Week 9 · October 27–31 · 5 weeks ahead
College football predictions, week 9 An early look at week 9, from how each team has played so far against the opponents it has faced, adjusted for luck , and where it stood last season. This far ahead fewer games are in, so the curves are wider. On past seasons, forecasts made 5 weeks ahead picked 72.1% of winners, against 74.4% for forecasts made the week before. These update every day: this week’s predictions .
Weeks ahead 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 even · 50% to win
Ours: a tie Delaware win 50% Western Kentucky win 50% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Delaware win by Western Kentucky win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Delaware win 50.0% Western Kentucky win 50.0% Middle 50%: Delaware by 11 to Western Kentucky by 11 50% Middle 90%: Delaware by 28 to Western Kentucky by 28 90% Middle 95%: Delaware by 33 to Western Kentucky by 33 95% Exactly Delaware by 3 6.6% Exactly Western Kentucky by 3 6.6% Exactly Delaware by 7 4.9% Exactly Western Kentucky by 7 4.9% Exactly Delaware by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Delaware +6.6 Last season Western Kentucky +3.4 Home field Western Kentucky +3.1
Missouri State by 3.7 · 59% to win
Ours: Missouri State by 3.7 Sam Houston win 41% Missouri State win 59% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Sam Houston win by Missouri State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Sam Houston win 41.2% Missouri State win 58.8% Middle 50%: Sam Houston by 7 to Missouri State by 15 50% Middle 90%: Sam Houston by 24 to Missouri State by 31 90% Middle 95%: Sam Houston by 29 to Missouri State by 37 95% Exactly Missouri State by 3 6.7% Exactly Sam Houston by 3 6.2% Exactly Missouri State by 7 5.3% Exactly Sam Houston by 7 4.4% Exactly Missouri State by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Missouri State +6.3 This season, against its opponents Sam Houston +5.8 Home field Missouri State +3.1
Kennesaw State by 2.5 · 56% to win
Ours: Kennesaw State by 2.5 Kennesaw State win 56% Middle Tennessee win 44% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Kennesaw State win by Middle Tennessee win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kennesaw State win 55.9% Middle Tennessee win 44.1% Middle 50%: Kennesaw State by 14 to Middle Tennessee by 8 50% Middle 90%: Kennesaw State by 30 to Middle Tennessee by 25 90% Middle 95%: Kennesaw State by 35 to Middle Tennessee by 31 95% Exactly Kennesaw State by 3 6.7% Exactly Middle Tennessee by 3 6.3% Exactly Kennesaw State by 7 5.2% Exactly Middle Tennessee by 7 4.6% Exactly Kennesaw State by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Kennesaw State +5.0 Home field Middle Tennessee +3.1 This season, against its opponents Kennesaw State +0.6
Jacksonville State by 5.8 · 64% to win
Ours: Jacksonville State by 5.8 Jacksonville State win 64% New Mexico State win 36% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Jacksonville State win by New Mexico State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Jacksonville State win 63.6% New Mexico State win 36.4% Middle 50%: Jacksonville State by 17 to New Mexico State by 6 50% Middle 90%: Jacksonville State by 34 to New Mexico State by 21 90% Middle 95%: Jacksonville State by 38 to New Mexico State by 27 95% Exactly Jacksonville State by 3 6.6% Exactly New Mexico State by 3 5.8% Exactly Jacksonville State by 7 5.4% Exactly New Mexico State by 7 4.0% Exactly Jacksonville State by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Jacksonville State +7.1 Home field New Mexico State +3.1 Last season Jacksonville State +1.8
North Texas by 18.2 · 86% to win
Ours: North Texas by 18.2 Florida Atlantic win 14% North Texas win 86% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Florida Atlantic win by North Texas win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Florida Atlantic win 13.7% North Texas win 86.3% Middle 50%: North Texas by 7 to North Texas by 29 50% Middle 90%: Florida Atlantic by 10 to North Texas by 46 90% Middle 95%: Florida Atlantic by 14 to North Texas by 51 95% Exactly North Texas by 3 4.4% Exactly North Texas by 7 4.3% Exactly North Texas by 21 4.2% Exactly North Texas by 14 4.1% Exactly North Texas by 17 4.1%
Where the forecast comes from Last season North Texas +9.2 This season, against its opponents North Texas +5.8 Home field North Texas +3.1
James Madison by 21.9 · 91% to win
Ours: James Madison by 21.9 Troy win 9% James Madison win 91% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Troy win by James Madison win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Troy win 9.4% James Madison win 90.6% Middle 50%: James Madison by 10 to James Madison by 33 50% Middle 90%: Troy by 6 to James Madison by 49 90% Middle 95%: Troy by 11 to James Madison by 55 95% Exactly James Madison by 21 4.3% Exactly James Madison by 28 4.2% Exactly James Madison by 17 3.9% Exactly James Madison by 14 3.8% Exactly James Madison by 7 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents James Madison +11.7 Last season James Madison +7.1 Home field James Madison +3.1
