Week 12 · November 17–21 · 8 weeks ahead
College football predictions, week 12 An early look at week 12, from how each team has played so far against the opponents it has faced, adjusted for luck , and where it stood last season. This far ahead fewer games are in, so the curves are wider. On past seasons, forecasts made 8 weeks ahead picked 70.9% of winners, against 74.4% for forecasts made the week before. These update every day: this week’s predictions .
Weeks ahead 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 Ohio by 16.8 · 84% to win
Ours: Ohio by 16.8 Ball State win 16% Ohio win 84% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Ball State win by Ohio win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Ball State win 16.1% Ohio win 83.9% Middle 50%: Ohio by 6 to Ohio by 28 50% Middle 90%: Ball State by 11 to Ohio by 45 90% Middle 95%: Ball State by 17 to Ohio by 49 95% Exactly Ohio by 3 4.7% Exactly Ohio by 7 4.5% Exactly Ohio by 14 4.1% Exactly Ohio by 21 4.1% Exactly Ohio by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Ohio +7.2 Last season Ohio +6.5 Home field Ohio +3.1
Western Michigan by 19.8 · 88% to win
Ours: Western Michigan by 19.8 Eastern Michigan win 12% Western Michigan win 88% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Eastern Michigan win by Western Michigan win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Eastern Michigan win 12.1% Western Michigan win 87.9% Middle 50%: Western Michigan by 8 to Western Michigan by 31 50% Middle 90%: Eastern Michigan by 8 to Western Michigan by 48 90% Middle 95%: Eastern Michigan by 14 to Western Michigan by 53 95% Exactly Western Michigan by 21 4.2% Exactly Western Michigan by 3 4.0% Exactly Western Michigan by 7 4.0% Exactly Western Michigan by 17 4.0% Exactly Western Michigan by 14 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Western Michigan +11.3 Last season Western Michigan +5.4 Home field Western Michigan +3.1
Miami (OH) by 10.6 · 73% to win
Ours: Miami (OH) by 10.6 Miami (OH) win 73% Kent State win 27% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Miami (OH) win by Kent State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Miami (OH) win 73.5% Kent State win 26.5% Middle 50%: Miami (OH) by 22 to Kent State by 2 50% Middle 90%: Miami (OH) by 39 to Kent State by 17 90% Middle 95%: Miami (OH) by 45 to Kent State by 23 95% Exactly Miami (OH) by 3 5.9% Exactly Miami (OH) by 7 5.2% Exactly Kent State by 3 4.8% Exactly Miami (OH) by 14 4.1% Exactly Miami (OH) by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Miami (OH) +8.8 Last season Miami (OH) +5.0 Home field Kent State +3.1
Massachusetts by 9.7 · 72% to win
Ours: Massachusetts by 9.7 Akron win 28% Massachusetts win 72% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Akron win by Massachusetts win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Akron win 28.3% Massachusetts win 71.7% Middle 50%: Akron by 3 to Massachusetts by 21 50% Middle 90%: Akron by 18 to Massachusetts by 38 90% Middle 95%: Akron by 24 to Massachusetts by 43 95% Exactly Massachusetts by 3 6.1% Exactly Massachusetts by 7 5.2% Exactly Akron by 3 5.0% Exactly Massachusetts by 14 4.0% Exactly Massachusetts by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Massachusetts +18.4 Last season Akron +11.9 Home field Massachusetts +3.1
Central Michigan by 2.7 · 56% to win
Ours: Central Michigan by 2.7 Central Michigan win 56% Buffalo win 44% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Central Michigan win by Buffalo win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Central Michigan win 56.3% Buffalo win 43.7% Middle 50%: Central Michigan by 14 to Buffalo by 8 50% Middle 90%: Central Michigan by 31 to Buffalo by 25 90% Middle 95%: Central Michigan by 36 to Buffalo by 31 95% Exactly Central Michigan by 3 6.5% Exactly Buffalo by 3 6.2% Exactly Central Michigan by 7 5.1% Exactly Buffalo by 7 4.5% Exactly Central Michigan by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Central Michigan +4.5 Home field Buffalo +3.1 This season, against its opponents Central Michigan +1.3
Temple by 12.4 · 77% to win
Ours: Temple by 12.4 Rice win 23% Temple win 77% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Rice win by Temple win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Rice win 23.2% Temple win 76.8% Middle 50%: Temple by 2 to Temple by 24 50% Middle 90%: Rice by 16 to Temple by 41 90% Middle 95%: Rice by 21 to Temple by 46 95% Exactly Temple by 3 5.6% Exactly Temple by 7 5.0% Exactly Rice by 3 4.4% Exactly Temple by 14 4.1% Exactly Temple by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Temple +5.3 This season, against its opponents Temple +4.0 Home field Temple +3.1
Iowa State by 1.6 · 54% to win
Ours: Iowa State by 1.6 Iowa State win 54% UCF win 46% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Iowa State win by UCF win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Iowa State win 53.7% UCF win 46.3% Middle 50%: Iowa State by 14 to UCF by 10 50% Middle 90%: Iowa State by 29 to UCF by 27 90% Middle 95%: Iowa State by 35 to UCF by 32 95% Exactly Iowa State by 3 6.5% Exactly UCF by 3 6.3% Exactly Iowa State by 7 5.0% Exactly UCF by 7 4.7% Exactly Iowa State by 14 3.2%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Iowa State +7.4 Home field UCF +3.1 This season, against its opponents UCF +2.7
Duke by 10.4 · 73% to win
Ours: Duke by 10.4 Clemson win 27% Duke win 73% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Clemson win by Duke win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Clemson win 27.0% Duke win 73.0% Middle 50%: Clemson by 2 to Duke by 22 50% Middle 90%: Clemson by 18 to Duke by 38 90% Middle 95%: Clemson by 23 to Duke by 44 95% Exactly Duke by 3 6.0% Exactly Duke by 7 5.2% Exactly Clemson by 3 4.8% Exactly Duke by 14 4.0% Exactly Duke by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Duke +7.0 Home field Duke +3.1 Last season Duke +0.2
Toledo by 27.8 · 95% to win
