Week 8 · October 20–24 · 4 weeks ahead
College football predictions, week 8 An early look at week 8, from how each team has played so far against the opponents it has faced, adjusted for luck , and where it stood last season. This far ahead fewer games are in, so the curves are wider. On past seasons, forecasts made 4 weeks ahead picked 72.4% of winners, against 74.4% for forecasts made the week before. These update every day: this week’s predictions .
Weeks ahead 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 Why the curves are so wide: luck. Even with both teams’ strength known exactly, one game’s bounces, kicks, calls and sequencing move the final margin by about ±13.4 points (one standard deviation, measured from every play). These forecasts carry ±16.6, so about 66% of the width is that luck; the rest is what nobody knows yet about the teams. That is why a 7-point favorite still loses about 3 times in 10.
Florida International by 7.3 · 67% to win
Ours: Florida International by 7.3 Middle Tennessee win 33% Florida International win 67% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Middle Tennessee win by Florida International win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Middle Tennessee win 32.8% Florida International win 67.2% Middle 50%: Middle Tennessee by 3 to Florida International by 18 50% Middle 90%: Middle Tennessee by 20 to Florida International by 35 90% Middle 95%: Middle Tennessee by 25 to Florida International by 40 95% Exactly Florida International by 3 6.5% Exactly Middle Tennessee by 3 5.5% Exactly Florida International by 7 5.4% Exactly Florida International by 14 3.9% Exactly Middle Tennessee by 7 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Florida International +3.6 Home field Florida International +3.1 This season, against its opponents Florida International +0.6
Delaware by 5.7 · 63% to win
Ours: Delaware by 5.7 Missouri State win 37% Delaware win 63% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Missouri State win by Delaware win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Missouri State win 36.6% Delaware win 63.4% Middle 50%: Missouri State by 6 to Delaware by 17 50% Middle 90%: Missouri State by 21 to Delaware by 33 90% Middle 95%: Missouri State by 27 to Delaware by 38 95% Exactly Delaware by 3 6.6% Exactly Missouri State by 3 5.9% Exactly Delaware by 7 5.4% Exactly Missouri State by 7 4.1% Exactly Delaware by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Delaware +4.9 Home field Delaware +3.1 Last season Missouri State +2.4
South Alabama by 1.7 · 54% to win
Ours: South Alabama by 1.7 South Alabama win 54% Marshall win 46% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← South Alabama win by Marshall win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance South Alabama win 54.1% Marshall win 45.9% Middle 50%: South Alabama by 13 to Marshall by 10 50% Middle 90%: South Alabama by 28 to Marshall by 26 90% Middle 95%: South Alabama by 34 to Marshall by 31 95% Exactly South Alabama by 3 6.7% Exactly Marshall by 3 6.5% Exactly South Alabama by 7 5.2% Exactly Marshall by 7 4.7% Exactly South Alabama by 14 3.2%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents South Alabama +4.8 Home field Marshall +3.1 Last season South Alabama +0.1
Sam Houston by 5.8 · 64% to win
Ours: Sam Houston by 5.8 New Mexico State win 36% Sam Houston win 64% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← New Mexico State win by Sam Houston win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance New Mexico State win 36.3% Sam Houston win 63.7% Middle 50%: New Mexico State by 6 to Sam Houston by 17 50% Middle 90%: New Mexico State by 21 to Sam Houston by 33 90% Middle 95%: New Mexico State by 27 to Sam Houston by 38 95% Exactly Sam Houston by 3 6.6% Exactly New Mexico State by 3 5.9% Exactly Sam Houston by 7 5.4% Exactly New Mexico State by 7 4.0% Exactly Sam Houston by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Sam Houston +4.9 Home field Sam Houston +3.1 Last season New Mexico State +2.3
James Madison by 13.3 · 79% to win
Ours: James Madison by 13.3 James Madison win 79% App State win 21% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← James Madison win by App State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance James Madison win 79.1% App State win 20.9% Middle 50%: James Madison by 24 to James Madison by 3 50% Middle 90%: James Madison by 41 to App State by 14 90% Middle 95%: James Madison by 46 to App State by 19 95% Exactly James Madison by 3 5.5% Exactly James Madison by 7 5.0% Exactly James Madison by 14 4.3% Exactly App State by 3 4.1% Exactly James Madison by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season James Madison +9.1 This season, against its opponents James Madison +7.3 Home field App State +3.1
Liberty by 3.7 · 59% to win
