Week 11 · November 10–14 · 7 weeks ahead
College football predictions, week 11 An early look at week 11, from how each team has played so far against the opponents it has faced, adjusted for luck , and where it stood last season. This far ahead fewer games are in, so the curves are wider. On past seasons, forecasts made 7 weeks ahead picked 70.8% of winners, against 74.4% for forecasts made the week before. These update every day: this week’s predictions .
Weeks ahead 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 Western Michigan by 12.9 · 78% to win
Ours: Western Michigan by 12.9 Western Michigan win 78% Akron win 22% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Western Michigan win by Akron win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Western Michigan win 77.9% Akron win 22.1% Middle 50%: Western Michigan by 24 to Western Michigan by 3 50% Middle 90%: Western Michigan by 41 to Akron by 15 90% Middle 95%: Western Michigan by 46 to Akron by 21 95% Exactly Western Michigan by 3 5.5% Exactly Western Michigan by 7 5.0% Exactly Akron by 3 4.2% Exactly Western Michigan by 14 4.1% Exactly Western Michigan by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Western Michigan +9.4 Last season Western Michigan +6.7 Home field Akron +3.1
Bowling Green by 3.5 · 58% to win
Ours: Bowling Green by 3.5 Kent State win 42% Bowling Green win 58% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Kent State win by Bowling Green win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kent State win 41.7% Bowling Green win 58.3% Middle 50%: Kent State by 7 to Bowling Green by 15 50% Middle 90%: Kent State by 24 to Bowling Green by 32 90% Middle 95%: Kent State by 30 to Bowling Green by 37 95% Exactly Bowling Green by 3 6.6% Exactly Kent State by 3 6.1% Exactly Bowling Green by 7 5.2% Exactly Kent State by 7 4.4% Exactly Bowling Green by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Bowling Green +4.5 This season, against its opponents Kent State +4.1 Home field Bowling Green +3.1
Miami (OH) by 3.8 · 59% to win
Ours: Miami (OH) by 3.8 Ohio win 41% Miami (OH) win 59% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Ohio win by Miami (OH) win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Ohio win 41.2% Miami (OH) win 58.8% Middle 50%: Ohio by 7 to Miami (OH) by 15 50% Middle 90%: Ohio by 24 to Miami (OH) by 32 90% Middle 95%: Ohio by 29 to Miami (OH) by 37 95% Exactly Miami (OH) by 3 6.6% Exactly Ohio by 3 6.1% Exactly Miami (OH) by 7 5.2% Exactly Ohio by 7 4.3% Exactly Miami (OH) by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Miami (OH) +3.1 Last season Miami (OH) +1.7 This season, against its opponents Ohio +1.1
Ball State by 3.4 · 58% to win
Ours: Ball State by 3.4 Buffalo win 42% Ball State win 58% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Buffalo win by Ball State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Buffalo win 42.0% Ball State win 58.0% Middle 50%: Buffalo by 7 to Ball State by 15 50% Middle 90%: Buffalo by 24 to Ball State by 31 90% Middle 95%: Buffalo by 30 to Ball State by 37 95% Exactly Ball State by 3 6.6% Exactly Buffalo by 3 6.1% Exactly Ball State by 7 5.2% Exactly Buffalo by 7 4.4% Exactly Ball State by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Ball State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Ball State +0.5 Last season Buffalo +0.2
Central Michigan by 12.4 · 77% to win
Ours: Central Michigan by 12.4 Sacramento State win 23% Central Michigan win 77% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Sacramento State win by Central Michigan win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Sacramento State win 23.2% Central Michigan win 76.8% Middle 50%: Central Michigan by 2 to Central Michigan by 24 50% Middle 90%: Sacramento State by 16 to Central Michigan by 41 90% Middle 95%: Sacramento State by 21 to Central Michigan by 46 95% Exactly Central Michigan by 3 5.6% Exactly Central Michigan by 7 5.0% Exactly Sacramento State by 3 4.4% Exactly Central Michigan by 14 4.1% Exactly Central Michigan by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Central Michigan +5.3 This season, against its opponents Central Michigan +4.0 Home field Central Michigan +3.1
Toledo by 19.6 · 88% to win
Ours: Toledo by 19.6 Massachusetts win 12% Toledo win 88% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Massachusetts win by Toledo win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Massachusetts win 12.3% Toledo win 87.7% Middle 50%: Toledo by 7 to Toledo by 31 50% Middle 90%: Massachusetts by 8 to Toledo by 48 90% Middle 95%: Massachusetts by 14 to Toledo by 53 95% Exactly Toledo by 21 4.2% Exactly Toledo by 3 4.1% Exactly Toledo by 7 4.0% Exactly Toledo by 17 4.0% Exactly Toledo by 14 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Toledo +22.7 This season, against its opponents Massachusetts +6.3 Home field Toledo +3.1
South Florida by 7.1 · 66% to win
Ours: South Florida by 7.1 Memphis win 34% South Florida win 66% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Memphis win by South Florida win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Memphis win 33.7% South Florida win 66.3% Middle 50%: Memphis by 4 to South Florida by 18 50% Middle 90%: Memphis by 21 to South Florida by 35 90% Middle 95%: Memphis by 27 to South Florida by 41 95% Exactly South Florida by 3 6.4% Exactly Memphis by 3 5.5% Exactly South Florida by 7 5.3% Exactly South Florida by 14 3.8% Exactly Memphis by 7 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Home field South Florida +3.1 This season, against its opponents South Florida +2.4 Last season South Florida +1.5
Louisiana by 18.1 · 86% to win
