2026 NFL season · after Week 3 · regular season
Referee calls, 2026: who they helped
Judgment calls helped the Vikings most in 2026: +9.94 points a game, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t. They hurt the Ravens most: −5.36 a game. The Packers drew the most flags, 32.
Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued in expected points for the team it helped, including any play it wiped out. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.06), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued
| # | Team | Call luck, pts per game | Judgment flags against | For | Pre-snap flags against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vikings | +9.94 | 1 | 11 | 5 |
| 2 |  Colts | +7.45 | 4 | 11 | 5 |
| 3 |  Raiders | +4.62 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 4 |  Patriots | +3.18 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 |  Bills | +2.98 | 14 | 11 | 1 |
| 6 |  Giants | +2.52 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 7 |  Titans | +1.94 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 |  Browns | +1.25 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 |  Saints | +1.09 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 10 |  Jaguars | +0.94 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 |  Cowboys | +0.70 | 10 | 10 | 4 |
| 12 |  Broncos | +0.48 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Commanders | +0.37 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 |  Dolphins | +0.36 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 |  Steelers | +0.34 | 9 | 10 | 3 |
| 16 |  Buccaneers | +0.11 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Texans | +0.05 | 11 | 15 | 5 |
| 18 |  Chargers | −0.07 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 19 |  Bears | −0.19 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 20 |  Eagles | −1.21 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 21 |  Seahawks | −1.34 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| 22 |  Cardinals | −1.97 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 23 |  Panthers | −2.03 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 24 |  Packers | −2.55 | 20 | 16 | 12 |
| 25 |  Rams | −2.59 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Lions | −2.64 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
| 27 |  Falcons | −2.83 | 17 | 12 | 4 |
| 28 |  49ers | −3.12 | 8 | 7 | 1 |
| 29 |  Bengals | −3.15 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 30 |  Chiefs | −3.20 | 10 | 6 | 5 |
| 31 |  Jets | −3.38 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
| 32 |  Ravens | −5.36 | 10 | 4 | 7 |
Call luck by team
Referee crews
Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: points per game toward the home team.
| Referee | Games | Judgment flags per game | Pre-snap per game | Toward home team, pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Novak | 2 | 14.5 | 6.0 | +3.29 |
| Adrian Hill | 2 | 9.5 | 9.5 | −1.02 |
| Alex Moore | 2 | 11.0 | 5.0 | −0.05 |
| Brad Allen | 2 | 8.5 | 7.5 | −3.64 |
| Carl Cheffers | 2 | 9.5 | 5.5 | +1.58 |
| Ron Torbert | 2 | 9.0 | 6.0 | +3.74 |
| Bill Vinovich | 1 | 7.0 | 7.0 | −3.14 |
| Brad Rogers | 2 | 10.5 | 3.5 | −0.55 |
| Craig Wrolstad | 2 | 6.0 | 8.0 | −1.78 |
| John Hussey | 2 | 5.0 | 9.0 | −2.30 |
| Clete Blakeman | 2 | 6.0 | 7.0 | +2.36 |
| Clay Martin | 2 | 8.0 | 4.5 | −0.49 |
| Shawn Hochuli | 2 | 7.5 | 5.0 | +9.33 |
| Shawn Smith | 3 | 8.3 | 4.0 | −0.99 |
| Alan Eck | 2 | 7.5 | 4.0 | −0.87 |
| Land Clark | 2 | 4.5 | 7.0 | +0.48 |
| Alex Kemp | 1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −0.59 |
All referees since 2019 · 2026 luck rankings · Expected wins