Ours: Liberty by 3.7 Liberty win 59% Kennesaw State win 41% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Liberty win by Kennesaw State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Liberty win 58.9% Kennesaw State win 41.1% Middle 50%: Liberty by 15 to Kennesaw State by 7 50% Middle 90%: Liberty by 31 to Kennesaw State by 24 90% Middle 95%: Liberty by 36 to Kennesaw State by 28 95% Exactly Liberty by 3 6.7% Exactly Kennesaw State by 3 6.2% Exactly Liberty by 7 5.3% Exactly Kennesaw State by 7 4.4% Exactly Liberty by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Liberty +8.4 Home field Kennesaw State +3.1 Last season Kennesaw State +1.6
Memphis by 6.6 · 66% to win
Ours: Memphis by 6.6 East Carolina win 34% Memphis win 66% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← East Carolina win by Memphis win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance East Carolina win 34.4% Memphis win 65.6% Middle 50%: East Carolina by 4 to Memphis by 18 50% Middle 90%: East Carolina by 21 to Memphis by 34 90% Middle 95%: East Carolina by 26 to Memphis by 39 95% Exactly Memphis by 3 6.6% Exactly East Carolina by 3 5.7% Exactly Memphis by 7 5.4% Exactly East Carolina by 7 3.9% Exactly Memphis by 14 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Memphis +5.2 Home field Memphis +3.1 Last season East Carolina +1.7
Virginia by 3.5 · 59% to win
Ours: Virginia by 3.5 Duke win 41% Virginia win 59% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Duke win by Virginia win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Duke win 41.4% Virginia win 58.6% Middle 50%: Duke by 7 to Virginia by 15 50% Middle 90%: Duke by 24 to Virginia by 31 90% Middle 95%: Duke by 28 to Virginia by 36 95% Exactly Virginia by 3 6.7% Exactly Duke by 3 6.2% Exactly Virginia by 7 5.3% Exactly Duke by 7 4.4% Exactly Virginia by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Virginia +3.1 This season, against its opponents Virginia +2.3 Last season Duke +1.9
UConn by 12.1 · 77% to win
Ours: UConn by 12.1 Massachusetts win 23% UConn win 77% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Massachusetts win by UConn win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Massachusetts win 23.1% UConn win 76.9% Middle 50%: UConn by 2 to UConn by 24 50% Middle 90%: Massachusetts by 15 to UConn by 39 90% Middle 95%: Massachusetts by 21 to UConn by 45 95% Exactly UConn by 3 5.8% Exactly UConn by 7 5.2% Exactly Massachusetts by 3 4.5% Exactly UConn by 14 4.2% Exactly UConn by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season UConn +15.7 This season, against its opponents Massachusetts +6.7 Home field UConn +3.1
Army by 6.5 · 65% to win
Ours: Army by 6.5 Army win 65% Tulsa win 35% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Army win by Tulsa win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Army win 65.2% Tulsa win 34.8% Middle 50%: Army by 18 to Tulsa by 5 50% Middle 90%: Army by 34 to Tulsa by 21 90% Middle 95%: Army by 39 to Tulsa by 26 95% Exactly Army by 3 6.6% Exactly Tulsa by 3 5.7% Exactly Army by 7 5.4% Exactly Tulsa by 7 3.9% Exactly Army by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Army +7.4 Home field Tulsa +3.1 This season, against its opponents Army +2.2
Air Force by 6.1 · 64% to win
Ours: Air Force by 6.1 Air Force win 64% Wyoming win 36% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Air Force win by Wyoming win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Air Force win 64.5% Wyoming win 35.5% Middle 50%: Air Force by 17 to Wyoming by 5 50% Middle 90%: Air Force by 34 to Wyoming by 21 90% Middle 95%: Air Force by 38 to Wyoming by 27 95% Exactly Air Force by 3 6.6% Exactly Wyoming by 3 5.8% Exactly Air Force by 7 5.4% Exactly Wyoming by 7 4.0% Exactly Air Force by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Air Force +7.2 Home field Wyoming +3.1 Last season Air Force +2.1
NC State by 8.4 · 70% to win
Ours: NC State by 8.4 NC State win 70% Stanford win 30% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← NC State win by Stanford win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance NC State win 69.6% Stanford win 30.4% Middle 50%: NC State by 20 to Stanford by 3 50% Middle 90%: NC State by 35 to Stanford by 19 90% Middle 95%: NC State by 41 to Stanford by 24 95% Exactly NC State by 3 6.4% Exactly NC State by 7 5.4% Exactly Stanford by 3 5.3% Exactly NC State by 14 4.0% Exactly NC State by 17 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents NC State +14.0 Home field Stanford +3.1 Last season Stanford +2.4
Alabama by 13.7 · 80% to win
Ours: Alabama by 13.7 Texas A&M win 20% Alabama win 80% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Texas A&M win by Alabama win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Texas A&M win 20.2% Alabama win 79.8% Middle 50%: Alabama by 3 to Alabama by 25 50% Middle 90%: Texas A&M by 14 to Alabama by 41 90% Middle 95%: Texas A&M by 19 to Alabama by 46 95% Exactly Alabama by 3 5.5% Exactly Alabama by 7 5.0% Exactly Alabama by 14 4.3% Exactly Texas A&M by 3 4.1% Exactly Alabama by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Alabama +10.5 Home field Alabama +3.1 Last season Alabama +0.1
