2020 season · final

New York Giants, 2020: game by game

The Giants went 6–10 in 2020; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 6.8 wins. Luck cost them 0.8: the 14th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 5–5.

Every game

How often the Giants win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Week 1	vs Steelers	L 16–26	73%	−73
Week 2	@ Bears	L 13–17	78%	−78
Week 3	vs 49ers	L 9–36	3%	−3
Week 4	@ Rams	L 9–17	32%	−32
Week 5	@ Cowboys	L 34–37	4%	−4
Week 6	vs Washington	W 20–19	86%	+14
Week 7	@ Eagles	L 21–22	18%	−18
Week 8	vs Buccaneers	L 23–25	49%	−49
Week 9	@ Washington	W 23–20	30%	+70
Week 10	vs Eagles	W 27–17	84%	+16
Week 12	@ Bengals	W 19–17	78%	+22
Week 13	@ Seahawks	W 17–12	54%	+46
Week 14	vs Cardinals	L 7–26	4%	−4
Week 15	vs Browns	L 6–20	21%	−21
Week 16	@ Ravens	L 13–27	8%	−8
Week 17	vs Cowboys	W 23–19	52%	+48

Game by game

The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.

Wk 1 −73 vs PIT

Wk 2 −78 @ CHI

Wk 3 −3 vs SF

Wk 4 −32 @ LA

Wk 5 −4 @ DAL

Wk 6 +14 vs WAS

Wk 7 −18 @ PHI

Wk 8 −49 vs TB

Wk 9 +70 @ WAS

Wk 10 +16 vs PHI

Wk 12 +22 @ CIN

Wk 13 +46 @ SEA

Wk 14 −4 vs ARI

Wk 15 −21 vs CLE

Wk 16 −8 @ BAL

Wk 17 +48 vs DAL

Where the luck came from

Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Giants’ favor.

Kind	Points	Per game
Injuries	+17.3	+1.08
Kicks	+11.4	+0.71
Rest	−0.6	−0.04
3rd & 4th downs	−1.7	−0.11
Judgment calls	−3.2	−0.20
Fumble bounces	−11.0	−0.69