michigan by 14 to Ball State by 9 50% Middle 90%: Central Michigan by 31 to Ball State by 26 90% Middle 95%: Central Michigan by 35 to Ball State by 31 95% Exactly Central Michigan by 3 6.5% Exactly Ball State by 3 6.2% Exactly Central Michigan by 7 5.1% Exactly Ball State by 7 4.5% Exactly Central Michigan by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Central Michigan +4.8 Home field Ball State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Central Michigan +0.8
Massachusetts by 5.1 · 62% to win
Ours: Massachusetts by 5.1 Massachusetts win 62% Bowling Green win 38% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Massachusetts win by Bowling Green win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Massachusetts win 61.8% Bowling Green win 38.2% Middle 50%: Massachusetts by 17 to Bowling Green by 7 50% Middle 90%: Massachusetts by 33 to Bowling Green by 23 90% Middle 95%: Massachusetts by 38 to Bowling Green by 28 95% Exactly Massachusetts by 3 6.5% Exactly Bowling Green by 3 5.8% Exactly Massachusetts by 7 5.2% Exactly Bowling Green by 7 4.1% Exactly Massachusetts by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Massachusetts +24.7 Last season Bowling Green +16.5 Home field Bowling Green +3.1
James Madison by 25.3 · 93% to win
Ours: James Madison by 25.3 Coastal Carolina win 7% James Madison win 93% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Coastal Carolina win by James Madison win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Coastal Carolina win 6.8% James Madison win 93.2% Middle 50%: James Madison by 14 to James Madison by 37 50% Middle 90%: Coastal Carolina by 3 to James Madison by 53 90% Middle 95%: Coastal Carolina by 8 to James Madison by 59 95% Exactly James Madison by 28 4.3% Exactly James Madison by 56 4.1% Exactly James Madison by 21 4.0% Exactly James Madison by 17 3.6% Exactly James Madison by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents James Madison +11.2 Last season James Madison +11.0 Home field James Madison +3.1
Georgia Southern by 1.2 · 53% to win
Ours: Georgia Southern by 1.2 Louisiana Tech win 47% Georgia Southern win 53% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Louisiana Tech win by Georgia Southern win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Louisiana Tech win 47.3% Georgia Southern win 52.8% Middle 50%: Louisiana Tech by 10 to Georgia Southern by 13 50% Middle 90%: Louisiana Tech by 27 to Georgia Southern by 29 90% Middle 95%: Louisiana Tech by 32 to Georgia Southern by 35 95% Exactly Georgia Southern by 3 6.5% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 3 6.4% Exactly Georgia Southern by 7 5.0% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 7 4.7% Exactly Georgia Southern by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Georgia Southern +3.1 Last season Louisiana Tech +1.7 This season, against its opponents Louisiana Tech +0.3
Georgia State by 0.8 · 52% to win
Ours: Georgia State by 0.8 Louisiana win 48% Georgia State win 52% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Louisiana win by Georgia State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Louisiana win 48.2% Georgia State win 51.8% Middle 50%: Louisiana by 11 to Georgia State by 13 50% Middle 90%: Louisiana by 28 to Georgia State by 28 90% Middle 95%: Louisiana by 33 to Georgia State by 34 95% Exactly Georgia State by 3 6.5% Exactly Louisiana by 3 6.4% Exactly Georgia State by 7 4.9% Exactly Louisiana by 7 4.8% Exactly Georgia State by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Louisiana +5.7 This season, against its opponents Georgia State +3.3 Home field Georgia State +3.1
Marshall by 9.3 · 71% to win