LSU by 6.7 · 66% to win
Ours: LSU by 6.7 LSU win 66% Auburn win 34% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← LSU win by Auburn win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance LSU win 65.7% Auburn win 34.3% Middle 50%: LSU by 18 to Auburn by 4 50% Middle 90%: LSU by 34 to Auburn by 21 90% Middle 95%: LSU by 39 to Auburn by 26 95% Exactly LSU by 3 6.6% Exactly Auburn by 3 5.7% Exactly LSU by 7 5.4% Exactly Auburn by 7 3.9% Exactly LSU by 14 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents LSU +8.9 Home field Auburn +3.1 Last season LSU +0.9
Kentucky by 4.0 · 60% to win
Ours: Kentucky by 4.0 Vanderbilt win 40% Kentucky win 60% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Vanderbilt win by Kentucky win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Vanderbilt win 40.4% Kentucky win 59.6% Middle 50%: Vanderbilt by 7 to Kentucky by 15 50% Middle 90%: Vanderbilt by 24 to Kentucky by 31 90% Middle 95%: Vanderbilt by 28 to Kentucky by 37 95% Exactly Kentucky by 3 6.7% Exactly Vanderbilt by 3 6.2% Exactly Kentucky by 7 5.3% Exactly Vanderbilt by 7 4.4% Exactly Kentucky by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Kentucky +3.1 This season, against its opponents Kentucky +2.9 Last season Vanderbilt +2.0
Mississippi State by 4.9 · 62% to win
Ours: Mississippi State by 4.9 Oklahoma win 38% Mississippi State win 62% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Oklahoma win by Mississippi State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Oklahoma win 38.3% Mississippi State win 61.7% Middle 50%: Oklahoma by 7 to Mississippi State by 17 50% Middle 90%: Oklahoma by 22 to Mississippi State by 32 90% Middle 95%: Oklahoma by 28 to Mississippi State by 38 95% Exactly Mississippi State by 3 6.7% Exactly Oklahoma by 3 6.0% Exactly Mississippi State by 7 5.4% Exactly Oklahoma by 7 4.2% Exactly Mississippi State by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Mississippi State +8.2 Last season Oklahoma +6.4 Home field Mississippi State +3.1
Tennessee by 6.8 · 66% to win
Ours: Tennessee by 6.8 Tennessee win 66% South Carolina win 34% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Tennessee win by South Carolina win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Tennessee win 66.1% South Carolina win 33.9% Middle 50%: Tennessee by 18 to South Carolina by 4 50% Middle 90%: Tennessee by 34 to South Carolina by 21 90% Middle 95%: Tennessee by 39 to South Carolina by 26 95% Exactly Tennessee by 3 6.6% Exactly South Carolina by 3 5.7% Exactly Tennessee by 7 5.4% Exactly Tennessee by 14 3.9% Exactly South Carolina by 7 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Tennessee +7.6 Home field South Carolina +3.1 Last season Tennessee +2.3
Texas by 13.1 · 79% to win
Ours: Texas by 13.1 Ole Miss win 21% Texas win 79% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Ole Miss win by Texas win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Ole Miss win 21.4% Texas win 78.6% Middle 50%: Texas by 3 to Texas by 24 50% Middle 90%: Ole Miss by 14 to Texas by 41 90% Middle 95%: Ole Miss by 20 to Texas by 45 95% Exactly Texas by 3 5.6% Exactly Texas by 7 5.1% Exactly Texas by 14 4.3% Exactly Ole Miss by 3 4.2% Exactly Texas by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Texas +8.6 Home field Texas +3.1 Last season Texas +1.3
Baylor by 2.0 · 55% to win
Ours: Baylor by 2.0 Baylor win 55% Kansas win 45% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Baylor win by Kansas win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Baylor win 54.8% Kansas win 45.2% Middle 50%: Baylor by 14 to Kansas by 9 50% Middle 90%: Baylor by 29 to Kansas by 25 90% Middle 95%: Baylor by 35 to Kansas by 31 95% Exactly Baylor by 3 6.7% Exactly Kansas by 3 6.4% Exactly Baylor by 7 5.2% Exactly Kansas by 7 4.7% Exactly Baylor by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Baylor +5.6 Home field Kansas +3.1 Last season Kansas +0.5
BYU by 4.8 · 61% to win
Ours: BYU by 4.8 BYU win 61% UCF win 39% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← BYU win by UCF win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance BYU win 61.4% UCF win 38.6% Middle 50%: BYU by 17 to UCF by 7 50% Middle 90%: BYU by 32 to UCF by 22 90% Middle 95%: BYU by 38 to UCF by 28 95% Exactly BYU by 3 6.7% Exactly UCF by 3 6.0% Exactly BYU by 7 5.4% Exactly UCF by 7 4.2% Exactly BYU by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season BYU +7.0 Home field UCF +3.1 This season, against its opponents BYU +0.9
Oklahoma State by 6.5 · 65% to win