Ours: Toledo by 27.8 Bowling Green win 5% Toledo win 95% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Bowling Green win by Toledo win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Bowling Green win 5.0% Toledo win 95.0% Middle 50%: Toledo by 17 to Toledo by 39 50% Middle 90%: Bowling Green by 1 to Toledo by 56 90% Middle 95%: Bowling Green by 6 to Toledo by 61 95% Exactly Toledo by 56 5.5% Exactly Toledo by 28 4.4% Exactly Toledo by 21 3.9% Exactly Toledo by 35 3.5% Exactly Toledo by 31 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Toledo +18.4 Last season Toledo +6.2 Home field Toledo +3.1
Oregon by 11.3 · 75% to win
Ours: Oregon by 11.3 Oregon win 75% Michigan State win 25% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Oregon win by Michigan State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Oregon win 74.7% Michigan State win 25.3% Middle 50%: Oregon by 23 to Michigan State by 1 50% Middle 90%: Oregon by 39 to Michigan State by 17 90% Middle 95%: Oregon by 45 to Michigan State by 22 95% Exactly Oregon by 3 5.8% Exactly Oregon by 7 5.1% Exactly Michigan State by 3 4.6% Exactly Oregon by 14 4.1% Exactly Oregon by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Oregon +10.5 Last season Oregon +3.9 Home field Michigan State +3.1
Air Force by 17.9 · 85% to win
Ours: Air Force by 17.9 UTEP win 15% Air Force win 85% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UTEP win by Air Force win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UTEP win 14.6% Air Force win 85.4% Middle 50%: Air Force by 7 to Air Force by 29 50% Middle 90%: UTEP by 10 to Air Force by 46 90% Middle 95%: UTEP by 16 to Air Force by 52 95% Exactly Air Force by 3 4.5% Exactly Air Force by 7 4.3% Exactly Air Force by 21 4.1% Exactly Air Force by 14 4.0% Exactly Air Force by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Air Force +13.0 Home field Air Force +3.1 Last season Air Force +1.8
Florida by 13.4 · 79% to win
Ours: Florida by 13.4 Vanderbilt win 21% Florida win 79% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Vanderbilt win by Florida win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Vanderbilt win 21.4% Florida win 78.6% Middle 50%: Florida by 3 to Florida by 25 50% Middle 90%: Vanderbilt by 14 to Florida by 42 90% Middle 95%: Vanderbilt by 21 to Florida by 47 95% Exactly Florida by 3 5.4% Exactly Florida by 7 4.9% Exactly Florida by 14 4.1% Exactly Vanderbilt by 3 4.1% Exactly Florida by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Florida +13.2 Home field Florida +3.1 Last season Vanderbilt +3.0
Ole Miss by 43.5 · 99% to win
Ours: Ole Miss by 43.5 Wofford win 1% Ole Miss win 99% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Wofford win by Ole Miss win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Wofford win 0.5% Ole Miss win 99.5% Middle 50%: Ole Miss by 32 to Ole Miss by 55 50% Middle 90%: Ole Miss by 15 to Ole Miss by 69 90% Middle 95%: Ole Miss by 10 to Ole Miss by 73 95% Exactly Ole Miss by 56 23.5% Exactly Ole Miss by 49 4.9% Exactly Ole Miss by 42 4.5% Exactly Ole Miss by 45 4.1% Exactly Ole Miss by 52 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Ole Miss +30.7 This season, against its opponents Ole Miss +9.6 Home field Ole Miss +3.1
Missouri by 2.9 · 57% to win
Ours: Missouri by 2.9 Kentucky win 43% Missouri win 57% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Kentucky win by Missouri win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kentucky win 43.2% Missouri win 56.8% Middle 50%: Kentucky by 8 to Missouri by 14 50% Middle 90%: Kentucky by 25 to Missouri by 31 90% Middle 95%: Kentucky by 31 to Missouri by 36 95% Exactly Missouri by 3 6.5% Exactly Kentucky by 3 6.2% Exactly Missouri by 7 5.1% Exactly Kentucky by 7 4.5% Exactly Missouri by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Kentucky +4.3 This season, against its opponents Missouri +4.1 Home field Missouri +3.1
Oklahoma by 1.3 · 53% to win
Ours: Oklahoma by 1.3 Texas A&M win 47% Oklahoma win 53% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Texas A&M win by Oklahoma win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Texas A&M win 46.9% Oklahoma win 53.1% Middle 50%: Texas A&M by 10 to Oklahoma by 13 50% Middle 90%: Texas A&M by 27 to Oklahoma by 29 90% Middle 95%: Texas A&M by 32 to Oklahoma by 35 95% Exactly Oklahoma by 3 6.5% Exactly Texas A&M by 3 6.3% Exactly Oklahoma by 7 5.0% Exactly Texas A&M by 7 4.7% Exactly Oklahoma by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Texas A&M +3.3 Home field Oklahoma +3.1 This season, against its opponents Oklahoma +1.4
Georgia by 14.3 · 80% to win
Ours: Georgia by 14.3 Georgia win 80% South Carolina win 20% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Georgia win by South Carolina win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Georgia win 80.0% South Carolina win 20.0% Middle 50%: Georgia by 26 to Georgia by 3 50% Middle 90%: Georgia by 42 to South Carolina by 14 90% Middle 95%: Georgia by 48 to South Carolina by 19 95% Exactly Georgia by 3 5.3% Exactly Georgia by 7 4.8% Exactly Georgia by 14 4.1% Exactly Georgia by 17 4.0% Exactly South Carolina by 3 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Georgia +13.9 Last season Georgia +3.5 Home field South Carolina +3.1
LSU by 0.2 · 51% to win
Ours: LSU by 0.2 LSU win 51% Tennessee win 49% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← LSU win by Tennessee win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance LSU win 50.6% Tennessee win 49.4% Middle 50%: LSU by 12 to Tennessee by 11 50% Middle 90%: LSU by 28 to Tennessee by 28 90% Middle 95%: LSU by 34 to Tennessee by 33 95% Exactly LSU by 3 6.5% Exactly Tennessee by 3 6.4% Exactly LSU by 7 4.9% Exactly Tennessee by 7 4.8% Exactly LSU by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season LSU +3.6 Home field Tennessee +3.1 This season, against its opponents Tennessee +0.2
Texas by 26.0 · 94% to win
