College football · Week 13 2026 · Saturday, November 28
Jacksonville State vs Delaware prediction and pick
Our Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Delaware Blue Hens pick: Jacksonville State by 0.1, 50% to win. The forecast rates every team against the opponents it has played, this season and last, and adds home field. No betting information goes in.
An early look, 9 weeks ahead: it sharpens as the game comes up. Updated every day until kickoff, then frozen and scored. After the game this page shows who deserved to win.
Why the curves are so wide: luck. Even with both teams’ strength known exactly, one game’s bounces, kicks, calls and sequencing move the final margin by about ±12.1 points (one standard deviation, measured from every play since 2019). These forecasts carry ±17.1, so about 50% of the width is that luck; the rest is what nobody knows yet about the teams. That is why a 7-point favorite still loses about 3 times in 10.
Ours: Jacksonville State by 0.1Jacksonville State win 50%Delaware win 50%494235282114707142128354249← Jacksonville State win byDelaware win by →P50P90P95
Show as a table
Outcome
Chance
Jacksonville State win
50.2%
Delaware win
49.8%
Middle 50%: Jacksonville State by 12 to Delaware by 11
50%
Middle 90%: Jacksonville State by 28 to Delaware by 28
90%
Middle 95%: Jacksonville State by 34 to Delaware by 34
95%
Exactly Jacksonville State by 3
6.5%
Exactly Delaware by 3
6.4%
Exactly Jacksonville State by 7
4.9%
Exactly Delaware by 7
4.8%
Exactly Jacksonville State by 14
3.0%
P50
Half of games like this end between Jacksonville State by 12 and Delaware by 11.
P90
9 in 10 between Jacksonville State by 28 and Delaware by 28.
P95
19 in 20 between Jacksonville State by 34 and Delaware by 34.
Coin-flip wins: the wins each team’s games were worth with only the kicks, bounces, drops and calls re-rolled, the record adjusted for luck. Luck in wins: actual wins minus what the play was worth.
Jacksonville State vs Delaware: questions and answers
Who will win Jacksonville State vs Delaware?
Our forecast picks Jacksonville State, with 50% to win; Delaware win 50% of the time.
What’s the spread for Jacksonville State vs Delaware?
Our spread: Jacksonville State −0.1. The betting line isn’t out yet. Ours uses no betting information, so where the two differ is where our read of the teams differs from the market’s.
When is Jacksonville State vs Delaware?
Saturday, November 28, 2026, at 3:30 pm ET, at Delaware Stadium.
Jacksonville State at 
Delaware