Ours: Oklahoma State by 6.5 Colorado win 35% Oklahoma State win 65% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Colorado win by Oklahoma State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Colorado win 34.5% Oklahoma State win 65.5% Middle 50%: Colorado by 4 to Oklahoma State by 18 50% Middle 90%: Colorado by 21 to Oklahoma State by 34 90% Middle 95%: Colorado by 26 to Oklahoma State by 39 95% Exactly Oklahoma State by 3 6.6% Exactly Colorado by 3 5.7% Exactly Oklahoma State by 7 5.4% Exactly Colorado by 7 3.9% Exactly Oklahoma State by 14 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Oklahoma State +7.1 Last season Colorado +3.7 Home field Oklahoma State +3.1
Utah by 17.7 · 86% to win
Ours: Utah by 17.7 Houston win 14% Utah win 86% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Houston win by Utah win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Houston win 14.1% Utah win 85.9% Middle 50%: Utah by 7 to Utah by 28 50% Middle 90%: Houston by 10 to Utah by 45 90% Middle 95%: Houston by 15 to Utah by 49 95% Exactly Utah by 3 4.5% Exactly Utah by 7 4.4% Exactly Utah by 21 4.2% Exactly Utah by 14 4.2% Exactly Utah by 17 4.1%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Utah +11.6 Home field Utah +3.1 This season, against its opponents Utah +3.0
Arizona by 0.9 · 52% to win
Ours: Arizona by 0.9 Iowa State win 48% Arizona win 52% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Iowa State win by Arizona win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Iowa State win 47.9% Arizona win 52.1% Middle 50%: Iowa State by 10 to Arizona by 12 50% Middle 90%: Iowa State by 27 to Arizona by 28 90% Middle 95%: Iowa State by 32 to Arizona by 34 95% Exactly Arizona by 3 6.7% Exactly Iowa State by 3 6.6% Exactly Arizona by 7 5.1% Exactly Iowa State by 7 4.8% Exactly Arizona by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Iowa State +3.2 Home field Arizona +3.1 This season, against its opponents Arizona +0.9
Kansas State by 1.1 · 53% to win
Ours: Kansas State by 1.1 Kansas State win 53% Arizona State win 47% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Kansas State win by Arizona State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kansas State win 52.8% Arizona State win 47.2% Middle 50%: Kansas State by 13 to Arizona State by 10 50% Middle 90%: Kansas State by 28 to Arizona State by 27 90% Middle 95%: Kansas State by 34 to Arizona State by 31 95% Exactly Kansas State by 3 6.7% Exactly Arizona State by 3 6.5% Exactly Kansas State by 7 5.1% Exactly Arizona State by 7 4.8% Exactly Kansas State by 14 3.2%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Arizona State +3.1 Last season Kansas State +2.4 This season, against its opponents Kansas State +1.9
Texas Tech by 5.4 · 63% to win
Ours: Texas Tech by 5.4 Texas Tech win 63% Cincinnati win 37% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Texas Tech win by Cincinnati win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Texas Tech win 62.9% Cincinnati win 37.1% Middle 50%: Texas Tech by 17 to Cincinnati by 6 50% Middle 90%: Texas Tech by 33 to Cincinnati by 22 90% Middle 95%: Texas Tech by 38 to Cincinnati by 28 95% Exactly Texas Tech by 3 6.7% Exactly Cincinnati by 3 5.9% Exactly Texas Tech by 7 5.4% Exactly Cincinnati by 7 4.1% Exactly Texas Tech by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Texas Tech +4.9 Last season Texas Tech +3.7 Home field Cincinnati +3.1
TCU by 9.9 · 73% to win
Ours: TCU by 9.9 West Virginia win 27% TCU win 73% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← West Virginia win by TCU win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance West Virginia win 27.4% TCU win 72.6% Middle 50%: West Virginia by 3 to TCU by 21 50% Middle 90%: West Virginia by 17 to TCU by 37 90% Middle 95%: West Virginia by 23 to TCU by 42 95% Exactly TCU by 3 6.2% Exactly TCU by 7 5.3% Exactly West Virginia by 3 5.0% Exactly TCU by 14 4.1% Exactly TCU by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents TCU +4.5 Home field TCU +3.1 Last season TCU +2.3
SMU by 16.6 · 84% to win
Ours: SMU by 16.6 California win 16% SMU win 84% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← California win by SMU win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance California win 15.7% SMU win 84.3% Middle 50%: SMU by 6 to SMU by 28 50% Middle 90%: California by 10 to SMU by 44 90% Middle 95%: California by 17 to SMU by 49 95% Exactly SMU by 3 4.8% Exactly SMU by 7 4.6% Exactly SMU by 14 4.2% Exactly SMU by 21 4.1% Exactly SMU by 17 4.1%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents SMU +8.1 Last season SMU +5.3 Home field SMU +3.1
Georgia Tech by 12.4 · 78% to win
Ours: Georgia Tech by 12.4 Boston College win 22% Georgia Tech win 78% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Boston College win by Georgia Tech win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Boston College win 22.5% Georgia Tech win 77.5% Middle 50%: Georgia Tech by 3 to Georgia Tech by 24 50% Middle 90%: Boston College by 15 to Georgia Tech by 39 90% Middle 95%: Boston College by 21 to Georgia Tech by 45 95% Exactly Georgia Tech by 3 5.7% Exactly Georgia Tech by 7 5.1% Exactly Boston College by 3 4.4% Exactly Georgia Tech by 14 4.2% Exactly Georgia Tech by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Georgia Tech +6.6 Home field Georgia Tech +3.1 This season, against its opponents Georgia Tech +2.7