Ours: Louisiana by 18.1 Louisiana win 86% UL Monroe win 14% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Louisiana win by UL Monroe win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Louisiana win 85.8% UL Monroe win 14.2% Middle 50%: Louisiana by 29 to Louisiana by 7 50% Middle 90%: Louisiana by 46 to UL Monroe by 10 90% Middle 95%: Louisiana by 52 to UL Monroe by 15 95% Exactly Louisiana by 3 4.4% Exactly Louisiana by 7 4.3% Exactly Louisiana by 21 4.1% Exactly Louisiana by 14 4.0% Exactly Louisiana by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Louisiana +17.8 Last season Louisiana +3.4 Home field UL Monroe +3.1
Pittsburgh by 11.7 · 76% to win
Ours: Pittsburgh by 11.7 Florida State win 24% Pittsburgh win 76% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Florida State win by Pittsburgh win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Florida State win 24.5% Pittsburgh win 75.5% Middle 50%: Pittsburgh by 1 to Pittsburgh by 23 50% Middle 90%: Florida State by 17 to Pittsburgh by 39 90% Middle 95%: Florida State by 21 to Pittsburgh by 45 95% Exactly Pittsburgh by 3 5.8% Exactly Pittsburgh by 7 5.1% Exactly Florida State by 3 4.5% Exactly Pittsburgh by 14 4.1% Exactly Pittsburgh by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Pittsburgh +8.6 Home field Pittsburgh +3.1 Last season Florida State +0.1
UCLA by 6.8 · 66% to win
Ours: UCLA by 6.8 Illinois win 34% UCLA win 66% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Illinois win by UCLA win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Illinois win 34.5% UCLA win 65.5% Middle 50%: Illinois by 5 to UCLA by 18 50% Middle 90%: Illinois by 21 to UCLA by 35 90% Middle 95%: Illinois by 27 to UCLA by 40 95% Exactly UCLA by 3 6.4% Exactly Illinois by 3 5.6% Exactly UCLA by 7 5.3% Exactly Illinois by 7 3.8% Exactly UCLA by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UCLA +10.0 Last season Illinois +6.4 Home field UCLA +3.1
Houston by 8.3 · 69% to win
Ours: Houston by 8.3 Houston win 69% Colorado win 31% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Houston win by Colorado win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Houston win 69.0% Colorado win 31.0% Middle 50%: Houston by 20 to Colorado by 3 50% Middle 90%: Houston by 36 to Colorado by 20 90% Middle 95%: Houston by 42 to Colorado by 25 95% Exactly Houston by 3 6.3% Exactly Houston by 7 5.3% Exactly Colorado by 3 5.3% Exactly Houston by 14 3.9% Exactly Houston by 17 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Houston +10.4 Home field Colorado +3.1 Last season Houston +1.1
UCF by 3.7 · 59% to win
Ours: UCF by 3.7 Arizona State win 41% UCF win 59% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Arizona State win by UCF win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Arizona State win 41.3% UCF win 58.7% Middle 50%: Arizona State by 7 to UCF by 15 50% Middle 90%: Arizona State by 24 to UCF by 32 90% Middle 95%: Arizona State by 29 to UCF by 37 95% Exactly UCF by 3 6.6% Exactly Arizona State by 3 6.1% Exactly UCF by 7 5.2% Exactly Arizona State by 7 4.3% Exactly UCF by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents UCF +4.4 Last season Arizona State +3.9 Home field UCF +3.1
BYU by 11.2 · 75% to win
Ours: BYU by 11.2 Baylor win 25% BYU win 75% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Baylor win by BYU win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Baylor win 25.4% BYU win 74.6% Middle 50%: Baylor by 1 to BYU by 23 50% Middle 90%: Baylor by 17 to BYU by 39 90% Middle 95%: Baylor by 22 to BYU by 45 95% Exactly BYU by 3 5.9% Exactly BYU by 7 5.1% Exactly Baylor by 3 4.6% Exactly BYU by 14 4.1% Exactly BYU by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents BYU +5.1 Home field BYU +3.1 Last season BYU +2.9
Iowa State by 7.7 · 68% to win
Ours: Iowa State by 7.7 Cincinnati win 32% Iowa State win 68% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Cincinnati win by Iowa State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Cincinnati win 32.5% Iowa State win 67.5% Middle 50%: Cincinnati by 3 to Iowa State by 19 50% Middle 90%: Cincinnati by 21 to Iowa State by 35 90% Middle 95%: Cincinnati by 26 to Iowa State by 41 95% Exactly Iowa State by 3 6.3% Exactly Cincinnati by 3 5.4% Exactly Iowa State by 7 5.3% Exactly Iowa State by 14 3.9% Exactly Cincinnati by 7 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Iowa State +3.1 Last season Iowa State +2.3 This season, against its opponents Iowa State +2.2
West Virginia by 2.3 · 55% to win
Ours: West Virginia by 2.3 Kansas win 45% West Virginia win 55% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Kansas win by West Virginia win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kansas win 44.5% West Virginia win 55.5% Middle 50%: Kansas by 9 to West Virginia by 14 50% Middle 90%: Kansas by 26 to West Virginia by 31 90% Middle 95%: Kansas by 31 to West Virginia by 35 95% Exactly West Virginia by 3 6.6% Exactly Kansas by 3 6.3% Exactly West Virginia by 7 5.1% Exactly Kansas by 7 4.6% Exactly West Virginia by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Kansas +4.6 This season, against its opponents West Virginia +3.8 Home field West Virginia +3.1
TCU by 0.1 · 50% to win
Ours: TCU by 0.1 Kansas State win 50% TCU win 50% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Kansas State win by TCU win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kansas State win 49.8% TCU win 50.2% Middle 50%: Kansas State by 11 to TCU by 11 50% Middle 90%: Kansas State by 28 to TCU by 28 90% Middle 95%: Kansas State by 34 to TCU by 34 95% Exactly TCU by 3 6.5% Exactly Kansas State by 3 6.5% Exactly TCU by 7 4.9% Exactly Kansas State by 7 4.9% Exactly TCU by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Kansas State +4.0 Home field TCU +3.1 This season, against its opponents TCU +1.0
Texas Tech by 10.8 · 74% to win