Ours: Texas by 26.0 Arkansas win 6% Texas win 94% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Arkansas win by Texas win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Arkansas win 6.3% Texas win 93.7% Middle 50%: Texas by 14 to Texas by 38 50% Middle 90%: Arkansas by 3 to Texas by 54 90% Middle 95%: Arkansas by 7 to Texas by 59 95% Exactly Texas by 56 4.4% Exactly Texas by 28 4.3% Exactly Texas by 21 4.0% Exactly Texas by 17 3.5% Exactly Texas by 35 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Texas +13.3 Last season Texas +9.5 Home field Texas +3.1
Kansas State by 4.5 · 60% to win
Ours: Kansas State by 4.5 Arizona win 40% Kansas State win 60% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Arizona win by Kansas State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Arizona win 39.6% Kansas State win 60.4% Middle 50%: Arizona by 7 to Kansas State by 17 50% Middle 90%: Arizona by 24 to Kansas State by 32 90% Middle 95%: Arizona by 28 to Kansas State by 38 95% Exactly Kansas State by 3 6.5% Exactly Arizona by 3 5.9% Exactly Kansas State by 7 5.2% Exactly Arizona by 7 4.2% Exactly Kansas State by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Kansas State +3.1 Last season Kansas State +2.1 This season, against its opponents Arizona +0.8
BYU by 10.0 · 72% to win
Ours: BYU by 10.0 BYU win 72% Kansas win 28% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← BYU win by Kansas win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance BYU win 72.2% Kansas win 27.8% Middle 50%: BYU by 21 to Kansas by 3 50% Middle 90%: BYU by 38 to Kansas by 18 90% Middle 95%: BYU by 44 to Kansas by 24 95% Exactly BYU by 3 6.0% Exactly BYU by 7 5.2% Exactly Kansas by 3 4.9% Exactly BYU by 14 4.0% Exactly BYU by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents BYU +10.7 Home field Kansas +3.1 Last season BYU +2.4
Cincinnati by 11.9 · 76% to win
Ours: Cincinnati by 11.9 Colorado win 24% Cincinnati win 76% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Colorado win by Cincinnati win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Colorado win 24.0% Cincinnati win 76.0% Middle 50%: Cincinnati by 1 to Cincinnati by 24 50% Middle 90%: Colorado by 17 to Cincinnati by 40 90% Middle 95%: Colorado by 21 to Cincinnati by 45 95% Exactly Cincinnati by 3 5.7% Exactly Cincinnati by 7 5.1% Exactly Colorado by 3 4.5% Exactly Cincinnati by 14 4.1% Exactly Cincinnati by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Cincinnati +6.4 Home field Cincinnati +3.1 This season, against its opponents Cincinnati +2.4
Houston by 5.8 · 63% to win
Ours: Houston by 5.8 Houston win 63% West Virginia win 37% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Houston win by West Virginia win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Houston win 63.3% West Virginia win 36.6% Middle 50%: Houston by 17 to West Virginia by 6 50% Middle 90%: Houston by 34 to West Virginia by 22 90% Middle 95%: Houston by 39 to West Virginia by 28 95% Exactly Houston by 3 6.5% Exactly West Virginia by 3 5.7% Exactly Houston by 7 5.3% Exactly West Virginia by 7 4.0% Exactly Houston by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Houston +9.1 Home field West Virginia +3.1 Last season West Virginia +0.1
Arizona State by 7.8 · 68% to win
Ours: Arizona State by 7.8 Oklahoma State win 32% Arizona State win 68% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Oklahoma State win by Arizona State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Oklahoma State win 32.2% Arizona State win 67.8% Middle 50%: Oklahoma State by 3 to Arizona State by 20 50% Middle 90%: Oklahoma State by 21 to Arizona State by 35 90% Middle 95%: Oklahoma State by 26 to Arizona State by 42 95% Exactly Arizona State by 3 6.3% Exactly Oklahoma State by 3 5.4% Exactly Arizona State by 7 5.3% Exactly Arizona State by 14 3.9% Exactly Oklahoma State by 7 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Arizona State +8.9 This season, against its opponents Oklahoma State +4.2 Home field Arizona State +3.1
Texas Tech by 5.7 · 63% to win
Ours: Texas Tech by 5.7 Texas Tech win 63% Baylor win 37% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Texas Tech win by Baylor win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Texas Tech win 63.2% Baylor win 36.8% Middle 50%: Texas Tech by 17 to Baylor by 6 50% Middle 90%: Texas Tech by 34 to Baylor by 22 90% Middle 95%: Texas Tech by 39 to Baylor by 28 95% Exactly Texas Tech by 3 6.5% Exactly Baylor by 3 5.7% Exactly Texas Tech by 7 5.3% Exactly Baylor by 7 4.0% Exactly Texas Tech by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Texas Tech +4.6 This season, against its opponents Texas Tech +4.2 Home field Baylor +3.1
Utah by 13.6 · 79% to win
Ours: Utah by 13.6 Utah win 79% TCU win 21% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Utah win by TCU win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Utah win 78.9% TCU win 21.1% Middle 50%: Utah by 25 to Utah by 3 50% Middle 90%: Utah by 42 to TCU by 14 90% Middle 95%: Utah by 47 to TCU by 20 95% Exactly Utah by 3 5.4% Exactly Utah by 7 4.9% Exactly Utah by 14 4.1% Exactly TCU by 3 4.1% Exactly Utah by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Utah +9.2 This season, against its opponents Utah +7.6 Home field TCU +3.1
Miami by 22.7 · 91% to win
Ours: Miami by 22.7 Virginia Tech win 9% Miami win 91% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Virginia Tech win by Miami win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Virginia Tech win 9.1% Miami win 90.9% Middle 50%: Miami by 11 to Miami by 34 50% Middle 90%: Virginia Tech by 6 to Miami by 50 90% Middle 95%: Virginia Tech by 11 to Miami by 56 95% Exactly Miami by 21 4.2% Exactly Miami by 28 4.2% Exactly Miami by 17 3.8% Exactly Miami by 14 3.6% Exactly Miami by 7 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Miami +10.0 This season, against its opponents Miami +9.5 Home field Miami +3.1
Florida State by 2.7 · 56% to win
Ours: Florida State by 2.7 NC State win 44% Florida State win 56% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← NC State win by Florida State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance NC State win 43.7% Florida State win 56.3% Middle 50%: NC State by 8 to Florida State by 14 50% Middle 90%: NC State by 25 to Florida State by 31 90% Middle 95%: NC State by 31 to Florida State by 36 95% Exactly Florida State by 3 6.5% Exactly NC State by 3 6.2% Exactly Florida State by 7 5.1% Exactly NC State by 7 4.5% Exactly Florida State by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents NC State +3.6 Home field Florida State +3.1 Last season Florida State +3.1