Miami by 13.5 · 79% to win
Ours: Miami by 13.5 Pittsburgh win 21% Miami win 79% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Pittsburgh win by Miami win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Pittsburgh win 20.5% Miami win 79.5% Middle 50%: Miami by 3 to Miami by 25 50% Middle 90%: Pittsburgh by 14 to Miami by 41 90% Middle 95%: Pittsburgh by 19 to Miami by 46 95% Exactly Miami by 3 5.5% Exactly Miami by 7 5.0% Exactly Miami by 14 4.3% Exactly Pittsburgh by 3 4.1% Exactly Miami by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Miami +8.6 Home field Miami +3.1 Last season Miami +1.8
North Carolina by 5.9 · 64% to win
Ours: North Carolina by 5.9 Syracuse win 36% North Carolina win 64% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Syracuse win by North Carolina win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Syracuse win 36.0% North Carolina win 64.0% Middle 50%: Syracuse by 6 to North Carolina by 17 50% Middle 90%: Syracuse by 21 to North Carolina by 33 90% Middle 95%: Syracuse by 27 to North Carolina by 38 95% Exactly North Carolina by 3 6.6% Exactly Syracuse by 3 5.8% Exactly North Carolina by 7 5.4% Exactly Syracuse by 7 4.0% Exactly North Carolina by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Home field North Carolina +3.1 This season, against its opponents North Carolina +2.3 Last season North Carolina +0.5
Clemson by 3.7 · 59% to win
Ours: Clemson by 3.7 Virginia Tech win 41% Clemson win 59% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Virginia Tech win by Clemson win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Virginia Tech win 41.1% Clemson win 58.9% Middle 50%: Virginia Tech by 7 to Clemson by 15 50% Middle 90%: Virginia Tech by 24 to Clemson by 31 90% Middle 95%: Virginia Tech by 28 to Clemson by 36 95% Exactly Clemson by 3 6.7% Exactly Virginia Tech by 3 6.2% Exactly Clemson by 7 5.3% Exactly Virginia Tech by 7 4.4% Exactly Clemson by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Clemson +8.7 This season, against its opponents Virginia Tech +8.2 Home field Clemson +3.1
Oregon by 6.0 · 64% to win
Ours: Oregon by 6.0 Oregon win 64% Illinois win 36% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Oregon win by Illinois win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Oregon win 64.2% Illinois win 35.8% Middle 50%: Oregon by 17 to Illinois by 6 50% Middle 90%: Oregon by 34 to Illinois by 21 90% Middle 95%: Oregon by 38 to Illinois by 27 95% Exactly Oregon by 3 6.6% Exactly Illinois by 3 5.8% Exactly Oregon by 7 5.4% Exactly Illinois by 7 4.0% Exactly Oregon by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Oregon +6.8 Home field Illinois +3.1 Last season Oregon +2.3
Indiana by 11.9 · 76% to win
Ours: Indiana by 11.9 Indiana win 76% Michigan win 24% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Indiana win by Michigan win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Indiana win 76.5% Michigan win 23.5% Middle 50%: Indiana by 23 to Indiana by 2 50% Middle 90%: Indiana by 39 to Michigan by 15 90% Middle 95%: Indiana by 45 to Michigan by 21 95% Exactly Indiana by 3 5.8% Exactly Indiana by 7 5.2% Exactly Michigan by 3 4.5% Exactly Indiana by 14 4.2% Exactly Indiana by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Indiana +11.2 Last season Indiana +3.8 Home field Michigan +3.1
Iowa by 9.4 · 72% to win
Ours: Iowa by 9.4 Iowa win 72% Minnesota win 28% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Iowa win by Minnesota win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Iowa win 71.6% Minnesota win 28.4% Middle 50%: Iowa by 21 to Minnesota by 3 50% Middle 90%: Iowa by 37 to Minnesota by 18 90% Middle 95%: Iowa by 42 to Minnesota by 23 95% Exactly Iowa by 3 6.3% Exactly Iowa by 7 5.4% Exactly Minnesota by 3 5.1% Exactly Iowa by 14 4.1% Exactly Iowa by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Iowa +6.9 This season, against its opponents Iowa +5.6 Home field Minnesota +3.1
Northwestern by 17.8 · 86% to win
Ours: Northwestern by 17.8 Rutgers win 14% Northwestern win 86% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Rutgers win by Northwestern win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Rutgers win 14.0% Northwestern win 86.0% Middle 50%: Northwestern by 7 to Northwestern by 28 50% Middle 90%: Rutgers by 10 to Northwestern by 45 90% Middle 95%: Rutgers by 14 to Northwestern by 50 95% Exactly Northwestern by 3 4.5% Exactly Northwestern by 7 4.4% Exactly Northwestern by 21 4.2% Exactly Northwestern by 14 4.1% Exactly Northwestern by 17 4.1%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Northwestern +9.8 Last season Northwestern +4.9 Home field Northwestern +3.1
UCLA by 12.0 · 77% to win