Ours: Texas Tech by 10.8 Texas Tech win 74% Oklahoma State win 26% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Texas Tech win by Oklahoma State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Texas Tech win 73.9% Oklahoma State win 26.1% Middle 50%: Texas Tech by 22 to Oklahoma State by 2 50% Middle 90%: Texas Tech by 39 to Oklahoma State by 17 90% Middle 95%: Texas Tech by 45 to Oklahoma State by 22 95% Exactly Texas Tech by 3 5.9% Exactly Texas Tech by 7 5.2% Exactly Oklahoma State by 3 4.7% Exactly Texas Tech by 14 4.1% Exactly Texas Tech by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Texas Tech +13.7 Home field Oklahoma State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Texas Tech +0.2
Utah by 11.9 · 76% to win
Ours: Utah by 11.9 Utah win 76% Arizona win 24% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Utah win by Arizona win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Utah win 75.9% Arizona win 24.1% Middle 50%: Utah by 24 to Utah by 1 50% Middle 90%: Utah by 40 to Arizona by 17 90% Middle 95%: Utah by 45 to Arizona by 21 95% Exactly Utah by 3 5.7% Exactly Utah by 7 5.1% Exactly Arizona by 3 4.5% Exactly Utah by 14 4.1% Exactly Utah by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Utah +7.8 Last season Utah +7.2 Home field Arizona +3.1
South Carolina by 3.3 · 58% to win
Ours: South Carolina by 3.3 South Carolina win 58% Arkansas win 42% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← South Carolina win by Arkansas win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance South Carolina win 57.7% Arkansas win 42.3% Middle 50%: South Carolina by 14 to Arkansas by 8 50% Middle 90%: South Carolina by 31 to Arkansas by 25 90% Middle 95%: South Carolina by 37 to Arkansas by 31 95% Exactly South Carolina by 3 6.6% Exactly Arkansas by 3 6.1% Exactly South Carolina by 7 5.2% Exactly Arkansas by 7 4.4% Exactly South Carolina by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents South Carolina +5.3 Home field Arkansas +3.1 Last season South Carolina +1.1
Georgia by 18.3 · 86% to win
Ours: Georgia by 18.3 Missouri win 14% Georgia win 86% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Missouri win by Georgia win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Missouri win 13.9% Georgia win 86.1% Middle 50%: Georgia by 7 to Georgia by 30 50% Middle 90%: Missouri by 10 to Georgia by 46 90% Middle 95%: Missouri by 15 to Georgia by 52 95% Exactly Georgia by 3 4.4% Exactly Georgia by 7 4.2% Exactly Georgia by 21 4.1% Exactly Georgia by 14 4.0% Exactly Georgia by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Georgia +8.6 Last season Georgia +6.5 Home field Georgia +3.1
Florida by 6.3 · 65% to win
Ours: Florida by 6.3 Florida win 65% Kentucky win 35% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Florida win by Kentucky win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Florida win 64.5% Kentucky win 35.5% Middle 50%: Florida by 18 to Kentucky by 6 50% Middle 90%: Florida by 34 to Kentucky by 21 90% Middle 95%: Florida by 39 to Kentucky by 27 95% Exactly Florida by 3 6.5% Exactly Kentucky by 3 5.7% Exactly Florida by 7 5.3% Exactly Kentucky by 7 3.9% Exactly Florida by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Florida +10.4 Home field Kentucky +3.1 Last season Kentucky +0.9
LSU by 0.1 · 50% to win
Ours: LSU by 0.1 Texas win 50% LSU win 50% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Texas win by LSU win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Texas win 49.8% LSU win 50.2% Middle 50%: Texas by 11 to LSU by 11 50% Middle 90%: Texas by 28 to LSU by 28 90% Middle 95%: Texas by 34 to LSU by 34 95% Exactly LSU by 3 6.5% Exactly Texas by 3 6.5% Exactly LSU by 7 4.9% Exactly Texas by 7 4.9% Exactly LSU by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from Home field LSU +3.1 Last season Texas +2.5 This season, against its opponents Texas +0.6
Mississippi State by 6.7 · 65% to win
Ours: Mississippi State by 6.7 Auburn win 35% Mississippi State win 65% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Auburn win by Mississippi State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Auburn win 34.6% Mississippi State win 65.4% Middle 50%: Auburn by 5 to Mississippi State by 18 50% Middle 90%: Auburn by 21 to Mississippi State by 35 90% Middle 95%: Auburn by 27 to Mississippi State by 40 95% Exactly Mississippi State by 3 6.4% Exactly Auburn by 3 5.6% Exactly Mississippi State by 7 5.3% Exactly Auburn by 7 3.8% Exactly Mississippi State by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Mississippi State +11.0 Last season Auburn +7.5 Home field Mississippi State +3.1
Oklahoma by 1.9 · 54% to win
Ours: Oklahoma by 1.9 Ole Miss win 46% Oklahoma win 54% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Ole Miss win by Oklahoma win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Ole Miss win 45.5% Oklahoma win 54.5% Middle 50%: Ole Miss by 10 to Oklahoma by 14 50% Middle 90%: Ole Miss by 26 to Oklahoma by 30 90% Middle 95%: Ole Miss by 31 to Oklahoma by 35 95% Exactly Oklahoma by 3 6.6% Exactly Ole Miss by 3 6.3% Exactly Oklahoma by 7 5.1% Exactly Ole Miss by 7 4.6% Exactly Oklahoma by 14 3.2%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Ole Miss +3.2 Home field Oklahoma +3.1 This season, against its opponents Oklahoma +1.9
Texas A&M by 0.3 · 51% to win
Ours: Texas A&M by 0.3 Tennessee win 49% Texas A&M win 51% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Tennessee win by Texas A&M win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Tennessee win 49.3% Texas A&M win 50.7% Middle 50%: Tennessee by 11 to Texas A&M by 12 50% Middle 90%: Tennessee by 28 to Texas A&M by 28 90% Middle 95%: Tennessee by 33 to Texas A&M by 34 95% Exactly Texas A&M by 3 6.5% Exactly Tennessee by 3 6.5% Exactly Texas A&M by 7 4.9% Exactly Tennessee by 7 4.8% Exactly Texas A&M by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Tennessee +7.7 Last season Texas A&M +4.8 Home field Texas A&M +3.1
Alabama by 12.9 · 78% to win
