luckadjusted

Referee · 2021–2026

Ron Torbert: flags and calls

Ron Torbert’s crews have worked 89 games since 2021: 7.3 judgment flags a game, about the same as the league average of 7.4, and 4.7 pre-snap flags. Their judgment calls were worth −0.17 points a game to the home team (league: +0.24).

Season by season

SeasonGamesJudgment flags per gamePre-snapToward home, pts
2021186.43.4−0.51
2022176.93.9−1.38
2023177.45.4−0.44
2024188.95.0+1.66
2025176.65.7−0.75
202629.06.0+3.74

The calls that swung games most

By the change in win probability they caused.

  1. Defensive Holding on the Cardinals (Denzel Burke), 5 yards, wiping out the play · CAR at ARI, 2025 Week 2 · 35 pts of win probability
  2. Intentional Grounding on the Vikings (Joshua Dobbs), 15 yards · MIN at DEN, 2023 Week 11 · 31 pts of win probability
  3. Defensive Pass Interference on the Broncos (Patrick Surtain II), 19 yards, wiping out the play · MIN at DEN, 2023 Week 11 · 28 pts of win probability
  4. Offensive Holding on the Panthers, 10 yards, wiping out the play · CAR at ARI, 2025 Week 2 · 26 pts of win probability
  5. Offensive Holding on the Chargers, 10 yards, wiping out the play · LAC at ARI, 2022 Week 12 · 25 pts of win probability
  6. Offensive Holding on the Falcons, 10 yards, wiping out the play · PIT at ATL, 2022 Week 13 · 24 pts of win probability
  7. Defensive Pass Interference on the Browns (John Johnson), 48 yards, wiping out the play · CHI at CLE, 2021 Week 3 · 23 pts of win probability
  8. Unnecessary Roughness on the Bengals (Joseph Ossai), 15 yards · CIN at KC, 2022 AFC Championship · 20 pts of win probability