Virginia by 13.9 · 79% to win
Ours: Virginia by 13.9 North Carolina win 21% Virginia win 79% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← North Carolina win by Virginia win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance North Carolina win 20.5% Virginia win 79.5% Middle 50%: Virginia by 3 to Virginia by 25 50% Middle 90%: North Carolina by 14 to Virginia by 42 90% Middle 95%: North Carolina by 20 to Virginia by 48 95% Exactly Virginia by 3 5.3% Exactly Virginia by 7 4.8% Exactly Virginia by 14 4.1% Exactly North Carolina by 3 4.0% Exactly Virginia by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Virginia +5.5 Last season Virginia +5.3 Home field Virginia +3.1
Louisville by 0.4 · 51% to win
Ours: Louisville by 0.4 Pittsburgh win 49% Louisville win 51% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Pittsburgh win by Louisville win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Pittsburgh win 49.2% Louisville win 50.8% Middle 50%: Pittsburgh by 11 to Louisville by 12 50% Middle 90%: Pittsburgh by 28 to Louisville by 28 90% Middle 95%: Pittsburgh by 33 to Louisville by 34 95% Exactly Louisville by 3 6.5% Exactly Pittsburgh by 3 6.4% Exactly Louisville by 7 4.9% Exactly Pittsburgh by 7 4.8% Exactly Louisville by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Pittsburgh +7.7 Last season Louisville +4.9 Home field Louisville +3.1
California by 5.8 · 63% to win
Ours: California by 5.8 Stanford win 37% California win 63% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Stanford win by California win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Stanford win 36.7% California win 63.3% Middle 50%: Stanford by 6 to California by 17 50% Middle 90%: Stanford by 22 to California by 34 90% Middle 95%: Stanford by 28 to California by 39 95% Exactly California by 3 6.5% Exactly Stanford by 3 5.7% Exactly California by 7 5.3% Exactly Stanford by 7 4.0% Exactly California by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents California +6.7 Last season Stanford +4.1 Home field California +3.1
Syracuse by 3.7 · 59% to win
Ours: Syracuse by 3.7 Syracuse win 59% Boston College win 41% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Syracuse win by Boston College win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Syracuse win 58.7% Boston College win 41.3% Middle 50%: Syracuse by 15 to Boston College by 7 50% Middle 90%: Syracuse by 32 to Boston College by 24 90% Middle 95%: Syracuse by 37 to Boston College by 30 95% Exactly Syracuse by 3 6.5% Exactly Boston College by 3 6.1% Exactly Syracuse by 7 5.2% Exactly Boston College by 7 4.3% Exactly Syracuse by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Syracuse +8.0 Home field Boston College +3.1 Last season Boston College +1.1
Wake Forest by 1.3 · 53% to win
Ours: Wake Forest by 1.3 Wake Forest win 53% Georgia Tech win 47% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Wake Forest win by Georgia Tech win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Wake Forest win 53.1% Georgia Tech win 46.9% Middle 50%: Wake Forest by 13 to Georgia Tech by 10 50% Middle 90%: Wake Forest by 29 to Georgia Tech by 27 90% Middle 95%: Wake Forest by 35 to Georgia Tech by 32 95% Exactly Wake Forest by 3 6.5% Exactly Georgia Tech by 3 6.3% Exactly Wake Forest by 7 5.0% Exactly Georgia Tech by 7 4.7% Exactly Wake Forest by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Wake Forest +5.8 Home field Georgia Tech +3.1 Last season Georgia Tech +1.3
Iowa by 4.4 · 60% to win
Ours: Iowa by 4.4 Iowa win 60% Illinois win 40% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Iowa win by Illinois win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Iowa win 60.3% Illinois win 39.7% Middle 50%: Iowa by 17 to Illinois by 7 50% Middle 90%: Iowa by 32 to Illinois by 24 90% Middle 95%: Iowa by 38 to Illinois by 29 95% Exactly Iowa by 3 6.5% Exactly Illinois by 3 6.0% Exactly Iowa by 7 5.2% Exactly Illinois by 7 4.2% Exactly Iowa by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Iowa +6.3 Home field Illinois +3.1 Last season Iowa +1.3
Michigan by 0.5 · 51% to win
Ours: Michigan by 0.5 UCLA win 49% Michigan win 51% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← UCLA win by Michigan win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UCLA win 48.9% Michigan win 51.1% Middle 50%: UCLA by 11 to Michigan by 12 50% Middle 90%: UCLA by 28 to Michigan by 28 90% Middle 95%: UCLA by 33 to Michigan by 34 95% Exactly Michigan by 3 6.5% Exactly UCLA by 3 6.4% Exactly Michigan by 7 4.9% Exactly UCLA by 7 4.8% Exactly Michigan by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UCLA +13.6 Last season Michigan +10.9 Home field Michigan +3.1
Northwestern by 4.0 · 59% to win
Ours: Northwestern by 4.0 Northwestern win 59% Minnesota win 41% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Northwestern win by Minnesota win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Northwestern win 59.3% Minnesota win 40.7% Middle 50%: Northwestern by 16 to Minnesota by 7 50% Middle 90%: Northwestern by 32 to Minnesota by 24 90% Middle 95%: Northwestern by 38 to Minnesota by 29 95% Exactly Northwestern by 3 6.5% Exactly Minnesota by 3 6.0% Exactly Northwestern by 7 5.2% Exactly Minnesota by 7 4.3% Exactly Northwestern by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Northwestern +3.9 Last season Northwestern +3.2 Home field Minnesota +3.1
Ohio State by 8.6 · 69% to win
Ours: Ohio State by 8.6 Ohio State win 69% Nebraska win 31% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Ohio State win by Nebraska win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Ohio State win 69.5% Nebraska win 30.5% Middle 50%: Ohio State by 21 to Nebraska by 3 50% Middle 90%: Ohio State by 37 to Nebraska by 20 90% Middle 95%: Ohio State by 42 to Nebraska by 25 95% Exactly Ohio State by 3 6.2% Exactly Ohio State by 7 5.2% Exactly Nebraska by 3 5.2% Exactly Ohio State by 14 3.9% Exactly Ohio State by 17 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Ohio State +10.9 Home field Nebraska +3.1 This season, against its opponents Ohio State +0.9