Tulane by 17.7 · 86% to win
Ours: Tulane by 17.7 Tulane win 86% Charlotte win 14% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Tulane win by Charlotte win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Tulane win 85.7% Charlotte win 14.3% Middle 50%: Tulane by 28 to Tulane by 7 50% Middle 90%: Tulane by 45 to Charlotte by 10 90% Middle 95%: Tulane by 50 to Charlotte by 15 95% Exactly Tulane by 3 4.5% Exactly Tulane by 7 4.4% Exactly Tulane by 21 4.2% Exactly Tulane by 14 4.1% Exactly Tulane by 17 4.1%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Tulane +12.9 This season, against its opponents Tulane +8.0 Home field Charlotte +3.1
UCF by 3.3 · 58% to win
Ours: UCF by 3.3 Baylor win 42% UCF win 58% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Baylor win by UCF win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Baylor win 42.2% UCF win 57.8% Middle 50%: Baylor by 7 to UCF by 14 50% Middle 90%: Baylor by 24 to UCF by 31 90% Middle 95%: Baylor by 29 to UCF by 36 95% Exactly UCF by 3 6.7% Exactly Baylor by 3 6.2% Exactly UCF by 7 5.2% Exactly Baylor by 7 4.5% Exactly UCF by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UCF +4.2 Last season Baylor +4.1 Home field UCF +3.1
Kent State by 1.0 · 52% to win
Ours: Kent State by 1.0 Kent State win 52% Sacramento State win 48% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Kent State win by Sacramento State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kent State win 52.3% Sacramento State win 47.7% Middle 50%: Kent State by 13 to Sacramento State by 10 50% Middle 90%: Kent State by 28 to Sacramento State by 27 90% Middle 95%: Kent State by 34 to Sacramento State by 32 95% Exactly Kent State by 3 6.6% Exactly Sacramento State by 3 6.5% Exactly Kent State by 7 5.0% Exactly Sacramento State by 7 4.8% Exactly Kent State by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Kent State +3.6 Home field Sacramento State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Kent State +0.5
Missouri by 5.5 · 63% to win
Ours: Missouri by 5.5 Missouri win 63% Arkansas win 37% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Missouri win by Arkansas win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Missouri win 63.0% Arkansas win 37.0% Middle 50%: Missouri by 17 to Arkansas by 6 50% Middle 90%: Missouri by 33 to Arkansas by 22 90% Middle 95%: Missouri by 38 to Arkansas by 28 95% Exactly Missouri by 3 6.6% Exactly Arkansas by 3 5.9% Exactly Missouri by 7 5.4% Exactly Arkansas by 7 4.1% Exactly Missouri by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Missouri +10.6 Home field Arkansas +3.1 Last season Arkansas +1.9
Ole Miss by 6.1 · 64% to win
Ours: Ole Miss by 6.1 Auburn win 36% Ole Miss win 64% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Auburn win by Ole Miss win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Auburn win 35.6% Ole Miss win 64.4% Middle 50%: Auburn by 5 to Ole Miss by 17 50% Middle 90%: Auburn by 21 to Ole Miss by 34 90% Middle 95%: Auburn by 27 to Ole Miss by 39 95% Exactly Ole Miss by 3 6.6% Exactly Auburn by 3 5.8% Exactly Ole Miss by 7 5.4% Exactly Auburn by 7 4.0% Exactly Ole Miss by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Ole Miss +3.1 Last season Ole Miss +2.1 This season, against its opponents Ole Miss +0.9
Oklahoma by 8.4 · 69% to win
Ours: Oklahoma by 8.4 South Carolina win 31% Oklahoma win 69% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← South Carolina win by Oklahoma win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance South Carolina win 30.6% Oklahoma win 69.4% Middle 50%: South Carolina by 3 to Oklahoma by 20 50% Middle 90%: South Carolina by 19 to Oklahoma by 35 90% Middle 95%: South Carolina by 24 to Oklahoma by 42 95% Exactly Oklahoma by 3 6.3% Exactly Oklahoma by 7 5.4% Exactly South Carolina by 3 5.3% Exactly Oklahoma by 14 4.0% Exactly Oklahoma by 17 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Oklahoma +3.9 Home field Oklahoma +3.1 This season, against its opponents Oklahoma +1.4
Texas by 12.5 · 77% to win
Ours: Texas by 12.5 Mississippi State win 23% Texas win 77% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Mississippi State win by Texas win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Mississippi State win 22.5% Texas win 77.5% Middle 50%: Texas by 3 to Texas by 24 50% Middle 90%: Mississippi State by 15 to Texas by 40 90% Middle 95%: Mississippi State by 21 to Texas by 45 95% Exactly Texas by 3 5.7% Exactly Texas by 7 5.1% Exactly Mississippi State by 3 4.3% Exactly Texas by 14 4.2% Exactly Texas by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Texas +10.9 Home field Texas +3.1 This season, against its opponents Mississippi State +1.5
Texas Tech by 9.5 · 72% to win
