One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Giants in one-score games

The Giants are 4–1–1 in one-score games in 2026 so far, after 1–7 in 2025. Replayed with the same day’s form, they win 3.4 of those 6. Since 2019: 28–37–2 in 67 one-score games, 27.7 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Giants win in replays (regular season).

2026 +1.1 4–1–1

2025 −1.8 1–7

2024 −1.5 1–8

2023 +1.3 4–4

2022 +1.0 8–4–1

2021 +1.5 3–3

2020 +0.1 5–5

2019 −0.4 2–5

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	4–1–1	3.4 of 6	+1.1	5–2–1
2025	1–7	2.8 of 8	−1.8	4–13
2024	1–8	2.5 of 9	−1.5	3–14
2023	4–4	2.7 of 8	+1.3	6–11
2022	8–4–1	7.5 of 13	+1.0	9–7–1
2021	3–3	1.5 of 6	+1.5	4–13
2020	5–5	4.9 of 10	+0.1	6–10
2019	2–5	2.4 of 7	−0.4	4–12

2026 one-score games

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Week 1	vs Cowboys	W 28–20	15%	+85
Week 3	vs Titans	W 12–7	81%	+19
Week 5	@ Commanders	T 27–27	46%	+4
Week 6	vs Saints	L 27–34	52%	−52
Week 7	@ Texans	W 27–21	94%	+6
Week 9	@ Eagles	W 19–11	52%	+48

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · New York Giants, every season