2026 NFL season · after Week 9 · regular season
Referee calls, 2026: who they helped
Judgment calls helped the Vikings most in 2026: +1.19 wins, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t, each weighted by the moment it came. They hurt the Panthers most: −0.89 wins. The Browns were flagged the most, 82 times.
Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued by what it did to the helped team’s chance of winning at that moment, including any play it wiped out, so a call in a decided game counts for nothing and one at the turn of a close game for most of a win. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.09), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued
| # | Team | Call luck, wins | Judgment flags against | For | Pre-snap flags against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vikings | +1.19 | 17 | 35 | 22 |
| 2 |  Broncos | +0.91 | 38 | 50 | 31 |
| 3 |  Colts | +0.87 | 33 | 44 | 21 |
| 4 |  Lions | +0.75 | 31 | 36 | 25 |
| 5 |  Chargers | +0.73 | 39 | 38 | 27 |
| 6 |  Eagles | +0.74 | 37 | 44 | 27 |
| 7 |  Giants | +0.58 | 31 | 39 | 28 |
| 8 |  Raiders | +0.25 | 34 | 44 | 20 |
| 9 |  Browns | +0.25 | 39 | 29 | 43 |
| 10 |  Titans | +0.10 | 32 | 38 | 21 |
| 11 |  Bengals | +0.08 | 32 | 39 | 23 |
| 12 |  Seahawks | +0.04 | 39 | 44 | 26 |
| 13 |  Buccaneers | +0.04 | 30 | 39 | 33 |
| 14 |  49ers | +0.02 | 31 | 35 | 19 |
| 15 |  Saints | +0.01 | 23 | 31 | 26 |
| 16 |  Steelers | 0.00 | 32 | 35 | 15 |
| 17 |  Falcons | −0.06 | 39 | 38 | 21 |
| 18 |  Bears | −0.10 | 44 | 34 | 28 |
| 19 |  Cowboys | −0.11 | 50 | 54 | 24 |
| 20 |  Patriots | −0.11 | 37 | 34 | 29 |
| 21 |  Texans | −0.12 | 39 | 40 | 25 |
| 22 |  Ravens | −0.20 | 36 | 23 | 38 |
| 23 |  Cardinals | −0.21 | 44 | 36 | 24 |
| 24 |  Dolphins | −0.43 | 37 | 33 | 23 |
| 25 |  Commanders | −0.45 | 34 | 23 | 27 |
| 26 |  Chiefs | −0.46 | 41 | 26 | 14 |
| 27 |  Rams | −0.64 | 39 | 32 | 32 |
| 28 |  Jets | −0.64 | 43 | 35 | 30 |
| 29 |  Bills | −0.52 | 41 | 34 | 19 |
| 30 |  Packers | −0.85 | 45 | 34 | 29 |
| 31 |  Jaguars | −0.77 | 36 | 35 | 22 |
| 32 |  Panthers | −0.89 | 44 | 36 | 26 |
Call luck by team
Referee crews
Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: share of a win a game toward the home team.
| Referee | Games | Judgment flags per game | Pre-snap per game | Toward home team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Novak | 4 | 15.5 | 6.5 | −12.3% |
| Alex Moore | 5 | 13.2 | 5.4 | +4.9% |
| Adrian Hill | 4 | 8.5 | 9.3 | +2.8% |
| Brad Allen | 4 | 10.0 | 7.0 | −10.6% |
| Clete Blakeman | 4 | 8.5 | 7.8 | −11.1% |
| Carl Cheffers | 4 | 8.8 | 7.0 | +11.4% |
| Craig Wrolstad | 3 | 8.0 | 7.3 | −2.7% |
| John Hussey | 3 | 6.3 | 8.3 | −5.7% |
| Land Clark | 4 | 6.8 | 7.8 | +1.8% |
| Shawn Hochuli | 4 | 8.3 | 6.3 | +17.5% |
| Bill Vinovich | 3 | 8.0 | 6.0 | +22.5% |
| Clay Martin | 4 | 7.5 | 5.8 | +3.1% |
| Alan Eck | 4 | 8.3 | 4.5 | −4.3% |
| Brad Rogers | 4 | 8.5 | 4.0 | +1.4% |
| Shawn Smith | 4 | 8.3 | 4.3 | +3.6% |
| Alex Kemp | 3 | 7.3 | 4.7 | +1.2% |
| Ron Torbert | 4 | 6.3 | 5.3 | +7.6% |
All referees since 2019 · 2026 luck rankings · Expected wins