Ours: Texas Tech by 9.5 Arizona win 28% Texas Tech win 72% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Arizona win by Texas Tech win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Arizona win 28.4% Texas Tech win 71.6% Middle 50%: Arizona by 3 to Texas Tech by 21 50% Middle 90%: Arizona by 18 to Texas Tech by 37 90% Middle 95%: Arizona by 24 to Texas Tech by 42 95% Exactly Texas Tech by 3 6.2% Exactly Texas Tech by 7 5.3% Exactly Arizona by 3 5.1% Exactly Texas Tech by 14 4.1% Exactly Texas Tech by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Texas Tech +4.5 Home field Texas Tech +3.1 This season, against its opponents Texas Tech +1.8
BYU by 11.6 · 76% to win
Ours: BYU by 11.6 Arizona State win 24% BYU win 76% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Arizona State win by BYU win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Arizona State win 24.2% BYU win 75.8% Middle 50%: BYU by 1 to BYU by 23 50% Middle 90%: Arizona State by 17 to BYU by 39 90% Middle 95%: Arizona State by 21 to BYU by 45 95% Exactly BYU by 3 5.8% Exactly BYU by 7 5.2% Exactly Arizona State by 3 4.6% Exactly BYU by 14 4.2% Exactly BYU by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents BYU +5.3 Home field BYU +3.1 Last season BYU +3.1
TCU by 9.1 · 71% to win
Ours: TCU by 9.1 Kansas win 29% TCU win 71% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Kansas win by TCU win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kansas win 29.3% TCU win 70.7% Middle 50%: Kansas by 3 to TCU by 21 50% Middle 90%: Kansas by 18 to TCU by 37 90% Middle 95%: Kansas by 24 to TCU by 42 95% Exactly TCU by 3 6.2% Exactly TCU by 7 5.3% Exactly Kansas by 3 5.2% Exactly TCU by 14 4.0% Exactly TCU by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents TCU +8.3 Home field TCU +3.1 Last season Kansas +2.4
Kansas State by 9.2 · 71% to win
Ours: Kansas State by 9.2 Kansas State win 71% Colorado win 29% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Kansas State win by Colorado win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kansas State win 71.0% Colorado win 28.9% Middle 50%: Kansas State by 21 to Colorado by 3 50% Middle 90%: Kansas State by 37 to Colorado by 18 90% Middle 95%: Kansas State by 42 to Colorado by 24 95% Exactly Kansas State by 3 6.2% Exactly Kansas State by 7 5.3% Exactly Colorado by 3 5.1% Exactly Kansas State by 14 4.1% Exactly Kansas State by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Kansas State +7.6 This season, against its opponents Kansas State +4.8 Home field Colorado +3.1
Iowa State by 13.1 · 78% to win
Ours: Iowa State by 13.1 Oklahoma State win 22% Iowa State win 78% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Oklahoma State win by Iowa State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Oklahoma State win 21.6% Iowa State win 78.4% Middle 50%: Iowa State by 3 to Iowa State by 24 50% Middle 90%: Oklahoma State by 14 to Iowa State by 41 90% Middle 95%: Oklahoma State by 20 to Iowa State by 46 95% Exactly Iowa State by 3 5.6% Exactly Iowa State by 7 5.0% Exactly Iowa State by 14 4.2% Exactly Oklahoma State by 3 4.2% Exactly Iowa State by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Iowa State +12.4 Home field Iowa State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Oklahoma State +2.4
Utah by 14.1 · 80% to win
Ours: Utah by 14.1 Utah win 80% Cincinnati win 20% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Utah win by Cincinnati win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Utah win 80.2% Cincinnati win 19.8% Middle 50%: Utah by 25 to Utah by 3 50% Middle 90%: Utah by 42 to Cincinnati by 14 90% Middle 95%: Utah by 47 to Cincinnati by 19 95% Exactly Utah by 3 5.4% Exactly Utah by 7 4.9% Exactly Utah by 14 4.2% Exactly Utah by 17 4.0% Exactly Cincinnati by 3 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Utah +10.9 Last season Utah +6.3 Home field Cincinnati +3.1
NC State by 12.1 · 77% to win
Ours: NC State by 12.1 California win 23% NC State win 77% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← California win by NC State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance California win 23.3% NC State win 76.7% Middle 50%: NC State by 2 to NC State by 24 50% Middle 90%: California by 15 to NC State by 39 90% Middle 95%: California by 21 to NC State by 45 95% Exactly NC State by 3 5.8% Exactly NC State by 7 5.1% Exactly California by 3 4.4% Exactly NC State by 14 4.2% Exactly NC State by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents NC State +7.3 Home field NC State +3.1 Last season NC State +1.7
SMU by 7.8 · 68% to win
Ours: SMU by 7.8 SMU win 68% Syracuse win 32% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← SMU win by Syracuse win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance SMU win 68.0% Syracuse win 32.0% Middle 50%: SMU by 19 to Syracuse by 3 50% Middle 90%: SMU by 35 to Syracuse by 20 90% Middle 95%: SMU by 41 to Syracuse by 25 95% Exactly SMU by 3 6.4% Exactly Syracuse by 3 5.4% Exactly SMU by 7 5.4% Exactly SMU by 14 3.9% Exactly Syracuse by 7 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Last season SMU +7.5 This season, against its opponents SMU +3.4 Home field Syracuse +3.1