Ours: UCLA by 12.0 Michigan State win 23% UCLA win 77% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Michigan State win by UCLA win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Michigan State win 23.2% UCLA win 76.8% Middle 50%: UCLA by 2 to UCLA by 24 50% Middle 90%: Michigan State by 15 to UCLA by 39 90% Middle 95%: Michigan State by 21 to UCLA by 45 95% Exactly UCLA by 3 5.8% Exactly UCLA by 7 5.2% Exactly Michigan State by 3 4.5% Exactly UCLA by 14 4.2% Exactly UCLA by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UCLA +13.7 Last season Michigan State +4.8 Home field UCLA +3.1
USC by 2.3 · 56% to win
Ours: USC by 2.3 USC win 56% Wisconsin win 44% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← USC win by Wisconsin win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance USC win 55.6% Wisconsin win 44.4% Middle 50%: USC by 14 to Wisconsin by 8 50% Middle 90%: USC by 29 to Wisconsin by 25 90% Middle 95%: USC by 35 to Wisconsin by 31 95% Exactly USC by 3 6.7% Exactly Wisconsin by 3 6.4% Exactly USC by 7 5.2% Exactly Wisconsin by 7 4.6% Exactly USC by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Last season USC +6.7 Home field Wisconsin +3.1 This season, against its opponents Wisconsin +1.3
Florida Atlantic by 8.9 · 71% to win
Ours: Florida Atlantic by 8.9 Rice win 29% Florida Atlantic win 71% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Rice win by Florida Atlantic win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Rice win 29.5% Florida Atlantic win 70.5% Middle 50%: Rice by 3 to Florida Atlantic by 21 50% Middle 90%: Rice by 18 to Florida Atlantic by 36 90% Middle 95%: Rice by 24 to Florida Atlantic by 42 95% Exactly Florida Atlantic by 3 6.3% Exactly Florida Atlantic by 7 5.4% Exactly Rice by 3 5.2% Exactly Florida Atlantic by 14 4.1% Exactly Florida Atlantic by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Florida Atlantic +4.4 Home field Florida Atlantic +3.1 Last season Florida Atlantic +1.3
UTSA by 1.3 · 53% to win
Ours: UTSA by 1.3 UTSA win 53% Tulane win 47% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← UTSA win by Tulane win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UTSA win 53.1% Tulane win 46.9% Middle 50%: UTSA by 13 to Tulane by 10 50% Middle 90%: UTSA by 28 to Tulane by 26 90% Middle 95%: UTSA by 34 to Tulane by 31 95% Exactly UTSA by 3 6.7% Exactly Tulane by 3 6.5% Exactly UTSA by 7 5.1% Exactly Tulane by 7 4.8% Exactly UTSA by 14 3.2%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UTSA +6.3 Home field Tulane +3.1 Last season Tulane +1.8
Hawai'i by 1.0 · 52% to win
Ours: Hawai'i by 1.0 Hawai'i win 52% Northern Illinois win 48% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Hawai'i win by Northern Illinois win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Hawai'i win 52.4% Northern Illinois win 47.6% Middle 50%: Hawai'i by 12 to Northern Illinois by 10 50% Middle 90%: Hawai'i by 28 to Northern Illinois by 27 90% Middle 95%: Hawai'i by 34 to Northern Illinois by 32 95% Exactly Hawai'i by 3 6.7% Exactly Northern Illinois by 3 6.5% Exactly Hawai'i by 7 5.1% Exactly Northern Illinois by 7 4.8% Exactly Hawai'i by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Hawai'i +6.1 Home field Northern Illinois +3.1 This season, against its opponents Northern Illinois +1.9
Kent State by 1.1 · 53% to win
Ours: Kent State by 1.1 Akron win 47% Kent State win 53% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Akron win by Kent State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Akron win 47.4% Kent State win 52.6% Middle 50%: Akron by 10 to Kent State by 13 50% Middle 90%: Akron by 27 to Kent State by 28 90% Middle 95%: Akron by 32 to Kent State by 34 95% Exactly Kent State by 3 6.7% Exactly Akron by 3 6.5% Exactly Kent State by 7 5.1% Exactly Akron by 7 4.8% Exactly Kent State by 14 3.2%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Kent State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Akron +2.2 Last season Kent State +0.2
Ball State by 6.8 · 66% to win
Ours: Ball State by 6.8 Sacramento State win 34% Ball State win 66% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Sacramento State win by Ball State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Sacramento State win 34.0% Ball State win 66.0% Middle 50%: Sacramento State by 4 to Ball State by 18 50% Middle 90%: Sacramento State by 21 to Ball State by 34 90% Middle 95%: Sacramento State by 26 to Ball State by 39 95% Exactly Ball State by 3 6.6% Exactly Sacramento State by 3 5.7% Exactly Ball State by 7 5.4% Exactly Ball State by 14 3.9% Exactly Sacramento State by 7 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Ball State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Ball State +3.1 Last season Ball State +0.5
Buffalo by 2.0 · 55% to win
