2020 NFL season · final · regular season

Referee calls, 2020: who they helped

Judgment calls helped the Broncos most in 2020: +2.29 points a game, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t. They hurt the Saints most: −3.34 a game. The Cardinals drew the most flags, 112.

Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued in expected points for the team it helped, including any play it wiped out. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.06), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued

#	Team	Call luck, pts per game	Judgment flags against	For	Pre-snap flags against
1	Broncos	+2.29	52	71	29
2	Eagles	+2.25	50	71	57
3	Buccaneers	+1.95	47	70	37
4	Falcons	+1.87	52	64	30
5	Dolphins	+1.76	50	61	24
6	Chargers	+1.39	51	66	34
7	Packers	+1.10	52	58	32
8	Steelers	+1.01	54	61	27
9	Patriots	+0.91	42	55	20
10	Seahawks	+0.74	48	58	36
11	Bears	+0.60	53	55	35
12	Washington	+0.55	46	56	41
13	Titans	+0.20	54	53	32
14	Cardinals	+0.16	62	62	50
15	Panthers	+0.13	64	50	31
16	Bengals	−0.03	48	56	35
17	Raiders	−0.11	67	63	30
18	Rams	−0.12	44	43	27
19	Giants	−0.20	48	53	33
20	Texans	−0.61	44	49	36
21	Lions	−0.62	61	63	34
22	Jets	−0.73	71	68	30
23	Cowboys	−0.77	59	53	37
24	Vikings	−0.80	51	55	31
25	Bills	−0.91	65	53	37
26	49ers	−1.07	59	47	26
27	Browns	−1.13	56	45	44
28	Chiefs	−1.26	71	55	34
29	Jaguars	−1.33	69	50	38
30	Colts	−1.59	67	56	27
31	Ravens	−2.32	65	43	39
32	Saints	−3.34	77	36	21

Call luck by team

DEN +2.29 1st

PHI +2.25 2nd

TB +1.95 3rd

ATL +1.87 4th

MIA +1.76 5th

LAC +1.39 6th

GB +1.10 7th

PIT +1.01 8th

NE +0.91 9th

SEA +0.74 10th

CHI +0.60 11th

WAS +0.55 12th

TEN +0.20 13th

ARI +0.16 14th

CAR +0.13 15th

CIN −0.03 16th

LV −0.11 17th

LA −0.12 18th

NYG −0.20 19th

HOU −0.61 20th

DET −0.62 21st

NYJ −0.73 22nd

DAL −0.77 23rd

MIN −0.80 24th

BUF −0.91 25th

SF −1.07 26th

CLE −1.13 27th

KC −1.26 28th

JAX −1.33 29th

IND −1.59 30th

BAL −2.32 31st

NO −3.34 32nd

Referee crews

Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: points per game toward the home team.

Referee	Games	Judgment flags per game	Pre-snap per game	Toward home team, pts
Alex Kemp	17	9.2	3.5	−1.04
Land Clark	15	8.2	4.4	−0.10
Carl Cheffers	17	7.4	5.2	+2.49
Shawn Hochuli	15	7.7	4.3	+1.28
Adrian Hill	16	8.0	3.9	−0.50
Clay Martin	13	7.2	4.3	−2.34
Craig Wrolstad	16	6.5	4.8	−0.18
Ronald Torbert	17	6.8	4.3	+0.75
Clete Blakeman	16	6.6	4.3	+1.28
Tony Corrente	15	6.5	4.3	−0.76
Jerome Boger	17	6.1	4.5	+2.57
John Hussey	17	6.5	4.1	−1.15
Scott Novak	16	6.1	4.1	+0.77
Brad Allen	17	6.4	3.9	−1.12
Bill Vinovich	16	5.7	4.3	−0.42
Shawn Smith	16	6.6	3.1	+1.85
Brad Rogers	12	6.4	3.0	−1.45

All referees since 2019 · 2020 luck rankings · Expected wins