Duke by 23.2 · 92% to win
Ours: Duke by 23.2 Boston College win 8% Duke win 92% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Boston College win by Duke win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Boston College win 8.2% Duke win 91.8% Middle 50%: Duke by 12 to Duke by 35 50% Middle 90%: Boston College by 4 to Duke by 50 90% Middle 95%: Boston College by 10 to Duke by 56 95% Exactly Duke by 28 4.3% Exactly Duke by 21 4.2% Exactly Duke by 17 3.8% Exactly Duke by 14 3.6% Exactly Duke by 7 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Duke +13.4 Last season Duke +6.6 Home field Duke +3.1
Florida State by 3.2 · 58% to win
Ours: Florida State by 3.2 Clemson win 42% Florida State win 58% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Clemson win by Florida State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Clemson win 42.3% Florida State win 57.7% Middle 50%: Clemson by 7 to Florida State by 14 50% Middle 90%: Clemson by 24 to Florida State by 31 90% Middle 95%: Clemson by 29 to Florida State by 35 95% Exactly Florida State by 3 6.7% Exactly Clemson by 3 6.2% Exactly Florida State by 7 5.2% Exactly Clemson by 7 4.5% Exactly Florida State by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Florida State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Florida State +0.5 Last season Clemson +0.5
Pittsburgh by 15.2 · 82% to win
Ours: Pittsburgh by 15.2 Georgia Tech win 18% Pittsburgh win 82% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Georgia Tech win by Pittsburgh win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Georgia Tech win 17.9% Pittsburgh win 82.0% Middle 50%: Pittsburgh by 3 to Pittsburgh by 27 50% Middle 90%: Georgia Tech by 13 to Pittsburgh by 42 90% Middle 95%: Georgia Tech by 17 to Pittsburgh by 49 95% Exactly Pittsburgh by 3 5.1% Exactly Pittsburgh by 7 4.8% Exactly Pittsburgh by 14 4.2% Exactly Pittsburgh by 17 4.1% Exactly Pittsburgh by 21 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Pittsburgh +12.8 Home field Pittsburgh +3.1 Last season Georgia Tech +0.7
Miami by 19.0 · 87% to win
Ours: Miami by 19.0 Miami win 87% North Carolina win 13% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Miami win by North Carolina win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Miami win 87.3% North Carolina win 12.7% Middle 50%: Miami by 31 to Miami by 7 50% Middle 90%: Miami by 46 to North Carolina by 8 90% Middle 95%: Miami by 52 to North Carolina by 14 95% Exactly Miami by 21 4.2% Exactly Miami by 3 4.2% Exactly Miami by 7 4.2% Exactly Miami by 17 4.1% Exactly Miami by 14 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Miami +13.8 Last season Miami +8.3 Home field North Carolina +3.1
Louisville by 20.0 · 89% to win
Ours: Louisville by 20.0 Stanford win 11% Louisville win 89% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Stanford win by Louisville win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Stanford win 11.5% Louisville win 88.5% Middle 50%: Louisville by 8 to Louisville by 31 50% Middle 90%: Stanford by 7 to Louisville by 48 90% Middle 95%: Stanford by 13 to Louisville by 53 95% Exactly Louisville by 21 4.3% Exactly Louisville by 17 4.0% Exactly Louisville by 3 4.0% Exactly Louisville by 7 4.0% Exactly Louisville by 28 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Louisville +11.3 Last season Louisville +5.5 Home field Louisville +3.1
Virginia by 3.5 · 58% to win
Ours: Virginia by 3.5 Virginia win 58% Wake Forest win 42% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Virginia win by Wake Forest win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Virginia win 58.4% Wake Forest win 41.6% Middle 50%: Virginia by 15 to Wake Forest by 7 50% Middle 90%: Virginia by 31 to Wake Forest by 24 90% Middle 95%: Virginia by 36 to Wake Forest by 29 95% Exactly Virginia by 3 6.7% Exactly Wake Forest by 3 6.2% Exactly Virginia by 7 5.3% Exactly Wake Forest by 7 4.4% Exactly Virginia by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Virginia +7.3 Home field Wake Forest +3.1 Last season Wake Forest +0.6
Indiana by 24.0 · 93% to win
Ours: Indiana by 24.0 Minnesota win 7% Indiana win 93% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Minnesota win by Indiana win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Minnesota win 7.4% Indiana win 92.6% Middle 50%: Indiana by 13 to Indiana by 35 50% Middle 90%: Minnesota by 3 to Indiana by 52 90% Middle 95%: Minnesota by 8 to Indiana by 56 95% Exactly Indiana by 28 4.3% Exactly Indiana by 21 4.2% Exactly Indiana by 17 3.7% Exactly Indiana by 14 3.5% Exactly Indiana by 24 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Indiana +13.9 This season, against its opponents Indiana +7.0 Home field Indiana +3.1
