luckadjusted

Referee · 2019–2022

Jerome Boger: flags and calls

Jerome Boger’s crews have worked 65 games since 2019: 7.2 judgment flags a game, about the same as the league average of 7.4, and 4.6 pre-snap flags. Their judgment calls were worth +1.00 points a game to the home team (league: +0.24).

Season by season

SeasonGamesJudgment flags per gamePre-snapToward home, pts
2019159.84.5+0.37
2020176.14.5+2.57
2021176.25.3+0.68
2022166.84.3+0.27

The calls that swung games most

By the change in win probability they caused.

  1. Defensive Holding on the Buccaneers (Carlton Davis), 5 yards, wiping out the play · TB at CAR, 2019 Week 2 · 20 pts of win probability
  2. Offensive Holding on the Lions, 10 yards, wiping out the play · CHI at DET, 2019 Week 13 · 19 pts of win probability
  3. Tripping on the Packers (Adrian Amos), 10 yards, wiping out the play · GB at SF, 2021 Week 3 · 18 pts of win probability
  4. Face Mask on the Jets (Quinnen Williams), 15 yards, wiping out the play · DEN at NYJ, 2020 Week 4 · 18 pts of win probability
  5. Roughing the Kicker on the Lions (Miles Killebrew), 15 yards · CHI at DET, 2019 Week 13 · 18 pts of win probability
  6. Offensive Holding on the 49ers, 10 yards, wiping out the play · SF at LA, 2021 Week 18 · 18 pts of win probability
  7. Offensive Holding on Washington, 5 yards, wiping out the play · NYJ at WAS, 2019 Week 11 · 17 pts of win probability
  8. Unnecessary Roughness on the Bears (Roquan Smith), 15 yards · CHI at DET, 2019 Week 13 · 17 pts of win probability

Every game

WeekGameResultWinner wins the replayLuck index
2022 Week 18 Texans at Colts HOU 32–31 25% +75
2022 Week 17 Saints at Eagles NO 20–10 89% +11
2022 Week 16 Commanders at 49ers SF 37–20 91% +9
2022 Week 15 Cardinals at Broncos DEN 24–15 87% +13
2022 Week 14 Browns at Bengals CIN 23–10 92% +8
2022 Week 13 Jaguars at Lions DET 40–14 90% +10
2022 Week 12 Texans at Dolphins MIA 30–15 99% +1
2022 Week 11 Panthers at Ravens BAL 13–3 94% +6
2022 Week 9 Vikings at Commanders MIN 20–17 40% +60
2022 Week 8 Giants at Seahawks SEA 27–13 82% +18
2022 Week 7 Saints at Cardinals ARI 42–34 10% +90
2022 Week 6 Jaguars at Colts IND 34–27 25% +75
2022 Week 5 Falcons at Buccaneers TB 21–15 64% +36
2022 Week 4 Bills at Ravens BUF 23–20 61% +39
2022 Week 3 Bengals at Jets CIN 27–12 94% +6
2022 Week 1 Giants at Titans NYG 21–20 47% +53
2021 Wild Card Raiders at Bengals CIN 26–19 70% +30
2021 Week 18 49ers at Rams SF 27–24 75% +25
2021 Week 17 Panthers at Saints NO 18–10 81% +19
2021 Week 16 Steelers at Chiefs KC 36–10 88% +12
2021 Week 15 Cowboys at Giants DAL 21–6 73% +27
2021 Week 13 Cardinals at Bears ARI 33–22 56% +44
2021 Week 12 Browns at Ravens BAL 16–10 79% +21
2021 Week 11 Bengals at Raiders CIN 32–13 50% +50
2021 Week 10 Saints at Titans TEN 23–21 37% +63
2021 Week 9 Chargers at Eagles LAC 27–24 79% +21
2021 Week 8 Giants at Chiefs KC 20–17 81% +19
2021 Week 6 Texans at Colts IND 31–3 88% +12
2021 Week 5 Dolphins at Buccaneers TB 45–17 99% +1
2021 Week 4 Panthers at Cowboys DAL 36–28 78% +22
2021 Week 3 Packers at 49ers GB 30–28 88% +12
2021 Week 2 Raiders at Steelers LV 26–17 80% +20
2021 Week 1 Cardinals at Titans ARI 38–13 78% +22
2020 Wild Card Ravens at Titans BAL 20–13 73% +27
2020 Week 17 Steelers at Browns CLE 24–22 71% +29
2020 Week 16 Bears at Jaguars CHI 41–17 88% +12
2020 Week 15 Lions at Titans TEN 46–25 84% +16
2020 Week 14 Saints at Eagles PHI 24–21 31% +69
2020 Week 13 Rams at Cardinals LA 38–28 91% +9
2020 Week 12 Browns at Jaguars CLE 27–25 72% +28
2020 Week 11 Rams at Buccaneers LA 27–24 64% +36
2020 Week 10 Chargers at Dolphins MIA 29–21 29% +71
2020 Week 9 Broncos at Falcons ATL 34–27 55% +45
2020 Week 8 Cowboys at Eagles PHI 23–9 61% +39
2020 Week 6 Packers at Buccaneers TB 38–10 83% +17
2020 Week 5 Bengals at Ravens BAL 27–3 97% +3
2020 Week 4 Broncos at Jets DEN 37–28 88% +12
2020 Week 3 Bears at Falcons CHI 30–26 18% +82
2020 Week 2 Bills at Dolphins BUF 31–28 73% +27
2020 Week 1 Buccaneers at Saints NO 34–23 41% +59
2019 Week 17 Cardinals at Rams LA 31–24 62% +38
2019 Week 16 Saints at Titans NO 38–28 72% +28
2019 Week 15 Dolphins at Giants NYG 36–20 93% +7
2019 Week 14 Chiefs at Patriots KC 23–16 47% +53
2019 Week 13 Bears at Lions CHI 24–20 66% +34
2019 Week 12 Broncos at Bills BUF 20–3 96% +4
2019 Week 11 Jets at Washington NYJ 34–17 87% +13
2019 Week 10 Panthers at Packers GB 24–16 87% +13
2019 Week 8 Bengals vs Rams LA 24–10 91% +9
2019 Week 7 Eagles at Cowboys DAL 37–10 97% +3
2019 Week 6 Saints at Jaguars NO 13–6 49% +51
2019 Week 5 Browns at 49ers SF 31–3 96% +4
2019 Week 3 Raiders at Vikings MIN 34–14 81% +19
2019 Week 2 Buccaneers at Panthers TB 20–14 77% +23
2019 Week 1 Ravens at Dolphins BAL 59–10 100% 0