Ours: Marshall by 9.3 Marshall win 71% UL Monroe win 29% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Marshall win by UL Monroe win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Marshall win 70.9% UL Monroe win 29.1% Middle 50%: Marshall by 21 to UL Monroe by 3 50% Middle 90%: Marshall by 38 to UL Monroe by 19 90% Middle 95%: Marshall by 42 to UL Monroe by 24 95% Exactly Marshall by 3 6.1% Exactly Marshall by 7 5.2% Exactly UL Monroe by 3 5.0% Exactly Marshall by 14 4.0% Exactly Marshall by 17 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Marshall +7.3 Last season Marshall +5.1 Home field UL Monroe +3.1
Old Dominion by 7.7 · 68% to win
Ours: Old Dominion by 7.7 Southern Miss win 32% Old Dominion win 68% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Southern Miss win by Old Dominion win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Southern Miss win 32.4% Old Dominion win 67.6% Middle 50%: Southern Miss by 3 to Old Dominion by 19 50% Middle 90%: Southern Miss by 21 to Old Dominion by 35 90% Middle 95%: Southern Miss by 26 to Old Dominion by 42 95% Exactly Old Dominion by 3 6.3% Exactly Southern Miss by 3 5.4% Exactly Old Dominion by 7 5.3% Exactly Old Dominion by 14 3.9% Exactly Southern Miss by 7 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Old Dominion +6.8 Home field Old Dominion +3.1 This season, against its opponents Southern Miss +2.2
Kennesaw State by 1.0 · 52% to win
Ours: Kennesaw State by 1.0 Kennesaw State win 52% Western Kentucky win 48% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Kennesaw State win by Western Kentucky win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kennesaw State win 52.3% Western Kentucky win 47.7% Middle 50%: Kennesaw State by 13 to Western Kentucky by 10 50% Middle 90%: Kennesaw State by 29 to Western Kentucky by 27 90% Middle 95%: Kennesaw State by 35 to Western Kentucky by 32 95% Exactly Kennesaw State by 3 6.5% Exactly Western Kentucky by 3 6.4% Exactly Kennesaw State by 7 5.0% Exactly Western Kentucky by 7 4.7% Exactly Kennesaw State by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Kennesaw State +7.2 Home field Western Kentucky +3.1 Last season Western Kentucky +3.1
Liberty by 7.2 · 66% to win
Ours: Liberty by 7.2 Liberty win 66% Missouri State win 34% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Liberty win by Missouri State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Liberty win 66.3% Missouri State win 33.7% Middle 50%: Liberty by 19 to Missouri State by 4 50% Middle 90%: Liberty by 35 to Missouri State by 21 90% Middle 95%: Liberty by 41 to Missouri State by 27 95% Exactly Liberty by 3 6.4% Exactly Missouri State by 3 5.5% Exactly Liberty by 7 5.3% Exactly Liberty by 14 3.8% Exactly Missouri State by 7 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Liberty +13.9 Last season Missouri State +3.6 Home field Missouri State +3.1
Florida International by 5.8 · 63% to win
Ours: Florida International by 5.8 Sam Houston win 37% Florida International win 63% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Sam Houston win by Florida International win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Sam Houston win 36.7% Florida International win 63.3% Middle 50%: Sam Houston by 6 to Florida International by 17 50% Middle 90%: Sam Houston by 22 to Florida International by 34 90% Middle 95%: Sam Houston by 28 to Florida International by 39 95% Exactly Florida International by 3 6.5% Exactly Sam Houston by 3 5.7% Exactly Florida International by 7 5.3% Exactly Sam Houston by 7 4.0% Exactly Florida International by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Florida International +3.1 Last season Florida International +2.9 This season, against its opponents Sam Houston +0.3
Middle Tennessee by 4.2 · 60% to win
Ours: Middle Tennessee by 4.2 New Mexico State win 40% Middle Tennessee win 60% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← New Mexico State win by Middle Tennessee win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance New Mexico State win 40.3% Middle Tennessee win 59.7% Middle 50%: New Mexico State by 7 to Middle Tennessee by 16 50% Middle 90%: New Mexico State by 24 to Middle Tennessee by 32 90% Middle 95%: New Mexico State by 29 to Middle Tennessee by 38 95% Exactly Middle Tennessee by 3 6.5% Exactly New Mexico State by 3 6.0% Exactly Middle Tennessee by 7 5.2% Exactly New Mexico State by 7 4.3% Exactly Middle Tennessee by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Middle Tennessee +4.0 Home field Middle Tennessee +3.1 Last season New Mexico State +3.0