Iowa by 12.2 · 77% to win
Ours: Iowa by 12.2 Wisconsin win 23% Iowa win 77% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Wisconsin win by Iowa win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Wisconsin win 23.2% Iowa win 76.8% Middle 50%: Iowa by 2 to Iowa by 24 50% Middle 90%: Wisconsin by 15 to Iowa by 39 90% Middle 95%: Wisconsin by 21 to Iowa by 45 95% Exactly Iowa by 3 5.7% Exactly Iowa by 7 5.1% Exactly Wisconsin by 3 4.4% Exactly Iowa by 14 4.2% Exactly Iowa by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Iowa +6.2 Home field Iowa +3.1 This season, against its opponents Iowa +2.8
Illinois by 9.8 · 72% to win
Ours: Illinois by 9.8 Illinois win 72% Maryland win 28% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Illinois win by Maryland win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Illinois win 72.2% Maryland win 27.8% Middle 50%: Illinois by 21 to Maryland by 3 50% Middle 90%: Illinois by 38 to Maryland by 18 90% Middle 95%: Illinois by 42 to Maryland by 23 95% Exactly Illinois by 3 6.1% Exactly Illinois by 7 5.3% Exactly Maryland by 3 5.0% Exactly Illinois by 14 4.1% Exactly Illinois by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Illinois +8.7 This season, against its opponents Illinois +4.3 Home field Maryland +3.1
Nebraska by 11.7 · 76% to win
Ours: Nebraska by 11.7 Washington win 24% Nebraska win 76% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Washington win by Nebraska win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Washington win 24.2% Nebraska win 75.8% Middle 50%: Nebraska by 1 to Nebraska by 23 50% Middle 90%: Washington by 16 to Nebraska by 39 90% Middle 95%: Washington by 21 to Nebraska by 45 95% Exactly Nebraska by 3 5.8% Exactly Nebraska by 7 5.2% Exactly Washington by 3 4.6% Exactly Nebraska by 14 4.2% Exactly Nebraska by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Nebraska +15.0 Last season Washington +6.5 Home field Nebraska +3.1
Oregon by 10.2 · 73% to win
Ours: Oregon by 10.2 Northwestern win 27% Oregon win 73% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Northwestern win by Oregon win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Northwestern win 27.0% Oregon win 73.0% Middle 50%: Northwestern by 2 to Oregon by 21 50% Middle 90%: Northwestern by 17 to Oregon by 38 90% Middle 95%: Northwestern by 23 to Oregon by 42 95% Exactly Oregon by 3 6.1% Exactly Oregon by 7 5.3% Exactly Northwestern by 3 4.9% Exactly Oregon by 14 4.1% Exactly Oregon by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Oregon +4.7 Home field Oregon +3.1 This season, against its opponents Oregon +2.3
Penn State by 24.2 · 93% to win
Ours: Penn State by 24.2 Purdue win 7% Penn State win 93% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Purdue win by Penn State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Purdue win 7.3% Penn State win 92.7% Middle 50%: Penn State by 13 to Penn State by 35 50% Middle 90%: Purdue by 3 to Penn State by 52 90% Middle 95%: Purdue by 8 to Penn State by 56 95% Exactly Penn State by 28 4.3% Exactly Penn State by 21 4.2% Exactly Penn State by 17 3.7% Exactly Penn State by 14 3.5% Exactly Penn State by 24 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Penn State +14.6 Last season Penn State +6.5 Home field Penn State +3.1
Michigan by 10.2 · 73% to win
Ours: Michigan by 10.2 Michigan win 73% Rutgers win 27% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Michigan win by Rutgers win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Michigan win 73.1% Rutgers win 26.9% Middle 50%: Michigan by 21 to Rutgers by 2 50% Middle 90%: Michigan by 38 to Rutgers by 17 90% Middle 95%: Michigan by 43 to Rutgers by 23 95% Exactly Michigan by 3 6.1% Exactly Michigan by 7 5.3% Exactly Rutgers by 3 4.9% Exactly Michigan by 14 4.1% Exactly Michigan by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Michigan +11.8 Home field Rutgers +3.1 This season, against its opponents Michigan +1.6
UCLA by 24.4 · 93% to win
Ours: UCLA by 24.4 Nevada win 7% UCLA win 93% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Nevada win by UCLA win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Nevada win 7.1% UCLA win 92.9% Middle 50%: UCLA by 14 to UCLA by 35 50% Middle 90%: Nevada by 3 to UCLA by 52 90% Middle 95%: Nevada by 8 to UCLA by 56 95% Exactly UCLA by 28 4.3% Exactly UCLA by 21 4.2% Exactly UCLA by 17 3.7% Exactly UCLA by 14 3.5% Exactly UCLA by 56 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UCLA +15.8 Last season UCLA +5.4 Home field UCLA +3.1
Ohio State by 10.5 · 74% to win
Ours: Ohio State by 10.5 Ohio State win 74% USC win 26% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Ohio State win by USC win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Ohio State win 73.7% USC win 26.3% Middle 50%: Ohio State by 21 to USC by 2 50% Middle 90%: Ohio State by 38 to USC by 17 90% Middle 95%: Ohio State by 43 to USC by 22 95% Exactly Ohio State by 3 6.0% Exactly Ohio State by 7 5.3% Exactly USC by 3 4.8% Exactly Ohio State by 14 4.1% Exactly Ohio State by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Ohio State +8.5 Last season Ohio State +5.2 Home field USC +3.1
