2022 NFL season · final · regular season

Referee calls, 2022: who they helped

Judgment calls helped the Vikings most in 2022: +3.35 points a game, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t. They hurt the Browns most: −1.37 a game. The Cardinals drew the most flags, 117.

Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued in expected points for the team it helped, including any play it wiped out. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.06), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued

#	Team	Call luck, pts per game	Judgment flags against	For	Pre-snap flags against
1	Vikings	+3.35	46	79	42
2	Bengals	+1.94	52	67	29
3	Packers	+1.46	64	67	25
4	Chargers	+0.91	49	57	32
5	Broncos	+0.84	67	67	46
6	Falcons	+0.69	46	62	22
7	Jaguars	+0.53	50	58	40
8	49ers	+0.50	58	62	36
9	Cowboys	+0.39	64	54	40
10	Panthers	+0.33	62	68	42
11	Texans	+0.32	47	55	41
12	Saints	+0.15	63	54	36
13	Cardinals	+0.14	62	57	55
14	Bills	+0.02	58	56	34
15	Rams	0.00	52	49	24
16	Giants	−0.01	70	66	36
17	Dolphins	−0.10	66	54	45
18	Steelers	−0.16	61	59	33
19	Ravens	−0.20	54	55	28
20	Patriots	−0.22	64	51	40
21	Lions	−0.31	64	67	26
22	Bears	−0.61	51	53	29
23	Colts	−0.75	60	55	29
24	Titans	−0.77	68	64	43
25	Jets	−0.82	60	54	31
26	Commanders	−0.85	59	57	33
27	Seahawks	−0.88	58	53	48
28	Chiefs	−0.90	68	70	19
29	Eagles	−0.93	57	54	33
30	Buccaneers	−1.22	56	64	43
31	Raiders	−1.36	70	58	43
32	Browns	−1.37	71	51	31

Call luck by team

MIN +3.35 1st

CIN +1.94 2nd

GB +1.46 3rd

LAC +0.91 4th

DEN +0.84 5th

ATL +0.69 6th

JAX +0.53 7th

SF +0.50 8th

DAL +0.39 9th

CAR +0.33 10th

HOU +0.32 11th

NO +0.15 12th

ARI +0.14 13th

BUF +0.02 14th

LA 0.00 15th

NYG −0.01 16th

MIA −0.10 17th

PIT −0.16 18th

BAL −0.20 19th

NE −0.22 20th

DET −0.31 21st

CHI −0.61 22nd

IND −0.75 23rd

TEN −0.77 24th

NYJ −0.82 25th

WAS −0.85 26th

SEA −0.88 27th

KC −0.90 28th

PHI −0.93 29th

TB −1.22 30th

LV −1.36 31st

CLE −1.37 32nd

Referee crews

Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: points per game toward the home team.

Referee	Games	Judgment flags per game	Pre-snap per game	Toward home team, pts
Carl Cheffers	18	7.6	4.8	+1.72
Scott Novak	16	7.4	4.7	−1.14
Tra Blake	16	8.3	3.8	+0.44
Brad Allen	17	6.3	5.6	+0.70
Clete Blakeman	17	7.3	4.6	−0.91
Shawn Hochuli	17	7.9	3.8	+1.06
Clay Martin	17	7.6	4.1	+1.17
Brad Rogers	16	7.9	3.4	+0.17
Adrian Hill	17	7.1	4.2	+0.77
Alex Kemp	17	6.8	4.5	+1.17
Jerome Boger	16	6.8	4.3	+0.27
Land Clark	16	7.1	3.9	+1.32
Ron Torbert	17	6.9	3.9	−1.38
Shawn Smith	16	6.4	4.5	+1.63
John Hussey	17	5.6	3.8	+0.99
Craig Wrolstad	17	6.5	2.8	+1.44
Bill Vinovich	17	4.4	4.1	+0.60

All referees since 2019 · 2022 luck rankings · Expected wins