Penn State by 23.1 · 91% to win
Ours: Penn State by 23.1 Rutgers win 9% Penn State win 91% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Rutgers win by Penn State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Rutgers win 8.7% Penn State win 91.3% Middle 50%: Penn State by 12 to Penn State by 35 50% Middle 90%: Rutgers by 5 to Penn State by 52 90% Middle 95%: Rutgers by 10 to Penn State by 56 95% Exactly Penn State by 28 4.2% Exactly Penn State by 21 4.1% Exactly Penn State by 17 3.8% Exactly Penn State by 14 3.6% Exactly Penn State by 7 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Penn State +11.8 Last season Penn State +8.1 Home field Penn State +3.1
Wisconsin by 9.0 · 70% to win
Ours: Wisconsin by 9.0 Wisconsin win 70% Purdue win 30% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Wisconsin win by Purdue win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Wisconsin win 70.3% Purdue win 29.7% Middle 50%: Wisconsin by 21 to Purdue by 3 50% Middle 90%: Wisconsin by 37 to Purdue by 19 90% Middle 95%: Wisconsin by 42 to Purdue by 24 95% Exactly Wisconsin by 3 6.1% Exactly Wisconsin by 7 5.2% Exactly Purdue by 3 5.1% Exactly Wisconsin by 14 4.0% Exactly Wisconsin by 17 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Wisconsin +11.3 Home field Purdue +3.1 Last season Wisconsin +0.8
USC by 20.1 · 88% to win
Ours: USC by 20.1 Maryland win 12% USC win 88% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Maryland win by USC win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Maryland win 11.8% USC win 88.2% Middle 50%: USC by 8 to USC by 32 50% Middle 90%: Maryland by 7 to USC by 49 90% Middle 95%: Maryland by 14 to USC by 53 95% Exactly USC by 21 4.2% Exactly USC by 3 4.0% Exactly USC by 17 3.9% Exactly USC by 7 3.9% Exactly USC by 28 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from Last season USC +10.5 This season, against its opponents USC +6.4 Home field USC +3.1
Indiana by 15.4 · 82% to win
Ours: Indiana by 15.4 Indiana win 82% Washington win 18% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Indiana win by Washington win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Indiana win 81.8% Washington win 18.2% Middle 50%: Indiana by 27 to Indiana by 3 50% Middle 90%: Indiana by 44 to Washington by 13 90% Middle 95%: Indiana by 49 to Washington by 18 95% Exactly Indiana by 3 5.0% Exactly Indiana by 7 4.7% Exactly Indiana by 14 4.1% Exactly Indiana by 17 4.0% Exactly Indiana by 21 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Indiana +12.9 Last season Indiana +5.6 Home field Washington +3.1
Army by 8.2 · 69% to win
Ours: Army by 8.2 East Carolina win 31% Army win 69% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← East Carolina win by Army win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance East Carolina win 31.3% Army win 68.7% Middle 50%: East Carolina by 3 to Army by 20 50% Middle 90%: East Carolina by 20 to Army by 36 90% Middle 95%: East Carolina by 25 to Army by 42 95% Exactly Army by 3 6.2% Exactly East Carolina by 3 5.3% Exactly Army by 7 5.3% Exactly Army by 14 3.9% Exactly East Carolina by 7 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Army +7.8 Home field Army +3.1 Last season East Carolina +2.7
Tulsa by 18.6 · 86% to win
Ours: Tulsa by 18.6 Charlotte win 14% Tulsa win 86% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Charlotte win by Tulsa win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Charlotte win 13.6% Tulsa win 86.4% Middle 50%: Tulsa by 7 to Tulsa by 31 50% Middle 90%: Charlotte by 10 to Tulsa by 46 90% Middle 95%: Charlotte by 15 to Tulsa by 52 95% Exactly Tulsa by 3 4.3% Exactly Tulsa by 7 4.2% Exactly Tulsa by 21 4.1% Exactly Tulsa by 17 4.0% Exactly Tulsa by 14 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Tulsa +14.9 Home field Tulsa +3.1 Last season Tulsa +0.6
South Florida by 10.1 · 73% to win
Ours: South Florida by 10.1 South Florida win 73% Florida Atlantic win 27% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← South Florida win by Florida Atlantic win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance South Florida win 72.5% Florida Atlantic win 27.5% Middle 50%: South Florida by 21 to Florida Atlantic by 3 50% Middle 90%: South Florida by 38 to Florida Atlantic by 18 90% Middle 95%: South Florida by 44 to Florida Atlantic by 24 95% Exactly South Florida by 3 6.0% Exactly South Florida by 7 5.2% Exactly Florida Atlantic by 3 4.9% Exactly South Florida by 14 4.0% Exactly South Florida by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents South Florida +7.1 Last season South Florida +6.2 Home field Florida Atlantic +3.1
Memphis by 2.9 · 57% to win
Ours: Memphis by 2.9 Memphis win 57% Navy win 43% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Memphis win by Navy win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Memphis win 56.8% Navy win 43.2% Middle 50%: Memphis by 14 to Navy by 8 50% Middle 90%: Memphis by 31 to Navy by 25 90% Middle 95%: Memphis by 36 to Navy by 31 95% Exactly Memphis by 3 6.5% Exactly Navy by 3 6.2% Exactly Memphis by 7 5.1% Exactly Navy by 7 4.5% Exactly Memphis by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Navy +3.1 This season, against its opponents Memphis +3.1 Last season Memphis +3.0
North Texas by 5.2 · 62% to win
Ours: North Texas by 5.2 North Texas win 62% Tulane win 38% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← North Texas win by Tulane win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance North Texas win 62.0% Tulane win 38.0% Middle 50%: North Texas by 17 to Tulane by 7 50% Middle 90%: North Texas by 33 to Tulane by 23 90% Middle 95%: North Texas by 38 to Tulane by 28 95% Exactly North Texas by 3 6.5% Exactly Tulane by 3 5.8% Exactly North Texas by 7 5.2% Exactly Tulane by 7 4.1% Exactly North Texas by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents North Texas +7.7 Home field Tulane +3.1 Last season North Texas +0.6