Ours: Buffalo by 2.0 Bowling Green win 45% Buffalo win 55% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Bowling Green win by Buffalo win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Bowling Green win 45.1% Buffalo win 54.9% Middle 50%: Bowling Green by 9 to Buffalo by 14 50% Middle 90%: Bowling Green by 25 to Buffalo by 29 90% Middle 95%: Bowling Green by 31 to Buffalo by 35 95% Exactly Buffalo by 3 6.7% Exactly Bowling Green by 3 6.4% Exactly Buffalo by 7 5.2% Exactly Bowling Green by 7 4.7% Exactly Buffalo by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Bowling Green +7.4 This season, against its opponents Buffalo +6.2 Home field Buffalo +3.1
Ohio by 14.8 · 82% to win
Ours: Ohio by 14.8 Eastern Michigan win 18% Ohio win 82% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Eastern Michigan win by Ohio win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Eastern Michigan win 18.4% Ohio win 81.6% Middle 50%: Ohio by 3 to Ohio by 26 50% Middle 90%: Eastern Michigan by 13 to Ohio by 42 90% Middle 95%: Eastern Michigan by 18 to Ohio by 48 95% Exactly Ohio by 3 5.2% Exactly Ohio by 7 4.8% Exactly Ohio by 14 4.3% Exactly Ohio by 17 4.1% Exactly Ohio by 21 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Ohio +9.5 Home field Ohio +3.1 Last season Ohio +2.1
Toledo by 10.1 · 73% to win
Ours: Toledo by 10.1 Western Michigan win 27% Toledo win 73% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Western Michigan win by Toledo win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Western Michigan win 27.0% Toledo win 73.0% Middle 50%: Western Michigan by 2 to Toledo by 21 50% Middle 90%: Western Michigan by 17 to Toledo by 38 90% Middle 95%: Western Michigan by 22 to Toledo by 42 95% Exactly Toledo by 3 6.1% Exactly Toledo by 7 5.3% Exactly Western Michigan by 3 4.9% Exactly Toledo by 14 4.1% Exactly Toledo by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Toledo +4.1 Home field Toledo +3.1 This season, against its opponents Toledo +2.8
Miami (OH) by 5.5 · 63% to win
Ours: Miami (OH) by 5.5 Miami (OH) win 63% Central Michigan win 37% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Miami (OH) win by Central Michigan win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Miami (OH) win 63.1% Central Michigan win 36.9% Middle 50%: Miami (OH) by 17 to Central Michigan by 6 50% Middle 90%: Miami (OH) by 33 to Central Michigan by 21 90% Middle 95%: Miami (OH) by 38 to Central Michigan by 27 95% Exactly Miami (OH) by 3 6.7% Exactly Central Michigan by 3 5.9% Exactly Miami (OH) by 7 5.4% Exactly Central Michigan by 7 4.1% Exactly Miami (OH) by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Miami (OH) +5.3 Last season Miami (OH) +3.4 Home field Central Michigan +3.1
Louisiana by 5.7 · 63% to win
Ours: Louisiana by 5.7 Louisiana win 63% Southern Miss win 37% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Louisiana win by Southern Miss win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Louisiana win 63.5% Southern Miss win 36.5% Middle 50%: Louisiana by 17 to Southern Miss by 6 50% Middle 90%: Louisiana by 33 to Southern Miss by 21 90% Middle 95%: Louisiana by 38 to Southern Miss by 27 95% Exactly Louisiana by 3 6.6% Exactly Southern Miss by 3 5.9% Exactly Louisiana by 7 5.4% Exactly Southern Miss by 7 4.1% Exactly Louisiana by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Louisiana +9.9 Home field Southern Miss +3.1 Last season Southern Miss +1.0
Louisiana Tech by 4.4 · 61% to win
Ours: Louisiana Tech by 4.4 Old Dominion win 39% Louisiana Tech win 61% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Old Dominion win by Louisiana Tech win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Old Dominion win 39.4% Louisiana Tech win 60.6% Middle 50%: Old Dominion by 7 to Louisiana Tech by 16 50% Middle 90%: Old Dominion by 23 to Louisiana Tech by 32 90% Middle 95%: Old Dominion by 28 to Louisiana Tech by 37 95% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 3 6.7% Exactly Old Dominion by 3 6.1% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 7 5.4% Exactly Old Dominion by 7 4.3% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Louisiana Tech +7.5 Last season Old Dominion +6.3 Home field Louisiana Tech +3.1
Troy by 19.3 · 88% to win
Ours: Troy by 19.3 UL Monroe win 12% Troy win 88% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UL Monroe win by Troy win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UL Monroe win 12.0% Troy win 88.0% Middle 50%: Troy by 7 to Troy by 31 50% Middle 90%: UL Monroe by 7 to Troy by 46 90% Middle 95%: UL Monroe by 14 to Troy by 52 95% Exactly Troy by 21 4.3% Exactly Troy by 3 4.1% Exactly Troy by 7 4.1% Exactly Troy by 17 4.1% Exactly Troy by 14 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Troy +12.2 Last season Troy +4.0 Home field Troy +3.1
North Texas by 8.6 · 70% to win
