College football · Week 10 2026 · Saturday, November 7
Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina prediction and pick
Our Old Dominion Monarchs at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers pick: Old Dominion by 1.0, 52% to win. The forecast rates every team against the opponents it has played, this season and last, and adds home field. No betting information goes in.
An early look, 6 weeks ahead: it sharpens as the game comes up. Updated every day until kickoff, then frozen and scored. After the game this page shows who deserved to win.
Why the curves are so wide: luck. Even with both teams’ strength known exactly, one game’s bounces, kicks, calls and sequencing move the final margin by about ±12.1 points (one standard deviation, measured from every play since 2019). These forecasts carry ±16.9, so about 51% of the width is that luck; the rest is what nobody knows yet about the teams. That is why a 7-point favorite still loses about 3 times in 10.
Sat, Nov 7, time to be announced · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Old Dominion by 1.0 · 52% to win
Ours: Old Dominion by 1.0Old Dominion win 52%Coastal Carolina win 48%494235282114707142128354249← Old Dominion win byCoastal Carolina win by →P50P90P95
Show as a table
Outcome
Chance
Old Dominion win
52.4%
Coastal Carolina win
47.6%
Middle 50%: Old Dominion by 13 to Coastal Carolina by 10
50%
Middle 90%: Old Dominion by 28 to Coastal Carolina by 27
90%
Middle 95%: Old Dominion by 34 to Coastal Carolina by 32
95%
Exactly Old Dominion by 3
6.6%
Exactly Coastal Carolina by 3
6.5%
Exactly Old Dominion by 7
5.0%
Exactly Coastal Carolina by 7
4.8%
Exactly Old Dominion by 14
3.1%
P50
Half of games like this end between Old Dominion by 13 and Coastal Carolina by 10.
P90
9 in 10 between Old Dominion by 28 and Coastal Carolina by 27.
P95
19 in 20 between Old Dominion by 34 and Coastal Carolina by 32.
Coin-flip wins: the wins each team’s games were worth with only the kicks, bounces, drops and calls re-rolled, the record adjusted for luck. Luck in wins: actual wins minus what the play was worth.
Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina: questions and answers
Who will win Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina?
Our forecast picks Old Dominion, with 52% to win; Coastal Carolina win 48% of the time.
What’s the spread for Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina?
Our spread: Old Dominion −1.0. The betting line isn’t out yet. Ours uses no betting information, so where the two differ is where our read of the teams differs from the market’s.
When is Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 (kickoff time to be announced), at Brooks Stadium (SC).
Old Dominion at 
Coastal Carolina