Notre Dame by 31.8 · 97% to win
Ours: Notre Dame by 31.8 Notre Dame win 97% Navy win 3% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Notre Dame win by Navy win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Notre Dame win 97.2% Navy win 2.8% Middle 50%: Notre Dame by 42 to Notre Dame by 21 50% Middle 90%: Notre Dame by 59 to Notre Dame by 4 90% Middle 95%: Notre Dame by 63 to Navy by 2 95% Exactly Notre Dame by 56 8.1% Exactly Notre Dame by 28 4.3% Exactly Notre Dame by 35 3.8% Exactly Notre Dame by 42 3.7% Exactly Notre Dame by 21 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Notre Dame +16.6 Last season Notre Dame +15.5 Home field Navy +0.2
Fresno State by 2.7 · 57% to win
Ours: Fresno State by 2.7 Oregon State win 43% Fresno State win 57% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Oregon State win by Fresno State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Oregon State win 43.5% Fresno State win 56.5% Middle 50%: Oregon State by 8 to Fresno State by 14 50% Middle 90%: Oregon State by 25 to Fresno State by 31 90% Middle 95%: Oregon State by 31 to Fresno State by 35 95% Exactly Fresno State by 3 6.7% Exactly Oregon State by 3 6.3% Exactly Fresno State by 7 5.2% Exactly Oregon State by 7 4.5% Exactly Fresno State by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Oregon State +3.5 Home field Fresno State +3.1 Last season Fresno State +3.1
Memphis by 1.5 · 54% to win
Ours: Memphis by 1.5 Army win 46% Memphis win 54% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Army win by Memphis win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Army win 46.3% Memphis win 53.7% Middle 50%: Army by 10 to Memphis by 13 50% Middle 90%: Army by 26 to Memphis by 29 90% Middle 95%: Army by 31 to Memphis by 34 95% Exactly Memphis by 3 6.6% Exactly Army by 3 6.4% Exactly Memphis by 7 5.1% Exactly Army by 7 4.7% Exactly Memphis by 14 3.2%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Memphis +3.1 This season, against its opponents Army +2.6 Last season Memphis +1.0
East Carolina by 5.5 · 63% to win
Ours: East Carolina by 5.5 Temple win 37% East Carolina win 63% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Temple win by East Carolina win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Temple win 37.1% East Carolina win 62.9% Middle 50%: Temple by 6 to East Carolina by 17 50% Middle 90%: Temple by 22 to East Carolina by 33 90% Middle 95%: Temple by 28 to East Carolina by 38 95% Exactly East Carolina by 3 6.6% Exactly Temple by 3 5.9% Exactly East Carolina by 7 5.4% Exactly Temple by 7 4.1% Exactly East Carolina by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Home field East Carolina +3.1 Last season East Carolina +2.5 This season, against its opponents Temple +0.1
South Florida by 19.7 · 88% to win
Ours: South Florida by 19.7 UAB win 12% South Florida win 88% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UAB win by South Florida win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UAB win 11.8% South Florida win 88.2% Middle 50%: South Florida by 8 to South Florida by 31 50% Middle 90%: UAB by 7 to South Florida by 48 90% Middle 95%: UAB by 14 to South Florida by 52 95% Exactly South Florida by 21 4.2% Exactly South Florida by 3 4.0% Exactly South Florida by 17 4.0% Exactly South Florida by 7 4.0% Exactly South Florida by 14 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents South Florida +10.1 Last season South Florida +6.4 Home field South Florida +3.1
New Mexico by 14.3 · 81% to win
Ours: New Mexico by 14.3 New Mexico win 81% San José State win 19% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← New Mexico win by San José State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance New Mexico win 80.6% San José State win 19.4% Middle 50%: New Mexico by 26 to New Mexico by 3 50% Middle 90%: New Mexico by 42 to San José State by 14 90% Middle 95%: New Mexico by 47 to San José State by 18 95% Exactly New Mexico by 3 5.3% Exactly New Mexico by 7 4.9% Exactly New Mexico by 14 4.2% Exactly New Mexico by 17 4.0% Exactly New Mexico by 21 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents New Mexico +14.4 Home field San José State +3.1 Last season New Mexico +3.1
Western Michigan by 20.9 · 90% to win
Ours: Western Michigan by 20.9 Bowling Green win 10% Western Michigan win 90% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Bowling Green win by Western Michigan win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Bowling Green win 10.4% Western Michigan win 89.6% Middle 50%: Western Michigan by 10 to Western Michigan by 32 50% Middle 90%: Bowling Green by 7 to Western Michigan by 49 90% Middle 95%: Bowling Green by 12 to Western Michigan by 53 95% Exactly Western Michigan by 21 4.3% Exactly Western Michigan by 28 4.1% Exactly Western Michigan by 17 4.0% Exactly Western Michigan by 14 3.9% Exactly Western Michigan by 7 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Western Michigan +15.6 Home field Western Michigan +3.1 Last season Western Michigan +2.1
