2021 season · final
New York Giants, 2021: game by game
The Giants went 4–13 in 2021; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 3.9 wins. Luck added 0.1: the 15th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 3–3.
Every game
How often the Giants win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Broncos | L 13–27 | 28% | −28 |
| Week 2 | @ Washington | L 29–30 | 39% | −39 |
| Week 3 | vs Falcons | L 14–17 | 39% | −39 |
| Week 4 | @ Saints | W 27–21 | 17% | +83 |
| Week 5 | @ Cowboys | L 20–44 | 27% | −27 |
| Week 6 | vs Rams | L 11–38 | 3% | −3 |
| Week 7 | vs Panthers | W 25–3 | 97% | +3 |
| Week 8 | @ Chiefs | L 17–20 | 19% | −19 |
| Week 9 | vs Raiders | W 23–16 | 14% | +86 |
| Week 11 | @ Buccaneers | L 10–30 | 3% | −3 |
| Week 12 | vs Eagles | W 13–7 | 19% | +81 |
| Week 13 | @ Dolphins | L 9–20 | 26% | −26 |
| Week 14 | @ Chargers | L 21–37 | 9% | −9 |
| Week 15 | vs Cowboys | L 6–21 | 26% | −26 |
| Week 16 | @ Eagles | L 10–34 | 4% | −4 |
| Week 17 | @ Bears | L 3–29 | 10% | −10 |
| Week 18 | vs Washington | L 7–22 | 7% | −7 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Giants’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Judgment calls | +0.34 | +13.9 |
| Fumble bounces | +0.17 | −2.5 |
| Kicks | +0.11 | +2.9 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −0.07 | +1.1 |
| Injuries | −0.40 | −17.3 |