Ours: Alabama by 12.9 Alabama win 78% Vanderbilt win 22% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Alabama win by Vanderbilt win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Alabama win 77.8% Vanderbilt win 22.2% Middle 50%: Alabama by 24 to Alabama by 3 50% Middle 90%: Alabama by 41 to Vanderbilt by 15 90% Middle 95%: Alabama by 46 to Vanderbilt by 21 95% Exactly Alabama by 3 5.5% Exactly Alabama by 7 5.0% Exactly Vanderbilt by 3 4.2% Exactly Alabama by 14 4.1% Exactly Alabama by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Alabama +12.1 Last season Alabama +4.0 Home field Vanderbilt +3.1
Virginia by 19.2 · 87% to win
Ours: Virginia by 19.2 California win 13% Virginia win 87% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← California win by Virginia win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance California win 12.7% Virginia win 87.3% Middle 50%: Virginia by 7 to Virginia by 31 50% Middle 90%: California by 8 to Virginia by 47 90% Middle 95%: California by 14 to Virginia by 52 95% Exactly Virginia by 21 4.2% Exactly Virginia by 3 4.2% Exactly Virginia by 7 4.1% Exactly Virginia by 17 4.0% Exactly Virginia by 14 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Virginia +12.5 Last season Virginia +3.6 Home field Virginia +3.1
Miami by 14.9 · 81% to win
Ours: Miami by 14.9 Duke win 19% Miami win 81% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Duke win by Miami win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Duke win 18.9% Miami win 81.1% Middle 50%: Miami by 3 to Miami by 27 50% Middle 90%: Duke by 14 to Miami by 42 90% Middle 95%: Duke by 18 to Miami by 49 95% Exactly Miami by 3 5.1% Exactly Miami by 7 4.7% Exactly Miami by 14 4.2% Exactly Miami by 17 4.0% Exactly Miami by 21 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Miami +10.7 Home field Miami +3.1 Last season Miami +1.1
Clemson by 6.7 · 65% to win
Ours: Clemson by 6.7 Georgia Tech win 35% Clemson win 65% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Georgia Tech win by Clemson win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Georgia Tech win 34.6% Clemson win 65.4% Middle 50%: Georgia Tech by 5 to Clemson by 18 50% Middle 90%: Georgia Tech by 21 to Clemson by 35 90% Middle 95%: Georgia Tech by 27 to Clemson by 40 95% Exactly Clemson by 3 6.4% Exactly Georgia Tech by 3 5.6% Exactly Clemson by 7 5.3% Exactly Georgia Tech by 7 3.8% Exactly Clemson by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Clemson +3.7 Home field Clemson +3.1 Last season Georgia Tech +0.2
Louisville by 5.8 · 63% to win
Ours: Louisville by 5.8 Louisville win 63% North Carolina win 37% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Louisville win by North Carolina win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Louisville win 63.5% North Carolina win 36.5% Middle 50%: Louisville by 17 to North Carolina by 6 50% Middle 90%: Louisville by 34 to North Carolina by 22 90% Middle 95%: Louisville by 39 to North Carolina by 28 95% Exactly Louisville by 3 6.5% Exactly North Carolina by 3 5.7% Exactly Louisville by 7 5.3% Exactly North Carolina by 7 4.0% Exactly Louisville by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Louisville +11.4 Home field North Carolina +3.1 This season, against its opponents North Carolina +2.4
Virginia Tech by 13.7 · 79% to win
Ours: Virginia Tech by 13.7 Stanford win 21% Virginia Tech win 79% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Stanford win by Virginia Tech win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Stanford win 20.9% Virginia Tech win 79.1% Middle 50%: Virginia Tech by 3 to Virginia Tech by 25 50% Middle 90%: Stanford by 14 to Virginia Tech by 42 90% Middle 95%: Stanford by 20 to Virginia Tech by 47 95% Exactly Virginia Tech by 3 5.4% Exactly Virginia Tech by 7 4.9% Exactly Virginia Tech by 14 4.2% Exactly Stanford by 3 4.1% Exactly Virginia Tech by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Virginia Tech +18.1 Last season Stanford +7.5 Home field Virginia Tech +3.1
NC State by 9.6 · 72% to win
Ours: NC State by 9.6 Syracuse win 28% NC State win 72% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Syracuse win by NC State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Syracuse win 28.4% NC State win 71.6% Middle 50%: Syracuse by 3 to NC State by 21 50% Middle 90%: Syracuse by 18 to NC State by 38 90% Middle 95%: Syracuse by 24 to NC State by 42 95% Exactly NC State by 3 6.1% Exactly NC State by 7 5.2% Exactly Syracuse by 3 5.0% Exactly NC State by 14 4.0% Exactly NC State by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season NC State +3.9 Home field NC State +3.1 This season, against its opponents NC State +2.5
SMU by 7.2 · 66% to win
Ours: SMU by 7.2 Wake Forest win 34% SMU win 66% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Wake Forest win by SMU win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Wake Forest win 33.5% SMU win 66.5% Middle 50%: Wake Forest by 4 to SMU by 19 50% Middle 90%: Wake Forest by 21 to SMU by 35 90% Middle 95%: Wake Forest by 27 to SMU by 41 95% Exactly SMU by 3 6.4% Exactly Wake Forest by 3 5.5% Exactly SMU by 7 5.3% Exactly SMU by 14 3.8% Exactly Wake Forest by 7 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Home field SMU +3.1 This season, against its opponents SMU +2.9 Last season SMU +1.1
Indiana by 15.1 · 81% to win
Ours: Indiana by 15.1 USC win 19% Indiana win 81% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← USC win by Indiana win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance USC win 18.6% Indiana win 81.4% Middle 50%: Indiana by 3 to Indiana by 27 50% Middle 90%: USC by 13 to Indiana by 42 90% Middle 95%: USC by 18 to Indiana by 49 95% Exactly Indiana by 3 5.1% Exactly Indiana by 7 4.7% Exactly Indiana by 14 4.1% Exactly Indiana by 17 4.0% Exactly Indiana by 21 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Indiana +6.4 This season, against its opponents Indiana +5.5 Home field Indiana +3.1
Iowa by 24.3 · 93% to win