Every game

WeekGameResultWinner wins the replayLuck index
2026 Week 2 Lions at Bills BUF 41–31 94% +6
2026 Week 1 Cardinals at Chargers ARI 26–14 49% +51
2025 Wild Card Chargers at Patriots NE 16–3 96% +4
2025 Week 18 Saints at Falcons ATL 19–17 33% +67
2025 Week 17 Eagles at Bills PHI 13–12 16% +84
2025 Week 16 49ers at Colts SF 48–27 96% +4
2025 Week 15 Browns at Bears CHI 31–3 99% +1
2025 Week 14 Rams at Cardinals LA 45–17 99% +1
2025 Week 13 Packers at Lions GB 31–24 55% +45
2025 Week 12 Seahawks at Titans SEA 30–24 98% +2
2025 Week 10 Bills at Dolphins MIA 30–13 55% +45
2025 Week 9 Broncos at Texans DEN 18–15 73% +27
2025 Week 8 Buccaneers at Saints TB 23–3 69% +31
2025 Week 7 Falcons at 49ers SF 20–10 74% +26
2025 Week 6 Browns at Steelers PIT 23–9 96% +4
2025 Week 4 Packers at Cowboys DAL 40–40 46% +54
2025 Week 3 Bengals at Vikings MIN 48–10 98% +2
2025 Week 2 Panthers at Cardinals ARI 27–22 87% +13
2025 Week 1 Raiders at Patriots LV 20–13 90% +10
2024 Super Bowl Chiefs vs Eagles PHI 40–22 84% +16
2024 Divisional round Commanders at Lions WAS 45–31 54% +46
2024 Week 18 Giants at Eagles PHI 20–13 82% +18
2024 Week 17 Dolphins at Browns MIA 20–3 88% +12
2024 Week 16 Rams at Jets LA 19–9 84% +16
2024 Week 15 Patriots at Cardinals ARI 30–17 78% +22
2024 Week 14 Bears at 49ers SF 38–13 99% +1
2024 Week 13 Titans at Commanders WAS 42–19 100% 0
2024 Week 12 Broncos at Raiders DEN 29–19 31% +69
2024 Week 10 Dolphins at Rams MIA 23–15 28% +72
2024 Week 9 Saints at Panthers CAR 23–22 23% +77
2024 Week 8 Bills at Seahawks BUF 31–10 96% +4
2024 Week 7 Bengals at Browns CIN 21–14 98% +2
2024 Week 6 Texans at Patriots HOU 41–21 99% +1
2024 Week 5 Buccaneers at Falcons ATL 36–30 69% +31
2024 Week 4 Broncos at Jets DEN 10–9 52% +48
2024 Week 3 Ravens at Cowboys BAL 28–25 94% +6
2024 Week 1 Packers vs Eagles PHI 34–29 24% +76
2023 Wild Card Packers at Cowboys GB 48–32 66% +34
2023 Week 17 49ers at Commanders SF 27–10 98% +2
2023 Week 16 Giants at Eagles PHI 33–25 85% +15
2023 Week 15 Chargers at Raiders LV 63–21 87% +13
2023 Week 14 Jaguars at Browns CLE 31–27 59% +41
2023 Week 13 Falcons at Jets ATL 13–8 94% +6
2023 Week 12 Panthers at Titans TEN 17–10 89% +11
2023 Week 11 Vikings at Broncos DEN 21–20 83% +17
2023 Week 9 Bears at Saints NO 24–17 71% +29
2023 Week 8 Bengals at 49ers CIN 31–17 14% +86
2023 Week 7 Falcons at Buccaneers ATL 16–13 88% +12
2023 Week 6 Cardinals at Rams LA 26–9 88% +12
2023 Week 5 Giants at Dolphins MIA 31–16 100% 0
2023 Week 4 Commanders at Eagles PHI 34–31 89% +11
2023 Week 3 Panthers at Seahawks SEA 37–27 86% +14
2023 Week 2 Browns at Steelers PIT 26–22 49% +51
2023 Week 1 Titans at Saints NO 16–15 82% +18
2022 AFC Championship Bengals at Chiefs KC 23–20 67% +33
2022 Week 18 Ravens at Bengals CIN 27–16 78% +22
2022 Week 17 Jets at Seahawks SEA 23–6 91% +9
2022 Week 16 Broncos at Rams LA 51–14 92% +8
2022 Week 15 Patriots at Raiders LV 30–24 41% +59
2022 Week 14 Vikings at Lions DET 34–23 87% +13
2022 Week 13 Steelers at Falcons PIT 19–16 40% +60
2022 Week 12 Chargers at Cardinals LAC 25–24 48% +52
2022 Week 11 Rams at Saints NO 27–20 78% +22
2022 Week 9 Dolphins at Bears MIA 35–32 80% +20
2022 Week 8 Packers at Bills BUF 27–17 68% +32
2022 Week 7 Colts at Titans TEN 19–10 41% +59
2022 Week 6 Broncos at Chargers LAC 19–16 32% +68
2022 Week 5 Texans at Jaguars HOU 13–6 31% +69
2022 Week 3 Eagles at Commanders PHI 24–8 93% +7
2022 Week 2 Panthers at Giants NYG 19–16 74% +26
2022 Week 1 Buccaneers at Cowboys TB 19–3 95% +5
2021 Super Bowl Rams vs Bengals LA 23–20 49% +51
2021 Divisional round 49ers at Packers SF 13–10 76% +24
2021 Week 18 Cowboys at Eagles DAL 51–26 94% +6
2021 Week 16 Lions at Falcons ATL 20–16 60% +40
2021 Week 15 Jets at Dolphins MIA 31–24 72% +28
2021 Week 14 Bears at Packers GB 45–30 87% +13
2021 Week 13 Colts at Texans IND 31–0 100% 0
2021 Week 12 Eagles at Giants NYG 13–7 23% +77
2021 Week 11 49ers at Jaguars SF 30–10 91% +9
2021 Week 10 Ravens at Dolphins MIA 22–10 36% +64
2021 Week 8 Patriots at Chargers NE 27–24 24% +76
2021 Week 7 Washington at Packers GB 24–10 54% +46
2021 Week 6 Raiders at Broncos LV 34–24 45% +55
2021 Week 5 Rams at Seahawks LA 26–17 73% +27
2021 Week 4 Texans at Bills BUF 40–0 98% +2
2021 Week 3 Bears at Browns CLE 26–6 96% +4
2021 Week 2 Saints at Panthers CAR 26–7 79% +21
2021 Week 1 Broncos at Giants DEN 27–13 73% +27