Ours: North Texas by 8.6 North Texas win 70% Navy win 30% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← North Texas win by Navy win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance North Texas win 69.9% Navy win 30.1% Middle 50%: North Texas by 20 to Navy by 3 50% Middle 90%: North Texas by 35 to Navy by 19 90% Middle 95%: North Texas by 41 to Navy by 24 95% Exactly North Texas by 3 6.4% Exactly North Texas by 7 5.4% Exactly Navy by 3 5.3% Exactly North Texas by 14 4.0% Exactly North Texas by 17 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Last season North Texas +7.5 This season, against its opponents North Texas +4.2 Home field Navy +3.1
Nevada by 5.7 · 63% to win
Ours: Nevada by 5.7 San José State win 37% Nevada win 63% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← San José State win by Nevada win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance San José State win 36.5% Nevada win 63.5% Middle 50%: San José State by 6 to Nevada by 17 50% Middle 90%: San José State by 21 to Nevada by 33 90% Middle 95%: San José State by 27 to Nevada by 38 95% Exactly Nevada by 3 6.6% Exactly San José State by 3 5.9% Exactly Nevada by 7 5.4% Exactly San José State by 7 4.1% Exactly Nevada by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Nevada +3.1 This season, against its opponents Nevada +1.9 Last season Nevada +0.7
Boise State by 9.8 · 72% to win
Ours: Boise State by 9.8 Boise State win 72% Washington State win 28% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Boise State win by Washington State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Boise State win 72.4% Washington State win 27.6% Middle 50%: Boise State by 21 to Washington State by 3 50% Middle 90%: Boise State by 37 to Washington State by 17 90% Middle 95%: Boise State by 42 to Washington State by 23 95% Exactly Boise State by 3 6.2% Exactly Boise State by 7 5.3% Exactly Washington State by 3 5.0% Exactly Boise State by 14 4.1% Exactly Boise State by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Boise State +12.9 Home field Washington State +3.1
Colorado State by 1.0 · 52% to win
Ours: Colorado State by 1.0 San Diego State win 48% Colorado State win 52% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← San Diego State win by Colorado State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance San Diego State win 47.7% Colorado State win 52.3% Middle 50%: San Diego State by 10 to Colorado State by 12 50% Middle 90%: San Diego State by 27 to Colorado State by 28 90% Middle 95%: San Diego State by 32 to Colorado State by 34 95% Exactly Colorado State by 3 6.7% Exactly San Diego State by 3 6.5% Exactly Colorado State by 7 5.1% Exactly San Diego State by 7 4.8% Exactly Colorado State by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from Last season San Diego State +4.2 Home field Colorado State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Colorado State +2.0
Georgia State by 0.2 · 50% to win
Ours: Georgia State by 0.2 Georgia State win 50% Arkansas State win 50% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Georgia State win by Arkansas State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Georgia State win 50.5% Arkansas State win 49.5% Middle 50%: Georgia State by 11 to Arkansas State by 11 50% Middle 90%: Georgia State by 28 to Arkansas State by 27 90% Middle 95%: Georgia State by 33 to Arkansas State by 32 95% Exactly Georgia State by 3 6.6% Exactly Arkansas State by 3 6.6% Exactly Georgia State by 7 5.0% Exactly Arkansas State by 7 4.9% Exactly Georgia State by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Georgia State +9.1 Last season Arkansas State +5.8 Home field Arkansas State +3.1
Texas State by 9.1 · 71% to win
Ours: Texas State by 9.1 Utah State win 29% Texas State win 71% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Utah State win by Texas State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Utah State win 28.9% Texas State win 71.1% Middle 50%: Utah State by 3 to Texas State by 21 50% Middle 90%: Utah State by 18 to Texas State by 36 90% Middle 95%: Utah State by 24 to Texas State by 42 95% Exactly Texas State by 3 6.3% Exactly Texas State by 7 5.4% Exactly Utah State by 3 5.2% Exactly Texas State by 14 4.1% Exactly Texas State by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Texas State +3.6 Home field Texas State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Texas State +2.4
New Mexico by 2.9 · 57% to win
Ours: New Mexico by 2.9 North Dakota State win 43% New Mexico win 57% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← North Dakota State win by New Mexico win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance North Dakota State win 43.0% New Mexico win 57.0% Middle 50%: North Dakota State by 8 to New Mexico by 14 50% Middle 90%: North Dakota State by 24 to New Mexico by 31 90% Middle 95%: North Dakota State by 29 to New Mexico by 35 95% Exactly New Mexico by 3 6.7% Exactly North Dakota State by 3 6.3% Exactly New Mexico by 7 5.3% Exactly North Dakota State by 7 4.5% Exactly New Mexico by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from Home field New Mexico +3.1 This season, against its opponents North Dakota State +0.6 Last season New Mexico +0.3
Middle Tennessee at 
Florida International 
