All-time · since 2019
The unluckiest losses since 2019
The unluckiest loss since 2019: the Packers lost 21–23 to the Commanders (2022, Week 7), a game they win 100% of the time when only the kicks, fumble bounces, drops, conversions and referee calls are re-rolled. The Packers lost it to the bounces, not the play.
Ranked by the loser’s coin-flip replay: everything else about the game is kept, only the chance events are redrawn. The last column is the full replay with the same day’s form, which also asks whether the loser played well enough. Luckiest wins ranks by that one.
| # | Game | When | Loser wins, coin-flips re-rolled | Loser wins the replay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Commanders 23, Packers 21 | 2022 Week 7 · Oct 23, 2022 | 100% | 92% |
| 2 | Panthers 10, Saints 7 | 2022 Week 18 · Jan 8, 2023 | 100% | 93% |
| 3 | Bears 25, Raiders 24 | 2025 Week 4 · Sep 28, 2025 | 98% | 82% |
| 4 | Lions 31, Bears 30 | 2022 Week 10 · Nov 13, 2022 | 98% | 43% |
| 5 | Texans 20, Chiefs 10 | 2025 Week 14 · Dec 7, 2025 | 97% | 79% |
| 6 | Rams 21, 49ers 20 | 2023 Week 18 · Jan 7, 2024 | 96% | 56% |
| 7 | Browns 39, Colts 38 | 2023 Week 7 · Oct 22, 2023 | 96% | 90% |
| 8 | Commanders 21, Giants 18 | 2024 Week 2 · Sep 15, 2024 | 96% | 11% |
| 9 | Packers 23, Chargers 20 | 2023 Week 11 · Nov 19, 2023 | 96% | 45% |
| 10 | Cowboys 40, Giants 37 | 2025 Week 2 · Sep 14, 2025 | 96% | 88% |
| 11 | Seahawks 38, Rams 37 | 2025 Week 16 · Dec 18, 2025 | 95% | 83% |
| 12 | Chiefs 19, Raiders 17 | 2024 Week 13 · Nov 29, 2024 | 95% | 48% |
| 13 | Seahawks 28, 49ers 21 | 2021 Week 4 · Oct 3, 2021 | 94% | 91% |
| 14 | 49ers 26, Rams 23 | 2025 Week 5 · Oct 2, 2025 | 94% | 74% |
| 15 | Raiders 35, Chargers 32 | 2021 Week 18 · Jan 9, 2022 | 94% | 40% |
| 16 | Steelers 26, Browns 22 | 2023 Week 2 · Sep 18, 2023 | 93% | 54% |
| 17 | Buccaneers 16, Panthers 14 | 2025 Week 18 · Jan 3, 2026 | 93% | 22% |
| 18 | Steelers 17, Ravens 10 | 2023 Week 5 · Oct 8, 2023 | 93% | 35% |
| 19 | Steelers 18, Ravens 16 | 2024 Week 11 · Nov 17, 2024 | 93% | 90% |
| 20 | Ravens 16, Bears 13 | 2021 Week 11 · Nov 21, 2021 | 93% | 37% |
| 21 | Raiders 36, Cowboys 33 | 2021 Week 12 · Nov 25, 2021 | 92% | 61% |
| 22 | Texans 29, Colts 27 | 2024 Week 1 · Sep 8, 2024 | 92% | 38% |
| 23 | Giants 21, Titans 20 | 2022 Week 1 · Sep 11, 2022 | 92% | 64% |
| 24 | Bears 25, Seahawks 24 | 2021 Week 16 · Dec 26, 2021 | 92% | 61% |
| 25 | Chiefs 16, Broncos 14 | 2024 Week 10 · Nov 10, 2024 | 92% | 19% |
| 26 | Cowboys 31, Chiefs 28 | 2025 Week 13 · Nov 27, 2025 | 91% | 59% |
| 27 | Eagles 21, Chiefs 17 | 2023 Week 11 · Nov 20, 2023 | 91% | 55% |
| 28 | Texans 13, Jaguars 6 | 2022 Week 5 · Oct 9, 2022 | 91% | 72% |
| 29 | Titans 31, Vikings 30 | 2020 Week 3 · Sep 27, 2020 | 90% | 60% |
| 30 | Rams 23, Bengals 20 | Super Bowl LVI (2022) · Feb 13, 2022 | 90% | 53% |
| 31 | Steelers 17, Ravens 10 | 2023 Week 18 · Jan 6, 2024 | 89% | 89% |
| 32 | Rams 27, 49ers 24 | 2024 Week 3 · Sep 22, 2024 | 89% | 73% |
| 33 | Vikings 34, Packers 31 | 2021 Week 11 · Nov 21, 2021 | 88% | 54% |
| 34 | Buccaneers 26, Panthers 23 | 2024 Week 13 · Dec 1, 2024 | 88% | 45% |
| 35 | Chargers 30, Browns 28 | 2022 Week 5 · Oct 9, 2022 | 88% | 47% |
| 36 | Steelers 29, Bears 27 | 2021 Week 9 · Nov 8, 2021 | 88% | 66% |
| 37 | Broncos 23, Chargers 20 | 2019 Week 13 · Dec 1, 2019 | 88% | 87% |
| 38 | Steelers 26, Ravens 24 | 2025 Week 18 · Jan 4, 2026 | 88% | 64% |
| 39 | Jaguars 24, Texans 21 | 2023 Week 12 · Nov 26, 2023 | 88% | 57% |
| 40 | Bills 17, Jets 16 | 2019 Week 1 · Sep 8, 2019 | 88% | 9% |
| 41 | Broncos 26, Panthers 21 | 2026 Week 9 · Nov 8, 2026 | 87% | 49% |
| 42 | Dolphins 26, Raiders 25 | 2020 Week 16 · Dec 26, 2020 | 87% | 92% |
| 43 | Chargers 23, Broncos 16 | 2024 Week 6 · Oct 13, 2024 | 87% | 45% |
| 44 | Falcons 28, Buccaneers 22 | 2019 Week 17 · Dec 29, 2019 | 87% | 87% |
| 45 | Steelers 26, Colts 24 | 2019 Week 9 · Nov 3, 2019 | 86% | 76% |
| 46 | Seahawks 21, Bengals 20 | 2019 Week 1 · Sep 8, 2019 | 86% | 60% |
| 47 | Bengals 31, Jaguars 27 | 2025 Week 2 · Sep 14, 2025 | 86% | 35% |
| 48 | Titans 23, Saints 21 | 2021 Week 10 · Nov 14, 2021 | 86% | 64% |
| 49 | Panthers 44, Falcons 38 | 2024 Week 18 · Jan 5, 2025 | 86% | 89% |
| 50 | Seahawks 21, Cardinals 20 | 2023 Week 18 · Jan 7, 2024 | 86% | 58% |