Ours: Iowa by 24.3 Purdue win 7% Iowa win 93% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Purdue win by Iowa win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Purdue win 7.5% Iowa win 92.5% Middle 50%: Iowa by 13 to Iowa by 35 50% Middle 90%: Purdue by 3 to Iowa by 52 90% Middle 95%: Purdue by 9 to Iowa by 56 95% Exactly Iowa by 28 4.3% Exactly Iowa by 21 4.1% Exactly Iowa by 17 3.7% Exactly Iowa by 56 3.5% Exactly Iowa by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Iowa +14.2 Last season Iowa +7.0 Home field Iowa +3.1
Wisconsin by 8.3 · 69% to win
Ours: Wisconsin by 8.3 Wisconsin win 69% Maryland win 31% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Wisconsin win by Maryland win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Wisconsin win 69.0% Maryland win 31.0% Middle 50%: Wisconsin by 20 to Maryland by 3 50% Middle 90%: Wisconsin by 36 to Maryland by 20 90% Middle 95%: Wisconsin by 42 to Maryland by 25 95% Exactly Wisconsin by 3 6.3% Exactly Wisconsin by 7 5.3% Exactly Maryland by 3 5.3% Exactly Wisconsin by 14 3.9% Exactly Wisconsin by 17 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Wisconsin +7.7 Last season Wisconsin +3.8 Home field Maryland +3.1
Michigan State by 0.5 · 51% to win
Ours: Michigan State by 0.5 Washington win 49% Michigan State win 51% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Washington win by Michigan State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Washington win 48.9% Michigan State win 51.1% Middle 50%: Washington by 11 to Michigan State by 12 50% Middle 90%: Washington by 28 to Michigan State by 28 90% Middle 95%: Washington by 33 to Michigan State by 34 95% Exactly Michigan State by 3 6.5% Exactly Washington by 3 6.4% Exactly Michigan State by 7 4.9% Exactly Washington by 7 4.8% Exactly Michigan State by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Washington +4.2 Home field Michigan State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Michigan State +1.6
Ohio State by 18.7 · 87% to win
Ours: Ohio State by 18.7 Northwestern win 13% Ohio State win 87% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Northwestern win by Ohio State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Northwestern win 13.4% Ohio State win 86.6% Middle 50%: Ohio State by 7 to Ohio State by 31 50% Middle 90%: Northwestern by 9 to Ohio State by 46 90% Middle 95%: Northwestern by 14 to Ohio State by 52 95% Exactly Ohio State by 3 4.3% Exactly Ohio State by 7 4.2% Exactly Ohio State by 21 4.2% Exactly Ohio State by 17 4.0% Exactly Ohio State by 14 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Ohio State +9.5 This season, against its opponents Ohio State +6.0 Home field Ohio State +3.1
Oregon by 11.4 · 75% to win
Ours: Oregon by 11.4 Michigan win 25% Oregon win 75% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Michigan win by Oregon win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Michigan win 25.0% Oregon win 75.0% Middle 50%: Oregon by 1 to Oregon by 23 50% Middle 90%: Michigan by 17 to Oregon by 39 90% Middle 95%: Michigan by 22 to Oregon by 45 95% Exactly Oregon by 3 5.8% Exactly Oregon by 7 5.1% Exactly Michigan by 3 4.6% Exactly Oregon by 14 4.1% Exactly Oregon by 17 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Oregon +10.4 Home field Oregon +3.1 Last season Michigan +2.2
Penn State by 15.6 · 82% to win
Ours: Penn State by 15.6 Minnesota win 18% Penn State win 82% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Minnesota win by Penn State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Minnesota win 17.8% Penn State win 82.2% Middle 50%: Penn State by 4 to Penn State by 27 50% Middle 90%: Minnesota by 13 to Penn State by 44 90% Middle 95%: Minnesota by 18 to Penn State by 49 95% Exactly Penn State by 3 5.0% Exactly Penn State by 7 4.7% Exactly Penn State by 14 4.1% Exactly Penn State by 17 4.0% Exactly Penn State by 21 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Penn State +6.4 This season, against its opponents Penn State +6.0 Home field Penn State +3.1
Nebraska by 15.2 · 82% to win
Ours: Nebraska by 15.2 Nebraska win 82% Rutgers win 18% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Nebraska win by Rutgers win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Nebraska win 81.7% Rutgers win 18.3% Middle 50%: Nebraska by 27 to Nebraska by 3 50% Middle 90%: Nebraska by 43 to Rutgers by 13 90% Middle 95%: Nebraska by 49 to Rutgers by 18 95% Exactly Nebraska by 3 5.1% Exactly Nebraska by 7 4.7% Exactly Nebraska by 14 4.1% Exactly Nebraska by 17 4.0% Exactly Nebraska by 21 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Nebraska +14.9 Last season Nebraska +3.4 Home field Rutgers +3.1
James Madison by 9.6 · 71% to win
Ours: James Madison by 9.6 James Madison win 71% UConn win 29% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← James Madison win by UConn win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance James Madison win 71.5% UConn win 28.5% Middle 50%: James Madison by 21 to UConn by 3 50% Middle 90%: James Madison by 38 to UConn by 18 90% Middle 95%: James Madison by 42 to UConn by 24 95% Exactly James Madison by 3 6.1% Exactly James Madison by 7 5.2% Exactly UConn by 3 5.0% Exactly James Madison by 14 4.0% Exactly James Madison by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents James Madison +6.9 Last season James Madison +5.8 Home field UConn +3.1
East Carolina by 16.9 · 84% to win
Ours: East Carolina by 16.9 East Carolina win 84% Charlotte win 16% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← East Carolina win by Charlotte win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance East Carolina win 84.1% Charlotte win 15.9% Middle 50%: East Carolina by 28 to East Carolina by 6 50% Middle 90%: East Carolina by 45 to Charlotte by 11 90% Middle 95%: East Carolina by 49 to Charlotte by 17 95% Exactly East Carolina by 3 4.7% Exactly East Carolina by 7 4.5% Exactly East Carolina by 14 4.1% Exactly East Carolina by 21 4.1% Exactly East Carolina by 17 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season East Carolina +10.7 This season, against its opponents East Carolina +9.3 Home field Charlotte +3.1
