All-time · since 2019
The unluckiest losses since 2019
The unluckiest loss since 2019: the Saints lost 7–10 to the Panthers (2022, Week 18), a game they win 99% of the time when only the kicks, fumble bounces, drops, conversions and referee calls are re-rolled. The Saints lost it to the bounces, not the play.
Ranked by the loser’s coin-flip replay: everything else about the game is kept, only the chance events are redrawn. The last column is the full replay with the same day’s form, which also asks whether the loser played well enough. Luckiest wins ranks by that one.
| # | Game | When | Loser wins, coin-flips re-rolled | Loser wins the replay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panthers 10, Saints 7 | 2022 Week 18 · Jan 8, 2023 | 99% | 90% |
| 2 | Lions 31, Bears 30 | 2022 Week 10 · Nov 13, 2022 | 99% | 52% |
| 3 | Commanders 23, Packers 21 | 2022 Week 7 · Oct 23, 2022 | 98% | 85% |
| 4 | Browns 39, Colts 38 | 2023 Week 7 · Oct 22, 2023 | 98% | 89% |
| 5 | Cowboys 31, Chiefs 28 | 2025 Week 13 · Nov 27, 2025 | 98% | 39% |
| 6 | Rams 21, 49ers 20 | 2023 Week 18 · Jan 7, 2024 | 97% | 42% |
| 7 | Steelers 29, Bears 27 | 2021 Week 9 · Nov 8, 2021 | 97% | 66% |
| 8 | Bears 25, Raiders 24 | 2025 Week 4 · Sep 28, 2025 | 97% | 82% |
| 9 | Chiefs 19, Raiders 17 | 2024 Week 13 · Nov 29, 2024 | 97% | 53% |
| 10 | Chiefs 16, Broncos 14 | 2024 Week 10 · Nov 10, 2024 | 97% | 9% |
| 11 | Seahawks 38, Rams 37 | 2025 Week 16 · Dec 18, 2025 | 97% | 71% |
| 12 | Raiders 35, Chargers 32 | 2021 Week 18 · Jan 9, 2022 | 95% | 42% |
| 13 | Seahawks 28, 49ers 21 | 2021 Week 4 · Oct 3, 2021 | 95% | 92% |
| 14 | Rams 23, Bengals 20 | 2021 Super Bowl · Feb 13, 2022 | 95% | 51% |
| 15 | Steelers 26, Browns 22 | 2023 Week 2 · Sep 18, 2023 | 95% | 51% |
| 16 | Vikings 34, Packers 31 | 2021 Week 11 · Nov 21, 2021 | 95% | 56% |
| 17 | 49ers 26, Rams 23 | 2025 Week 5 · Oct 2, 2025 | 94% | 52% |
| 18 | Jaguars 24, Texans 21 | 2023 Week 12 · Nov 26, 2023 | 94% | 38% |
| 19 | Falcons 28, Buccaneers 22 | 2019 Week 17 · Dec 29, 2019 | 94% | 86% |
| 20 | Steelers 18, Ravens 16 | 2024 Week 11 · Nov 17, 2024 | 93% | 87% |
| 21 | Bears 31, Packers 27 | 2025 Wild Card · Jan 10, 2026 | 93% | 53% |
| 22 | Rams 19, Jets 9 | 2024 Week 16 · Dec 22, 2024 | 92% | 16% |
| 23 | Steelers 17, Ravens 10 | 2023 Week 5 · Oct 8, 2023 | 92% | 56% |
| 24 | Cowboys 40, Giants 37 | 2025 Week 2 · Sep 14, 2025 | 91% | 85% |
| 25 | Bills 17, Jets 16 | 2019 Week 1 · Sep 8, 2019 | 91% | 11% |
| 26 | Titans 32, Texans 27 | 2024 Week 12 · Nov 24, 2024 | 91% | 50% |
| 27 | Cardinals 27, Cowboys 17 | 2025 Week 9 · Nov 3, 2025 | 91% | 39% |
| 28 | Texans 13, Jaguars 6 | 2022 Week 5 · Oct 9, 2022 | 91% | 69% |
| 29 | Steelers 26, Ravens 24 | 2025 Week 18 · Jan 4, 2026 | 90% | 60% |
| 30 | Giants 21, Titans 20 | 2022 Week 1 · Sep 11, 2022 | 90% | 53% |
| 31 | Chargers 23, Broncos 16 | 2024 Week 6 · Oct 13, 2024 | 90% | 48% |
| 32 | Texans 29, Colts 27 | 2024 Week 1 · Sep 8, 2024 | 90% | 54% |
| 33 | Panthers 23, Saints 22 | 2024 Week 9 · Nov 3, 2024 | 89% | 77% |
| 34 | Texans 13, Jaguars 12 | 2019 Week 2 · Sep 15, 2019 | 89% | 14% |
| 35 | Raiders 36, Cowboys 33 | 2021 Week 12 · Nov 25, 2021 | 89% | 63% |
| 36 | Jaguars 28, Ravens 27 | 2022 Week 12 · Nov 27, 2022 | 89% | 80% |
| 37 | Chargers 30, Browns 28 | 2022 Week 5 · Oct 9, 2022 | 89% | 66% |
| 38 | Vikings 27, Lions 24 | 2025 Week 9 · Nov 2, 2025 | 88% | 24% |
| 39 | Patriots 25, Texans 22 | 2021 Week 5 · Oct 10, 2021 | 88% | 24% |
| 40 | Texans 27, Raiders 24 | 2019 Week 8 · Oct 27, 2019 | 88% | 57% |
| 41 | Broncos 23, Chargers 20 | 2019 Week 13 · Dec 1, 2019 | 88% | 86% |
| 42 | Commanders 24, Eagles 17 | 2025 Week 18 · Jan 4, 2026 | 87% | 61% |
| 43 | Packers 23, Chargers 20 | 2023 Week 11 · Nov 19, 2023 | 87% | 67% |
| 44 | Jaguars 31, Chiefs 28 | 2025 Week 5 · Oct 6, 2025 | 87% | 74% |
| 45 | Commanders 21, Giants 18 | 2024 Week 2 · Sep 15, 2024 | 87% | 21% |
| 46 | Ravens 16, Bears 13 | 2021 Week 11 · Nov 21, 2021 | 87% | 37% |
| 47 | Broncos 16, Raiders 15 | 2019 Week 17 · Dec 29, 2019 | 86% | 87% |
| 48 | Vikings 31, Packers 29 | 2024 Week 4 · Sep 29, 2024 | 86% | 28% |
| 49 | Buccaneers 16, Panthers 14 | 2025 Week 18 · Jan 3, 2026 | 86% | 21% |
| 50 | Chargers 29, Dolphins 27 | 2025 Week 6 · Oct 12, 2025 | 86% | 47% |