Georgia Southern by 0.9 · 52% to win
Ours: Georgia Southern by 0.9 App State win 48% Georgia Southern win 52% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← App State win by Georgia Southern win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance App State win 47.8% Georgia Southern win 52.2% Middle 50%: App State by 10 to Georgia Southern by 13 50% Middle 90%: App State by 27 to Georgia Southern by 28 90% Middle 95%: App State by 32 to Georgia Southern by 34 95% Exactly Georgia Southern by 3 6.6% Exactly App State by 3 6.5% Exactly Georgia Southern by 7 5.0% Exactly App State by 7 4.8% Exactly Georgia Southern by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents App State +3.6 Home field Georgia Southern +3.1 Last season Georgia Southern +1.3
Georgia State by 9.2 · 71% to win
Ours: Georgia State by 9.2 Coastal Carolina win 29% Georgia State win 71% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Coastal Carolina win by Georgia State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Coastal Carolina win 29.1% Georgia State win 70.9% Middle 50%: Coastal Carolina by 3 to Georgia State by 21 50% Middle 90%: Coastal Carolina by 18 to Georgia State by 37 90% Middle 95%: Coastal Carolina by 24 to Georgia State by 42 95% Exactly Georgia State by 3 6.2% Exactly Georgia State by 7 5.3% Exactly Coastal Carolina by 3 5.1% Exactly Georgia State by 14 4.0% Exactly Georgia State by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Georgia State +8.4 Home field Georgia State +3.1 Last season Coastal Carolina +2.4
Southern Miss by 9.3 · 71% to win
Ours: Southern Miss by 9.3 Southern Miss win 71% UL Monroe win 29% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Southern Miss win by UL Monroe win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Southern Miss win 71.1% UL Monroe win 28.9% Middle 50%: Southern Miss by 21 to UL Monroe by 3 50% Middle 90%: Southern Miss by 37 to UL Monroe by 18 90% Middle 95%: Southern Miss by 42 to UL Monroe by 24 95% Exactly Southern Miss by 3 6.2% Exactly Southern Miss by 7 5.3% Exactly UL Monroe by 3 5.1% Exactly Southern Miss by 14 4.1% Exactly Southern Miss by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Southern Miss +8.0 Last season Southern Miss +4.5 Home field UL Monroe +3.1
Old Dominion by 7.7 · 68% to win
Ours: Old Dominion by 7.7 Marshall win 32% Old Dominion win 68% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Marshall win by Old Dominion win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Marshall win 32.3% Old Dominion win 67.8% Middle 50%: Marshall by 3 to Old Dominion by 19 50% Middle 90%: Marshall by 20 to Old Dominion by 35 90% Middle 95%: Marshall by 25 to Old Dominion by 41 95% Exactly Old Dominion by 3 6.4% Exactly Marshall by 3 5.5% Exactly Old Dominion by 7 5.4% Exactly Old Dominion by 14 3.9% Exactly Marshall by 7 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Old Dominion +6.1 Home field Old Dominion +3.1 This season, against its opponents Marshall +1.6
South Alabama by 2.2 · 55% to win
Ours: South Alabama by 2.2 Louisiana Tech win 45% South Alabama win 55% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Louisiana Tech win by South Alabama win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Louisiana Tech win 44.7% South Alabama win 55.3% Middle 50%: Louisiana Tech by 9 to South Alabama by 14 50% Middle 90%: Louisiana Tech by 25 to South Alabama by 30 90% Middle 95%: Louisiana Tech by 31 to South Alabama by 35 95% Exactly South Alabama by 3 6.7% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 3 6.4% Exactly South Alabama by 7 5.2% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 7 4.6% Exactly South Alabama by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Home field South Alabama +3.1 This season, against its opponents Louisiana Tech +1.1 Last season South Alabama +0.2
UConn by 0.5 · 51% to win
Ours: UConn by 0.5 UConn win 51% Air Force win 49% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← UConn win by Air Force win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UConn win 51.2% Air Force win 48.8% Middle 50%: UConn by 12 to Air Force by 11 50% Middle 90%: UConn by 28 to Air Force by 27 90% Middle 95%: UConn by 34 to Air Force by 32 95% Exactly UConn by 3 6.6% Exactly Air Force by 3 6.5% Exactly UConn by 7 5.0% Exactly Air Force by 7 4.9% Exactly UConn by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Air Force +3.1 This season, against its opponents UConn +2.8 Last season UConn +0.8
Georgia by 5.7 · 63% to win