Tulsa by 4.5 · 60% to win
Ours: Tulsa by 4.5 Florida Atlantic win 40% Tulsa win 60% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Florida Atlantic win by Tulsa win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Florida Atlantic win 39.5% Tulsa win 60.5% Middle 50%: Florida Atlantic by 7 to Tulsa by 17 50% Middle 90%: Florida Atlantic by 24 to Tulsa by 32 90% Middle 95%: Florida Atlantic by 28 to Tulsa by 38 95% Exactly Tulsa by 3 6.5% Exactly Florida Atlantic by 3 6.0% Exactly Tulsa by 7 5.2% Exactly Florida Atlantic by 7 4.2% Exactly Tulsa by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Tulsa +5.1 Last season Florida Atlantic +3.8 Home field Tulsa +3.1
North Texas by 0.7 · 52% to win
Ours: North Texas by 0.7 North Texas win 52% UTSA win 48% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← North Texas win by UTSA win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance North Texas win 51.8% UTSA win 48.3% Middle 50%: North Texas by 12 to UTSA by 10 50% Middle 90%: North Texas by 28 to UTSA by 28 90% Middle 95%: North Texas by 34 to UTSA by 32 95% Exactly North Texas by 3 6.5% Exactly UTSA by 3 6.4% Exactly North Texas by 7 4.9% Exactly UTSA by 7 4.8% Exactly North Texas by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from Home field UTSA +3.1 Last season North Texas +2.5 This season, against its opponents North Texas +1.4
Tulane by 9.3 · 71% to win
Ours: Tulane by 9.3 Tulane win 71% Rice win 29% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Tulane win by Rice win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Tulane win 70.9% Rice win 29.1% Middle 50%: Tulane by 21 to Rice by 3 50% Middle 90%: Tulane by 38 to Rice by 19 90% Middle 95%: Tulane by 42 to Rice by 24 95% Exactly Tulane by 3 6.1% Exactly Tulane by 7 5.2% Exactly Rice by 3 5.1% Exactly Tulane by 14 4.0% Exactly Tulane by 17 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Tulane +9.9 Home field Rice +3.1 This season, against its opponents Tulane +2.5
Temple by 10.0 · 72% to win
Ours: Temple by 10.0 UAB win 28% Temple win 72% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UAB win by Temple win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UAB win 27.7% Temple win 72.3% Middle 50%: UAB by 3 to Temple by 21 50% Middle 90%: UAB by 18 to Temple by 38 90% Middle 95%: UAB by 24 to Temple by 43 95% Exactly Temple by 3 6.0% Exactly Temple by 7 5.2% Exactly UAB by 3 4.9% Exactly Temple by 14 4.0% Exactly Temple by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Temple +4.2 Home field Temple +3.1 This season, against its opponents Temple +2.7
Nevada by 3.6 · 58% to win
Ours: Nevada by 3.6 Nevada win 58% Northern Illinois win 42% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Nevada win by Northern Illinois win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Nevada win 58.4% Northern Illinois win 41.6% Middle 50%: Nevada by 15 to Northern Illinois by 7 50% Middle 90%: Nevada by 32 to Northern Illinois by 24 90% Middle 95%: Nevada by 37 to Northern Illinois by 30 95% Exactly Nevada by 3 6.6% Exactly Northern Illinois by 3 6.1% Exactly Nevada by 7 5.2% Exactly Northern Illinois by 7 4.4% Exactly Nevada by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Nevada +4.0 Home field Northern Illinois +3.1 Last season Nevada +2.8
Wyoming by 2.4 · 56% to win
Ours: Wyoming by 2.4 Wyoming win 56% UTEP win 44% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Wyoming win by UTEP win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Wyoming win 55.5% UTEP win 44.5% Middle 50%: Wyoming by 14 to UTEP by 9 50% Middle 90%: Wyoming by 31 to UTEP by 26 90% Middle 95%: Wyoming by 35 to UTEP by 31 95% Exactly Wyoming by 3 6.6% Exactly UTEP by 3 6.3% Exactly Wyoming by 7 5.1% Exactly UTEP by 7 4.6% Exactly Wyoming by 14 3.3%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Wyoming +5.8 Home field UTEP +3.1 Last season UTEP +0.3
App State by 2.9 · 57% to win
Ours: App State by 2.9 App State win 57% Marshall win 43% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← App State win by Marshall win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance App State win 56.8% Marshall win 43.2% Middle 50%: App State by 14 to Marshall by 8 50% Middle 90%: App State by 31 to Marshall by 25 90% Middle 95%: App State by 36 to Marshall by 31 95% Exactly App State by 3 6.6% Exactly Marshall by 3 6.2% Exactly App State by 7 5.1% Exactly Marshall by 7 4.5% Exactly App State by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents App State +9.2 Last season Marshall +3.2 Home field Marshall +3.1
Coastal Carolina by 0.5 · 51% to win
Ours: Coastal Carolina by 0.5 Arkansas State win 49% Coastal Carolina win 51% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Arkansas State win by Coastal Carolina win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Arkansas State win 48.9% Coastal Carolina win 51.1% Middle 50%: Arkansas State by 11 to Coastal Carolina by 12 50% Middle 90%: Arkansas State by 28 to Coastal Carolina by 28 90% Middle 95%: Arkansas State by 33 to Coastal Carolina by 34 95% Exactly Coastal Carolina by 3 6.5% Exactly Arkansas State by 3 6.4% Exactly Coastal Carolina by 7 4.9% Exactly Arkansas State by 7 4.8% Exactly Coastal Carolina by 14 3.0%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Arkansas State +3.4 Home field Coastal Carolina +3.1 This season, against its opponents Coastal Carolina +0.7
Georgia State by 5.7 · 63% to win
Ours: Georgia State by 5.7 Georgia Southern win 37% Georgia State win 63% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Georgia Southern win by Georgia State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Georgia Southern win 36.8% Georgia State win 63.2% Middle 50%: Georgia Southern by 6 to Georgia State by 17 50% Middle 90%: Georgia Southern by 22 to Georgia State by 34 90% Middle 95%: Georgia Southern by 28 to Georgia State by 39 95% Exactly Georgia State by 3 6.5% Exactly Georgia Southern by 3 5.8% Exactly Georgia State by 7 5.3% Exactly Georgia Southern by 7 4.0% Exactly Georgia State by 14 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Georgia State +8.1 Last season Georgia Southern +5.6 Home field Georgia State +3.1
