49ers 20 
Chiefs 31 Coin flip · Chiefs win 51% of replays 2019 NFL season · February 2, 2020
Super Bowl LIV (2020): who deserved to win
The winner wasn’t outplayed. The closest call: the Chiefs won 31–20 and take 51% of replays.
The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was behind in the replays.
49ers 20 Chiefs 31 Coin flip · Chiefs win 51% of replays Super Bowl LIV (2020) upsets
The betting favorite won.
Luck ranking, super bowl
Every team’s luck index this round: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.
| # | Team | Game | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiefs | W 31–20 vs 49ers | 51% | +49 |
| 2 | 49ers | L 20–31 @ Chiefs | 49% | −49 |