Army 16 
Navy 17 Replays agree · Navy wins 64% of replays 2025 college football season · December 13, 2025
Week 16 2025: upsets, and who deserved to win
No upsets in Week 16 2025: every betting favorite won. No winner of Week 16 2025 was behind in the replays.
Week 16 2025 upsets
Every betting favorite won.
Every game, luck first
The games luck decided most come first. The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was behind in the replays.
Army 16 Navy 17 Replays agree · Navy wins 64% of replays Week 16 luck ranking
Every FBS team’s luck index: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.
| # | Team | Game | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Navy | W 17–16 vs Army | 64% | +36 |
| 2 | Army | L 16–17 vs Navy | 36% | −36 |