Louisiana Tech by 9.0 · 70% to win
Ours: Louisiana Tech by 9.0 Southern Miss win 30% Louisiana Tech win 70% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Southern Miss win by Louisiana Tech win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Southern Miss win 29.7% Louisiana Tech win 70.3% Middle 50%: Southern Miss by 3 to Louisiana Tech by 21 50% Middle 90%: Southern Miss by 19 to Louisiana Tech by 37 90% Middle 95%: Southern Miss by 24 to Louisiana Tech by 42 95% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 3 6.2% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 7 5.3% Exactly Southern Miss by 3 5.1% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 14 4.0% Exactly Louisiana Tech by 17 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Louisiana Tech +5.3 Home field Louisiana Tech +3.1 Last season Louisiana Tech +0.5
South Alabama by 4.3 · 60% to win
Ours: South Alabama by 4.3 Troy win 40% South Alabama win 60% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Troy win by South Alabama win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Troy win 40.0% South Alabama win 60.0% Middle 50%: Troy by 7 to South Alabama by 16 50% Middle 90%: Troy by 24 to South Alabama by 32 90% Middle 95%: Troy by 29 to South Alabama by 38 95% Exactly South Alabama by 3 6.6% Exactly Troy by 3 6.0% Exactly South Alabama by 7 5.2% Exactly Troy by 7 4.3% Exactly South Alabama by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Home field South Alabama +3.1 Last season South Alabama +1.2 This season, against its opponents Troy +0.1
Kennesaw State by 0.9 · 52% to win
Ours: Kennesaw State by 0.9 Kennesaw State win 52% Sam Houston win 48% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Kennesaw State win by Sam Houston win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Kennesaw State win 52.1% Sam Houston win 47.9% Middle 50%: Kennesaw State by 13 to Sam Houston by 10 50% Middle 90%: Kennesaw State by 28 to Sam Houston by 27 90% Middle 95%: Kennesaw State by 34 to Sam Houston by 32 95% Exactly Kennesaw State by 3 6.5% Exactly Sam Houston by 3 6.4% Exactly Kennesaw State by 7 5.0% Exactly Sam Houston by 7 4.8% Exactly Kennesaw State by 14 3.1%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Kennesaw State +4.3 Home field Sam Houston +3.1 This season, against its opponents Sam Houston +0.3
Missouri State by 6.3 · 65% to win
Ours: Missouri State by 6.3 New Mexico State win 35% Missouri State win 65% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← New Mexico State win by Missouri State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance New Mexico State win 35.4% Missouri State win 64.6% Middle 50%: New Mexico State by 5 to Missouri State by 18 50% Middle 90%: New Mexico State by 21 to Missouri State by 34 90% Middle 95%: New Mexico State by 27 to Missouri State by 39 95% Exactly Missouri State by 3 6.4% Exactly New Mexico State by 3 5.7% Exactly Missouri State by 7 5.3% Exactly New Mexico State by 7 3.9% Exactly Missouri State by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Missouri State +4.1 Home field Missouri State +3.1 This season, against its opponents New Mexico State +0.9
Delaware by 3.6 · 58% to win
Ours: Delaware by 3.6 Florida International win 42% Delaware win 58% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Florida International win by Delaware win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Florida International win 41.5% Delaware win 58.5% Middle 50%: Florida International by 7 to Delaware by 15 50% Middle 90%: Florida International by 24 to Delaware by 32 90% Middle 95%: Florida International by 30 to Delaware by 37 95% Exactly Delaware by 3 6.6% Exactly Florida International by 3 6.1% Exactly Delaware by 7 5.2% Exactly Florida International by 7 4.4% Exactly Delaware by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Home field Delaware +3.1 Last season Delaware +1.1 This season, against its opponents Florida International +0.7
Notre Dame by 40.3 · 99% to win
Ours: Notre Dame by 40.3 Boston College win 1% Notre Dame win 99% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Boston College win by Notre Dame win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Boston College win 0.9% Notre Dame win 99.1% Middle 50%: Notre Dame by 28 to Notre Dame by 52 50% Middle 90%: Notre Dame by 13 to Notre Dame by 66 90% Middle 95%: Notre Dame by 7 to Notre Dame by 70 95% Exactly Notre Dame by 56 18.4% Exactly Notre Dame by 49 4.5% Exactly Notre Dame by 42 4.4% Exactly Notre Dame by 45 3.9% Exactly Notre Dame by 35 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Notre Dame +23.5 Last season Notre Dame +13.7 Home field Notre Dame +3.1
Jacksonville State by 3.3 · 58% to win
Ours: Jacksonville State by 3.3 Jacksonville State win 58% Western Kentucky win 42% 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 ← Jacksonville State win by Western Kentucky win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Jacksonville State win 57.7% Western Kentucky win 42.3% Middle 50%: Jacksonville State by 14 to Western Kentucky by 8 50% Middle 90%: Jacksonville State by 31 to Western Kentucky by 25 90% Middle 95%: Jacksonville State by 37 to Western Kentucky by 31 95% Exactly Jacksonville State by 3 6.6% Exactly Western Kentucky by 3 6.1% Exactly Jacksonville State by 7 5.2% Exactly Western Kentucky by 7 4.4% Exactly Jacksonville State by 14 3.4%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Jacksonville State +9.8 Last season Western Kentucky +3.3 Home field Western Kentucky +3.1
Liberty by 15.6 · 82% to win