UTSA by 11.3 · 75% to win
Ours: UTSA by 11.3 UTSA win 75% UAB win 25% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UTSA win by UAB win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UTSA win 74.8% UAB win 25.2% Middle 50%: UTSA by 23 to UAB by 1 50% Middle 90%: UTSA by 39 to UAB by 17 90% Middle 95%: UTSA by 45 to UAB by 22 95% Exactly UTSA by 3 5.8% Exactly UTSA by 7 5.1% Exactly UAB by 3 4.6% Exactly UTSA by 14 4.1% Exactly UTSA by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UTSA +7.5 Last season UTSA +7.0 Home field UAB +3.1
Nevada by 5.7 · 63% to win
Ours: Nevada by 5.7 Hawai'i win 37% Nevada win 63% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Hawai'i win by Nevada win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Hawai'i win 36.8% Nevada win 63.2% Middle 50%: Hawai'i by 6 to Nevada by 17 50% Middle 90%: Hawai'i by 22 to Nevada by 34 90% Middle 95%: Hawai'i by 28 to Nevada by 39 95% Exactly Nevada by 3 6.5% Exactly Hawai'i by 3 5.7% Exactly Nevada by 7 5.3% Exactly Hawai'i by 7 4.0% Exactly Nevada by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Nevada +5.9 Last season Hawai'i +3.4 Home field Nevada +3.1
App State by 21.6 · 90% to win
Ours: App State by 21.6 UL Monroe win 10% App State win 90% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UL Monroe win by App State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UL Monroe win 10.1% App State win 89.9% Middle 50%: App State by 10 to App State by 33 50% Middle 90%: UL Monroe by 7 to App State by 49 90% Middle 95%: UL Monroe by 12 to App State by 56 95% Exactly App State by 21 4.2% Exactly App State by 28 4.1% Exactly App State by 17 3.9% Exactly App State by 14 3.7% Exactly App State by 7 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents App State +16.6 Home field App State +3.1 Last season App State +1.9
Louisiana Tech by 5.9 · 64% to win
Ours: Louisiana Tech by 5.9 Arkansas State win 36% Louisiana Tech win 64% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Arkansas State win by Louisiana Tech win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Arkansas State win 36.3% Louisiana Tech win 63.7% Middle 50%: Arkansas State by 6 to Louisiana Tech by 17 50% Middle 90%: Arkansas State by 22 to Louisiana Tech by 34 90% Middle 95%: Arkansas State by 28 to Louisiana Tech by 39 95% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 3 6.4% Exactly Arkansas State by 3 5.7% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 7 5.3% Exactly Arkansas State by 7 4.0% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Louisiana Tech +3.1 Last season Louisiana Tech +1.5 This season, against its opponents Louisiana Tech +1.3
Louisiana by 11.6 · 75% to win
Ours: Louisiana by 11.6 Coastal Carolina win 25% Louisiana win 75% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Coastal Carolina win by Louisiana win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Coastal Carolina win 24.8% Louisiana win 75.3% Middle 50%: Louisiana by 1 to Louisiana by 23 50% Middle 90%: Coastal Carolina by 17 to Louisiana by 39 90% Middle 95%: Coastal Carolina by 22 to Louisiana by 45 95% Exactly Louisiana by 3 5.8% Exactly Louisiana by 7 5.1% Exactly Coastal Carolina by 3 4.5% Exactly Louisiana by 14 4.1% Exactly Louisiana by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Louisiana +5.1 Last season Louisiana +3.3 Home field Louisiana +3.1
Troy by 3.1 · 57% to win
Ours: Troy by 3.1 Georgia Southern win 43% Troy win 57% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Georgia Southern win by Troy win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Georgia Southern win 42.8% Troy win 57.2% Middle 50%: Georgia Southern by 8 to Troy by 14 50% Middle 90%: Georgia Southern by 25 to Troy by 31 90% Middle 95%: Georgia Southern by 31 to Troy by 37 95% Exactly Troy by 3 6.5% Exactly Georgia Southern by 3 6.1% Exactly Troy by 7 5.1% Exactly Georgia Southern by 7 4.4% Exactly Troy by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Troy +3.1 This season, against its opponents Georgia Southern +0.8 Last season Troy +0.7
Georgia State by 3.2 · 57% to win
Ours: Georgia State by 3.2 Georgia State win 57% Marshall win 43% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Georgia State win by Marshall win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Georgia State win 57.5% Marshall win 42.5% Middle 50%: Georgia State by 14 to Marshall by 8 50% Middle 90%: Georgia State by 31 to Marshall by 25 90% Middle 95%: Georgia State by 37 to Marshall by 31 95% Exactly Georgia State by 3 6.5% Exactly Marshall by 3 6.1% Exactly Georgia State by 7 5.1% Exactly Marshall by 7 4.4% Exactly Georgia State by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Georgia State +13.8 Last season Marshall +7.4 Home field Marshall +3.1
South Alabama by 1.8 · 54% to win
Ours: South Alabama by 1.8 South Alabama win 54% Southern Miss win 46% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← South Alabama win by Southern Miss win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance South Alabama win 54.2% Southern Miss win 45.8% Middle 50%: South Alabama by 14 to Southern Miss by 10 50% Middle 90%: South Alabama by 30 to Southern Miss by 27 90% Middle 95%: South Alabama by 35 to Southern Miss by 32 95% Exactly South Alabama by 3 6.5% Exactly Southern Miss by 3 6.3% Exactly South Alabama by 7 5.0% Exactly Southern Miss by 7 4.6% Exactly South Alabama by 14 3.2%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents South Alabama +4.2 Home field Southern Miss +3.1 Last season South Alabama +0.7
Mississippi State by 29.9 · 96% to win