Arkansas State by 2.4 · 56% to win
Ours: Arkansas State by 2.4 Troy win 44% Arkansas State win 56% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Troy win by Arkansas State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Troy win 44.3% Arkansas State win 55.7% Middle 50%: Troy by 9 to Arkansas State by 14 50% Middle 90%: Troy by 26 to Arkansas State by 31 90% Middle 95%: Troy by 31 to Arkansas State by 35 95% Exactly Arkansas State by 3 6.5% Exactly Troy by 3 6.2% Exactly Arkansas State by 7 5.1% Exactly Troy by 7 4.5% Exactly Arkansas State by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Arkansas State +3.1 Last season Troy +0.5 This season, against its opponents Troy +0.2
Jacksonville State by 0.1 · 50% to win
Ours: Jacksonville State by 0.1 Jacksonville State win 50% Delaware win 50% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Jacksonville State win by Delaware win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Jacksonville State win 50.2% Delaware win 49.8% Middle 50%: Jacksonville State by 12 to Delaware by 11 50% Middle 90%: Jacksonville State by 28 to Delaware by 28 90% Middle 95%: Jacksonville State by 34 to Delaware by 34 95% Exactly Jacksonville State by 3 6.5% Exactly Delaware by 3 6.4% Exactly Jacksonville State by 7 4.9% Exactly Delaware by 7 4.8% Exactly Jacksonville State by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Delaware +3.1 This season, against its opponents Jacksonville State +3.1 Last season Jacksonville State +0.1
New Mexico by 13.7 · 79% to win
Ours: New Mexico by 13.7 Air Force win 21% New Mexico win 79% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Air Force win by New Mexico win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Air Force win 20.9% New Mexico win 79.1% Middle 50%: New Mexico by 3 to New Mexico by 25 50% Middle 90%: Air Force by 14 to New Mexico by 42 90% Middle 95%: Air Force by 20 to New Mexico by 47 95% Exactly New Mexico by 3 5.4% Exactly New Mexico by 7 4.9% Exactly New Mexico by 14 4.1% Exactly Air Force by 3 4.1% Exactly New Mexico by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents New Mexico +8.8 Home field New Mexico +3.1 Last season New Mexico +1.7
UNLV by 11.3 · 75% to win
Ours: UNLV by 11.3 Nevada win 25% UNLV win 75% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Nevada win by UNLV win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Nevada win 25.2% UNLV win 74.8% Middle 50%: Nevada by 1 to UNLV by 23 50% Middle 90%: Nevada by 17 to UNLV by 39 90% Middle 95%: Nevada by 22 to UNLV by 45 95% Exactly UNLV by 3 5.8% Exactly UNLV by 7 5.1% Exactly Nevada by 3 4.6% Exactly UNLV by 14 4.1% Exactly UNLV by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Last season UNLV +4.2 This season, against its opponents UNLV +4.0 Home field UNLV +3.1
Hawai'i by 14.3 · 80% to win
Ours: Hawai'i by 14.3 Sacramento State win 20% Hawai'i win 80% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Sacramento State win by Hawai'i win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Sacramento State win 20.0% Hawai'i win 80.0% Middle 50%: Hawai'i by 3 to Hawai'i by 26 50% Middle 90%: Sacramento State by 14 to Hawai'i by 42 90% Middle 95%: Sacramento State by 19 to Hawai'i by 48 95% Exactly Hawai'i by 3 5.3% Exactly Hawai'i by 7 4.8% Exactly Hawai'i by 14 4.1% Exactly Hawai'i by 17 4.0% Exactly Sacramento State by 3 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Hawai'i +9.1 Home field Hawai'i +3.1 This season, against its opponents Hawai'i +2.0
Miami (OH) at 
Western Michigan 
