Referee calls · 2019–2026
Do refs favor the Giants?
No more than most teams. Judgment calls have been worth +0.45 points a game to the Giants since 2019, 7th of 32 teams. In the playoffs: −1.85 points a game over 2 games, a small sample that swings on a handful of flags.
Call luck, season by season
Points per regular-season game from judgment calls: the calls that helped the Giants minus the calls that hurt them.
Biggest calls for the Giants
- Defensive Pass Interference on the Ravens (Marcus Peters), 5 yards, wiping out the play · 2022 Week 6 · 60 pts of win probability
- Defensive Pass Interference on the Broncos, 1 yards · 2025 Week 7 · 39 pts of win probability
- Offensive Pass Interference on the Cowboys (George Pickens), 10 yards, wiping out the play · 2025 Week 2 · 29 pts of win probability
- Offensive Holding on the Eagles, 10 yards, wiping out the play · 2019 Week 17 · 26 pts of win probability
- Illegal Use of Hands on the Bears, 8 yards, wiping out the play · 2019 Week 12 · 22 pts of win probability
Biggest calls against
- Illegal Contact on the Giants (Tre Hawkins), 5 yards, wiping out the play · 2023 Week 11 · 63 pts of win probability
- Illegal Use of Hands on the Giants, 5 yards, wiping out the play · 2022 Week 7 · 55 pts of win probability
- Offensive Pass Interference on the Giants (Golden Tate), 0 yards · 2020 Week 2 · 45 pts of win probability
- Defensive Pass Interference on the Giants (Adoree' Jackson), 30 yards · 2023 Week 8 · 40 pts of win probability
- Offensive Pass Interference on the Giants (Darius Slayton), 10 yards, wiping out the play · 2025 Week 18 · 30 pts of win probability
Questions
Do refs favor the Giants?
No more than most teams. Judgment calls have been worth +0.45 points a game to the Giants since 2019, 7th of 32 teams.
What about the playoffs?
In the playoffs: −1.85 points a game over 2 games, a small sample that swings on a handful of flags.
How is this measured?
Every flag that isn’t a pre-snap foul (holding, pass interference, roughing, unnecessary roughness and the like) is valued in expected points for the team it helped, including any play it wiped out. A flag on a player who is rarely flagged counts more (up to twice), one on a frequent offender less. A team’s call luck is the calls that helped it minus the calls that hurt it. It says how the calls went, not why: teams that throw deep draw more pass interference, for example.
Is it more than chance?
Mostly not. A team’s call luck in odd weeks barely predicts its call luck in even weeks (correlation 0.06 across all teams since 2019), which is what chance looks like. Over 32 teams, a few will always sit at the top of this list.
All teams, 2026 · Referee crews · New York Giants, every season