Ours: Mississippi State by 29.9 Tennessee Tech win 4% Mississippi State win 96% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Tennessee Tech win by Mississippi State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Tennessee Tech win 3.9% Mississippi State win 96.1% Middle 50%: Mississippi State by 18 to Mississippi State by 42 50% Middle 90%: Mississippi State by 3 to Mississippi State by 57 90% Middle 95%: Tennessee Tech by 3 to Mississippi State by 62 95% Exactly Mississippi State by 56 7.0% Exactly Mississippi State by 28 4.3% Exactly Mississippi State by 21 3.6% Exactly Mississippi State by 35 3.6% Exactly Mississippi State by 42 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Mississippi State +21.6 This season, against its opponents Mississippi State +5.2 Home field Mississippi State +3.1
Liberty by 14.1 · 80% to win
Ours: Liberty by 14.1 Western Kentucky win 20% Liberty win 80% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Western Kentucky win by Liberty win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Western Kentucky win 20.3% Liberty win 79.7% Middle 50%: Liberty by 3 to Liberty by 26 50% Middle 90%: Western Kentucky by 14 to Liberty by 42 90% Middle 95%: Western Kentucky by 20 to Liberty by 48 95% Exactly Liberty by 3 5.3% Exactly Liberty by 7 4.8% Exactly Liberty by 14 4.1% Exactly Western Kentucky by 3 4.0% Exactly Liberty by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Liberty +15.6 Last season Western Kentucky +4.7 Home field Liberty +3.1
Alabama by 49.6 · over 99% to win
Ours: Alabama by 49.6 Chattanooga win 0% Alabama win 100% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Chattanooga win by Alabama win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Chattanooga win 0.2% Alabama win 99.8% Middle 50%: Alabama by 38 to Alabama by 59 50% Middle 90%: Alabama by 21 to Alabama by 73 90% Middle 95%: Alabama by 16 to Alabama by 74 95% Exactly Alabama by 56 34.6% Exactly Alabama by 49 5.3% Exactly Alabama by 42 4.2% Exactly Alabama by 52 4.1% Exactly Alabama by 45 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Alabama +34.7 This season, against its opponents Alabama +11.7 Home field Alabama +3.1
Jacksonville State by 8.9 · 70% to win
Ours: Jacksonville State by 8.9 Missouri State win 30% Jacksonville State win 70% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Missouri State win by Jacksonville State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Missouri State win 30.0% Jacksonville State win 70.0% Middle 50%: Missouri State by 3 to Jacksonville State by 21 50% Middle 90%: Missouri State by 19 to Jacksonville State by 37 90% Middle 95%: Missouri State by 24 to Jacksonville State by 42 95% Exactly Jacksonville State by 3 6.2% Exactly Jacksonville State by 7 5.2% Exactly Missouri State by 3 5.1% Exactly Jacksonville State by 14 4.0% Exactly Jacksonville State by 17 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Jacksonville State +8.0 Home field Jacksonville State +3.1 Last season Missouri State +2.3
Sam Houston by 4.7 · 61% to win
Ours: Sam Houston by 4.7 Middle Tennessee win 39% Sam Houston win 61% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Middle Tennessee win by Sam Houston win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Middle Tennessee win 39.0% Sam Houston win 61.0% Middle 50%: Middle Tennessee by 7 to Sam Houston by 17 50% Middle 90%: Middle Tennessee by 24 to Sam Houston by 33 90% Middle 95%: Middle Tennessee by 28 to Sam Houston by 38 95% Exactly Sam Houston by 3 6.5% Exactly Middle Tennessee by 3 5.9% Exactly Sam Houston by 7 5.2% Exactly Middle Tennessee by 7 4.2% Exactly Sam Houston by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Sam Houston +3.1 This season, against its opponents Sam Houston +0.8 Last season Sam Houston +0.7
Delaware by 2.5 · 56% to win
Ours: Delaware by 2.5 Delaware win 56% New Mexico State win 44% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Delaware win by New Mexico State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Delaware win 55.9% New Mexico State win 44.1% Middle 50%: Delaware by 14 to New Mexico State by 9 50% Middle 90%: Delaware by 31 to New Mexico State by 25 90% Middle 95%: Delaware by 35 to New Mexico State by 31 95% Exactly Delaware by 3 6.5% Exactly New Mexico State by 3 6.2% Exactly Delaware by 7 5.1% Exactly New Mexico State by 7 4.5% Exactly Delaware by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Delaware +4.0 Home field New Mexico State +3.1 Last season Delaware +1.7
Kennesaw State by 4.5 · 61% to win
Ours: Kennesaw State by 4.5 Florida International win 39% Kennesaw State win 61% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Florida International win by Kennesaw State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Florida International win 39.4% Kennesaw State win 60.6% Middle 50%: Florida International by 7 to Kennesaw State by 17 50% Middle 90%: Florida International by 24 to Kennesaw State by 32 90% Middle 95%: Florida International by 28 to Kennesaw State by 38 95% Exactly Kennesaw State by 3 6.5% Exactly Florida International by 3 5.9% Exactly Kennesaw State by 7 5.2% Exactly Florida International by 7 4.2% Exactly Kennesaw State by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Kennesaw State +3.1 Last season Kennesaw State +1.4
Auburn by 45.7 · over 99% to win
Ours: Auburn by 45.7 Samford win 0% Auburn win 100% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Samford win by Auburn win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Samford win 0.4% Auburn win 99.6% Middle 50%: Auburn by 34 to Auburn by 56 50% Middle 90%: Auburn by 17 to Auburn by 70 90% Middle 95%: Auburn by 12 to Auburn by 73 95% Exactly Auburn by 56 27.3% Exactly Auburn by 49 5.1% Exactly Auburn by 42 4.4% Exactly Auburn by 45 4.1% Exactly Auburn by 52 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Auburn +36.5 This season, against its opponents Auburn +6.0 Home field Auburn +3.1
UConn by 8.4 · 69% to win
Ours: UConn by 8.4 Old Dominion win 31% UConn win 69% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Old Dominion win by UConn win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Old Dominion win 30.9% UConn win 69.1% Middle 50%: Old Dominion by 3 to UConn by 20 50% Middle 90%: Old Dominion by 20 to UConn by 37 90% Middle 95%: Old Dominion by 25 to UConn by 42 95% Exactly UConn by 3 6.2% Exactly UConn by 7 5.3% Exactly Old Dominion by 3 5.2% Exactly UConn by 14 3.9% Exactly UConn by 17 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UConn +11.2 Last season Old Dominion +5.9 Home field UConn +3.1
