luckadjusted

2019 NFL season · February 2, 2020

Super Bowl 2019: who deserved to win

Every winner of Super Bowl earned it. The closest call: the Chiefs won 31–20 and take 52% of replays.

The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was outplayed.

Luck ranking, super bowl

Every team’s luck index this round: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.

#TeamGameWins the replayLuck index
1 Chiefs W 31–20 vs 49ers 52% +48
2 49ers L 20–31 @ Chiefs 48% −48