Ours: Georgia by 5.7 Florida win 37% Georgia win 63% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Florida win by Georgia win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Florida win 36.5% Georgia win 63.5% Middle 50%: Florida by 6 to Georgia by 17 50% Middle 90%: Florida by 21 to Georgia by 34 90% Middle 95%: Florida by 27 to Georgia by 38 95% Exactly Georgia by 3 6.6% Exactly Florida by 3 5.8% Exactly Georgia by 7 5.4% Exactly Florida by 7 4.0% Exactly Georgia by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Georgia +3.1 This season, against its opponents Georgia +2.4 Home field Georgia +0.2
Utah State by 3.7 · 59% to win
Ours: Utah State by 3.7 Colorado State win 41% Utah State win 59% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Colorado State win by Utah State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Colorado State win 41.2% Utah State win 58.8% Middle 50%: Colorado State by 7 to Utah State by 15 50% Middle 90%: Colorado State by 24 to Utah State by 31 90% Middle 95%: Colorado State by 29 to Utah State by 37 95% Exactly Utah State by 3 6.7% Exactly Colorado State by 3 6.2% Exactly Utah State by 7 5.3% Exactly Colorado State by 7 4.4% Exactly Utah State by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Utah State +3.8 This season, against its opponents Colorado State +3.2 Home field Utah State +3.1
North Dakota State by 28.7 · 96% to win
Ours: North Dakota State by 28.7 UTEP win 4% North Dakota State win 96% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UTEP win by North Dakota State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UTEP win 4.2% North Dakota State win 95.8% Middle 50%: North Dakota State by 17 to North Dakota State by 40 50% Middle 90%: North Dakota State by 3 to North Dakota State by 56 90% Middle 95%: UTEP by 4 to North Dakota State by 62 95% Exactly North Dakota State by 56 5.7% Exactly North Dakota State by 28 4.4% Exactly North Dakota State by 21 3.8% Exactly North Dakota State by 35 3.6% Exactly North Dakota State by 31 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents North Dakota State +22.4 Last season North Dakota State +3.2 Home field North Dakota State +3.1
Liberty by 11.4 · 75% to win
Ours: Liberty by 11.4 Florida International win 25% Liberty win 75% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Florida International win by Liberty win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Florida International win 24.6% Liberty win 75.4% Middle 50%: Liberty by 1 to Liberty by 23 50% Middle 90%: Florida International by 17 to Liberty by 39 90% Middle 95%: Florida International by 21 to Liberty by 45 95% Exactly Liberty by 3 5.9% Exactly Liberty by 7 5.2% Exactly Florida International by 3 4.6% Exactly Liberty by 14 4.2% Exactly Liberty by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Liberty +8.4 Home field Liberty +3.1 Last season Florida International +0.1
San Diego State by 2.1 · 55% to win
Ours: San Diego State by 2.1 Washington State win 45% San Diego State win 55% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Washington State win by San Diego State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Washington State win 45.0% San Diego State win 55.0% Middle 50%: Washington State by 9 to San Diego State by 14 50% Middle 90%: Washington State by 25 to San Diego State by 29 90% Middle 95%: Washington State by 31 to San Diego State by 35 95% Exactly San Diego State by 3 6.7% Exactly Washington State by 3 6.4% Exactly San Diego State by 7 5.1% Exactly Washington State by 7 4.6% Exactly San Diego State by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Home field San Diego State +3.1 Last season Washington State +1.9 This season, against its opponents San Diego State +0.9
Boise State by 12.8 · 78% to win
Ours: Boise State by 12.8 Texas State win 22% Boise State win 78% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Texas State win by Boise State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Texas State win 22.1% Boise State win 77.9% Middle 50%: Boise State by 3 to Boise State by 24 50% Middle 90%: Texas State by 14 to Boise State by 41 90% Middle 95%: Texas State by 21 to Boise State by 45 95% Exactly Boise State by 3 5.6% Exactly Boise State by 7 5.1% Exactly Texas State by 3 4.3% Exactly Boise State by 14 4.2% Exactly Boise State by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Boise State +10.9 Home field Boise State +3.1 Last season Texas State +1.3
UNLV by 18.1 · 86% to win
Ours: UNLV by 18.1 Northern Illinois win 14% UNLV win 86% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Northern Illinois win by UNLV win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Northern Illinois win 13.9% UNLV win 86.1% Middle 50%: UNLV by 7 to UNLV by 29 50% Middle 90%: Northern Illinois by 10 to UNLV by 45 90% Middle 95%: Northern Illinois by 14 to UNLV by 51 95% Exactly UNLV by 3 4.5% Exactly UNLV by 7 4.3% Exactly UNLV by 21 4.2% Exactly UNLV by 14 4.1% Exactly UNLV by 17 4.1%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UNLV +7.9 Last season UNLV +7.0 Home field UNLV +3.1
Delaware at 
Western Kentucky 
