2022 NFL season · final · regular season
Referee calls, 2022: who they helped
Judgment calls helped the Vikings most in 2022: +2.07 wins, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t, each weighted by the moment it came. They hurt the Browns most: −0.94 wins. The Cardinals were flagged the most, 117 times.
Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued by what it did to the helped team’s chance of winning at that moment, including any play it wiped out, so a call in a decided game counts for nothing and one at the turn of a close game for most of a win. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.09), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued
| # | Team | Call luck, wins | Judgment flags against | For | Pre-snap flags against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vikings | +2.07 | 46 | 79 | 42 |
| 2 |  Bengals | +0.96 | 52 | 67 | 29 |
| 3 |  Falcons | +0.88 | 46 | 62 | 22 |
| 4 |  Broncos | +0.65 | 67 | 67 | 46 |
| 5 |  Cowboys | +0.49 | 64 | 54 | 40 |
| 6 |  Dolphins | +0.38 | 66 | 54 | 45 |
| 7 |  Packers | +0.38 | 64 | 67 | 25 |
| 8 |  Cardinals | +0.30 | 62 | 57 | 55 |
| 9 |  Giants | +0.28 | 70 | 66 | 36 |
| 10 |  Jaguars | +0.19 | 50 | 58 | 40 |
| 11 |  Titans | +0.11 | 68 | 64 | 43 |
| 12 |  Saints | +0.07 | 63 | 54 | 36 |
| 13 |  Chargers | +0.06 | 49 | 57 | 32 |
| 14 |  49ers | +0.04 | 58 | 62 | 36 |
| 15 |  Texans | −0.02 | 47 | 55 | 41 |
| 16 |  Panthers | −0.04 | 62 | 68 | 42 |
| 17 |  Lions | −0.06 | 64 | 67 | 26 |
| 18 |  Eagles | −0.07 | 57 | 54 | 33 |
| 19 |  Colts | −0.14 | 60 | 55 | 29 |
| 20 |  Rams | −0.17 | 52 | 49 | 24 |
| 21 |  Jets | −0.22 | 60 | 54 | 31 |
| 22 |  Bears | −0.24 | 51 | 53 | 29 |
| 23 |  Buccaneers | −0.30 | 56 | 64 | 43 |
| 24 |  Steelers | −0.33 | 61 | 59 | 33 |
| 25 |  Chiefs | −0.38 | 68 | 70 | 19 |
| 26 |  Patriots | −0.44 | 64 | 51 | 40 |
| 27 |  Ravens | −0.44 | 54 | 55 | 28 |
| 28 |  Seahawks | −0.62 | 58 | 53 | 48 |
| 29 |  Bills | −0.68 | 58 | 56 | 34 |
| 30 |  Commanders | −0.86 | 59 | 57 | 33 |
| 31 |  Raiders | −0.92 | 70 | 58 | 43 |
| 32 |  Browns | −0.94 | 71 | 51 | 31 |
Call luck by team
Referee crews
Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: share of a win a game toward the home team.
| Referee | Games | Judgment flags per game | Pre-snap per game | Toward home team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Cheffers | 18 | 7.6 | 4.8 | +3.8% |
| Scott Novak | 16 | 7.4 | 4.7 | −3.0% |
| Tra Blake | 16 | 8.3 | 3.8 | −0.3% |
| Brad Allen | 17 | 6.3 | 5.6 | +2.8% |
| Clete Blakeman | 17 | 7.3 | 4.6 | −3.7% |
| Shawn Hochuli | 17 | 7.9 | 3.8 | +4.5% |
| Clay Martin | 17 | 7.6 | 4.1 | +7.6% |
| Brad Rogers | 16 | 7.9 | 3.4 | −0.1% |
| Adrian Hill | 17 | 7.1 | 4.2 | +1.1% |
| Alex Kemp | 17 | 6.8 | 4.5 | +3.9% |
| Jerome Boger | 16 | 6.8 | 4.3 | −0.6% |
| Land Clark | 16 | 7.1 | 3.9 | +5.5% |
| Ron Torbert | 17 | 6.9 | 3.9 | −2.5% |
| Shawn Smith | 16 | 6.4 | 4.5 | +6.9% |
| John Hussey | 17 | 5.6 | 3.8 | +2.6% |
| Craig Wrolstad | 17 | 6.5 | 2.8 | +0.5% |
| Bill Vinovich | 17 | 4.4 | 4.1 | +4.3% |
All referees since 2019 · 2022 luck rankings · Expected wins