Ours: Liberty by 15.6 Middle Tennessee win 18% Liberty win 82% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Middle Tennessee win by Liberty win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Middle Tennessee win 17.8% Liberty win 82.2% Middle 50%: Liberty by 4 to Liberty by 27 50% Middle 90%: Middle Tennessee by 13 to Liberty by 44 90% Middle 95%: Middle Tennessee by 18 to Liberty by 49 95% Exactly Liberty by 3 5.0% Exactly Liberty by 7 4.7% Exactly Liberty by 14 4.1% Exactly Liberty by 17 4.0% Exactly Liberty by 21 4.0%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Liberty +9.0 Last season Liberty +3.5 Home field Liberty +3.1
Texas State by 4.2 · 60% to win
Ours: Texas State by 4.2 Fresno State win 40% Texas State win 60% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Fresno State win by Texas State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Fresno State win 40.2% Texas State win 59.8% Middle 50%: Fresno State by 7 to Texas State by 16 50% Middle 90%: Fresno State by 24 to Texas State by 32 90% Middle 95%: Fresno State by 29 to Texas State by 38 95% Exactly Texas State by 3 6.6% Exactly Fresno State by 3 6.0% Exactly Texas State by 7 5.2% Exactly Fresno State by 7 4.3% Exactly Texas State by 14 3.5%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Texas State +5.0 This season, against its opponents Fresno State +3.9 Home field Texas State +3.1
Boise State by 13.4 · 79% to win
Ours: Boise State by 13.4 Oregon State win 21% Boise State win 79% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Oregon State win by Boise State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Oregon State win 21.4% Boise State win 78.6% Middle 50%: Boise State by 3 to Boise State by 25 50% Middle 90%: Oregon State by 14 to Boise State by 42 90% Middle 95%: Oregon State by 20 to Boise State by 46 95% Exactly Boise State by 3 5.4% Exactly Boise State by 7 4.9% Exactly Boise State by 14 4.2% Exactly Oregon State by 3 4.1% Exactly Boise State by 17 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Boise State +6.8 This season, against its opponents Boise State +3.5 Home field Boise State +3.1
Air Force by 10.1 · 72% to win
Ours: Air Force by 10.1 San José State win 28% Air Force win 72% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← San José State win by Air Force win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance San José State win 27.5% Air Force win 72.5% Middle 50%: San José State by 3 to Air Force by 21 50% Middle 90%: San José State by 18 to Air Force by 38 90% Middle 95%: San José State by 24 to Air Force by 43 95% Exactly Air Force by 3 6.0% Exactly Air Force by 7 5.2% Exactly San José State by 3 4.9% Exactly Air Force by 14 4.0% Exactly Air Force by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents Air Force +5.6 Home field Air Force +3.1 Last season Air Force +1.3
New Mexico by 9.9 · 72% to win
Ours: New Mexico by 9.9 UNLV win 28% New Mexico win 72% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← UNLV win by New Mexico win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance UNLV win 27.8% New Mexico win 72.2% Middle 50%: UNLV by 3 to New Mexico by 21 50% Middle 90%: UNLV by 18 to New Mexico by 38 90% Middle 95%: UNLV by 24 to New Mexico by 43 95% Exactly New Mexico by 3 6.0% Exactly New Mexico by 7 5.2% Exactly UNLV by 3 4.9% Exactly New Mexico by 14 4.0% Exactly New Mexico by 17 3.7%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents New Mexico +8.6 Home field New Mexico +3.1 Last season UNLV +1.8
San Diego State by 4.8 · 61% to win
Ours: San Diego State by 4.8 Utah State win 39% San Diego State win 61% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Utah State win by San Diego State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Utah State win 38.8% San Diego State win 61.2% Middle 50%: Utah State by 7 to San Diego State by 17 50% Middle 90%: Utah State by 23 to San Diego State by 33 90% Middle 95%: Utah State by 28 to San Diego State by 38 95% Exactly San Diego State by 3 6.5% Exactly Utah State by 3 5.9% Exactly San Diego State by 7 5.3% Exactly Utah State by 7 4.2% Exactly San Diego State by 14 3.6%
Where the forecast comes from Home field San Diego State +3.1 This season, against its opponents San Diego State +1.2 Last season San Diego State +0.4
Washington State by 6.4 · 65% to win
Ours: Washington State by 6.4 Colorado State win 35% Washington State win 65% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← Colorado State win by Washington State win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance Colorado State win 35.3% Washington State win 64.8% Middle 50%: Colorado State by 5 to Washington State by 18 50% Middle 90%: Colorado State by 21 to Washington State by 34 90% Middle 95%: Colorado State by 27 to Washington State by 39 95% Exactly Washington State by 3 6.4% Exactly Colorado State by 3 5.6% Exactly Washington State by 7 5.3% Exactly Colorado State by 7 3.9% Exactly Washington State by 14 3.8%
Where the forecast comes from Last season Washington State +6.1 Home field Washington State +3.1 This season, against its opponents Colorado State +2.9
North Dakota State by 14.6 · 81% to win
Ours: North Dakota State by 14.6 North Dakota State win 81% Hawai'i win 19% 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 ← North Dakota State win by Hawai'i win by → P50 P90 P95 Show as a table Outcome Chance North Dakota State win 80.7% Hawai'i win 19.3% Middle 50%: North Dakota State by 26 to North Dakota State by 3 50% Middle 90%: North Dakota State by 42 to Hawai'i by 14 90% Middle 95%: North Dakota State by 48 to Hawai'i by 19 95% Exactly North Dakota State by 3 5.2% Exactly North Dakota State by 7 4.8% Exactly North Dakota State by 14 4.2% Exactly North Dakota State by 17 4.0% Exactly North Dakota State by 21 3.9%
Where the forecast comes from This season, against its opponents North Dakota State +19.0 Home field Hawai'i +3.1 Last season Hawai'i +1.3