North Dakota State by 25.1 · 93% to win
Ours: North Dakota State by 25.1 Northern Illinois win 7% North Dakota State win 93% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Northern Illinois win by North Dakota State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Northern Illinois win 7.0% North Dakota State win 93.0% Middle 50%: North Dakota State by 14 to North Dakota State by 37 50% Middle 90%: Northern Illinois by 3 to North Dakota State by 53 90% Middle 95%: Northern Illinois by 8 to North Dakota State by 58 95% Exactly North Dakota State by 28 4.3% Exactly North Dakota State by 21 4.1% Exactly North Dakota State by 56 3.9% Exactly North Dakota State by 17 3.6% Exactly North Dakota State by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents North Dakota State +17.1 Last season North Dakota State +4.8 Home field North Dakota State +3.1
Texas State by 6.5 · 65% to win
Ours: Texas State by 6.5 Washington State win 35% Texas State win 65% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Washington State win by Texas State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Washington State win 35.2% Texas State win 64.8% Middle 50%: Washington State by 5 to Texas State by 18 50% Middle 90%: Washington State by 21 to Texas State by 35 90% Middle 95%: Washington State by 27 to Texas State by 40 95% Exactly Texas State by 3 6.4% Exactly Washington State by 3 5.6% Exactly Texas State by 7 5.3% Exactly Washington State by 7 3.9% Exactly Texas State by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Texas State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Texas State +2.0 Last season Texas State +1.3
UNLV by 7.5 · 67% to win
Ours: UNLV by 7.5 UNLV win 67% San José State win 33% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UNLV win by San José State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UNLV win 67.2% San José State win 32.8% Middle 50%: UNLV by 19 to San José State by 4 50% Middle 90%: UNLV by 35 to San José State by 21 90% Middle 95%: UNLV by 41 to San José State by 26 95% Exactly UNLV by 3 6.3% Exactly San José State by 3 5.4% Exactly UNLV by 7 5.3% Exactly UNLV by 14 3.9% Exactly San José State by 7 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UNLV +5.8 Last season UNLV +4.9 Home field San José State +3.1
Notre Dame by 22.5 · 91% to win
Ours: Notre Dame by 22.5 SMU win 9% Notre Dame win 91% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← SMU win by Notre Dame win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance SMU win 9.2% Notre Dame win 90.8% Middle 50%: Notre Dame by 11 to Notre Dame by 34 50% Middle 90%: SMU by 6 to Notre Dame by 50 90% Middle 95%: SMU by 11 to Notre Dame by 56 95% Exactly Notre Dame by 21 4.2% Exactly Notre Dame by 28 4.1% Exactly Notre Dame by 17 3.8% Exactly Notre Dame by 14 3.7% Exactly Notre Dame by 7 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Notre Dame +12.1 Last season Notre Dame +7.3 Home field Notre Dame +3.1
Fresno State by 8.7 · 70% to win
Ours: Fresno State by 8.7 Colorado State win 30% Fresno State win 70% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Colorado State win by Fresno State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Colorado State win 30.5% Fresno State win 69.5% Middle 50%: Colorado State by 3 to Fresno State by 21 50% Middle 90%: Colorado State by 20 to Fresno State by 37 90% Middle 95%: Colorado State by 25 to Fresno State by 42 95% Exactly Fresno State by 3 6.2% Exactly Fresno State by 7 5.2% Exactly Colorado State by 3 5.2% Exactly Fresno State by 14 3.9% Exactly Fresno State by 17 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Fresno State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Fresno State +3.0 Last season Fresno State +2.5
New Mexico by 16.6 · 84% to win
Ours: New Mexico by 16.6 New Mexico win 84% Wyoming win 16% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← New Mexico win by Wyoming win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance New Mexico win 83.7% Wyoming win 16.3% Middle 50%: New Mexico by 28 to New Mexico by 5 50% Middle 90%: New Mexico by 45 to Wyoming by 11 90% Middle 95%: New Mexico by 49 to Wyoming by 17 95% Exactly New Mexico by 3 4.8% Exactly New Mexico by 7 4.5% Exactly New Mexico by 14 4.1% Exactly New Mexico by 21 4.0% Exactly New Mexico by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents New Mexico +16.0 Last season New Mexico +3.8 Home field Wyoming +3.1
Boise State by 17.1 · 84% to win
Ours: Boise State by 17.1 San Diego State win 16% Boise State win 84% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← San Diego State win by Boise State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance San Diego State win 15.6% Boise State win 84.4% Middle 50%: Boise State by 6 to Boise State by 28 50% Middle 90%: San Diego State by 11 to Boise State by 45 90% Middle 95%: San Diego State by 17 to Boise State by 50 95% Exactly Boise State by 3 4.6% Exactly Boise State by 7 4.4% Exactly Boise State by 21 4.1% Exactly Boise State by 14 4.1% Exactly Boise State by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Boise State +12.1 Home field Boise State +3.1 Last season Boise State +1.9
Oregon State by 8.5 · 69% to win
Ours: Oregon State by 8.5 Utah State win 31% Oregon State win 69% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Utah State win by Oregon State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Utah State win 30.8% Oregon State win 69.2% Middle 50%: Utah State by 3 to Oregon State by 20 50% Middle 90%: Utah State by 20 to Oregon State by 37 90% Middle 95%: Utah State by 25 to Oregon State by 42 95% Exactly Oregon State by 3 6.2% Exactly Oregon State by 7 5.2% Exactly Utah State by 3 5.2% Exactly Oregon State by 14 3.9% Exactly Oregon State by 17 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Oregon State +9.8 Last season Utah State +4.4 Home field Oregon State +3.1